NEW HAMPSHIRE (Loudon)---

**5mike5** · 07-11-17, 08:32 AM

Interesting Stats:

only ONE time in the last 9 Cup races NH has the winner started in the top 6

5 of last 9 at NH were won from a starting position of 13th or worse

**BigJay** · 07-11-17, 01:57 PM

Is this track a crapshoot Mike or are there one or two that have stood out here?

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by BigJay

Is this track a crapshoot Mike or are there one or two that have stood out here?

recent track history guys like Kyle B, Kennseth ,and Harvick have done well. Also Logano.

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 10:59 AM

Cup:

kennseth(+1150)
Larson (+1150)
Logano (+1650)

will add another single play to win but no idea who yet, but I can easily still make a good profit even if it's a fav I take. Also hoping I'll have a parlay going to close with Sunday. As far as these bets just like Logano and Kennseth last history even though current form isn't good at all. And Larson I'll take at any non road course track at those odds

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 10:59 AM

Xfinity:
kyle B>Larson (-145)
Allgahier>Sadler (+100)
open

**BigJay** · 07-12-17, 12:41 PM

Mike, you're not worried about the problems Logano and Kenseth have had in recent weeks? They've really been in bad form of late. Horses for courses apply in your thinking on this one??

**BigJay** · 07-12-17, 12:52 PM

Also, you like Kyle B to win again in Xfinity? Thinking about making another big play on him but see Logano and Kyle L in the field as well. +125 is the price I'm seeing and his odds usually just get lower, but a win's a win. Was thinking about grabbing him in Xfinity for about 3-4 units to hopefully fund my Cup bets. Worth it??? Thanks for the advice ahead of time!

Brad +300, Larson +350, Byron +850. Everyone else +1350 or more

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 01:18 PM

I'm taking Kyle to win xfinity, just gonna parlay him hoping it makes a bigger diff for taking a few Cup favs on Sunday to close out a parlay.

Normally I don't like taking guys in the form that Kennseth and Logano are currently in, but based off opening odds I though they had decent value based off of past track history. This is a slow, no banking, short racetrack so the aero package isn't really a factor here. I like Kyle B, Truex, Harvick more than them but at their opening odds I don't see any value I couldn't get later and hoping to have parlays on 1-2 of them from xfinity.

**shaunovery** · 07-12-17, 04:48 PM

New crew chief for the #42 this week after penalties

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 06:23 PM

yeah that wouldn't have factored in at all at those good odds for Larson for me here.

kyle B almost lost his again. Lol

**Optional** · 07-12-17, 06:26 PM

Having trouble looking past KyleB for the double really.

**5mike5** · 07-12-17, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Optional

Having trouble looking past KyleB for the double really.

me too

parlaying him for Xfinity and hopefully closing it with him on Sunday

**5mike5** · 07-13-17, 07:44 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

Xfinity:
kyle B>Larson (-145)
Allgahier>Sadler (+100)
open

keslowski (+300)

**i will also take Kyle B to win to start a 2-slot open parlay on raceday and that's it for the xfinity race

**BigJay** · 07-13-17, 11:47 AM

Xfinity: Kyle B +125 five units

**5mike5** · 07-14-17, 05:04 PM

LARSON on the POLE!

what a price at +1150!

**5mike5** · 07-14-17, 06:51 PM

Larson qualifying time disallowed

starts last

**BigJay** · 07-14-17, 08:15 PM

Watched qualifying and was about to post that it seems like the 78 and 42 are just on a different level than everyone else right now. Didn't see Larson failed post-qualifying inspection

**5mike5** · 07-14-17, 08:30 PM

Yeah he still won't have odds at what he opened and still glad I have him

HE Was almostv2-tenths faster than even truex

**BigJay** · 07-14-17, 08:54 PM

Yeah. 42 was rolling through practice all the way to qualifying. Those opening odds still look silly now.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-15-17, 02:30 AM

Bookmaker is aweful.

Still has nothing for cup other than Head to Head.

Really???

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 04:44 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Bookmaker is aweful.

Still has nothing for cup other than Head to Head.

Really???

maybe because they qualified yesterday evening? Not sure tbh

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 05:39 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Bookmaker is aweful.

Still has nothing for cup other than Head to Head.

Really???

keep in min duchess if u just looked for them It is because they practiced and qualified yesterday. Dimes doesn't have anything at all up for it after they took them down yesterday afternoon

**BigJay** · 07-15-17, 05:55 AM

Cup seems tough to Cap:
Was surprised Kyle B and Harvick didn't qualify better. Was really thinking those two all week but Kyle B has burned a lot of $ this year in cup. Just not sure if he'll be my play come Sunday but maybe I'll get better odds with his starting position.

Thinking Truex has to be the fav, and this is perhaps shaping up to be one of those races where Jimmie winning wouldn't surprise me either. And of course a Larson drive through the field isn't out of the question.
The way the track was looking yesterday with the slipping and sliding I look for a lot of cautions again.

Probably won't invest too much with all the variables. But I do think 78 is so hot right now and wants to prove badly he can win on tracks other than 1.5 mile.

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 06:11 AM

Originally posted by BigJay

Cup seems tough to Cap:
Was surprised Kyle B and Harvick didn't qualify better. Was really thinking those two all week but Kyle B has burned a lot of $ this year in cup. Just not sure if he'll be my play come Sunday but maybe I'll get better odds with his starting position.

Thinking Truex has to be the fav, and this is perhaps shaping up to be one of those races where Jimmie winning wouldn't surprise me either. And of course a Larson drive through the field isn't out of the question.
The way the track was looking yesterday with the slipping and sliding I look for a lot of cautions again.

Probably won't invest too much with all the variables. But I do think 78 is so hot right now and wants to prove badly he can win on tracks other than 1.5 mile.

i completely agree with everything you pointed out

good analysis.

Tons of vataibles tomorrow and I also am expecting a lot of cautions

that VHT they are using on the track for grip should help more IF it's sunshine during the race and warmer but there will be 3 lanes they can use which will be wild. They will apply more after Xfinity today

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 01:12 PM

XFINITY

Keslowski (+300)--basically a cover now with very little profit of wins

parlays:
kyle B wins (-110)
open

kyle b>Larson (-145)
allghaier>Sadler (+100)
open

GOODLUCK!!!

**kkwins84** · 07-15-17, 02:30 PM

Byron > Sadler +105

Crazy how much line has moved on Sadler vs alagier

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-15-17, 04:09 PM

Kyle +115

Lets go!

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 04:29 PM

Bck to racing after rain delay!

lets go!

**kkwins84** · 07-15-17, 05:18 PM

Kyle b got the second best car today

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 05:43 PM

Keslowski looks great

glad I took them both. Won't be a big profit for Keslowski win, but a helluva lot better than losing a lot so I won't complaiN if he holds on

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 05:52 PM

Pit road penalty on Keslowski!!!!

leys go BUSCH!!!!!

**5mike5** · 07-15-17, 05:52 PM

Kyle Busch to the lead boys!

**kkwins84** · 07-15-17, 05:52 PM

Oh yeah baby let's go!!!

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-15-17, 05:53 PM

Keslowski looks great.

His fueler not so much.