BRISTOL--5mike5

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51821

    #36
    Originally posted by Vegas39
    No the other 3 aside from Harvick seem lost. Maybe Kurt looks better this week but don't trust putting my money on him
    Nah me either. He hasn't been the same here in years and years anyways
    Comment
    • Vegas39
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-22-11
      • 30686

      #37
      Now for Nationwide may play Larson. He was close here last year
      Comment
      • milehigh
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-10-14
        • 111

        #38
        That probably explains why you didn't get my PM! Long time lurker and NASCAR fan...first year getting into the wagering. Been a fan since I was 3 years old and Mark Martin lived 5 doors down from me in Jamestown, NC (Folgers/Valvoline days). Haven't followed as closely since he went part-time but getting back into it this year.

        Saw where you're in the Knoxville area--I'm in Nashville and am out your way every 6 weeks or so for work. Used to make 2-3 races a year (including Bristol) but haven't in a couple of years.

        This board is great and gets me excited about NASCAR again. You'll have to forgive my rookie ponderings for a while because ya'll have a hell of a lot more knowledge than I do...but I'm 6-2 on H2Hs since Phoenix and off to a good start . I just need to find the balls to make some big bets on race winners.
        Comment
        • shaunovery
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-15-07
          • 18143

          #39
          How about truex in the 78 Kurt ran well here in the 78 maybe truex can get a good finish here
          Comment
          • Slimpickens
            SBR MVP
            • 10-28-12
            • 2030

            #40
            Originally posted by 5mike5
            Nah me either. He hasn't been the same here in years and years anyways
            25-1 is a big price on Kurt though. IMO.
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 51821

              #41
              I think it's where he should be

              hasnt performed in years and years here and hasn't showed me that new team is in any kind of sink early. Its a big price I just think its there and has a good reason to be. I think there's gonna be better longshots and 2x that price. At least I'm hoping for it on who I'm looking at
              Comment
              • Slimpickens
                SBR MVP
                • 10-28-12
                • 2030

                #42
                Kurt was 4th in the this race last year and was the leader when he had major trouble in the night race.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 51821

                  #43
                  Originally posted by shaunovery
                  How about truex in the 78 Kurt ran well here in the 78 maybe truex can get a good finish here
                  It's the #78 team/car I don't trust
                  Comment
                  • Slimpickens
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-28-12
                    • 2030

                    #44
                    How are dimes odds not up yet? Betonline is even up.
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51821

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Slimpickens
                      Kurt was 4th in the this race last year and was the leader when he had major trouble in the night race.
                      Yeah he had a decent run 1 time that still didn't end well and wasn't when it counted. But he hasn't showed anything here to impress me since he raced at roucsh when he was dominant.

                      Im not saying don't bet him or price isn't good I just have no faith in him here anymore to win the race. He might jump up and surprise me never know.

                      Honestly I have no idea why he dropped off like that. And really in cup Kyle looked to be heading down the same road. He isn't as dominant as he was either there for a few years
                      Last edited by 5mike5; 03-11-14, 11:55 AM.
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51821

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Slimpickens
                        How are dimes odds not up yet? Betonline is even up.
                        Slim they are always last u not learned that yet. Lol. Well besides wagerweb if u count them

                        Might be tonight. Lol
                        Comment
                        • Slimpickens
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-28-12
                          • 2030

                          #47
                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                          Yeah he had a decent run 1 time that still didn't end well and wasn't when it counted. But he hasn't showed anything here to impress me since he raced at roucsh when he was dominant.

                          Im not saying don't bet him or price isn't good I just have no faith in him here anymore to win the race. He might jump up and surprise me never know.

                          Honestly I have no idea why he dropped off like that. And really in cup Kyle looked to be heading down the same road. He isn't as dominant as he was either there for a few years
                          Yea, I power watched both races from last year and Kyle is always getting in some sort of trouble. I guess he is a deserving favorite though. I really think a driver in double digit odds wins this.
                          Comment
                          • Slimpickens
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-12
                            • 2030

                            #48
                            Originally posted by 5mike5
                            Slim they are always last u not learned that yet. Lol. Well besides wagerweb if u count them

                            Might be tonight. Lol
                            No, I clearly havent learned yet. Just annoying whem Im actually ready for openers.
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 51821

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Slimpickens
                              Yea, I power watched both races from last year and Kyle is always getting in some sort of trouble. I guess he is a deserving favorite though. I really think a driver in double digit odds wins this.
                              wow im not sure about that, but guess it depends on the odds on openers and raceday...which will be alot different..always are here

                              i watched last 6 races from here yesterday and today, and he starts in back alot lately is 1 reason hes found trouble, mostly non of his doing

                              he hasnt won here since sring 2011, his last win when he had won 4 of the last 5 CUP races here
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51821

                                #50
                                kyle has only started inside the top 10 1 time in the last 11 races here

                                hes usually in the late teens to 20s which has taken him out several times...

                                not a track u like to start in the mid toback even though its been won from back there many times
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 51821

                                  #51
                                  but there is still nobody that is a better racer than kyle at Bristol, even though i would argue that keslowski is becoming it besides getting into trouble in 2 of the last 5 races there, hes got 2 wins and a 3rd
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 51821

                                    #52
                                    gonna be a good week to parlay a winner to get better odds and still get about the same payout depedning on how much u bet...and if u take a +odds prop or h2h with it...im def. starting 1 with nationwide as usual
                                    Comment
                                    • Slimpickens
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-28-12
                                      • 2030

                                      #53
                                      I didnt say I was taking him as the favorite but I get why they made him fav. Kenseth could have been but he's been junk so far this year. Kahne fell into the win last year when the leaders took them selves out, just doesnt have a winning instinct. Not sure why Harvick is 2nd choice.
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51821

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                        I didnt say I was taking him as the favorite but I get why they made him fav. Kenseth could have been but he's been junk so far this year. Kahne fell into the win last year when the leaders took them selves out, just doesnt have a winning instinct. Not sure why Harvick is 2nd choice.
                                        oh i agree kyles should be fav no doubt about that

                                        harvck has no business there i also agree

                                        if kahne had any balls, he could have easily passed kennseth last race here...better car and didnt want a win bad enough to move kennseth

                                        keslowski is the only person that could have been fav besides kyle imo, these books havent a clue...they need sharp bettors to make the board look right by raceday
                                        Comment
                                        • Vegas39
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 09-22-11
                                          • 30686

                                          #55
                                          .........
                                          Comment
                                          • uncle vinny
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-02-13
                                            • 385

                                            #56
                                            good odds this week. looking back at last years race. matt was real good and had a good race strategy going until gordon blew out a tire in front of him. always up front here and when edwards blew hi engine in the fall wired out the feild last 150 laps or so. id say my early leans this week will be matt, jeff and hamlin (who as been decent here since the groove went to the top, seems like he can drive under people here better then most)

                                            also, found it odd that brads not in the 22 this week. put blaney back in (any one remember the last time he ran the 22)
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 51821

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                              No, I clearly havent learned yet. Just annoying whem Im actually ready for openers.
                                              i was just kiddin buddy....i am too
                                              Comment
                                              • Slimpickens
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-28-12
                                                • 2030

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                i was just kiddin buddy....i am too
                                                I know.. I havent been this exited for a nascar race ever I dont think.
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51821

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                                  I know.. I havent been this exited for a nascar race ever I dont think.
                                                  this is as good as it gets racetrack wise...this week crawls by for me...its like all i do is think, eat, sleep,errr, look at odds, and bet and bet and bet on it...

                                                  i always get excited for the nationwide races here too more than usual
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayHorne3
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-07-11
                                                    • 1130

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Vegas39
                                                    Now for Nationwide may play Larson. He was close here last year
                                                    Yep nearly beat Ky. Busch in the spring and another top 5 in the fall. Should have some pretty decent odds I would expect as well.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shaunovery
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                      • 18143

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by JayHorne3
                                                      Yep nearly beat Ky. Busch in the spring and another top 5 in the fall. Should have some pretty decent odds I would expect as well.
                                                      Larson seems to find trouble too often for my liking but the kid has talent
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 51821

                                                        #62
                                                        Funny cause his has been the 1 track he has just shined at. I'll probably take him in nationwide, but cup odds no sure will be good enough for what he should be which is a big longshot. He's only rac Bristol 2 times I think almost beat Kyle and another top 5 next other time. Guess just depends on odds. I'm parlaying Kyle in. Nationwide for sure I think. Besides that without brad racing in nationwide rce this week in not sure about who id bet single yet til odds and who all is driving in it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vegas39
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-22-11
                                                          • 30686

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                          Funny cause his has been the 1 track he has just shined at. I'll probably take him in nationwide, but cup odds no sure will be good enough for what he should be which is a big longshot. He's only rac Bristol 2 times I think almost beat Kyle and another top 5 next other time. Guess just depends on odds. I'm parlaying Kyle in. Nationwide for sure I think. Besides that without brad racing in nationwide rce this week in not sure about who id bet single yet til odds and who all is driving in it
                                                          Harvick and Kenseth running NW
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51821

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Vegas39
                                                            Harvick and Kenseth running NW
                                                            least it makes it interesting with kennseth in there....

                                                            maybe kyle wont be +150
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shaunovery
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-15-07
                                                              • 18143

                                                              #65
                                                              Wonder what price Kyle will be for nw thinking +150
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51821

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by shaunovery
                                                                Wonder what price Kyle will be for nw thinking +150
                                                                maybe with kennseth in there +200-ish to start out...

                                                                im not betting him single either way...

                                                                thats just 1 of my plans to get better value on some things this weekend....now if it works is a different story
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vegas39
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                                  • 30686

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                  least it makes it interesting with kennseth in there....

                                                                  maybe kyle wont be +150

                                                                  was thinking +250 opener
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shaunovery
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-15-07
                                                                    • 18143

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Can't see bigger than +175 without brad in the field
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 51821

                                                                      #69
                                                                      im parlaying him so i know i wont get much better than +150-+200...so im not getting opening # for nationwide no matter what

                                                                      just plays into my weekend strategy, so im set on that plan but that's just for me

                                                                      if he doesn't win, i have a Plan B

                                                                      but no matter what, ill have Kyle on Sunday too, just not gonna hammer him single this week when this will end up being cheaper and pay me more for overall profit on the CUP side....that is of course, IF he wins sunday and the other prop/h2h wins too....so it does have extra risk involved but that's my plan and i am sticking to it
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • shaunovery
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-15-07
                                                                        • 18143

                                                                        #70
                                                                        5d taking there time posting the odds
                                                                        Comment
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