MICHIGAN--5mike5

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52006

    #1
    MICHIGAN--5mike5
    Alright guys, were are off to MICHIGAN this weekend after another successful race last Sunday....And again, winning at Michigan is way more about having the best winning strategy, than it is being the best and fastest car on any given raceday...just have to find the right combination of the 2....and alot of bettors will be suckered into several drivers that will be WAY overvalued this weekend because of past results here, but are in no shape to win races unless like previously stated, they luck into a strategy call...so at least think about you picks very hard from more than just that this weekend

    The nationwide series will also be running from Michigan on Saturday afternoon, with Cup on the regular time on Sunday afternoon

    MICHIGAN is a 2-mile D-shaped Oval and has 18 degrees of banking in all 4 turns that are identical, the start/finish line has 12 degrees and the backstretch has just 5 degrees of banking..track is mostly known for its wide racing grooves and very high speed banking

    GOODLUCK to everybody this weekend and hope we can all cash in big again...not going to be an easy race to predict let me warn u in advance, but I did have my biggest profit winning race (up to that point anyways) last season with JR, so i do love this place

    LETS GO GET'EM!!!!

  • Vegas39
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-22-11
    • 30686

    #2
    Since renewals close theres a 100. A small thank you for all the work you put in each week
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52006

      #3
      Originally posted by Vegas39
      Since renewals close theres a 100. A small thank you for all the work you put in each week
      oh wow, thanks buddy!

      Comment
      • Vegas39
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-22-11
        • 30686

        #4
        No much thanks to you. Very much appreciated
        Comment
        • shaunovery
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-15-07
          • 18143

          #5
          that's all I have right now just a small thanks from me
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52006

            #6
            Originally posted by shaunovery
            that's all I have right now just a small thanks from me
            hey buddy I appreciate it
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52006

              #7
              gonna need some decectives to find out if anything is said about Toyota engines this week...i wish i knew already to be honest but if it was a 4-race plan be suprised to see them change it...guess we will see how much clout the drivers have with coach

              U guys see Hamlins Quote after pocono???

              "I WOULD RATHER BLOW-UP LEADING"

              something tells me they will do everything to get those horses back, but just not sure its their call...actually i know its not...but again michigan not a place u want to be lacking
              Comment
              • Vegas39
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-22-11
                • 30686

                #8
                Toyota in a box here. THey reduce engines here in trouble. They go back and could blow
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52006

                  #9
                  yeah i understand especially why denny is so damn pissed off.....2nd-43rd means nothing to that team...its win or go home next 12 weeks

                  after i saw his quote i thought " u better ask ur teammate how leading the race and blowing up few weeks ago feels he may disagree"
                  Comment
                  • Vegas39
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-22-11
                    • 30686

                    #10
                    He does need top 10's too. As they need in top 20. Best thing for him is top 10 guys winning and not those looking at a wild card spot like Stewart
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52006

                      #11
                      Well yeah but if he he gets wins he will be top 20. But he can't finish last and blow up either. Tough spot to be in. Think once he Gets at least 1 win he will agree top 10s are the priority. Won't make chase without both
                      Comment
                      • Vegas39
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 30686

                        #12
                        Think during race they showed he heeds to avg a 13th place finish. Also think he needs 2 wins
                        Comment
                        • JayHorne3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-07-11
                          • 1130

                          #13
                          Just don't think Hamlin is running well enough to contend for wins yet. Still a long way to go for him and some better tracks. However I am not backing him until I see a more complete race from that #11 team.
                          Comment
                          • DDT
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-22-09
                            • 3757

                            #14
                            Anyone have any opinions on the US Open this weekend? I would like to put a few dollars out there.
                            Comment
                            • Slimpickens
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-28-12
                              • 2030

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DDT
                              Anyone have any opinions on the US Open this weekend? I would like to put a few dollars out there.
                              Wonder why there is no golf forum here. Always fun to take a few shots at some big prices.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52006

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                Wonder why there is no golf forum here. Always fun to take a few shots at some big prices.
                                i know nothing about golf, but i play majors and pick a few usually 2-3 times a year

                                hit bubba W. at 54-1 in '11 and won with ernie els last year 65-1

                                was luck but paid huge
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52006

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JayHorne3
                                  Just don't think Hamlin is running well enough to contend for wins yet. Still a long way to go for him and some better tracks. However I am not backing him until I see a more complete race from that #11 team.
                                  i disagree, hes ran top 5 just about every single race since return....if he had horsepower last week i think he would have been there too contending...if u run up front he can win imo but he is being over valued the reason i never hit last week....and especially without horses non of them can win without strategy calls which is always possible at MIS
                                  Comment
                                  • Slimpickens
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-28-12
                                    • 2030

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                                    i know nothing about golf, but i play majors and pick a few usually 2-3 times a year

                                    hit bubba W. at 54-1 in '11 and won with ernie els last year 65-1

                                    was luck but paid huge
                                    Nice I remember betting Bubba in 2011 as well. Wasnt pre tourney I think the last day at around 8-1 or so. Id love to hear any opinions from you as well as anyone on this weeks tourney. I know very little about golf as well. I see odds are up with Tiger as the 5-1 chalk, then 22-1 on up.
                                    Comment
                                    • Slimpickens
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-28-12
                                      • 2030

                                      #19
                                      Who do you think opens as favorite at Michigan? Johnson just because or someone else?
                                      Comment
                                      • Vegas39
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 09-22-11
                                        • 30686

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                        i disagree, hes ran top 5 just about every single race since return....if he had horsepower last week i think he would have been there too contending...if u run up front he can win imo but he is being over valued the reason i never hit last week....and especially without horses non of them can win without strategy calls which is always possible at MIS

                                        Agree he has Ben there the wins are gonna come. Just gonba be hard at mis will be like granny on freeway beep beep
                                        Comment
                                        • Vegas39
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 09-22-11
                                          • 30686

                                          #21
                                          Odds from LVH

                                          JIMMIE JOHNSON 5
                                          CARL EDWARDS 8
                                          KYLE BUSCH 7
                                          MATT KENSETH 7
                                          JEFF GORDON 12
                                          TONY STEWART 8
                                          KEVIN HARVICK 15
                                          KASEY KAHNE 12
                                          DENNY HAMLIN 8
                                          GREG BIFFLE 8
                                          BRAD KESELOWSKI 15
                                          DALE EARNHARDT JR 12
                                          CLINT BOWYER 40
                                          RYAN NEWMAN 40
                                          AJ ALLMENDINGER 60
                                          MARTIN TRUEX JR 30
                                          MARK MARTIN 30
                                          JEFF BURTON 100
                                          JOEY LOGANO 50
                                          JUAN MONTOYA 100
                                          JAMIE McMURRAY 100
                                          KURT BUSCH 100
                                          PAUL MENARD 100
                                          MARCOS AMBROSE 100
                                          TREVOR BAYNE 200
                                          ARIC ALMIROLA 300
                                          REGAN SMITH 500
                                          BOBBY LABONTE 1000
                                          DAVID RAGAN 1000
                                          Comment
                                          • Slimpickens
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-28-12
                                            • 2030

                                            #22
                                            Those odds look comparable to what a restrictor plate race would be. To many cars under 10-1 though.
                                            Comment
                                            • JayHorne3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-07-11
                                              • 1130

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DDT
                                              Anyone have any opinions on the US Open this weekend? I would like to put a few dollars out there.
                                              I hit Snedeker +3000 and D. Johnson +4500. Both guys are very capable so I will roll the dice.
                                              Comment
                                              • DDT
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-22-09
                                                • 3757

                                                #24
                                                Anyone else like Charl Schwartzel? He is currently +3500
                                                Comment
                                                • GP
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 06-03-12
                                                  • 890

                                                  #25
                                                  according to this, http://www.jayski.com/cupnews.htm#20130608c toyota is dialing back for 2 races, pocono and michigan.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vegas39
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                    • 30686

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by GP
                                                    according to this, http://www.jayski.com/cupnews.htm#20130608c toyota is dialing back for 2 races, pocono and michigan.

                                                    Then go back to old ways and blow the Fukk up at indy
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52006

                                                      #27
                                                      jimmie a 5-1 favorite at vegas @ a track hes NEVER even won a race on...



                                                      #clueless
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vegas39
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-22-11
                                                        • 30686

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                        jimmie a 5-1 favorite at vegas @ a track hes NEVER even won a race on



                                                        #clueless
                                                        agree but bet online he opens as fave too
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52006

                                                          #29
                                                          of course he will, but he wont open at 5-1

                                                          books are so clueless about nascar

                                                          any driver thats a favorite at a track they have never won a race on is just stupid...especially when they have had 20 or so cracks at it...i mean come on....i say this every year about him here, cause hes always the favorite no matter what
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vegas39
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-22-11
                                                            • 30686

                                                            #30
                                                            No arguments from me. But hadn't planned betting 48 so works good
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 5mike5
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-21-11
                                                              • 52006

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Vegas39
                                                              No arguments from me. But hadn't planned betting 48 so works good
                                                              yeah i know u werent, just baffles me....of course im sure public that just bets on nascar as a hobby take him weekly so in their best interests

                                                              he opened +750 last year as fav @ dimes for Spring race, but with toyotas being down this year he probably open lower than that
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 52006

                                                                #32
                                                                like pocono, Michigan was just repaved in few yrs ago too keep in mind
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 52006

                                                                  #33
                                                                  im actually gonna get to sleep for a few hours on a monday night for the first time in months...no way odds will be out anytime soon...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vegas39
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                                    • 30686

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Get some rest probably needed after your trip
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bmansell33
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-28-11
                                                                      • 1048

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by DDT
                                                                      Anyone else like Charl Schwartzel? He is currently +3500
                                                                      Like him along with g mcdowell, matt kuchar, bill haas and a long long shot boo weekly
                                                                      Comment
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