PHOENIX--5mike5

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52006

    #281
    PHOENIX

    To Win The Race:
    Harvick (+1600)
    Gordon (+1500)
    Kahne (+1400)
    Keslowski (+1200)

    Cover wagers:
    Kyle (+600)
    Jimmie (+500)

    H2H LONGSHOT parlay:
    keslowski over Kyle B (+130)
    truex Jr Over M.Martin (+185)
    Dinger over Kurt B. (+150)
    (+1750)

    Well GL today everybody...still trying to see what these new cars do on a regular oval today so hope we get some good insight, but my feeling is wont change as much as we previously thought it would...didnt like any H2H for single bets to max out, so just bet 1 longshot parlay just for extra fun to watch during the race..after this race and next race in Vegas, ill know all i need to know about all the car and how odds ect have changed to be back on my usual betting methods every week....

    GOODLUCK guys, hope we all bring home a winner today!!!

    Comment
    • Vegas39
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-22-11
      • 30686

      #282
      Gl Mike
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61521

        #283
        Just catching up on thread. Seems a lot of people on Denny from the rear.

        That put me off him. Am I too concerned about it being hard to pass here?
        .
        Comment
        • shaunovery
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-15-07
          • 18143

          #284
          Originally posted by Optional
          Just catching up on thread. Seems a lot of people on Denny from the rear.

          That put me off him. Am I too concerned about it being hard to pass here?
          im more worried about the engine concerns starting at the back doesnt bother me look at kyle yesterday he went from 23rd to the front in no time
          Comment
          • cwbuff44
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-27-12
            • 179

            #285
            Originally posted by shaunovery
            basically if your cover wins its covers your stakes its not your main wagers but like a safety net
            Ahh got it! Makes perfect sense now. Thanks a ton for the help!
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52006

              #286
              Originally posted by shaunovery
              im more worried about the engine concerns starting at the back doesnt bother me look at kyle yesterday he went from 23rd to the front in no time
              as u know already, HUGE difference in nationwide and cup though coming from back to front....i dont think either has a good chance.....but i could be wrong and hope i am if i lose my profit bets and either of those 2 has a chance...

              im a team player!!!
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52006

                #287
                just hope it wont be too hard to make passes today

                i dont think it will be though...that was 1 of the main focuses of this new Gen6 car so i think it will be fine
                Comment
                • DiggityDaggityDo
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 81450

                  #288
                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                  To Win The Race:
                  Harvick (+1600)
                  Gordon (+1500)
                  Kahne (+1400)
                  Keslowski (+1200)

                  Cover wagers:
                  Kyle (+600)
                  Jimmie (+500)
                  In!

                  Except I did not bet Kyle. I only have Jimmie as my cover.

                  Thanks for your plays Mike.

                  Good luck to Everybody in this beautiful thread!
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 52006

                    #289
                    Originally posted by cwbuff44
                    Hey guys. I'm new here. Can someone help me understand what is meant by cover wagers? I understand head to heads and betting on someone to win. But what's a cover wager?

                    Thanks for helping out the ignorant lol. And good luck today!
                    i wouldnt really waste money betting covers every race unless ur betting a substancial amount of money.....becuase it can cost u extra money in the long run of the season usually, unless ur winning alot of the races then doesnt really matter
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52006

                      #290
                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                      In!

                      Except I did not bet Kyle. I only have Jimmie as my cover.

                      Thanks for your plays Mike.

                      Good luck to Everybody in this beautiful thread!
                      GL buddy!!!

                      hope we can make it 2 in a row after yesterday's race!!!

                      Comment
                      • JackalLion
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-29-12
                        • 228

                        #291
                        We're thinking just alike on the covers..I thought you might make Martin a cover too..although I know you said you weren't confident he can still win..but with the possibility of rain he may be up front at just the right time..
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61521

                          #292
                          I have

                          Jimmie +525
                          Kahne +1200
                          Harvick +1800


                          8002 Danica Patrick #10 +800* vs Kyle Busch #18

                          7558 Marcos Ambrose #9 +100* vs Paul Menard #27
                          .
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52006

                            #293
                            Originally posted by JackalLion
                            We're thinking just alike on the covers..I thought you might make Martin a cover too..although I know you said you weren't confident he can still win..but with the possibility of rain he may be up front at just the right time..
                            i was but changed my mind

                            0% chance of anything meaningful rain wise (least on weather.com but never know)

                            maybe a quick sprinkle or shower but wont shorten the race

                            if he wins it u called it early in the week
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52006

                              #294
                              1 reason i wasnt convinced on mark martin is he NEVER took a 10 consecutive lap run

                              i know hes fast as hell, but i like to see that 1 lap stuff backed up on long runs
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52006

                                #295
                                GOODLUCK guys!!!!

                                GREEN FLAG!!!!!

                                Comment
                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-30-08
                                  • 81450

                                  #296
                                  Just realized that I bet Jeff Gordon twice by accident instead of just once.

                                  Well... Now I know who I am REALLY rooting for today as he would be my biggest score.
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 52006

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                    Just realized that I bet Jeff Gordon twice by accident instead of just once.

                                    Well... Now I know who I am REALLY rooting for today as he would be my biggest score.
                                    dont feel bad, i usually bet them all severl times...LOL...but on purpose

                                    go GORDON!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • JackalLion
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-29-12
                                      • 228

                                      #298
                                      That totally makes sense..I remember an interview a few years back where the King said that is one of the most important stats in practice..
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 52006

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by JackalLion
                                        That totally makes sense..I remember an interview a few years back where the King said that is one of the most important stats in practice..
                                        thats the ONLY stat i even basicallylook at from practice sessions...really the only meaningful stat from practices (just IMO)..other bettors may find things that help them so not saying that works for everybodu....thats why i dont base 90% of my bets on sessions...i mainly focus on past performance at a track, and also current form...but this early in season really isnt any current form to tell from yet

                                        everybody figures out their own way to handicap nascar though...no right or wrong anwsers
                                        Comment
                                        • MatI
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5200

                                          #300
                                          im late to the party today so no bets for myself, but gl guys, hope you have a winner.
                                          Comment
                                          • yisman
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-01-08
                                            • 75682

                                            #301
                                            sportsline used to do a leaderboard that was nice and simple

                                            no annoying chat or vids like ESPN.

                                            But a few months ago they did away with their NASCAR section and just redirected to NASCAR.com
                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                            [/quote]

                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 52006

                                              #302
                                              well M.Martin isnt losing any speed on the medium long runs, so id say hes got a ricketship no matter what.....

                                              still earlt but id be happy had i bet him
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 52006

                                                #303
                                                KYLE spins and wrecks into the wall
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 52006

                                                  #304
                                                  truex out, kyle no way he can win now (thnk god i didnt have time to bet more on him for a profit winner), and now bowyer with problems on pit road

                                                  lot of action early
                                                  Comment
                                                  • yisman
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-01-08
                                                    • 75682

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                    KYLE spins and wrecks into the wall
                                                    Too easy
                                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                    [/quote]

                                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52006

                                                      #306
                                                      well that caution and pit stops sure did shake some things up
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 52006

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by yisman
                                                        i changed him out this morning when i saw he was having to start in the back (engine change) or i would have had him too
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52006

                                                          #308
                                                          there goes mark martin chances to WIN today

                                                          flat tire?

                                                          dont think its worse than that
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 52006

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                            there goes mark martin chances to WIN today

                                                            flat tire?

                                                            dont think its worse than that
                                                            think hes fine now
                                                            Comment
                                                            • yisman
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-01-08
                                                              • 75682

                                                              #310
                                                              Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                              i changed him out this morning when i saw he was having to start in the back (engine change) or i would have had him too
                                                              odd for someone starting at back to be co-fave
                                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                              [/quote]

                                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 52006

                                                                #311
                                                                Originally posted by yisman
                                                                odd for someone starting at back to be co-fave
                                                                books never adjust to that for whatever reason....

                                                                some tracks its not a big deal, but any non-plate track any driver shouldnt be close to a fav starting at the rear of any field imo
                                                                Comment
                                                                • yisman
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                                  • 75682

                                                                  #312
                                                                  mike sometimes the odds get adjusted a lot depending on where a driver is starting, no? polesitter has inflated odds, and they usually penalize for starting at rear, I don't remember seeing this last year (rear driver so high on board)
                                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                  [/quote]

                                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • yisman
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-01-08
                                                                    • 75682

                                                                    #313
                                                                    I found ole Candy Ass at +700 at a book so I bet 50 on that bum

                                                                    -50 bucks is a good raceday for me
                                                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                    [/quote]

                                                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shaunovery
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                                      • 18143

                                                                      #314
                                                                      looks open at the minute anyone can win this although kasey has a fast car but very poor on the restarts
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Optional
                                                                        Administrator
                                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                                        • 61521

                                                                        #315
                                                                        yellow in adbreak again
                                                                        .
                                                                        Comment
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