Rugby and league 2011

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  • rjc
    SBR MVP
    • 06-06-10
    • 1016

    #736
    Who do you like in the Hull game moneytree?
    Comment
    • TheMoneyTree
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-06-10
      • 556

      #737
      Originally posted by rjc
      Who do you like in the Hull game moneytree?
      I'll have to see the Line-ups first mate Hull FC have Lee Radford ruled out and injury doubts over Cameron Phelps & Joe Westerman but St Helens have a massive injury crisis with Paul Wellens, Leon Pryce, Lee Gaskell, Jonny Lomax, Scott Moore, Chris Flannery and Paul Clough all ruled out but Josh Perry could return. St Helens beat Castleford 22-20 last time out who have since gone onto to lose to Leeds 6-48 whereas Hull FC beat Warrington 10-24 who went onto beat Bradford 14-58 yesterday, With all the injury issues and even players in the squad apparently carrying injuries for St Helens against an in form fit Hull FC team that beat St Helens twice last year i'd have to lean Hull FC +4 but i think the outright win @ 2.25 looks good, I might wait to bet In-Play.
      Comment
      • rjc
        SBR MVP
        • 06-06-10
        • 1016

        #738
        Thanks mate. I will just sprinkle a little bit on the ML for kicks.
        Comment
        • Duff85
          SBR MVP
          • 06-15-10
          • 2920

          #739
          Thanks for the kind words rjc.

          That Hull game looks tricky. If I could get Hull+4 i'd take it... but I am also holding out to get a clearer idea. Might be a no play.
          Comment
          • TheMoneyTree
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-06-10
            • 556

            #740
            Well the Hull FC +4 lean came good and really unlucky with the ML, Hull FC were leading 18-0 & 18-4 at Half-Time then St Helens went in front 18-22 for Hull FC to then go back into the lead 24-22 and finally St Helens to IMO controversially be awarded a penalty to equal the scores to 24-24 and that's how it ended after missed Drop-Goal attempt from both teams.
            Comment
            • rjc
              SBR MVP
              • 06-06-10
              • 1016

              #741
              I should have taken the start, but I'll take a push any day.
              Comment
              • Beniphone
                SBR MVP
                • 02-10-11
                • 1391

                #742
                Kiwis +12.5

                2 converted tries point start? That's pretty dam playable for a Anzac test, especially when they are bringing the ozzy floods and chch earthquakes in as a reason to play hard.

                Alot of people being named have me thinking wtf tho, on both sides.
                Comment
                • TheMoneyTree
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-06-10
                  • 556

                  #743
                  Any BIG Super 15 tips Beniphone?, These are the UK's best lines:

                  Hurricanes +6 vs -4 Blues
                  Rebels +15 vs -13 Reds
                  Lions +2 vs 0 Cheetahs
                  Chiefs 0 vs +2 Highlanders
                  Waratahs -6 vs +9 Force
                  Stormers -1 vs +3 Crusaders
                  Sharks -12 vs +13 Brumbies
                  Comment
                  • Beniphone
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-10-11
                    • 1391

                    #744
                    This week looks pretty average, the rep games in the nrl are going to mix teams up abit, nothing really sticks out alot in the s15. Trying to get stats of teams and totals is fricken frustrating on an iPhone also lol, Ah well last week and I'm home.

                    If they give a weak total in the canes/blues game I'll go for the over. Waratahs/force loves to stay under. I don't think I'll be able to keep away from the crusaders at that price either. No strong leans tho
                    Comment
                    • Beniphone
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-10-11
                      • 1391

                      #745
                      You got anything lined up yet?
                      Comment
                      • nzwarrior
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 162

                        #746
                        Not sure about that kiwis +12.5 beni we always get smashed in these one off games, maybe if you think we can keep it close aus 1-12 would be better value coz i think only some crazy benji magic wins us this game. Myself ill be watching not betting, cant fade the kiwis but i dont think we can pull this one out...


                        Also for the super 15 i think the blues and tahs should be able to tame the canes and force, at least ML, Multi with these two on the ML should be safe.

                        There will probably be some good odds on offer in the NRL this week, bookies always get mixed up when players are out for rep dutys, if you can take some time at look at the matchups theres often money to be made on these weeks. I wont have time to look/post any NRL plays this week, too busy packing and then im off to europe (how have you stayed online over there beni? are there wifi hotspots where you can use your phone? or do you use internet cafes?)
                        Comment
                        • TheMoneyTree
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-06-10
                          • 556

                          #747
                          Originally posted by Beniphone
                          You got anything lined up yet?
                          For Super15 no mate i normally rely on you
                          I quite like Melbourne Storm -6 but undecided if i'll play or not.
                          Comment
                          • Beniphone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-10-11
                            • 1391

                            #748
                            Originally posted by nzwarrior

                            There will probably be some good odds on offer in the NRL this week, bookies always get mixed up when players are out for rep dutys, if you can take some time at look at the matchups theres often money to be made on these weeks. I wont have time to look/post any NRL plays this week, too busy packing and then im off to europe (how have you stayed online over there beni? are there wifi hotspots where you can use your phone? or do you use internet cafes?)
                            Yea the nrl is a week if research and knowledge of under 20's players, I think I heard some teams are going to try players even tho they are playing rep games 1-2 days before, can anyone confirm this? I love the dragons depth in their team.
                            Yea the odd net cafe, most the hotels have had wifi, using 3G at the moment, expensive but this trips all paid for from rugby/league/nfl so not too worried.


                            Canes/Blues over 49.5
                            Somone in wellys just said cloudy with a chance of rain late at night?, nothing special just a feeling it will be high scoring

                            It's always good to fade someone the following week after they hit 100%, tread carefully.
                            Comment
                            • rjc
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-06-10
                              • 1016

                              #749
                              Let's get it Benny!
                              Comment
                              • nzwarrior
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-06-08
                                • 162

                                #750
                                Yea im in wellington, its defintaely gonna rain soon, the blues defense has been pretty solid this year and with the wet weather im not sure about the over. Leaning towards canes + the points in this one but they just too damn unpredictable, they could come out and play like shit probably best for me to keep out of this game
                                Comment
                                • rjc
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-06-10
                                  • 1016

                                  #751
                                  Nice call on NZ Benny, you got lucky on that one.
                                  Comment
                                  • geronimoau
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-10-11
                                    • 31

                                    #752
                                    that was a lucky win for alot of us lol! i got on aus to win betwen 1-12.5. kiwis played terrible in the last 20 minutes, surprised it didnt end up being a 20+ blowout.
                                    Comment
                                    • geronimoau
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-10-11
                                      • 31

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by Beniphone
                                      Yea the nrl is a week if research and knowledge of under 20's players, I think I heard some teams are going to try players even tho they are playing rep games 1-2 days before, can anyone confirm this? I love the dragons depth in their team.

                                      For broncs thaiday and hodges are 100% out becasue of injury concerns. Lockyer and yow yeh are undecided and most likely wont know til tomorrow afternoon. I cant really see yow yeh sitting out though.
                                      All of storms players are expected to back up(7 or 8 players) from rep duties excluding blair who has injury concerns afaik, and tbh the big players such as smith and slater tend to perform just as well after backing up. my moneys on the storm line assuming it stays around 6.But you never know wat the baby bronocs can do.

                                      the titans v warriors game will be interesting, 5 warriors players backing up, 0 titans players backing up. You'd think the warriors would be a solid bet, but theres nothing worse than backing up after loss. Not sure what the pick is here.

                                      I think all of dragons players will be backing up also, their werent any injuries tonight as far as I'm aware. But i believe they have 11 players backing up, so who knows how this will effect them on sunday. dragons are still gonna be tough to beat at home, my only concern is whether it will effect their defense which i believe has been their strong point this season.
                                      Comment
                                      • Beniphone
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-10-11
                                        • 1391

                                        #754
                                        Thanks for the info, gutted I'm missing all these games

                                        Kiwis +12.5 WIN
                                        Blues/canes over 49.5 LOSS

                                        Happy the big bet came thru, canes nowhere near hmm.
                                        Comment
                                        • Beniphone
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-10-11
                                          • 1391

                                          #755
                                          Storm -5.5
                                          Tahs/Force Under 45.6
                                          Crusaders ML


                                          Looks like another wet night in hamilton, when they release the total ill consider the under, Avg is 47
                                          Comment
                                          • geronimoau
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-10-11
                                            • 31

                                            #756
                                            oh god i got on storm at -6. saved by another last min try. rugby league gods with us!
                                            Comment
                                            • rjc
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-06-10
                                              • 1016

                                              #757
                                              SBW what an offload, what a gun!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Beniphone
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-10-11
                                                • 1391

                                                #758
                                                Originally posted by Beniphone
                                                Storm -5.5
                                                Tahs/Force Under 45.6
                                                Crusaders ML


                                                Looks like another wet night in hamilton, when they release the total ill consider the under, Avg is 47
                                                Storm -5.5 WIN
                                                Tahs/force -45.5 WIN
                                                Crusaders ML WIN

                                                Couldn't get on to post it but I ended up taking the chiefs highlanders under


                                                Last play for the week,

                                                Dragons -5.5
                                                Comment
                                                • geronimoau
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-10-11
                                                  • 31

                                                  #759
                                                  Originally posted by Beniphone

                                                  Last play for the week,

                                                  Dragons -5.5
                                                  gl with it, gonna be super tough game for dragons with soward out and players backing up, but kyle stanley is a solid player and is most likely going to fill in for him. I'm on the dragons as well (at -4.5), cowboys have been slipping the last few weeks despite winning them all they're falling back into their old mentality of only playing for 60 minutes. Hoping for dragons to break away late when their backs are at their best.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Beniphone
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-10-11
                                                    • 1391

                                                    #760
                                                    Yea it's a big ask for any team, storm/dragons and crusaders are the only teams I trust in situations like this. Cowboys form will drop off thru out the season.

                                                    Kyle stanly is the most talented person in the nrl to not get game time, twice as good as his brother. shows the depth in the team.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Beniphone
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-10-11
                                                      • 1391

                                                      #761
                                                      Back on nz soil, woo. Havnt slept in 37 hours now, shower then off to the bar for 2nd half of warriors game lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Duff85
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-15-10
                                                        • 2920

                                                        #762
                                                        Wow what a crappy weekend... been so busy that I only got 6 bets off for the weekend - only one of them Rugby related.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Beniphone
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-10-11
                                                          • 1391

                                                          #763
                                                          Dragons -5.5 WIN

                                                          Stanly

                                                          5/6 for the weekend

                                                          Still got the eagles-raid game but it screams stay away to me, eagles will take it at the oval but 9.5 is abit much.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • geronimoau
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-10-11
                                                            • 31

                                                            #764
                                                            Originally posted by Beniphone
                                                            Dragons -5.5 WIN

                                                            Stanly

                                                            5/6 for the weekend

                                                            Still got the eagles-raid game but it screams stay away to me, eagles will take it at the oval but 9.5 is abit much.
                                                            nice win for the dragons! stanley is one of the best youngsters in the nrl. He'd be a starter in most teams. He's been lucky that a few injuries has allowed him to show what hes got.

                                                            As for eagles i think they will take it by over 10 points. Raiders are a disgraceful team this year, i know they're bound to chalk up a win I just dont see it happening at brookvale. brett stewart is looking the goods to play tomorrow as far as im aware as well, hopefully he adds more to their attack. I like them i have the line at -8.5.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Beniphone
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-10-11
                                                              • 1391

                                                              #765
                                                              Wonder who will be meeting the dragons in the final this year, can't see the roosters making a come back. From what I can see storm or a full strength bulldogs/broncos have the only real shots, this weeks bulldogs/dragons will be a good matchup. I still laugh at some bookies giving the rabbits as favs to win it after they signed Greg Inglis
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Meyhem
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-05-10
                                                                • 531

                                                                #766
                                                                My money would be on dragons vs storm finale, Bulldogs are good but pressure games going into the playoffs will send them packing, storm/dragons can deal with the pressure
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TwoWays
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                                  • 13145

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Great stuff, mate. You're putting together a nice streak.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • geronimoau
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-10-11
                                                                    • 31

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by Beniphone
                                                                    Wonder who will be meeting the dragons in the final this year, can't see the roosters making a come back. From what I can see storm or a full strength bulldogs/broncos have the only real shots, this weeks bulldogs/dragons will be a good matchup. I still laugh at some bookies giving the rabbits as favs to win it after they signed Greg Inglis
                                                                    Roosters are done, they aren't a winning side.

                                                                    I don't think storm are playing as well as they were 2 yrs ago, I'm not sure if playing a whole wasted year has effected them but they aren't consistent. Broncos to me have the best shot for taking it to the dragons. But than again we're still only in the first half of the season and we all well know the back end of the season is where it counts.

                                                                    I've been fading the rabbits in any tough games this season, they are well and truly overrated. You might have one of the best centres in the game but when you don't have good ball playing halves he doesn't see enough ball.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Meyhem
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 08-05-10
                                                                      • 531

                                                                      #769
                                                                      I don't see much in tonight's game also, think I'll stay clear.

                                                                      Next weeks line up, Home teams on the left.

                                                                      Friday
                                                                      Highlanders vs Hurricanes
                                                                      Reds vs Blues

                                                                      Bulldogs vs Dragons
                                                                      Panthers vs Broncos

                                                                      Saturday
                                                                      Chiefs vs Stomers
                                                                      Brumbies vs Lions
                                                                      Bulls vs Rebels
                                                                      Cheetahs vs Crusaders

                                                                      Storm vs Raiders
                                                                      Rabbits vs Tigers
                                                                      Cowboys vs Eels

                                                                      Sunday
                                                                      Knights vs Warriors
                                                                      Sharks vs Roosters

                                                                      Monday
                                                                      Titans vs Sea Eagles
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Beniphone
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-10-11
                                                                        • 1391

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                                        Great stuff, mate. You're putting together a nice streak.



                                                                        2009 storm would roll the current team, when Inglis was playing for the storm (before the scandal etc) they would actually use him well + they had other forms of attack, like Billy running off him, I actually thought David Taylor and Inglis next to each other would tear up, I've seen 2 games where they actually worked well together, I guess when the team can't actually keep control of the ball long enough....

                                                                        Can't wait for state of origin, I think the blues will do alot better this year, maroons will take it tho, lockyers last origin, they will send him off in style.
                                                                        Comment
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