Good stuff. How many game days left this season? And what's the usual schedule? Most of the games are european early morning (starting 5-6 hours back until now), on Sunday, aka Sunday afternoon in Australia...yes?
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We have friday night games 1, then few on saturday and few on sunday. I think we got another 8 or so left not including the finals
Where you from?Comment -
Bulldogs are so electric, I can't bet against them until they lose.Comment -
Ukraine
if anyone plays poker, there's a tournament on pokerstars in 8 hours (noon US ET time) with an added NAPT Los Angeles tournament package
basically you pay $1.10 and need to beat five thousand people to get an entry into a live 5k+ event this november... i'll check PMs for nicknames if anyone wants to play it... I'm sponsoring.... the only condition is if you win you buy all the alcohol during the trip (I'm coming regardless)Comment -
Well done Ground, 4/4 today
It pays to keep an eye on these things, inital lines also make me think twice. Also works the other way on the side of 6 points. Been noticing all season a lot of favourites starting at -5.5 either don't cover the line, or lose straight up. Seems a bit of a trap line.Comment -
Yep thats what I realised also bro, them -5.5 is a fraud because makes the better think only one converted try. Usually them teams win by 4 or lose SU.
But -6.5 is such a nice line to take you will go at least 70% taking itComment -
Yep completely agree. Knights were my only bet today (feeling sheepish after getting bent over by Manly last night), and to me the game looked like it could have been another upset, but the +6.5 line made me take the knights. I didn't check the forum during the day, but i wish i did and tailed you on all your plays today.
Apart from the lines, do you stay away or side with some teams on certain games because of the refereeing?Comment -
I am not sure i understand you but with refereeing I realised Hawthorn Lance Franklin and Roughead ALWAYS get free kicks, I don't know why but they just do.
Always getting little dodgy calls.
One reason I feel like I am good with NRL is that I have been watching it since the early 1990's when I was like 5 years old, I just watched it for no reason, like wasn't it called the Winfield Cup?? LOL. I rememeber I use to love Mal Meninga and Mullens from Canberra. I use to watch every game every week in the early 2000's, no reason at all just enjoyed it and I never had a dollar on them games either.
What you like for tomorrow's game?Comment -
With you on the Raiders, I loved them as a kid. First game I ever went to was the 1990 Grand Final. I'm not into Afl as much as league though.
With the refereeing I meant more with league games.For instance, Friday nights game Tigers/Titans, in my mind titans are a 10+ point better team with Prince, and I was going to bet on this game but didn't because I've noticed some teams this season often getting a good flow of questionable penalties, 50/50 calls going their way. Tigers are one of those teams, and that game to me looked like it was completely one sided, as if the refs (or NRL for that matter) were trying to give Tigers the win. State of origin is another example (game 3) where NSW got a lot of questionable penalties once they fell behind, as if they were trying to make a game of it (and I say this as a new south welshman). Anyway its just something i tend to consider when capping a game, and thats why i stay away from a lot of potentially close games, or try to stay on the team(s) that seem to get the favour of the officials.
Monday's game I won't be betting on, but I'd side with parra (line -6.5 suggests parra) as much as I don't rate them this year. Cowboys have such a decent team on paper, but they just can't get their shit together this year either. Wouldn't be surprised to see cowboys win it, but siding with parra.Comment -
I only got into AFL because of betting to be honest. I only knew the swans team a bit and didn't even know who Abblett or Franklin was before this year.
You up for world cup soccer like me ?
Ye I get ya, I haven't watched enough NRL this season to be able to realise that stuff. But I did realise the New South Wales thing, I probably won't bet it either, but want to bet it because of the line. Just scares me that Cowboys are the worst team ATS in the league like 3-12 or something close that.
Making me think surely they have to cover someday....
I made a bet for over 7 if it goes to penalty shootouts. Lets see.Comment -
Loved the bulldogs call. I smashed it as well. During that game, i also noticed a trend that i've seen a bit lately.
during the 2nd quarter when about 4 goals were kicked in 5 minutes, the line flew up to about 220 w/ only about 75 points scored. I had a big bet on the under then - i didn't think the game was ever continuing at that rate.
same thing happened in the Sydney game... got it at 179.5 in play after a scoring run. ended up a total of 140.
i'll be following this.... but i think the line shoots up too quickly and there may be an edge here. what do the rest of us think?Comment -
Parramatta -6.5?Comment -
Parra need to win to remain a finals contender. NQ are one of the worst teams in the comp. Thurston has lost his last 8 or 9 games playing for NQ. If Parra they can't win at home they're ******. I think they are pretty much a lock at the ML. If it is not raining I am reasonably confident and the -6 is appealing.Comment -
I think Parra -6.5 is a good bet. Parra have failed at the line in the last 3 so look for them to cover this oneComment -
And I can't disagree enough with this rubbish about the spread (-5.5 or -6.5). There are no trap lines. The spread is pretty much a reflection of the ML. This is not American where all the action is booked on the spread. You are giving these books waaaaaaaaaaaay too much credit. You have identified a trend that will turn around. It is meaningless.Comment -
Maybe so, but its something has has turned out to occur too many times to ignore this season.
Either way whether it is a line to draw money one way or the other for a game, or is just pure coincidence, I got to agree with Ground thats there is a definate trend with this so far.Comment -
under 39.5. both teams are rubbish.Comment -
i like the under allso
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Cowboys @ Eels (-6.5)
Fade the trend Gonzo, -6.5 trend has being going way to long for me to fade it.Comment -
cowboys in a boil over, surely they cant keep losing...can they?Comment -
Ye i am betting based on the line win or lose, don't care.Comment -
Monday night and i need action. eels is sh*t. Cowgirls suck like a whore.
eels -6.5 it is....Comment -
The top guy on the panel is 7/16 below 50%, that is why I say fade the panel.
Hope there on Cowboys tonight.Comment -
Fvck Parramatta 5-3 with the panel. I am scared now.Comment -
Have the Eels ML. A little nervous as you never know which parra side shows upComment -
C'mon eels.........can't believe im sayin this
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Loving the under. They are both so crap, especially parra within the opposition 20.Comment -
Parramatta was robbed, that was so forward. Referee is so damn dumb.Comment -
just got excited about the cowgirls scoring and the spastics gift parra an easy one. That being said, Robson has probably been their bestComment -
Whitedog whats your bet?
Gee you probably got that.Comment -
About time Hayne did something this season.Comment -
Haynes!!!!!Comment
