Tennis Bettors: I feel Moya will give Djokovic hell tonight

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  • gridironguy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-17-07
    • 575

    #1
    Tennis Bettors: I feel Moya will give Djokovic hell tonight
    The dude is 31 yrs old but he is playing very well this yr, reaching the Quarters at The French and then again here at Flushing Meadow..

    I follow tennis but don't bet it much, so I'm looking to see how you guys would play it.

    +350 or so on the ML, but I don't believe Moya will win, just that he will extend the match to 4 or 5 sets, so that's probably not a strong bet.

    How about O/U games at 37?

    What is the + or -5.5 wager? Is that the number of total games that your guy needs to win or lose by?
  • tribet
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-12-06
    • 171

    #2
    +/- 5.5 is the total games won hcp,Betfair have Moya +4.5 @ 2.44 which I think is way long unless Djokovic has injury problems.
    Comment
    • pico
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-05-07
      • 27321

      #3
      i'll bet on the russian over the old spanard
      Comment
      • tribet
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-12-06
        • 171

        #4
        Which Russian is that?
        Comment
        • gridironguy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-17-07
          • 575

          #5
          Originally posted by picoman
          i'll bet on the russian over the old spanard
          He's actually Serbian, and he's a 4 to 1 favorite. He's the #3 seed, while Moya is the #17 seed, so obviously Novak D is a big fav.

          My query is not about who will win, we already know who will likely win. The query was to find betting value.
          Comment
          • WestsidePete
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-19-07
            • 8049

            #6
            wrong match...Davydenko's the russian left in the field and plays federer tomorrow...Moya is better on clay..has been great here but this is not his best surface to play on and is a lot older then Djokovic.
            Comment
            • pico
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-05-07
              • 27321

              #7
              Originally posted by tribet
              Which Russian is that?
              all the slavics looks the same to me
              Comment
              • gridironguy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-17-07
                • 575

                #8
                Agreed Westside. Djokovic will probably win but laying 4 to 1 chalk is not my cup of tea.

                I think Moya extends him to 4 sets, and over 37 games.
                Comment
                • tribet
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-12-06
                  • 171

                  #9
                  Originally posted by gridironguy
                  He's actually Serbian, and he's a 4 to 1 favorite. He's the #3 seed, while Moya is the #17 seed, so obviously Novak D is a big fav.

                  My query is not about who will win, we already know who will likely win. The query was to find betting value.

                  Best value is to lump on Djoko.
                  Comment
                  • Wheell
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-11-07
                    • 1380

                    #10
                    Djokovich in straight sets. There is a sizable talent disparity.
                    Comment
                    • gridironguy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 04-17-07
                      • 575

                      #11
                      Wheel, no doubt that Djokovic is the more talented player, not to mention much younger.. however, you have to admit that Moya has been playing some fine tennis this year and that alone makes him a good candidate to at least steal a set here, no?

                      Djokovic has shown some chinks in his armor this tournament
                      Comment
                      • pico
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-05-07
                        • 27321

                        #12
                        Originally posted by gridironguy
                        Wheel, no doubt that Djokovic is the more talented player, not to mention much younger.. however, you have to admit that Moya has been playing some fine tennis this year and that alone makes him a good candidate to at least steal a set here, no?

                        Djokovic has shown some chinks in his armor this tournament
                        looks like straight sets.
                        Comment
                        • gridironguy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-17-07
                          • 575

                          #13
                          Originally posted by picoman
                          looks like straight sets.
                          Yup. Tie-breaker in the 2nd did it.

                          But, I'm not giving up until it's over. Moya is pretty fit for a 31 yr old, so while it looks bleak for a 4th set, you never know until it's over.
                          Comment
                          • gridironguy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-17-07
                            • 575

                            #14
                            Okay then, bring on the semis
                            Comment
                            • pico
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-05-07
                              • 27321

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gridironguy
                              Okay then, bring on the semis
                              moya sucks. i was thinking like you during the earlier tournaments...lost a shitload on moya...he was heavy chalk too
                              Comment
                              • cartay
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-29-07
                                • 151

                                #16
                                After watching the high level of tennis between Federer and Roddick last night, these guys put on a pretty disappointing show. Djokovic will have to reach back a little if he wants to compete with Federer (and he's proven he can).
                                Comment
                                • pico
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-05-07
                                  • 27321

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by cartay
                                  After watching the high level of tennis between Federer and Roddick last night, these guys put on a pretty disappointing show. Djokovic will have to reach back a little if he wants to compete with Federer (and he's proven he can).
                                  the serb will get killed by federer. 3-0, maybe 3-1 if he really tries
                                  Comment
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