Super work mate. Your hard work finally getting some recognition!
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I'm going to start by saying that hope you jumped on early cause the mariners have been crunched into as short as $1.57 at bet365, the main reason for this is injuries to key personal to the Adelaide squad. Its hard for be specific as there is not a lot of details I can find but from what I have heard is that Adelaide's pre season is under some cloud due to several players suffering soft tissue injuries, Adelaide United boss Josep Gombau believes that this is due to the long pre season but from what was mentioned last night on fox football is that Josep has brought his own fitness guys to the club and some of the running training that was implemented might be the reason to there injuries. They will be missing the main striker Jeronimo Neumann who has scored 3 goals in there opening 2 games, they will also be without Marcelo Carrusca, Cassio and Bruce Djite.
I don't see how Adelaide can score goals today away from home and against the reining champs who they have lost to for 8 consecutive games. Central Coast have only managed to get a 1pt from each of there opening 2 games and I put them in the same category as the victory last night, a quality side who not had the start they would liked and are in a good position to get there first win, they are a clear contender for the title and I personally don't see them not winning 1 of there opening 3 games
Rolling for 3*Comment -
Oz, were have you seen that Jeronimo is out? I am under the impression he is starting.Comment -
Just found it on the twitter. Thanks for the heads up Oz, wouldnt have noticed that otherwise.Comment -
Yeh mate he has done an abductorComment -
Saturday Soccer Bets
English Championship
Reading vs Millwall - Reading ML 2*
Reading are unbeaten this season at home and they possess a home record of 4-2-0 with 12 goals scored and only conceding 5.
Millwall have struggled away from home this season, there record stands at 1-2-3 with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded.
Millwall avg 2.5 goals conceded per match away from home and they come up against a real contender in the championship in Reading who avg 2 goals a game at home.
Reading have to much fire power here against a lowly team who leak goals on there travels
Blackpool vs Blackburn - First team to score Blackpool 1.5*
Blackpool have been very good to me lately with this market, they have been the first team to score in 10/12 matches overall, the games they didn't score first were 0-0 draws. At home they have scored first in 5 out of there 6 games.. Hard not to keep rolling with them?
Blackburn have conceded the first goal in 7 out of there 12 matches overall and 4 out of there 6 away games
My advice to anyone that tails this play is to put a small wager to cover your stake on the No goals to be scored market which is $9 at bet365. As an example if you put $10 on Blackpool to score 1st put $1.10 on no goals to be scored so if the game ends 0-0 at least you get your money back.
Note: 2 out of the last 3 Blackpool games have ended 0-0
Derby vs Birmingham City - Derby 1*
How can you not take Derby in this position? Birmingham suck at the moment they have suffered 5 straight defeats on there travels with there only other away game being a win against lowly Yeovil back at the start of August.
Since Derby changed managers nearly a month ago they have taken 7pts from 9 available and I believe they can keep rolling and try and push themselves into a playoff position.
Yeovil vs Nottingham Forest - Nottingham Forest ML 1*
Yeovil have really struggled to adapt to life in the championship after being promoted from league 1 last season. They have a woeful overall record with 1-3-8 with 6 goals scored and 18 conceded. Home form is crucial when you are trying to avoid relegation in any competition and for Yeovil there home form has been less then then impressive with a record of 0-1-5 with 1 goal scored and 7 conceded
Nottingham Forrest sit 4th in the championship with only 1 loss for the season. Forrest have scored in every game they have played this season and that has to be a concern for Yeovil who have gone onto lose every game at home when conceding first.
English Premier League
Southampton vs Fulham - Under 2.5 match goals 1*
Simple, Southampton have not played in a premier league game this season that has featured more then 3 goals and they possess 1 of the best defensive records with only conceding 3 goals for season thus far.
Fulham had only scored 1 goal on there travels prior to there 4-1 thrashing of crystal Palace who leak goals like a champ, before that game they had not played in an away game that had featured 3 or more goals
$2.00 for under 2.5 goals is overs for mine and worth 1*
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal - Arsenal -1.5 1.5*
Not a lot to say here but Arsenal will be very keen to bounce back after a disappointing loss midweek to Dortmund in the champions league and they will also want to retain top spot with tough games in the premiership ahead.
Palace are in disarray at the moment with the club and the manager parting ways after the 4-1 loss to Fulham on Monday night.
Palace have only managed 1 win this year losing every other game.
May have some more plays laterComment -
Adding
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen -1 1*
Christiano Ronaldo to score any time 1* $2.37
Parlay
Arsenal ML
Bayer Leverkusen ML
$2.09 2*Comment -
love your work man, i really appreciate aussies sharing tips about sports outside australia/nz. keep it up and good luck !!
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adding some more plays
Hannover 96 vs Hoffenheim - Hannover ML 1.5*
Parlay
Marseille vs Reims under 3.5 match goals
Malaga vs Celta Vigo under 3.5 match goals
Arsenal ML
$2.16 2*
Comment -
Reading vs Millwall - Reading ML 2* LOSS
Reading concede a penalty to a 10 men millwall in the 92nd minute unlucky?
Blackpool vs Blackburn - First team to score Blackpool 1.5* WIN
Love this bet week in week out and will continue to take it
Derby vs Birmingham City - Derby 1* LOSS
Derby just not good enough
Yeovil vs Nottingham Forest - Nottingham Forest ML 1* LOSS
No excuses here Forest were poor and allowed Yeovil there first home win of the season, goes to show the unpredictability of the championship
Southampton vs Fulham - Under 2.5 match goals 1* WIN
Really liked this play and a bit disappointed I didn't have at least another unit on as all stats CLEARLY pointed to the under
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal - Arsenal -1.5 1.5* WIN
Probably got lucky here as Arsenal went down to 10 men but quality prevailed?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen -1 1* PUSH
Christiano Ronaldo to score any time 1* $2.37 LOSS
This was a market that had to be taken in my opinion, he had scored in there last 6 El classcios at the nou camp and $2.37 is overs
Arsenal ML
Bayer Leverkusen ML WIN
$2.09 2*
Hannover 96 vs Hoffenheim - Hannover ML 1.5* LOSS
Hannover go down to 10 men inside the first 10 minutes... No channce
Parlay
Marseille vs Reims under 3.5 match goals
Malaga vs Celta Vigo under 3.5 match goals LOSS
Arsenal ML
$2.16 2*
Last nights games
4-6-1 -2.49 units
Overall record
26-15-1 +17.72
Dissappointing night in the end and there is no excuses for a negative resukt but i plan on getting back to winning ways asap. I opened this thread exactly 7 days ago and if you said to me would you take being up +17 units after a week i wouldnt even hesitate with a answer
Plays for tonight will be up laterComment -
Got a big play lined up for tonight gents just trying to get a little more info on team news will post soonComment -
Play 1 for super sunday
Parlay
Tottenham ML
Juventus ML
$1.72 (centrebet) 4*
I don't think I could be confident on a play then these 2 tonight.
No time for a write up sorry working on other playsComment -
Tailing for 4 units, let's hope there's no repeat of last week from Juventus!Comment -
Adding
Parma vs AC Milan - over 2.5 goals 1*
75% of Parma's home games go over 2.5 goals, 100% of AC Milans away games go over 2.5
Chelsea vs Manchester City - Under 2.5 goals 1*
I'm basing this pick more on knowledge then stats, yes I know that City like to leak goals away from home but this is a huge game and neither team is going to want to lose this. I think both teams will sit deep and with the way
Mourinho likes to play he's happy to make this an ugly game similar to the 0-0 result against Manchester United earlier in the season.Comment -
Value Parlay
Napoli ML
Catania ML
Fiorentina ML
Parma, AC Milan BTTS
Roma draw no bet
$15.73 0.25*Comment -
Parlay
Tottenham ML WIN
Juventus ML
$1.72 (centrebet) 4*
Parma vs AC Milan - over 2.5 goals 1* WIN
Chelsea vs Manchester City - Under 2.5 goals 1* LOSS
please tell me some1 else saw what joe hart did in the last minute to cost us this bet?
Napoli ML
Catania ML
Fiorentina ML
Parma, AC Milan BTTS LOSS
Roma draw no bet
This would have been a nice collect just missing out on Catania as they drew 0-0
last nights record
2-2 +2.18units
Overall record
28-17-1 +19.9 units
I vowed to get back to winning ways and we did.
I have a nice play for the capital cup that I will post later tonight as we need to get in early as odds will shorten but I will post laterComment -
Id love to get everyone's opinion on Joe Hart?
What has happened to this man, in my opinion 18 or so months ago I rated him as a top 5 goalkeeper in the world and now he just has no confidence, hes been caught in no mans land multiple times this season and would be the soul reason why Manchester City have dropped many points.
I truly believe he is under pressure right now to keep his spot in the starting 11 at Manchester City and with Brazil just around the corner there would be some serious doubt about him retaining the number 1 spot for England.Comment -
nice record might have to start tailingComment -
It's funny how in the Sub-forums people are mainly out to learn/share plays/help each other out, etc (particularly more sports, MMA, tennis and NASCAR) however if you spend too much time in PT - it's just a fukcing jungle over there where most are simply looking to bury others...Comment -
Great work and picked up a couple of units on your play. Thanks for the plays. Keep it chilled in here is the best way brother.Comment -
the less mainstream (from the standpoint of a USA-resident pimply-faced teenager) the betting market is...the more civilized and helpful the posts become...
this is why--next to PT (=ABC=Adolescent-Brain-Central)--the most-annoying/lowest-IQ places on here currently are, in general, those earmarked for NBA and NFL "discussion"...even MMA--once an intelligent place--is increasingly beset by pedantic dick-wagging, so i now read but never post over there
civilized adults are wise to confine their posts dealing with all sports (including mainstream sports that technically belong elsewhere) to rooms such as this where the kiddies seldom go...Comment -
Capital One Cup
Arsenal Vs Chelsea - Chelsea Asian handicap 0 1.5*
It has been well documented that both sides will stringing the changes for this clash. Chelsea have a clear advantage over the gunners when it comes to depth between the two squads.
Being a massive Arsenal fan and knowing how Arsene Wenger likes to treat these games I have no doubt that he will be resting key players for this match, and for me this puts Chelsea in the box seat as Arsenal lack depth with still quite a few injurys to key players.
From what I am reading the likes of Mata, E'to, and Luiz will be in the starting 11 for Chelsea and i believe there "2nd string squad" that they will play tomorrow will be enough quality to trouble any team whether its the League Cup or not.
Arsenal haven't won any silverware for near on a decade and as it is important for the supporters to demand success Arsene Wenger will know that there is more important things ahead such as game against Liverpool, Bourissia Dortmund (away) and Manchester United (away) all within the space of 11 days.
I'm pretty confident the side Arsenal put up will be significantly weaker then there opponents and I want a piece of the odds that are currently available. Id be surprised once the teams sheets are released that Chelsea are not favourites and the only way we can lose this bet if the Gunners manage to get the win in regular timeComment -
Adding
Celta Vigo vs FC Barcelona - Barcelona -1.5 2*Comment -
love the chelsea play but iam kinda scared about barcelona play. Celta vigo won a 5-0 game away. Even if their opponents that game was lowly ranked that was very strong performance. Barcelona managed to somehow draw in their last away game against 2nd lowest ranked osauana. Maybe they rested players if i missed that?
also' i like stoke to win against birmingham. Stoke take these games srsly and they play their full strength squad. Their last game against Man U in EPL they lead for the most of the game until individual brilliance crushed them. Birmingham are coming 3rd last in their league. Stoke should get the win here. thoughts?Comment -
Firstly, Celta did have a good win on the weekend but Malaga are really struggling at the moment and they had it coming, also Celta had lost 4 out of there last 5 in the la liga and were on the bounce. 1 thing that I have realized with football is that when teams are on a bad run they usually put in a performance that will surprise you to get the pressure off not unless your a crap team eg: Crystal Palace
Ill give you and example. this morning Getafe hosted Athletic Bilbao, Getafe had won 4 in a row prior to this morning's game and Athletic Bilbao had lost 3 in a row on the road, everything trend wise was pointing to a home win and based on form, but with trends in football such as long losing streaks or not scoring for multiple games in a row those trends get broken more often then not and in my opinion if you have lost 4 in a row or 5 in a row I believe the longer the streak continues the more chance you are of winning then losing. and eventually that trend has to be broken. Atheltic bilbao are not a Crystal Palace they are half decent side that's not going to go on a 4 or 5 losing streak away from home. Its all about postion?
Next point, we are talking about a top 3 team in Europe In Barcelona, they have Athletico Madrid breathing down there necks in the standings and with Celta winning 5-0 on the weekend Barcelona now know they need to take this game more seriously then before..... Position and mindset!
Messi did not play in that 0-0 draw as he was injured, he didn't score on the weekend and 1 thing I can tell you is that he does not stay quiet 2 games in a row, ill be surprised if he doesn't score at a bare minimum and he is very capable of scoring a double if not more. Celta Vigo are a team that will be fighting to stay in the la liga in my opnion and I see the reigning champs winning this 3-1 or 4-1
Onto Stoke, teams like Stoke and West Ham who are playing away to teams in lower divisions are 50/50 games, these lower ranked teams thrive off playing premier league teams in these competitions there all about the upsets and I am expecting Birmingham to throw everything at them tomorrow.
My advice to you would be don't go placing any wager on these mediocre premier league teams without seeing the teams sheets, Stoke's main focus is to survive in the premier league and they wont be risking any players that they don't need to in the lowest competition in England such as the League Cup. These premier league sides tend to take it more seriously when they get to the quarter finals or the semis. Don't get me wrong Stoke should be winning and probably will win but there is a lot of upsets in this competition as its no FA Cup and the upsets usually happen more often then not with the smaller premier league sides
Good Luck my manComment -
Might be adding another playComment -
Live bet
stoke -0.5, -1.0 Asian handicap 1.5*
Birmingham just recied a red card before the break and are down to 10 menComment
