Great stuff. I saw that your wingard bet had already moved the market a lot, particularly with luxbet, so the value is gone, but that was fantastic value to find
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Yep. Unfortunately the odds move very quickly on Luxbet.
I've needed three accounts over the past twelve months. They just keep getting capped.
Usually my bets are restricted to $50 and the odds move plenty when they are only partially accepted. Whether you think it's right or wrong, it's business and their terms and conditions state they reserve the right to cancel/decline/partially accept bets. I wouldn't say they're my favourite book, but I do use them to take advantage of these types of middling opportunities.Comment -
I'm the same with luxbet mate, if I go to put a 100$ on a prop bet they usually only except $50 and then the line moves...
Do u just open another account under somebody else name?Comment -
$90 on Carlton @ $3.15 w Sportsbet ($283.50 return)
$100 on Sydney @ $1.38 w Centrebet ($138 return)
$50 on Sydney @ $1.37 w Bookmaker and $50 on Sydney @ $1.37 w Ladbrokes ($137 return)
$290 spent
If Sydney wins by more than 18 pts = $15 loss
If Sydney wins by 1-18 points = $75 profit
If Carlton wins by more than 20 pts and are leading at Half Time = $6.50 loss
If Carlton wins by more than 20 pts and are trailing at Half Time = $93.50 profit
If Carlton wins by 1-20 pts and are leading at Half Time = $93.50 profit
If Carlton wins by 1-20 pts and are trailing at Half Time = $193.50 profit
$90.90 on Cowboys at $2.10 w Sportsbet ($190.90 return)
$60 on Sharks at $1.77 w Centrebet ($106.20 return)
$50 on Sharks at $1.77 w Bookmaker ($88.50 return)
If Cowboys win and are leading at HT and Sharks don't score 3+ tries = $10 loss
If Cowboys win and are trailing at HT and Sharks don't score 3+ tries = $50 profit
If Cowboys win and are leading at HT and Sharks score 3+ tries = $40 profit
If Cowboys win and are trailing at HT and Sharks score 3+ tries = $100 profit
If Sharks win by more than ten points = $6.20 loss
If Sharks win by 1-10 points = $84.70 profitComment -
$76.92 Manly win @ $2.30 w Sportsbet (return $176.92)
$53 on Sydney @ $1.67 w Centrebet, $50 on Sydney @ $1.67 w Ladbrokes, $5 on Sydney @ $1.67 w Bookmaker ($180.36 return)
$184.92 spent
If Eagles win and are leading at HT and Roosters don't score 3+ tries = $8 loss
If Eagles win and are trailing at HT and Sharks don't score 3+ tries = $45 profit
If Eagles win and are leading at HT and Sharks score 3+ tries = $47 profit
If Eagles win and are trailing at HT and Sharks score 3+ tries = $100 profit
If Roosters win by more than ten points = $4.56 loss
If Roosters win by 1-10 points = $72.36 profitComment -
A few NFL middles for today.
Carson Palmer Passing YardsPick: Under 240.5 and Over 215.5
Agencies: Sportsbet and Centrebet
Odds: $1.88 and $1.95
Stake: 4 and 4
Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards
Pick: Over 255.5 and Under 277.5
Agencies: Centrebet and Sportsbet
Odds: $1.87 and $1.88
Stake: 3 and 3
Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Pick: Over 197.5 and Under 215.5
Agencies: Sportsbet and Centrebet
Odds: $1.88 and $2.10
Stake: 4 and 3.6
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Pick: Under 289.5 and Over 265.5
Agencies: Sportsbet and Centrebet
Odds: $1.88 and $1.91
Stake: 4 and 4Comment -
How did you goComment -
Big Ben hit, so I won around five units overall.Comment -
NFL Middle:
Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Under 48.5 @ $1.86 w Bet365
Over 35.5 @ $1.87 w LuxbetComment -
NBA Season Middles.
Denver Total wins
Under 47.5 @ $1.90 w TAB
Over 45.5 @ $1.98 w Topsport
Milwaukee Total wins
Under 30.5 @ $2 w TAB
Over 28.5 @ $1.85 w Topsport
Phoenix Total wins
Under 21.5 @ $1.85 w TAB (this was $2.05 but market was suspended)
Over 19.5 @ $2.20 w Centrebet
LA Clippers Total wins
Under 57.5 @ $2.15 w TAB
Over 57.0 @ $1.93 w Betstar
Orlando Total wins
Over 24.0 @ $2.05 w Betstar
Under 24.5 @ $2.00 w TABComment -
One that I have spotted
Derrick Rose Total Points vs Miami
Over 22.5 $1.91 Centrebet
Under 24.5 $1.97 Sportsbet
He hits 23,24 roughly once every 10 gamesComment -
Middleman. Not sure about the last two bets only .5 between each selection. Tab seemed to have a few games that were 2games out to sportsbet.Comment -
Fair point, Aussie.
Brook Lopez under 19.5 @ $2.05 with Luxbet
Brook Lopez over 17.5 points @ $1.83 with Bet365Comment -
Hey guys not really my kind of betting but I enjoy the thread and possible opportunity. Will let you know if I see any plays.Comment -
Arron Afflalo NO vs Orlando
U18.5 1.87 Sports Bet
O16.5 1.9 Tab
Not that good but should still be profitable
Evan Turner Philly vs Washington
U18.5 1.87 Sportsbet
O13.5 1.9 Tab
He hits this roughly 20% of the time, big play.
Looks like TAB has limited me after 2 days. I can't even get on the Evan Turner bet.Comment -
One more decent one to come
Jeff Green U21.5 1.87 Sportsbet
O17.5 1.9 TABComment -
Here are some NFL player performance middles I've found for this early morning action. I have done past stats checks on all the players and these were the most profitable plays I could find. I'm not hugely experienced with this betting so I wanted to make sure I had a large edge before proceeding.
I have played the Charles, Romo, Witten, Colstan and Brady plays for a little less than the others.
Kansas City vs Buffalo
Alex Smith passing Loss
U240.5 yards $1.88 Betstar
O222.5 yards $1.87 Centrebet
Jamal Charles rushing Loss (2 yards over)
U88.5 yards $1.87 Centrebet
O81.5 yards $1.87 Sportsbet
Dallas vs Minnesota
Tony Romo passing Loss
U305.5 yards $1.87 Centrebet
O277.5 yards $1.85 Betstar
Jason Witten receiving Loss
U73.5 yards $1.87 Sportsbet
O58.5 yards $1.8 Bet365
New Orleans vs NYJ
Geno Smith passing LossU245.5 yards $1.87 Sportsbet
O218.5 yards $1.87 Centrebet
Marques Colstan receiving did not play
U70.5 yards $1.80 Sportsbet
O55.5 yards $1.9 bet365
Philadelphia vs Oakland
Terrelle Pryor passing LossU226.5 yards $1.87 Sportsbet
O208.5 yards $1.88 betstar
Tampa Bay vs Seattle
Russell Wilson passing WINNER!!
U225.5 yards $1.87 Centrebet
O203.5 yards $1.87 Sportsbet
New England vs Pittsburgh
Tom Brady passing LossU265.6 $1.87 Centrebet
O240.5 $1.83 Bet365
Lets win some cashLast edited by micase; 11-03-13, 07:28 PM.Comment -
Atlanta vs LA Lakers
Al Horford Points
U18.5 $1.85 TAB
O15.5 $1.77 Sportsbet
He hits 16,17,18 at around a 20% clip.
Adding
Nick Young Points
U12.5 $1.87 Sportsbet
O11.5 $2.20 Bet365
Guarenteed return of 1% of your optimal stake + the 12 point middle.Last edited by micase; 11-03-13, 09:11 PM.Comment -
Mike Conley Points
U20.5 $1.87 Sportsbet
O17.5 $1.83 Bet365
Hits this mark ~15-20% of the time over the past two seasons
Nowitzki points
U23.5 $1.90 TAB
O20.5 $1.95 Centrebet
Monta Ellis
U23.5 $1.87 Sportsbet
O20.5 $1.90 TAB
Roy Hibbert
U10.5 $1.90 TAB
O9.5 $1.87 Sportsbet
All are decent hit at 10%+ plays.Last edited by micase; 11-09-13, 07:16 PM.Comment -
Well looks like Mike Conley hit 20 points to return 11.4 units for every unit risked, the Roy Hibbert middle only missed by one rebound as well.
Any interest in the plays I've found for the NFL action tomorrow? I have about 7 I've found for passing/rushing that look good-excellent, let me know if you want me to type them upComment -
Good stuff, Micase. Feel free to keep them coming.
Did the TAB really limit you, or was it a glitch? I haven't know the TAB to limit people. What's stopping you from placing bets in outlets, anyway?Comment -
They have been known to do that from time to time. I doubt it's an issue with your account, but please let me know if you continue to have problems placing bets with TAB. I might have to be a bit more careful if they start limiting accounts. As I said, you can always place bets in an outlet, but it's more annoying due to the inconvenience.Comment -
Blake Griffen over 10.5 rebounds @ $2.10 w Bet365
Blake Griffen under 11.0 rebounds @ $1.87 w Lux
Derrick Rose over 17.0 points @ $1.96 w Sportsbet
Derrick Rose under 17.5 points @ $2 w TABComment -
Good to have you back Middleman, there isn't the man love that plagues Sando's thread but we'll get there. I have been finding without much difficulty 15-20 NBA/NFL player props every week and when you're regularly getting 17-1 (or more) odds on the money your risking I'm surprised there isn't more interest (easy money in my oppinion.)
The books I've been using are Bet365, Betvictor, TAB, Luxbet, Centrebet, Sportsbet, Betstar (for NFL), any that I'm missing? They usually follow one another but you do get the odd numbers that make us the money.Comment -
Beware, if you are winning consistently on player props bookies will eventually limit you. Can't even play middles at Luxbet and Sportsbet any more as they've limited me to peanuts.
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Yeah, I have been limited with Sportsbet (three accounts), Luxbet (three), Bet365 (two) and Centrebet (one limited and the other shut down). Goes to show you how good Betstar is not to shut clients down. It makes it hard to sustain it in the long term they limit you.Comment -
Don't worry, I have plenty of mates that would like to wager a bit more on player props. Although being hopeful that I do continue winning at these bets, how does Luxbet and Sportsbet go about limiting you? Sportsbet seems straight forward as you can see the max bet by hovering your mouse above the info button of the wager, Luxbet does not seem as simple (more bets seems to go to traders and take a little longer)Comment -
Luxbet is ****** like that. Their reasoning is they have a low risk policy on exotic markets such as player props. Well then how come when I have signed up in my mate's and dad's account, larger bets are accepted without being processed? It's only after a few weeks that their accounts have also been red flagged and every bet made now goes through for processing.
Tom Waterhouse is the same.Comment
