Brownlow Medal 2012 Thread

[dRavidC]

So who does everybody like for the brownlow medal tonight?

I'm currently leaning Sam Mitchell and Dane Swan as the bolter.

[therealdealau]

I like Dane Swan too, no ones giving him a sniff. Dane Swan to make the top 5 at 1.90 has been locked in.

[Chozzdogg]

I'm all over Jobe here, think Ablett and Swan missed too many games to get up there but it could be pretty close. Don't even know why Cotchin is rated that high to be honest...

[binomial]

ablett only missed two games and had 3 supercoach scores below 100.

watson missed no games but had 4 supercoach games below 100. as well as he was playing himself i am not sure how many votes he can get in the last 8 rounds given essendon were brutalised in 7 of them.

could argue GC were flogged often, but this is much more expected so ablett can still poll well i am thinking.

looking at taking ablett.

R15	St Kilda	4.3	9.5	15.6	21.7	(133)	dftd	Essendon	3.5	5.6	7.8	8.14	(62)	Etihad Stadium	Jul 7 (Sat 7:40pm)	Details
R16	Port Adelaide	4.3	8.6	11.9	11.11	(77)	lost to	Essendon	4.2	8.4	13.8	19.13	(127)	AAMI Stadium	Jul 14 (Sat 2:10pm)	Details
R17	Geelong	4.5	9.7	15.11	20.14	(134)	dftd	Essendon	2.1	5.4	8.5	10.7	(67)	Etihad Stadium	Jul 20 (Fri 7:50pm)	Details
R18	Essendon	1.4	3.7	9.11	12.14	(86)	lost to	Hawthorn	8.5	14.9	20.15	27.18	(180)	Etihad Stadium	Jul 27 (Fri 7:50pm)	Details
R19	Adelaide	4.2	6.3	13.7	16.8	(104)	dftd	Essendon	5.4	9.7	12.7	15.10	(100)	AAMI Stadium	Aug 5 (Sun 4:40pm)	Details
R20	Essendon	5.2	8.6	9.10	11.10	(76)	lost to	North Melbourne	6.2	8.4	11.7	15.10	(100)	Etihad Stadium	Aug 12 (Sun 4:40pm)	Details
R21	Essendon	2.5	6.6	7.8	8.12	(60)	lost to	Carlton	5.3	15.4	20.9	24.12	(156)	Melbourne Cricket Ground	Aug 18 (Sat 1:45pm)	Details
R22	Richmond	5.5	8.11	12.16	13.24	(102)	dftd	Essendon	3.2	4.6	7.9	8.9	(57)	Melbourne Cricket Ground	Aug 24 (Fri 7:50pm)	Details
R23	Essendon	4.3	7.3	9.7	10.12	(72)	lost to	Collingwood	5.5	7.11	10.17	14.20	(104)	Melbourne Cricket Ground	Sep 1 (Sat 7:40pm)	Details

[Chozzdogg]

ablett only missed two games and had 3 supercoach scores below 100.

watson missed no games but had 4 supercoach games below 100. as well as he was playing himself i am not sure how many votes he can get in the last 8 rounds given essendon were brutalised in 7 of them.

could argue GC were flogged often, but this is much more expected so ablett can still poll well i am thinking.

looking at taking ablett.

Fair point, Ablett worries me a bit and umps naturally get wet over him so he'll be up there for sure. Still went Watson for the win but also a made a play on the Watson/Ablett quinella that Sportsbet has at $6.50.
I also took Swan to finish top 3 which at $4.50 i thought was good value even though he missed a couple

[Bic]

Scott Pendlebury, Steele Sidebottom and the emergence of Dayne Beams will take away too many votes from Swan. I think he finishes top 10.

Jobe Watson to be leading at round 10 is my pick.

[hawley]

Apparently the Suns listed Ablett as the 2012 winner on his bio already

[shari91]

Apparently the Suns listed Ablett as the 2012 winner on his bio already

haha hopefully they have a crystal ball! Just checked my account and I took him to win and place by accident instead of to finish top 3 so now I've got $200 on him and $100 on Watson who I actually thought would win

[jididii]

Wikipedia had Jobe Watson listed 1 hour as the winner with 31 votes? Got him at bet365 at odds 2.5 live 20 min ago.
I know absoluty nothing about AFL but this was a gift! Seems a bit strange tho.

Jididii

[shari91]

Wikipedia had Jobe Watson listed 1 hour as the winner with 31 votes? Got him at bet365 at odds 2.5 live 20 min ago.
I know absoluty nothing about AFL but this was a gift! Seems a bit strange tho.

Jididii

haha good job! Looks like he finished with 30. Wish I'd checked out live betting.

[Bic]

Easy money is brownlow!