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  • harthebar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-09-11
    • 15709

    #8471
    Originally posted by JBEX
    I don't have my newsletters yet.. I'll put some up by Saturday latest
    thanks
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23434

      #8472
      I'll put one up now.. 1 newsletter I have

      play against road teams that beat last years superbowl winner if they are playing a team off a straight up win...

      10 -30 ATS
      6-25 ATS ... opp off win by 4+ points
      1-14 ATS ...+4/-4 line range

      play against kc chiefs +4
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23434

        #8473
        Originally posted by JBEX
        teams in conference title games who have managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 15-25-3 ATS since the inception of these championship
        games. Worse, when favored by less than 20 points, these well-liked teams dip to 6-19-3 ATS in title game roles, including 0-9-2 ATS when facing sub .800 foes.

        go against..

        w mich -19
        sd st -6.5
        clem -10
        interesting how the 20+ point spread parameter takes out a 9-6 chunk of the record ...when an. 800 or less opponent plays one of these teams record becomes perfect.. amazing!!
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23434

          #8474
          Originally posted by JBEX
          I'll put one up now.. 1 newsletter I have

          play against road teams that beat last years superbowl winner if they are playing a team off a straight up win...

          10 -30 ATS
          6-25 ATS ... opp off win by 4+ points
          1-14 ATS ...+4/-4 line range

          play against kc chiefs +4
          will post francesa's picks friday evening
          Comment
          • harthebar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-09-11
            • 15709

            #8475
            Undercover Agent scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 4 at Aqueduct

            reminder:Bettor's Edge is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 10 at Dover
            Miss Betty Boo is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 2 at Fair Grounds.
            Mango's Muse is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 4 at Hawthorne
            Da Wildcat Girl is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 5 at Aqueduct.
            Save The Tigers is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 4 at Aqueduct.
            Worthwhile is scheduled to run on 12/1/2016 in Race 3 at Aqueduct.
            Comment
            • harthebar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-09-11
              • 15709

              #8476
              Originally posted by JBEX
              will post francesa's picks friday evening
              Play agaist them. Huh
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23434

                #8477
                Originally posted by harthebar
                Play agaist them. Huh
                at your peril.. he's 49-31 since beginning last year.. may have missed 1 or 2 weeks in there but that's pretty accurate.. my brother tracked him
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23434

                  #8478
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  at your peril.. he's 49-31 since beginning last year.. may have missed 1 or 2 weeks in there but that's pretty accurate.. my brother tracked him
                  he started the season 3-7 and he's gone 18-6 last 8 or so weeks.. doesn't mean he couldn't go bad but that's what he's done
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23434

                    #8479
                    Originally posted by JBEX
                    at your peril.. he's 49-31 since beginning last year.. may have missed 1 or 2 weeks in there but that's pretty accurate.. my brother tracked him
                    bad choice of words..bottom line you're getting aboard late and hopefully he will finish well
                    Comment
                    • harthebar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-09-11
                      • 15709

                      #8480
                      Originally posted by JBEX
                      bad choice of words..bottom line you're getting aboard late and hopefully he will finish well


                      my life story so play agaist k c, right according to the fact finder ..lol
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23434

                        #8481
                        Originally posted by harthebar
                        my life story so play agaist k c, right according to the fact finder ..lol
                        so far..

                        atl - 4.5
                        gb - 7.. can't have a week without the pack
                        buf/oak under 48.5

                        they'll be more.. will put up final card sunday.. multiple systems gb and buf/oak under
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23434

                          #8482
                          I
                          Originally posted by JBEX
                          teams in conference title games who have managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 15-25-3 ATS since the inception of these championship
                          games. Worse, when favored by less than 20 points, these well-liked teams dip to 6-19-3 ATS in title game roles, including 0-9-2 ATS when facing sub .800 foes.

                          go against..

                          w mich -19
                          sd st -6.5
                          clem -10
                          going to lay off this game as it's close to the 20 point cutoff and other trends

                          the plays..

                          wyoming
                          va tech
                          Comment
                          • harthebar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-09-11
                            • 15709

                            #8483
                            Originally posted by JBEX
                            so far..

                            atl - 4.5
                            gb - 7.. can't have a week without the pack
                            buf/oak under 48.5

                            they'll be more.. will put up final card sunday.. multiple systems gb and buf/oak under
                            hanks for doing the research
                            t
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23434

                              #8484
                              Originally posted by harthebar
                              hanks for doing the research
                              t
                              np hart
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23434

                                #8485
                                nyg/pitt under 48.5
                                Comment
                                • harthebar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-09-11
                                  • 15709

                                  #8486
                                  run Light The Vow on 12/2/2016 in Race 5 at Aqueduct
                                  Panama Papers scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct.
                                  Captain Kitt scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 5 at Aqueduct.
                                  Baseline is scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct.
                                  Kutschman is scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 6 at Tampa Bay Downs.
                                  Hes An American is scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 9 at Meadowlands
                                  Over Promised scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 4 at Aqueduct.
                                  Quantum Uptown Boy is scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 4 at Meadowlands.
                                  Can't It Be Me is scheduled to run on 12/2/2016 in Race 4 at Yonkers Raceway.




                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23434

                                    #8487
                                    2 games where lines not moving despite lopsided betting %'s (75% >) ..plays would be on..

                                    temple +2.5..buy half.. some places have 3 already at low juice

                                    texas st +24

                                    only half unit plays based on this..system plays full unit
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23434

                                      #8488
                                      ^^

                                      mike francesa

                                      21-13-1 this year
                                      28-18-2 last year*

                                      *missed a week and playoffs which would be limited action if anything.. my brother tracked him

                                      gb-6.5
                                      sea-7
                                      tam+4...mistake sd-4
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23434

                                        #8489
                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                        ^^

                                        mike francesa

                                        21-13-1 this year
                                        28-18-2 last year*

                                        *missed a week and playoffs which would be limited action if anything.. my brother tracked him

                                        gb-6.5
                                        sea-7
                                        tam+4**
                                        **[B]sd[B]-4 the play ..sorry
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23434

                                          #8490
                                          francesa corrected

                                          gb-6.5
                                          sd-4
                                          sea-7
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23434

                                            #8491
                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                            I'll put one up now.. 1 newsletter I have

                                            play against road teams that beat last years superbowl winner if they are playing a team off a straight up win...

                                            10 -30 ATS
                                            6-25 ATS ... opp off win by 4+ points
                                            1-14 ATS ...+4/-4 line range

                                            play against kc chiefs +4
                                            up to 5.5 now.. lost a lot of value
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23434

                                              #8492
                                              west virginia as a favorite and they covered by more than a touchdown previous week.. 12-0 under by average 12 points dating back to 10/13/2012 (theirs)

                                              Comment
                                              • zebra58
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-04-10
                                                • 2283

                                                #8493
                                                hey players gl, been away awhile

                                                post or send me some runners that might run decent today, no write ups needed just the horse any track

                                                thanks much
                                                Comment
                                                • harthebar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-09-11
                                                  • 15709

                                                  #8494
                                                  Archie on 12/3/2016 in Race 7 at Aqueduct
                                                  Reconsider It scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct
                                                  Sense Of Glory on 12/3/2016 in Race 9 at Del Mar.

                                                  Rediscover is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 2 at Aqueduct.
                                                  The Catamount Kid is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 1 at The Meadows.
                                                  Sheer Flattery is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 8 at Del Mar.
                                                  Bi Light Of Day scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 3 at Aqueduct.
                                                  Our Cousin Dick scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 2 at Aqueduct.

                                                  Aztec Warrior is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 9 at Del Mar.
                                                  These Blues is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 6 at Parx Racing
                                                  :Ranger's Coming is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 6 at Parx Racing
                                                  Silent Flash is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 1 at Woodbine.
                                                  B Quick is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 6 at Gulfstream Park
                                                  Lord Of Love is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 7 at Aqueduct
                                                  Tru Greek is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 8 at Laurel Park.


                                                  Pence Hanover is scheduled to run on 12/3/2016 in Race 13 at Dayton Raceway






                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23434

                                                    #8495
                                                    5-0...

                                                    wyoming+6.5 ..va tech+10 (system)
                                                    temple +2.5..texas st+24 (lines steady..% other way)
                                                    west va under 68.5 (team trend)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23434

                                                      #8496
                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                      5-0...

                                                      wyoming+6.5 ..va tech+10 (system)
                                                      temple +2.5..texas st+24 (lines steady..% other way)
                                                      west va under 68.5 (team trend)
                                                      6-2 last week nfl 5-0*..cfb 1-2

                                                      * including gb (monday night )
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23434

                                                        #8497
                                                        to be fair 3 of them were half units between this week and last so call it weighted... 9.5-2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23434

                                                          #8498
                                                          mike francesa ...

                                                          gb -6.5
                                                          sea -7
                                                          sd-4

                                                          my picks..

                                                          sd/tam over 48.5
                                                          pitt/nyg under 48.5
                                                          buf/oak under 48.5

                                                          francesa.. friday 5:30 release lines..
                                                          laying off atl as line dropped 2 points this morning
                                                          Comment
                                                          • harthebar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-09-11
                                                            • 15709

                                                            #8499
                                                            i didnt see anyof them till late but did get va tech,...how about today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • harthebar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-09-11
                                                              • 15709

                                                              #8500
                                                              Da Wildcat Girl is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 8 at Aqueduct
                                                              Show Giant is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 1 at Aqueduct
                                                              Slapstick is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 7 at Fair Grounds
                                                              Danny's Rush is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct
                                                              Birchwood Road is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 5 at Aqueduct
                                                              Calculated Risker is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct.
                                                              :Texas Two Step is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 8 at Del Mar
                                                              :Melmich is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 9 at Woodbine
                                                              Cut is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 3 at Del Mar
                                                              Thrylos is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 4 at Fair Grounds
                                                              Justice For Sheena is scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 5 at Laurel Park.
                                                              Bartleby on 12/4/2016 in Race 9 at Aqueduct
                                                              Desert Steel on 12/4/2016 in Race 7 at Golden Gate Fields
                                                              Liberty Park scheduled to run on 12/4/2016 in Race 3 at Del Mar



                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23434

                                                                #8501
                                                                Originally posted by harthebar
                                                                i didnt see anyof them till late but did get va tech,...how about today
                                                                wow.. what timing this morning !!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • harthebar
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-09-11
                                                                  • 15709

                                                                  #8502
                                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                  mike francesa ...


                                                                  gb -6.5
                                                                  sea -7
                                                                  sd-4

                                                                  my picks..

                                                                  sd/tam over 48.5
                                                                  pitt/nyg under 48.5
                                                                  buf/oak under 48.5

                                                                  francesa.. friday 5:30 release lines..
                                                                  laying off atl as line dropped 2 points this morning
                                                                  what about that site the trend one
                                                                  i was going to ask you about
                                                                  atl
                                                                  buff
                                                                  gb
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • harthebar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-09-11
                                                                    • 15709

                                                                    #8503
                                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                    wow.. what timing this morning !!


                                                                    ha ha
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23434

                                                                      #8504
                                                                      Originally posted by harthebar
                                                                      what about that site the trend one
                                                                      i was going to ask you about
                                                                      atl
                                                                      buff
                                                                      gb
                                                                      as I said a little suspicious of the line drop with atl so gonna pass.. gb (killer sports and francesa) 1-3 inches of snow but still going forward.. buf just the under..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23434

                                                                        #8505
                                                                        my picks are all systems.. some stand alone and others multiple..4 different sources.. have to make sense to me.. occasionally I'll put up a link but for the most part just rather post the plays.. been a nice run and hopefully can sustain it a little longer
                                                                        Comment
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