British tracks laying system

[tipsterm]

I guess never. I am doing only british tracks.

Monday:

BATH 3:00
Dusty Spirit - 8th / 38,47 / 0,33

LEICESTER 7:10
Kenswick - 3rd / 20,37 / 0,64

WINDSOR 7:00
Brave Tiger - 11th / 120 / 0,1

WOLVERHAMPTON 2:40
Rightcar Dominic - 8th / 164,84 / 0,07

WOLVERHAMPTON 3:10
Charlietoo - 1st / 20 / -12,9

WOLVERHAMPTON 4:10
Norse Warrior - NON-RUNNER

WOLVERHAMPTON 4:40
Little Pete - 12th / 75 / 0,17

Oh my, another set-back.

5-1.

Previous bankroll: 129,26 pts
New bankroll: 117,67 pts
New wager size: 11,8 pts
Record: 263-11
Strike-rate: 96%

Tuesday:

BRIGHTON 3:50
The Wonga Coup

KEMPTON 8:00
Deveze
Add Lib

KILLARNEY 8:20
Ain Jalout

NOTTINGHAM 3:00
First Blade

NOTTINGHAM 5:00
Blazing Apostle

[tipsterm]

BRIGHTON 3:50
The Wonga Coup - LAST / 58,75 / 0,19

KEMPTON 8:00
Deveze - 7th / 52,41 / 0,22
Add Lib - 8th / 160 / 0,07

KILLARNEY 8:20
Ain Jalout - 4th / 13 / 0,93

NOTTINGHAM 3:00
First Blade - NON-RUNNER

NOTTINGHAM 5:00
Blazing Apostle - LAST / 1000 / ---

4-0.

Previous bankroll: 117,67 pts
New bankroll: 119,08 pts
New wager size: 11,9 pts
Record: 267-11
Strike-rate: 96%

Wednesday:

KEMPTON 3:55
Dysios

KEMPTON 4:30
Arakette

KEMPTON 6:15
Captainrisk

LINGFIELD 4:10
Rio Sands

LINGFIELD 4:45
Guildenstern

[tipsterm]

Thursday:

SALISBURY 6:30
Bold Argument

SOUTHWELL 2:10
Eeny Mac

SOUTHWELL 3:15
Paint The Town Red

SOUTHWELL 3:50
Dreamweaving

SOUTHWELL 4:55
Flow Chart

[tipsterm]

Friday:

CATTERICK 6:20
Call The Law

CATTERICK 7:20
Isle Of Ellis

CATTERICK 8:50
Safari Guide

MUSSELBURGH 6:30
Jewelled Dagger

MUSSELBURGH 8:00
Sumay Buoy

WEXFORD (IRE) 5:55
Sassaway

YARMOUTH 3:50
Wallis

YARMOUTH 4:20
Excellent Aim

[tipsterm]

Saturday:

CURRAGH (IRE) 3:10
Partner

CURRAGH (IRE) 4:50
Tarrsille

GOODWOOD 2:15
Corporal Maddox

GOODWOOD 5:35
One Cool Chick

HAYDOCK 5:15
Champagne Style

YORK 3:40
Taajub

[tipsterm]

Sunday:

CURRAGH (IRE) 2:10
Ruby Suesday

[tipsterm]

Monday:

CARLISLE 2:30
Without Prejudice

CARLISLE 4:30
See The Storm

CARLISLE 5:00
Boxer Shorts

LEICESTER 3:15
Dusty Spirit

LEICESTER 4:45
Kheskianto

THIRSK 8:30
Gorgeous Goblin

WINDSOR 7:10
Sunnandaeg

WINDSOR 8:40
Harrys

[tipsterm]

Tuesday:

LINGFIELD 3:30
Stonecrabstomorrow

LINGFIELD 5:00
Tinkerbell Will

LINGFIELD 5:30
Mistress Shy

RIPON 4:10
Proper Charlie

[tipsterm]

Wednesday:

AYR 2:40
Passing Moment

AYR 5:25
Walleyd

[tipsterm]

Thursday:

AYR 3:50
Lady Lube Rye

AYR 5:20
Russian Brigadier

BRIGHTON 4:10
Mistress Shy

BRIGHTON 4:40
Dysios

FOLKESTONE 3:00
Place The Duchess
Gothic Chick

SANDOWN 8:45
Totally Ours

[truebluebear]

Tips as a fellow Brit i got quite a lot of experience playing and laying on Betty . love the system betting but it looks like your system is going to have to hold water long term and unless your dealing in like 3 figure units-profit could be negligeable . anyway buddy all the very best of luck as i do believe without some kind of System in place we are all doomed to lose , thnx 4 your insight m8 gl !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[tipsterm]

Tips as a fellow Brit i got quite a lot of experience playing and laying on Betty . love the system betting but it looks like your system is going to have to hold water long term and unless your dealing in like 3 figure units-profit could be negligeable . anyway buddy all the very best of luck as i do believe without some kind of System in place we are all doomed to lose , thnx 4 your insight m8 gl !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2 winners today with fixed risk this makes huge favs pretty dangerous... I will update results soon, but it went down around original bankroll... or below

[tipsterm]

Friday:

BRIGHTON 3:05
Illuminative

BRIGHTON 4:15
Corlough Mountain

DOWN ROYAL (IRE) 8:20
Danehill Tapdancer

NEWCASTLE 4:30
Burnwynd Boy

[truebluebear]

Good luck Tips , you got me thinking about "Laying" again . i havent played Bookie for a while so it may be interesting and you may have something here . !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[tipsterm]

Sunday:

LEOPARDSTOWN (IRE) 3:25
Six Of Hearts

[tipsterm]

Monday:

CARLISLE 2:55
Distant Vision

CARLISLE 4:40
Mission Impossible
Sumay Buoy

CARLISLE 5:15
Media Jury

CHEPSTOW 2:30
Zohan

GOODWOOD 4:20
Hilltop Artistry

GOODWOOD 5:30
Rio Prince

[tipsterm]

Tuesday:

LEICESTER 2:45
Look For Love

REDCAR 3:00
Sophie´s Beau

YARMOUTH 8:00
Izzet

[thespeculator]

thanks for the tips , i have just started following the horses at bfair, it is amazing , basically 24 hours racing, from australia to u.s

[tipsterm]

Wednesday:

RIPON 8:10
Hogmaneigh

TIPPERARY (IRE) 7:00
Here Now And Why


Well, tightening up the filters generates far less selections and odds are usually quite high. I am not sure about cviability but will continue to see where this goes.

[truebluebear]

was wondering Tipsterm - do you take cover action - like watch the race and have small saving bet (IN - RUNNING ) on Horse you layed if it appears to have a decent chance at say 3 furlongs out ? . may be a problem in sprint races but at races over 1 mile + it may prevent a dismal day somewhere ( or at least minimise losses ) GL Bud !!

[alibet]

Have you a record?
Thank you

[tipsterm]

Thursday:

HAMILTON 3:10
Sumay Buoy

HAMILTON 3:40
Jobe

SOUTHWELL 4:00
Whatyouwoodwishfor
Mozayada

SOUTHWELL 5:00
Flow Chart
Lady Vivien

- truebluebear: no, I guess in a long run, it would give you a negative result. A true goal is to find a value... in this case the value is a horse that shouldn't win on any reasonable odds

- alibet: about to update, sorry no time for it now

[thespeculator]

Thursday:

HAMILTON 3:10
Sumay Buoy

HAMILTON 3:40
Jobe

SOUTHWELL 4:00
Whatyouwoodwishfor
Mozayada

SOUTHWELL 5:00
Flow Chart
Lady Vivien

- truebluebear: no, I guess in a long run, it would give you a negative result. A true goal is to find a value... in this case the value is a horse that shouldn't win on any reasonable odds

- alibet: about to update, sorry no time for it now

can i ask you a question , on the parlay in horses at betfair , you can pick more than one horse and says horse 1 or horse 2 or horse 3, does this mean if any of them win you win your bet

any info would be great ,thanks

[tipsterm]

Friday:

DONCASTER 7:10
Without Prejudice

EPSOM 2:10
Totally Ours

GOODWOOD 6:15
Novillero

GOODWOOD 8:55
Idiom

MUSSELBURGH 5:35
Fawara

[tipsterm]

Saturday:

DONCASTER 2:20
Celebrity

EPSOM 2:40
Mac Love

LINGFIELD 7:15
Gessabelle

[tipsterm]

Sunday:

LISTOWEL (IRE) 3:35
Charminamix

[tipsterm]

Wednesday:

KEMPTON 3:55
Dysios 1st/-11,9

KEMPTON 4:30
Arakette 338,39/0,03

KEMPTON 6:15
Captainrisk 120/0,1

LINGFIELD 4:10
Rio Sands 80/0,14

LINGFIELD 4:45
Guildenstern 150/0,08

Previous bankroll: 119,08 pts
New bankroll: 107,53 pts
New wager size: 10,8 pts

Thursday:

SALISBURY 6:30
Bold Argument 14,28/0,77

SOUTHWELL 2:10
Eeny Mac 9,53/1,2

SOUTHWELL 3:15
Paint The Town Red 219,89/0,05

SOUTHWELL 3:50
Dreamweaving 40/0,26

SOUTHWELL 4:55
Flow Chart N/R

Previous bankroll: 107,53 pts
New bankroll: 109,81 pts
New wager size: 11 pts

Friday:

CATTERICK 6:20
Call The Law 34/0,32

CATTERICK 7:20
Isle Of Ellis 52,33/0,2

CATTERICK 8:50
Safari Guide 30/0,36

MUSSELBURGH 6:30
Jewelled Dagger 4,26/3,21

MUSSELBURGH 8:00
Sumay Buoy 222,2/0,05

WEXFORD (IRE) 5:55
Sassaway 25,19 /0,43

YARMOUTH 3:50
Wallis 1st/-11

YARMOUTH 4:20
Excellent Aim 23,62/0,46

Previous bankroll: 109,81 pts
New bankroll: 103,84 pts
New wager size: 10,4 pts

Saturday:

CURRAGH (IRE) 3:10
Partner 45,26 /0,22

CURRAGH (IRE) 4:50
Tarrsille 40 /0,25

GOODWOOD 2:15
Corporal Maddox 65/0,15

GOODWOOD 5:35
One Cool Chick 54,23/0,19

HAYDOCK 5:15
Champagne Style 26,06/0,39

YORK 3:40
Taajub 30/0,34

Previous bankroll: 103,84 pts
New bankroll: 105,38 pts
New wager size: 10,5 pts

Sunday:

CURRAGH (IRE) 2:10
Ruby Suesday 77,2/0,13

Previous bankroll: 105,38 pts
New bankroll: 105,51 pts
New wager size: 10,6 pts

First batch of previous results.

[tipsterm]

Monday:

CARLISLE 2:30
Without Prejudice 36/0,29

CARLISLE 4:30
See The Storm 94,41/0,11

CARLISLE 5:00
Boxer Shorts 291,03/0,03

LEICESTER 3:15
Dusty Spirit 34,96/0,3

LEICESTER 4:45
Kheskianto 74,31/0,14

THIRSK 8:30
Gorgeous Goblin 18,4/0,58

WINDSOR 7:10
Sunnandaeg 18,81/0,57

WINDSOR 8:40
Harrys 57,35/0,18

Previous bankroll: 105,51 pts
New bankroll: 107,71 pts
New wager size: 10,8 pts

Tuesday:

LINGFIELD 3:30
Stonecrabstomorrow 131,85/0,08

LINGFIELD 5:00
Tinkerbell Will 103,59/0,1

LINGFIELD 5:30
Mistress Shy N/R

RIPON 4:10
Proper Charlie 9,4/1,22

Previous bankroll: 107,71 pts
New bankroll: 109,11 pts
New wager size: 10,9 pts

Wednesday:

AYR 2:40
Passing Moment 38/0,28

AYR 5:25
Walleyd 29,7/0,36

Previous bankroll: 109,11 pts
New bankroll: 109,75 pts
New wager size: 11 pts

Thursday:

AYR 3:50
Lady Lube Rye - N/R

AYR 5:20
Russian Brigadier 36,24/0,3

BRIGHTON 4:10
Mistress Shy 207,98/0,05

BRIGHTON 4:40
Dysios 1st/-11

FOLKESTONE 3:00
Place The Duchess 27/0,4
Gothic Chick 1st/-11

SANDOWN 8:45
Totally Ours - N/R

Previous bankroll: 109,75 pts
New bankroll: 88,5 pts
New wager size: 8,9 pts

Friday:

BRIGHTON 3:05
Illuminative 28/0,31

BRIGHTON 4:15
Corlough Mountain 207,53/0,04

DOWN ROYAL (IRE) 8:20
Danehill Tapdancer 19,4/0,46

NEWCASTLE 4:30
Burnwynd Boy 9,56/0,99

Previous bankroll: 88,5 pts
New bankroll: 90,3 pts
New wager size: 9 pts

Sunday:

LEOPARDSTOWN (IRE) 3:25
Six Of Hearts 64,46/0,13

Previous bankroll: 90,3 pts
New bankroll: 90,43 pts
New wager size: 9 pts

And a downhill fastens...

[tipsterm]

Monday:

CARLISLE 2:55
Distant Vision - N/R

CARLISLE 4:40
Mission Impossible 30,8/0,29
Sumay Buoy 138,1/0,06

CARLISLE 5:15
Media Jury 112,11/0,08

CHEPSTOW 2:30
Zohan 323,81/0,03

GOODWOOD 4:20
Hilltop Artistry 127,3/0,07

GOODWOOD 5:30
Rio Prince 186,23/0,05

Previous bankroll: 90,43 pts
New bankroll: 91,01 pts
New wager size: 9,1 pts

Tuesday:

LEICESTER 2:45
Look For Love 90/0,1

REDCAR 3:00
Sophie´s Beau 408,06/0,02

YARMOUTH 8:00
Izzet 7,8/1,27

Previous bankroll: 91,01 pts
New bankroll: 92,4 pts
New wager size: 9,2 pts

Wednesday:

RIPON 8:10
Hogmaneigh 36/0,25

TIPPERARY (IRE) 7:00
Here Now And Why 50,33/0,18

Previous bankroll: 92,4 pts
New bankroll: 92,83 pts
New wager size: 9,3 pts

Thursday:

HAMILTON 3:10
Sumay Buoy 150/0,06

HAMILTON 3:40
Jobe1st/-9,3

SOUTHWELL 4:00
Whatyouwoodwishfor - N/R
Mozayada 32,15/0,28

SOUTHWELL 5:00
Flow Chart 87,26/0,1
Lady Vivien 29,82/0,31

Previous bankroll: 92,83 pts
New bankroll: 84,28 pts
New wager size: 8,4 pts

Friday:

DONCASTER 7:10
Without Prejudice 130,41/0,06

EPSOM 2:10
Totally Ours 67,27/0,12

GOODWOOD 6:15
Novillero 81,61/0,1

GOODWOOD 8:55
Idiom 22,13/0,38

MUSSELBURGH 5:35
Fawara 84,22/0,1

Previous bankroll: 84,28 pts
New bankroll: 85,04 pts
New wager size: 8,5 pts

Saturday:

DONCASTER 2:20
Celebrity - N/R

EPSOM 2:40
Mac Love 28/0,3

LINGFIELD 7:15
Gessabelle 29,16/0,29

Previous bankroll: 85,04 pts
New bankroll: 85,63 pts
New wager size: 8,6 pts

So this is the current state

[tipsterm]

Sunday:

LISTOWEL (IRE) 3:35
Charminamix 38,14/0,22

TOTAL STATS INCL. TODAY

Previous bankroll: 85,63 pts
New bankroll: 85,85 pts
New wager size: 8,6 pts
Record: 329-16
Strike-rate: 95,4%

[tipsterm]

Here is recap of all the "losers" aka winners.

Curragh Dancer - 1st / 10
Absolute Shambles - 1st / 8,8
Jolly Boys Outing - 1st / 12,5
Seigneur Des Bois - 1st / 6,1
Beggars Cap - 1st / 18,58
Nahab - 1st / 2
Statue Of Dreams - 1st / 9,53
Cadmium Loch - 1st / 49,73
Swendab - 1st / 18
Heart Of Dubai - 1st / 12,31
Charlietoo - 1st / 20
Dysios 1st / 6,72
Wallis 1st / 10,05
Dysios 1st / 1,29
Gothic Chick 1st / 6,24
Jobe 1st / 10,99

So, except Cadmium Loch and Charlietoo are all under odds of 20.
Also 7 of 16 are under odds of 10.

So the record filtering out everything under 20 would be: 237-2 / 99,2% strike-rate.
I know, no big discovery that with dropping odds the S/R drops as well, but only 2
winners is quite significant. But to lay with odds condition on BSP is almost impossible.
Because you never know the odds before take off.

But with staking to-win-unit, the profit would be 157,42 units. When excluding anything
above 100, the record is 176-2, that is profit 99,47 units. Commission 5% included.

Of course, one loser with odds around 100 and the profit is gone.

With fixed risk staking, the profit would be 2,64 units. Note, that exposing only 1 unit
at time, the gain is far smaller, but the unit can be far bigger with the same risk
for odds 20 or 100.

I will continue to track this down, because 300+ results is not a very small number,
but certainly you cannot take something for granted from this. Unfortunately, you
cannot even after 10000 bets, but then the outcomes would have more weight.

[tipsterm]

Monday:

FOLKESTONE 3:00
Ghost Dancer

NAAS (IRE) 3:40
Libano
Allegra Tak

[tipsterm]

Tuesday:

SALISBURY 5:30
Rio Prince

[tipsterm]

Wednesday:

BEVERLEY 2:30
Media Jury

HAMILTON 9:00
Charity Fair

HAYDOCK 4:50
Cawdor

KEMPTON 8:45
Moonlight Mystery

YARMOUTH 5:10
Avec Moi

[tipsterm]

Thursday:

NOTTINGHAM 2:20
Griffin Point
Reset To Fit