caldera parlay

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23009

    #1
    caldera parlay
    try a weds and thursday parlay to possibly add to the bet ..he will be running friday at churchill in R5 @ 3:14 (#6 @ 8-1)

    if I were betting 10 WP on caldera .. my weds bet would be 2WP and then roll forward to thursday's play if at least a place finish .. be a lot of fun alive into thursday even if it's only a place hit on weds

    sizing is important..I feel about 20% of the friday bet is the right amount (2WP)..if there's any return from the parlay it's added to the 10WP bet on Friday


    avg 2-1 odds on both factoring the place bet would be around +400 (double your 10WP) ..avg around 5-1 close to +2000 .. 90WP including original 10WP
    ..with the extra boost could even just bet place on him

    if you're not playing caldera you could use it for breeders cup bankroll on saturday..not touting him here
  • BOA12
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-19-12
    • 20622

    #2
    Originally posted by JBEX
    try a weds and thursday parlay to possibly add to the bet ..he will be running friday at churchill in R5 @ 3:14 (#6 @ 8-1)

    if I were betting 10 WP on caldera .. my weds bet would be 2WP and then roll forward to thursday's play if at least a place finish .. be a lot of fun alive into thursday even if it's only a place hit on weds

    sizing is important..I feel about 20% of the friday bet is the right amount (2WP)..if there's any return from the parlay it's added to the 10WP bet on Friday


    avg 2-1 odds on both factoring the place bet would be around +400 (double your 10WP) ..avg around 5-1 close to +2000 .. 90WP including original 10WP
    ..with the extra boost could even just bet place on him

    if you're not playing caldera you could use it for breeders cup bankroll on saturday..not touting him here
    I will join you in this game.
    Comment
    • BOA12
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-19-12
      • 20622

      #3
      12:22 cst


      Mvr R2 #4 Appalachian Spirit 3-1 2WP - 2nd X-$4.40


      BOL2ALL
      Last edited by BOA12; 10-30-24, 12:45 PM.
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23009

        #4
        Originally posted by BOA12
        12:22 cst


        Mvr R2 #4 Appalachian Spirit 3-1 2WP


        BOL2ALL
        good luck
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23009

          #5
          cd

          going 2 horses to win instead

          R4 @ 2:27

          #9 judy's flyer (6-1) 2W
          #11 huixtla (8-1) 2W
          Comment
          • BOA12
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-19-12
            • 20622

            #6
            Originally posted by JBEX
            cd

            going 2 horses to win instead

            R4 @ 2:27

            #9 judy's flyer (6-1) 2W
            #11 huixtla (8-1) 2W
            Avg odds lucky 7.

            DH would be mind blowing.
            Comment
            • batt33
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-23-16
              • 5980

              #7
              Good Luck JBEX! It will be interesting to see what the final odds are on Caldera. I expect him to open as the favorite with all the"owners'" involved and the way he has been training. I expect he will go off way under 8-1.....
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23009

                #8
                Originally posted by BOA12
                Avg odds lucky 7.

                DH would be mind blowing.
                at ml odds would be around the return I was aiming for but of course not why I'm playing
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23009

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BOA12
                  12:22 cst


                  Mvr R2 #4 Appalachian Spirit 3-1 2WP - 2nd X-$4.40


                  BOL2ALL
                  another shot tomorrow
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23009

                    #10
                    Originally posted by batt33
                    Good Luck JBEX! It will be interesting to see what the final odds are on Caldera. I expect him to open as the favorite with all the"owners'" involved and the way he has been training. I expect he will go off way under 8-1.....
                    thanks batt .. I think 3-1 to 4-1 range and ml might be high because of lukas not being a first out trainer


                    .
                    Comment
                    • batt33
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-23-16
                      • 5980

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JBEX
                      thanks batt .. I think 3-1 to 4-1 range and ml might be high because of lukas not being a first out trainer
                      true. Interesting Video talking about Caldera.



                      .
                      Comment
                      • BOA12
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-19-12
                        • 20622

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JBEX
                        another shot tomorrow
                        10-4.
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23009

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JBEX
                          cd

                          going 2 horses to win instead

                          R4 @ 2:27

                          #9 judy's flyer (6-1) 2W
                          #11 huixtla (8-1) 2W
                          2nd #9 @ 10-1..done
                          Comment
                          • BOA12
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-19-12
                            • 20622

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BOA12
                            12:22 cst


                            Mvr R2 #4 Appalachian Spirit 3-1 2WP - 2nd X-$4.40


                            BOL2ALL
                            2:49 cst

                            Baq R7 #10 Tide of the Sea 8-1 2WP Out.

                            BOL2ALL
                            Last edited by BOA12; 10-31-24, 02:54 PM.
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23009

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BOA12
                              2:49 cst

                              Baq R7 #10 Tide of the Sea 8-1 2WP

                              BOL2ALL
                              considering throwing a deuce (total) on something..not 4 ..wouldn't be right


                              bol
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23009

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                considering throwing a deuce (total) on something..not 4 ..wouldn't be right


                                bol
                                go with me(t)a(l)thead

                                cd

                                R9 #7 (10-1) 1WP
                                @ 4:57


                                problem with that ..stifle



                                .
                                Last edited by JBEX; 10-31-24, 11:54 AM.
                                Comment
                                • batt33
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-23-16
                                  • 5980

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                  go with me(t)a(l)thead

                                  cd

                                  R9 #7 (10-1) 1WP
                                  @ 4:57


                                  problem with that ..stifle


                                  .
                                  talk about the ultimate hunch bet" Count Dracula" on Halloween! go figure lol!
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23009

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by batt33
                                    talk about the ultimate hunch bet" Count Dracula" on Halloween! go figure lol!
                                    good point
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23009

                                      #19
                                      I'm surprised smartier ml wasn't a little lower .. had excuse after the start and really bred to go long
                                      Last edited by JBEX; 10-31-24, 04:38 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • batt33
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-23-16
                                        • 5980

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                        good point
                                        unfortunately I didn't even have 2 on the nose....
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23009

                                          #21
                                          how about a caldera/chancer parlay

                                          cd R5
                                          msw
                                          #6 caldera (8-1)
                                          @ 3:14

                                          dmr R8
                                          bc juvenile
                                          #10 chancer mcpatrick (3-1)
                                          @ 7:45

                                          no place on caldera and if he wins then win/place on CM

                                          if CM stays around ml (3-1) then a win comes in at around +200 factoring place ..at least get your money back if he finishes 2nd

                                          caldera

                                          $2 about $36 @ 5-1
                                          $2 about $54 @ 8-1




                                          .
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23009

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                            how about a caldera/chancer parlay

                                            cd R5
                                            msw
                                            #6 caldera (8-1)
                                            @ 3:14

                                            dmr R8
                                            bc juvenile
                                            #10 chancer mcpatrick (3-1)
                                            @ 7:45

                                            no place on caldera and if he wins then win/place on CM

                                            if CM stays around ml (3-1) then a win comes in at around +200 factoring place ..at least get your money back if he finishes 2nd

                                            caldera

                                            $2 about $36 @ 5-1
                                            $2 about $54 @ 8-1




                                            .
                                            another way to go would be place only on caldera and then straight win on CM..could see that returning $25-30 for $2
                                            Comment
                                            • batt33
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-23-16
                                              • 5980

                                              #23
                                              Well you knew that 1/9 was going to happen opening up!
                                              Comment
                                              • batt33
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-23-16
                                                • 5980

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                                another way to go would be place only on caldera and then straight win on CM..could see that returning $25-30 for $2
                                                hmmm to much "MRH" money involved.... for those prices
                                                Comment
                                                • batt33
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-23-16
                                                  • 5980

                                                  #25
                                                  No excuses for Caldera...... clean break..... just broke slow..... rushed up in between horses..... and got tired.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • batt33
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-23-16
                                                    • 5980

                                                    #26
                                                    [COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Caldera Race Recap
                                                    [/COLOR]
                                                    Caldera checked in sixth today on debut after an eventful and educational trip. Click for the chart and replay (available later this evening).
                                                    Last away, he showed good speed and determination to move up in between horses. He grabbed a rail spot not far off the pace heading into the turn, but had to tap on the brakes in traffic and lost a bit of momentum. Jockey Ramon Vazquez was able to guide him off the inside to find running room approaching the stretch, and he responded willingly to put himself back in contention. He looked like he might level off and start picking them off at the top of the lane, but he ran out of gas in the late stages while continuing to try to the wire.
                                                    While we all of course were dreaming of that blowout debut victory, we knew going in that Lukas trainees typically need at least one race before showing their best and that’s exactly how Caldera ran. He made multiple runs, showed some gears and handled the kickback and traffic trouble bravely. Caldera ran like a horse with some ability—which we still believe he has—who just wasn’t cut out to win going six furlongs on debut. He’ll gain a ton of fitness from that effort and plenty of mental maturity as well.
                                                    Both trainer D. Wayne Lukas and Vazquez were encouraged by the effort and had similar takes—they felt that was a great first experience, and believe Caldera will be better once he stretches out in distance.
                                                    A win today would’ve been great, but a six-furlong maiden special weight was not the goal or main objective when we acquired him. The Coach still seems to believe strongly that Caldera’s future is bright, and nothing Caldera did today would have us doubting the Hall of Famer’s assessment.
                                                    He seemed to come back in fine order immediately after the race. We’ll let him bounce out of this one and pick out a longer spot for next time.
                                                    We hope everyone enjoyed the excitement of today’s unveiling and remains optimistic about Caldera moving forward.
                                                    Comment
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