harthebar tracking thread... monmouth, keeneland and saratoga

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23394

    #106
    28/81.90

    risk 1178/ return 1075.80 [0.91]


    [1.00] break-even
    Comment
    • harthebar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-09-11
      • 15704

      #107
      Originally posted by JBEX
      28/81.90

      risk 1178/ return 1075.80 [0.91]


      [1.00] break-even
      So close to break even. .if that's the way it ended I would feel like a winner....lot of action I guess
      It's not how much you win. It's how much you dont lose
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23394

        #108
        Originally posted by harthebar
        So close to break even. .if that's the way it ended I would feel like a winner....lot of action I guess
        It's not how much you win. It's how much you dont lose

        it's not exactly a divide by 4 and get the number of plays (not races) cause we changed the rules how we graded multiple selection races (just win on both to wp on both)that I think is a definite negative over the course of this sample and wasn't sure if it was going in ..not a definitive opinion though..you were in a lot of bad situations in this with win bets on odds-on horses and multiple plays in 1 race including an o-o horse..a very solid showing with 2 weeks to go imo
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23394

          #109
          Originally posted by JBEX
          28/81.90

          risk 1178/ return 1075.80 [0.91]


          [1.00] break-even
          saturday


          Millies Party is in R4* {4/12}
          Tradeable is in R8 {6/12}
          The Mormon is in R4 {3/12}
          Duc De Calas is in R10 {4/9}
          Yummy bear is in R12 {9/11}



          sunday


          Pioneer of NY is in R1 {2/9} $5.60
          Odramark is in R3 {1/8} $10.40/5.60
          Postina Vow is in R4 {3/6}
          Bee By Sea is in R5
          Not Now is in R5 {1/10} $11.80/5.60
          Wild banker is in R9 {4/10}
          Bol harbour is in R10 {3/8}
          Delancey philly is in R11 {7/10}
          Regal quality is in R14 {4/7}




          52/39



          risk 1230/ return 1114.80 [0.90]

          [1.00] break-even





          .
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23394

            #110
            last weekend for this thread.. monmouth goes through october but it's considered part of the meadowlands meet



            monmouth


            saturday


            Baby girl is in Race 1 {2/11} $4.60
            Magical soul in Race 3 {1/11} $10.20/7.20
            Story time is in Race 5 {4/7}

            School Of Thought is in Race 7
            My second chance is in Race 7 {7/11}

            Nellysford is in Race 9 {7/10}

            Champagne Horizon is in Race 11 {1/11} $7.60/4.20
            Bsby girl is in Race 11

            Pianzi is in Race 12
            The Mormon Mauler is in Race 13 {2/11} $4.40





            sunday


            Basso is in Race 1 {3/6}
            Bee By in Race 4 {1/8} $7.60/3.20
            Our Man Luke in Race 5 {4/6}
            Daisy doc is in Race 6
            Pianzi is in Race 10 {8/8}



            44/49
            Last edited by JBEX; 09-27-20, 04:45 PM.
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23394

              #111
              Originally posted by JBEX
              last weekend for this thread.. monmouth goes through october but it's considered part of the meadowlands meet



              monmouth


              saturday


              Baby girl is in Race 1 {2/11} $4.60
              Magical soul in Race 3 {1/11} $10.20/7.20
              Story time is in Race 5 {4/7}

              School Of Thought is in Race 7
              My second chance is in Race 7 {7/11}

              Nellysford is in Race 9 {7/10}

              Champagne Horizon is in Race 11 {1/11} $7.60/4.20
              Bsby girl is in Race 11

              Pianzi is in Race 12
              The Mormon Mauler is in Race 13 {2/11} $4.40





              sunday


              Basso is in Race 1 {3/6}
              Bee By in Race 4 {1/8} $7.60/3.20
              Our Man Luke in Race 5 {4/6}
              Daisy doc is in Race 6
              Pianzi is in Race 10 {8/8}



              44/49


              final numbers

              risk 1274/return 1163.80 [0.91]

              [1.00] = break-even



              good effort considering you were playing into many unfavorable situations.. extremely low odds horses and more importantly betting on two low odds WP in the same race on quite a few occasions.. if I had to do it over 2 horses in a race would be win bets only (which I think I was going to originally do).. even then lots of times odds didn't warrant it.. won't miss the bookkeeping lol
              Comment
              • harthebar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-09-11
                • 15704

                #112
                Dancers For Token is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Finger Lake
                Comment
                • harthebar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-09-11
                  • 15704

                  #113
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  final numbers

                  risk 1274/return 1163.80 [0.91]

                  [1.00] = break-even



                  good effort considering you were playing into many unfavorable situations.. extremely low odds horses and more importantly betting on two low odds WP in the same race on quite a few occasions.. if I had to do it over 2 horses in a race would be win bets only (which I think I was going to originally do).. even then lots of times odds didn't warrant it.. won't miss the bookkeeping lol
                  thanks j for the fun learning summer.......i think your right about 2 in a race, but all considering.........i think it went well ..for the record, there was a time in del. i think it was whisky project and something marie, came 1 and 2 the exacta was over 750 that would of got me over .....lolbut thanks football season breders cup then bowl games...all hopefully
                  Comment
                  • BOA12
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-19-12
                    • 20622

                    #114
                    Originally posted by harthebar
                    thanks j for the fun learning summer.......i think your right about 2 in a race, but all considering.........i think it went well ..for the record, there was a time in del. i think it was whisky project and something marie, came 1 and 2 the exacta was over 750 that would of got me over .....lolbut thanks football season breders cup then bowl games...all hopefully
                    Many a fun day 4Me, thanks 2 thee.
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23394

                      #115
                      Originally posted by harthebar
                      thanks j for the fun learning summer.......i think your right about 2 in a race, but all considering.........i think it went well ..for the record, there was a time in del. i think it was whisky project and something marie, came 1 and 2 the exacta was over 750 that would of got me over .....lolbut thanks football season breders cup then bowl games...all hopefully


                      no problem and as I said with all the disadvantages you played into I think it could easily could be viewed as a close to break-even effort.. at minimum add 5% to the roi.. and you certainly weren't lacking in volume lol.. think it was a worthwhile exercise and certainly worth noting the big exacta along the way.. yeah always look forward to bc and especially this year back at keeneland vs santa anita
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23394

                        #116
                        and we both love the hong kong product.. two days a week till july.. perfect
                        Comment
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