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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23400

    #1
    tuesday
    rogers



    R1 #7 goddess of wonder (5-1)


    R2 #6 enchanted rambam (20-1)

    this obscure trainer/jock combo produced a $106 horse yesterday..circumstances a lot different with this one coming off an about 8 month layoff and was claimed last out.. interesting a 6yo who has raced 50 times only 4 of which were at a mile (his last 4 and today 1 mile)..but his last 4 aren't that far off from what he would need to do today..he's coming from prarie meadows so no bute in him today (if that matters)


    R3 #8 thorpe d'oro (12-1)

    bad efforts last 2 starts (12-1) but feel there were excuses.. 3 and 4 back would be involved in this


    R6 #7 cherokee darling (15-1)

    exits an extremely fast race and drops two levels.. like the running line she ran even though most would say she did nothing.. was behind a significantly slow pace which didn't help


    R7 # 2 spirit of caledon (8-5)

    just love this horse on my angles (lots of them present).. going to be around 4-5 though but think he cruises


    R8 #11 jimmy winne (6-1)


    R9 #3 gospel cherokey (20-1)
    R9 #7 gospel musketeer (12-1)*

    *2 horses


    again same connections as R2 and yesterday's winning jock on #7 in this one.. should also mention all owned by the same guy.. like the other on paper I think both of these have a shot




    R10 #1 police chief (15-1)

    think he may have needed one off the about 5 month layoff.. back numbers good fit.. pretty cool a 7yo making only his 12th start




    fonner

    R3 #2 super miss b haven (3-1)
    R4 #2 golden bullet (2-1)
    R6 #5 ryrysweetie (3-1)
    R7 #1 itsallaboutyou (7-2)






    ..
    Last edited by JBEX; 05-19-20, 10:56 AM.
  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23400

    #2
    finished rogers
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23400

      #3
      did fonner.. chalky an understatement
      Comment
      • Seastriper
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-28-14
        • 237

        #4
        Originally posted by JBEX
        rogers

        R1 #7 goddess of wonder (5-1)

        ..
        R1 #7 goddess of wonder (5-1)
        What do you think is going on with this one so early JBEX.. going to 14-1 so fast? Maybe you see something by post time....
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23400

          #5
          I would've liked to see a little more support in spite of the fact the trainer is complete non-entity..that,slow works and a layoff are all reason's public might be put off by him..his last line is very good vs this field though..final decision half your bet on him (whatever you were gonna go)
          Comment
          • Seastriper
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-28-14
            • 237

            #6
            Originally posted by JBEX
            I would've liked to see a little more support in spite of the fact the trainer is complete non-entity..that,slow works and a layoff are all reason's public might be put off by him..his last line is very good vs this field though..final decision half your bet on him (whatever you were gonna go)
            Cool ---> just didn't know if something stood out and obvious all of a sudden... Thanks
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23400

              #7
              Originally posted by Seastriper
              Cool ---> just didn't know if something stood out and obvious all of a sudden... Thanks

              to me there's a lot of obvious put off factors that might explain it.. it's not one of those automatic "dead in the water" situations to me.. so feel it should just be a smaller bet
              Comment
              • Seastriper
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-28-14
                • 237

                #8
                Originally posted by JBEX
                to me there's a lot of obvious put off factors that might explain it.. it's not one of those automatic "dead in the water" situations to me.. so feel it should just be a smaller bet
                Comment
                • Seastriper
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-28-14
                  • 237

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JBEX
                  to me there's a lot of obvious put off factors that might explain it.. it's not one of those automatic "dead in the water" situations to me.. so feel it should just be a smaller bet
                  That was a $HIT SHOW from the start with the #10 and jockey flying off the horse!
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23400

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Seastriper
                    That was a $HIT SHOW from the start with the #10 and jockey flying off the horse!

                    yeah.. good thing for everybody who tried to beat the favorite though
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23400

                      #11
                      bombers like the one in this race should be bet lighter.. I'd say at least a third of what you'd bet on a 5-1
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23400

                        #12
                        seastriper you understand what I mean by adjusting your bets a little relative to the odds (if you're playing live). if you're a win bettor and your top bet is $10 something like

                        $10 under 10-1
                        $7 ..10-20
                        $5.. 21-30
                        $3.. higher

                        if I hit $10 win on a 6-1 I don't want to give $10 of that back on a 25-1 shot.. I think that's the right way to do it if you're just a win and place bettor
                        Comment
                        • Seastriper
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 04-28-14
                          • 237

                          #13
                          Understood 😃
                          Comment
                          • bballs84
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 5461

                            #14
                            No plays today JBex?
                            Comment
                            • Seastriper
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-28-14
                              • 237

                              #15
                              Originally posted by bballs84
                              No plays today JBex?
                              Copied from Kids area... From JBEX

                              R9


                              #6 mr hand full (10-1)

                              maybe they named him that for a reason lol.. line perfect.. but other thing I thought was how much faster his pace figs are then the probable favorite just inside of him.. also you have a cutback from 1 1/8 to a mile.. coming back in 2 weeks you think he'd retain some of that fitness from that race.. connections obscure so won't attract a bunch of attention. also you have gallardo on the outside with a well bred 4yo firster (especially what dam did on track and as a broodmare).. but starting as a 4yo for $16k so that's easy to take a stand against at a low price
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23400

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bballs84
                                No plays today JBex?

                                they are in lkids thread for the rest of the week.. I had said I was going to layoff for the week but decided I'd just do 2 /day max instead
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23400

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Seastriper
                                  Copied from Kids area... From JBEX

                                  R9


                                  #6 mr hand full (10-1)

                                  maybe they named him that for a reason lol.. line perfect.. but other thing I thought was how much faster his pace figs are then the probable favorite just inside of him.. also you have a cutback from 1 1/8 to a mile.. coming back in 2 weeks you think he'd retain some of that fitness from that race.. connections obscure so won't attract a bunch of attention. also you have gallardo on the outside with a well bred 4yo firster (especially what dam did on track and as a broodmare).. but starting as a 4yo for $16k so that's easy to take a stand against at a low price


                                  there's actually 2 plays as I replaced R3 with #8 hex (6-1)
                                  Comment
                                  • Seastriper
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-28-14
                                    • 237

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                    they are in lkids thread for the rest of the week.. I had said I was going to layoff for the week but decided I'd just do 2 /day max instead

                                    I'll have to find the PAPERWORK! Was it AUTHORIZED? lol ---> Enjoy your week
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23400

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Seastriper
                                      I'll have to find the PAPERWORK! Was it AUTHORIZED? lol ---> Enjoy your week



                                      I had a hunch I was not going to follow through on that lol..so this a reasonable compromise and chance to make
                                      some decisions on who..it's not going to necessarily be the most likely winner but the best value
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        I was tuning in right before my play at Tampa

                                        and saw a horse wheeled back in 7 days that just missed track record

                                        into mischief

                                        ultra impressive

                                        think was 1/2

                                        gotta it look it up
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Seastriper
                                          I'll have to find the PAPERWORK! Was it AUTHORIZED? lol ---> Enjoy your week
                                          hell yeAh authorized

                                          I loved checking in today seeing it

                                          and I just realized it’s wesnesdY

                                          was the last bolded thread in “my posts”

                                          lol, and I’m having one of my best work weeks doing this too

                                          you’d think I’d be normalized

                                          Blame it on the alcohol
                                          Comment
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