2018 saratoga and del mar ...just maidens

[Louisvillekid1]

I agree gl

[Louisvillekid1]

I think the #6 Qian (shipping 200 miles east from river , is up your alley)

—

Saturday

I think you might be interested in a few:

R1: 5-2-3
R4: honestly don’t think the #3 can loose galloping backwards
R13: 5-2-7

But the maidens on Travers day , feel chalky

[JBEX]

I think the #6 Qian (shipping 200 miles east from river , is up your alley)

—

Saturday

I think you might be interested in a few:

R1: 5-2-3
R4: honestly don’t think the #3 can loose galloping backwards
R13: 5-2-7

But the maidens on Travers day , feel chalky

going to look at travers day tomorrow but realize the big outfits save their big guns (maidens) for travers under card which often times means underlays


tough to beat those stonewall farm homebreds..they have kentucky pedigrees and are running mostly against much lesser company..my only other would be #3 pipes who actually cost a lot of money relative to his breeding..bred for turf and win early..but no value on either of these..you'll get a nice price with yours and that trainer can get them to win 1st out..but I looked at it earlier and decided to pass

[JBEX]

going to look at travers day tomorrow but realize the big outfits save their big guns (maidens) for travers under card which often times means underlays


tough to beat those stonewall farm homebreds..they have kentucky pedigrees and are running mostly against much lesser company..my only other would be #3 pipes who actually cost a lot of money relative to his breeding..bred for turf and win early..but no value on either of these..you'll get a nice price with yours and that trainer can get them to win 1st out..but I looked at it earlier and decided to pass

barry k schwartz is stonewall farms

[Louisvillekid1]

JBEX

What is your drink?

Scotch or whiskey?

Neat or rocks?

[JBEX]

outside of a beer here and there not a drinker..I know that's probably uncommon in here lol

[JBEX]

added R11 post 245

[JBEX]

del mar


R1 #6 don'teatmycookies (7-2)

useful debut at 1 level above showed speed and a fairly even fade.. could see better effort here vs lesser with that under her belt.. no problem with this up for 40k with her pedigree


R8 #9 my midnight affair (15-1)

like at a price with another drop and stretching out and surface switch.. trainer10-4-1-1 at the meet so far

[JBEX]

saratoga friday

R4 #5 seven jewels (8-1)

"off a beat slow, greenly" was the chart callers comment.. I think the resulting running line is a great set up race to stretch out off.. the winners figure in that race (2yof sb msw) was above the par for a 2yof sb stakes so that was a fast race she exited..she went off 3-1 in that race and the winner went on to repeat in her next start

some trainer stats.. brad cox

356/29%.. 46-90 days off
85/34%.. first race on grass
91/29%..first try route

big brown/too much bling mare... above avg turf but below avg class ..cost 10k and dam was a minor stakes winner at a small circuit track ..this to me about neutral info but other stuff like very much


#4 tiztinabella (12-1) half unit

gleaves has won with a big price debuter on turf according to the trainer stats and I believe (but not sure) it was at this meet.. sire and dam sire above avg turf influences


R11 #5 good old boy (12-1)

really feel this one a hidden gem..4 career starts beginning as a 2yo

no blinkers broke slow debut...

adds them breaks from 11 post ,shows speed beyond the eighth pole on a very fast pace..

breaks slow from rail and looks like a rough trip

1 start as a 3yo in january (dirt)and did nothing

5.5f turf dropping to mcl seems like a good move..dam sire nashwan who's strictly euro turf..
gets irad whose 2/3 riding for maker last 60..sure at least one,maybe both at saratoga

#4... 2 mtp

[JBEX]

#4... 2 mtp

didn't matter

[JBEX]

saratoga ... saturday

R1.. triple 256/1/7 and 256/7/1 smaller

trying to beat chad brown firster (#1) with the 3 most likely ones to do it.. #7 STRONG UNION (12-1) is a lukas first time starter and to say he's dreadful with them is an understatement . how about 1/97 going back 3 years.. but the horse he has cost $650k and was the most expensive yearling of 66 sold by union rags last year.. works are slow as hell at saratoga and most of them at churchill the same with a couple of 3f bullets from small tab the exception.. just hard to imagine they'd run just for the heck on the travers undercard and lukas has come in 2nd 9 times in 28 starts at the meet..going to try and get him underneath


R4 #7 social paranoia (9-2)

dont normally like to go with horses with good dirt form in maiden turf races because it's too obvious.. going to break that rule here due to the above average turf pedigree and what looks like a nice slightly off the pace running style...post a positive also


R11 #10 uncle larry (8-1)

pletcher msw to mcl 132/36% wow.. not an ultra expensive horse making first turf attempt. and the drop should really help.. think he'll be below 5-1


dmr

R4 #7 untouched elegance (6-1)
R5 #2 springtime dance (20-1)
R10 #4 paladar (5-1)

[JBEX]

added dmr 8

[JBEX]

added last saratoga

[JBEX]

added dmr 4 5

[JBEX]

saratoga ... saturday

R1.. triple 256/1/7 and 256/7/1 smaller

trying to beat chad brown firster (#1) with the 3 most likely ones to do it.. #7 STRONG UNION (12-1) is a lukas first time starter and to say he's dreadful with them is an understatement . how about 1/97 going back 3 years.. but the horse he has cost $650k and was the most expensive yearling of 66 sold by union rags last year.. works are slow as hell at saratoga and most of them at churchill the same with a couple of 3f bullets from small tab the exception.. just hard to imagine they'd run just for the heck on the travers undercard and lukas has come in 2nd 9 times in 28 starts at the meet..going to try and get him underneath


R4 #7 social paranoia (9-2)

dont normally like to go with horses with good dirt form in maiden turf races because it's too obvious.. going to break that rule here due to the above average turf pedigree and what looks like a nice slightly off the pace running style...post a positive also


R11 #10 uncle larry (8-1)

pletcher msw to mcl 132/36% wow.. not an ultra expensive horse making first turf attempt. and the drop should really help.. think he'll be below 5-1


dmr

R4 #7 untouched elegance (6-1)
R5 #2 springtime dance (20-1)

no uncle larry didn't run in the travers ...R13

[JBEX]

added R10 dmr

[JBEX]

saratoga

R2 #10 choate bridge... first time starter (fts)

home bred with a very nice pedigree top and bottom.. dam stakes placed, 4 winners from as many starters and 3 of those won on turf including 1 stakes winner . trainer avg and below avg stats in this category ..that's good imo as it helps with the price


#2 trish the dish (8-1) half unit


R5 #6 wheedle (12-1) (fts)

not going to go over the whole thing but just say big time specs along the lines of what I look for
in fts


R10 #2 spa jazz (5-1)


del mar


R4

there are 3 mega expensive horses (fts) in here and all of them besides being so pricey are also expensive relative to the specs.. don't remember ever seeing this situation

#2 tale of the union (5-2) baffert/van dyke.. $925k
#3 mucho gusto (8-1) baffert/talamo...$625k
#5 harmon (6-1)gallagher/Smith.. $500k

#2.. dam sire tale of the cat way above average fts
#3.. going to give him a shot on top also
#5.. gallagher horrible fts 1/42


exacta 23/235 my stand will be no 3 horse box.. have a hunch at least one of these will be a big time runner


R10 #8 fast cotton (6-1)

[JBEX]

added 5

[JBEX]

saratoga

R1 #10 choate bridge... first time starter (fts)

home bred with a very nice pedigree top and bottom.. dam stakes placed, 4 winners from as many starters and 3 of those won on turf including 1 stakes winner . trainer avg and below avg stats in this category ..that's good imo as it helps with the price


#2 trish the dish (8-1) half unit


R5 #6 wheedle (12-1) (fts)

not going to go over the whole thing but just say big time specs along the lines of what I look for
in fts

if these were older experienced horses the 9 (2nd)comes down for the start.. if the 9 broke straight ahead 10 probably wins @ 24-1(3rd)

[JBEX]

added R10

[JBEX]

added dmr 4

[JBEX]

added dmr 10

[JBEX]

saratoga monday

R1 #2 brett's legacy (5-1)
R2 #4 winter union (4-1)
R3 #3 miss jackie g (15-1)

nothing to do with capping.. 4 and the 5 this race are by the same sire and cost the same at auction.. that's like wearing a t shirt you haven't worn in 20 years and some one standing in front of you at the supermarket wearing the same one lol



R9 #4 surge of pride (7-2) fts

feel this a weak bunch of newbies.. homebred with a sire whose way above avg first turf and first out..dam unraced and this is first foal to race.. like the fact the dam sire is bernardini which usually
means there's some quality in the female bloodline.. irad ortiz aboard

[JBEX]

added R9

[JBEX]

saratoga

R1 #1 ocean ready (8-1) steeplechase
R3 #6 anne dupree (3-1)

[JBEX]

saratoga

R2

#6 chantry flats (10-1) scratch
#8 carom (8-1) half unit scratch

both fit my ex/ped angle and both also ran halfway decent
last out on the turf..like that mine (6)was coming off a long layoff and was on the lead in a fast pace last out and held pretry well..should benefit from that effort..the others 2 tries were decent and jose ortiz rides..interesting that franco (6's jockey) rode the 8 in his only 2 starts and elects to ride the other..I think it's because he does a lot more business with that trainer than the lower volume trainer of the 8 ,ribauldo


R5 #3 fiveinthemorning (6-1)

5 career starts and 2 good sprint efforts..others without getting specific there are legit excuses..castellano jumps aboard and he's 2 for 3 with this trainer past 60 days



R7

#5 poppy's destiny (9-2) fts

pedex lol.. extremely expensive for pedigree.. dam was a stakes winner but it was at northland park..


#1 wild boar (12-1) fts half unit

pedex with a way above average first out sire.. above avg dam sire and dam was a winner.. if other too low this one a nice bet at a price



R10 #8 lem me tell ya (15-1)this is a decent field of maidens .. his lines are not bad at all and wouldn't be shocked at all if he took it scratch


del mar

R4 #1 irish spirit (12-1) scratch

a $310k curlin stretching out for his 2nd start..even with how expensive curlin is as a sire that's a lot of money..this horse was bought as a yearling in 2016 and his fee was lower than making the price more meaningful.. the stud fee they paid in 2015 was $25k and his current fee is $150k..obviously curlin's done well (I am bad at remembering specific horses).. trainer mccarthy good in many applicable categories today.. rail is excellent in routes at dmr


R8 #4 dislitleaglecanfly (5-1) also #6 grecian fort (20-1) half unit

[JBEX]

added R5

[JBEX]

added R8.. still gonna look at last 2

[JBEX]

added R8.. still gonna look at last 2

it is R7... corrected sorry

[Louisvillekid1]

R7

i like the #3 & #7

Gl

pt thread not linked yet

[JBEX]

saratoga

R2

#6 chantry flats (10-1) scratch
#8 carom (8-1) half unit scratch

both fit my ex/ped angle and both also ran halfway decent
last out on the turf..like that mine (6)was coming off a long layoff and was on the lead in a fast pace last out and held pretry well..should benefit from that effort..the others 2 tries were decent and jose ortiz rides..interesting that franco (6's jockey) rode the 8 in his only 2 starts and elects to ride the other..I think it's because he does a lot more business with that trainer than the lower volume trainer of the 8 ,ribauldo


R5 #3 fiveinthemorning (6-1)

5 career starts and 2 good sprint efforts..others without getting specific there are legit excuses..castellano jumps aboard and he's 2 for 3 with this trainer past 60 days



R7

#5 poppy's destiny (9-2) fts

pedex lol.. extremely expensive for pedigree.. dam was a stakes winner but it was at northland park..


#1 wild boar (12-1) fts half unit

pedex with a way above average first out sire.. above avg dam sire and dam was a winner.. if other too low this one a nice bet at a price

R7 poppy's destiny is #5 not #4.. corrected above.. always check my numbers if you play as I'm naturally careless

[JBEX]

R7

i like the #3 & #7

Gl

pt thread not linked yet

can see both of those lkid.. very competitive race gl

[JBEX]

finished saratoga

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice man

my #3 just missed ,

nice call brother

one miss step ,

the #3 better going forward

[JBEX]

Nice man

my #3 just missed ,

nice call brother

one miss step ,

the #3 better going forward

thanks kid..really thought you got me at the wire and didn't see the photo but the slow mo ...man was that close..I got no skin in the game other than the time I put in so would've like to see you get it