Chase the TIE with SPANKMYTHIGHS

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  • spankmythighs
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 2884

    #1
    Chase the TIE with SPANKMYTHIGHS
    This is the beginning of my TIE chase on all hockey teams, no exceptions. Since there were an average of about 18-20 ties per team last year, I figured I would give it a shot since you get 3 to 1 on your money which is better than dozens in roulette. Each team should average going to overtime every 5 or so games. I think Buffalo is the only team yet to go to extra time. I will be using a progression system and a larger bankroll. With a large enough bankroll, this is a guaranteed winning system but will take alot of patience and organization which I will keep track of. Lets get started. There are four games tonight so I will be betting 1 unit per team so tonight we will bet 2 units per game and carry on from there. Below are all the teams in the NHL and everyday I will have the date above the list of teams with the unit needed to bet if they are playing that night. I will post an outlined progression of units shortly. I will be betting to win 1 unit. Because hitting a tie is 3 to 1, we can bet 1 unit per team for their first 3 games. Here we go:


    Friday October 28th, 2011

    Anaheim
    Calgary - 1 Unit
    Chicago - 1 Unit
    Colorado - 1 Unit
    Columbus
    Dallas
    Edmonton - 1 Unit
    LA
    Minnesota
    Nashville
    Phoenix
    San Jose - 1 Unit
    St. Louis - 1 Unit
    Vancouver
    Boston
    Buffalo
    Carolina - 1 Unit
    Florida
    Detroit - 1 Unit
    New Jersey
    NYI
    NYR
    Ottawa
    Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh
    Tampa Bay
    Toronto
    Washington
    Winnepeg

    Let's make some money!
    sbr
  • spankmythighs
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 2884

    #2
    I will start by using $20 per unit.
    sbr
    Comment
    • spankmythighs
      SBR MVP
      • 01-26-10
      • 2884

      #3
      Oh, and hitting in the first 2 games of chasing a team will be a bonus because we will make more than the 1 unit we are after.
      sbr
      Comment
      • jsw64
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-28-11
        • 520

        #4
        Good Luck.
        Comment
        • spankmythighs
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-10
          • 2884

          #5
          Originally posted by jsw64
          Good Luck.
          Appreciate it JSW but luck is not needed just need to stay organized and track this perfect.
          sbr
          Comment
          • TWEETS
            SBR MVP
            • 10-22-08
            • 2114

            #6
            so each team had a draw 1 out of 4 games roughly last year and you are getting 3/1 on your money on average....sounds like a break even at BEST
            Comment
            • spankmythighs
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-10
              • 2884

              #7
              What? I don't think you understand the progressive betting being used. With 3 - 1 odds, here is the pattern:

              *each unit worth $100
              ---------------------Cost------------Win----------------Profit--------
              Game 1 - 1 unit -------0--------------300---------------- 300
              Game 2 - 1 unit ------100-------------300-----------------200
              Game 3 - 1 unit ------200-------------300-----------------100
              Game 4 - 1.4 units ---300-------------420-----------------120
              Game 5 - 1.8 units ---440-------------540-----------------100
              Game 6 - 2.4 units ---620-------------720-----------------100
              Game 7 - 3.2 units ---860-------------960-----------------100
              Game 8 - 4.3 units ---1180------------1280----------------100
              Game 9 - 5.7 units ---1610------------1710----------------100
              Game 10 - 7.67 units -2180------------2300----------------120

              Breakeven? Nope. Now I wouldn't expect anyone to play $100 a unit unless you have a massive bankroll. I won't till I build it up.
              sbr
              Comment
              • spankmythighs
                SBR MVP
                • 01-26-10
                • 2884

                #8
                Results

                Friday October 28th, 2011

                Anaheim

                Calgary - 1 Unit
                Chicago - 1 Unit
                Colorado - 1 Unit
                Columbus
                Dallas
                Edmonton - 1 Unit
                LA
                Minnesota
                Nashville
                Phoenix
                San Jose - 1 Unit
                St. Louis - 1 Unit
                Vancouver
                Boston
                Buffalo
                Carolina - 1 Unit
                Florida
                Detroit - 1 Unit
                New Jersey
                NYI
                NYR
                Ottawa
                Philadelphia
                Pittsburgh
                Tampa Bay
                Toronto
                Washington
                Winnepeg

                Saturdays picks to follow.
                sbr
                Comment
                • spankmythighs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 2884

                  #9
                  Saturday October 29th, 2011

                  Anaheim - 1 Unit
                  Calgary

                  Chicago - 1 Unit
                  Colorado
                  Columbus - 1 Unit
                  Dallas - 1 Unit
                  Edmonton
                  LA - 1 Unit
                  Minnesota
                  Nashville - 1 Unit
                  Phoenix - 1 Unit
                  San Jose - 1 Unit
                  St. Louis
                  Vancouver - 1 Unit
                  Boston - 1 Unit
                  Buffalo - 1 Unit
                  Carolina
                  Florida - 1 Unit
                  Detroit
                  Montreal - 1 Unit
                  New Jersey - 1Unit
                  NYI - 1 Unit
                  NYR - 1 Unit
                  Ottawa - 1 Unit
                  Philadelphia
                  Pittsburgh - 1 Unit
                  Tampa Bay - 1 Unit
                  Toronto - 1 Unit
                  Washington
                  Winnipeg - 1 Unit

                  Bound to get some wins tonight.
                  sbr
                  Comment
                  • spankmythighs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-26-10
                    • 2884

                    #10
                    Got 1 tie today in the Ottawa game. Wasn't expecting that.
                    sbr
                    Comment
                    • EasyPicks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-21-11
                      • 3804

                      #11
                      Why do u put one unit in each team??

                      At bet365 the offer the tie (3 way match) at 4.00 (+300), so this way u only bet one unit per game and not per time! Or am I getting something wrong?
                      Comment
                      • spankmythighs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-26-10
                        • 2884

                        #12
                        I am using a progression system so in order to this, I will bet every team until they tie and then start the progression over. Some games will have one team only betting one unit while the other may be 2 or 3 units because they haven't tied in 5 or 6 games. So the total for that particular game would be 1 unit + 2 units and so on.
                        sbr
                        Comment
                        • spankmythighs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-26-10
                          • 2884

                          #13
                          Originally posted by spankmythighs
                          Saturday October 29th, 2011

                          Anaheim - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Calgary
                          Chicago - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Colorado
                          Columbus - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Dallas - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Edmonton
                          LA - 1 Unit
                          Minnesota
                          Nashville - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Phoenix - 1 Unit
                          San Jose - 1 Unit
                          St. Louis
                          Vancouver - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Boston - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Buffalo - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Carolina
                          Florida - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Detroit
                          Montreal - 1 Unit LOSS
                          New Jersey - 1Unit LOSS
                          NYI - 1 Unit
                          NYR - 1 Unit
                          Ottawa - 1 Unit
                          Philadelphia
                          Pittsburgh - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Tampa Bay - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Toronto - 1 Unit LOSS
                          Washington
                          Winnipeg - 1 Unit LOSS

                          Bound to get some wins tonight.
                          Hit 3 ties yesterday, let's keep it going!
                          sbr
                          Comment
                          • spankmythighs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-26-10
                            • 2884

                            #14
                            Sunday October 30th, 2011

                            Anaheim - 1 Unit
                            Calgary

                            Chicago
                            Colorado - 1 Unit
                            Columbus - 1 Unit
                            Dallas
                            Edmonton - 1 Unit
                            LA - 1 Unit
                            Minnesota
                            Nashville
                            Phoenix
                            San Jose
                            St. Louis - 1 Unit
                            Vancouver
                            Boston
                            Buffalo
                            Carolina
                            Florida
                            Detroit
                            Montreal
                            New Jersey
                            NYI
                            NYR
                            Ottawa - 1 Unit
                            Philadelphia
                            Pittsburgh
                            Tampa Bay
                            Toronto - 1 Unit
                            Washington
                            Winnipeg

                            Let's get some !
                            sbr
                            Comment
                            • EasyPicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-21-11
                              • 3804

                              #15
                              and the units won/loss ?
                              won't u track those also here?
                              Comment
                              • spankmythighs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-26-10
                                • 2884

                                #16
                                Yep, I will start to add those stats aswell.
                                sbr
                                Comment
                                • spankmythighs
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-26-10
                                  • 2884

                                  #17
                                  So far this system is -6 Units. So if you are betting $100 a unit u would be -$600.
                                  sbr
                                  Comment
                                  • spankmythighs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-26-10
                                    • 2884

                                    #18
                                    Going to finish off the KHL season doing this aswell.
                                    sbr
                                    Comment
                                    • fjordo
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 1298

                                      #19
                                      So how long would you chase them for? I mean Buffalo has played 10 straight without an OT, Columbus at 8, and a couple others at 7.
                                      Comment
                                      • spankmythighs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-26-10
                                        • 2884

                                        #20
                                        I will chase them till they get to overtime. Last year Anaheim had a 14-game streak with no overtime. You have to have a healthy bankroll in order to do this and alot of organization. I have a grid that I use to keep track of everything and follow the progression exactly.You also have to cut this well short of the post season or you will get burnt. I have done this before and never lost money. You will always be up using this system. 30 teams x 16-18 average games going to overtime per season, per team = +480 - +540 units per year. I would say that is a pretty gd living.
                                        sbr
                                        Comment
                                        • EasyPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-21-11
                                          • 3804

                                          #21
                                          500 units!! damn it, that's a pretty good living! But one has to have a big big bankroll
                                          Comment
                                          • spankmythighs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-26-10
                                            • 2884

                                            #22
                                            Here are my picks for tonight:

                                            Chicago TIE - 1 Unit
                                            Nashville TIE - 1 Unit
                                            San Jose TIE - 1 Unit
                                            Florida TIE - 1 Unit
                                            NYR TIE - 1 Unit
                                            Winnipeg TIE - 1 Unit
                                            sbr
                                            Comment
                                            • BubbleTeaJelly
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-11-11
                                              • 170

                                              #23
                                              i'm in with you on this spanky. let's get it brah!!
                                              Comment
                                              • spankmythighs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-10
                                                • 2884

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BubbleTeaJelly
                                                i'm in with you on this spanky. let's get it brah!!
                                                I won't lead you astray.
                                                sbr
                                                Comment
                                                • spankmythighs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-26-10
                                                  • 2884

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by EasyPicks
                                                  500 units!! damn it, that's a pretty good living! But one has to have a big big bankroll
                                                  It just all depends on your unit size but yes u do. You can spread your bankroll around to different bookies too just make sure you are getting similar odds.
                                                  sbr
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spankmythighs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-26-10
                                                    • 2884

                                                    #26
                                                    Your wins will start to ease the blow and will come at opportune times. It is also a bonus when a team goes into OT back-to-back games and even 3 games in a row. Those are the best.
                                                    sbr
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lolguy999
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-28-10
                                                      • 3070

                                                      #27
                                                      nice of someone to understand the math of it to start something like this. Hope you do well with this!! It looks really solid
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dharmonize
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-10-10
                                                        • 1991

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                                        I won't lead you astray.
                                                        I remember a couple of years ago, when San Jose didn't go to overtime in something like 20-25 straight games, many people went broke using this system. And they were only chasing one team. Imagine you will be chasing 3 or more teams on a 7-10 game stretch at the same time. Such a system can only earn some money when it goes as expected on paper, until a "disaster" of a similar streak strikes. This kind of chasing can destroy even very large bankrolls and is potentially a road to hell.

                                                        Anyway, GL and hope that you're lucky enough to avoid all possible "anomalies", like the one I've mentioned above!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pickemtowinem
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 03-03-11
                                                          • 1446

                                                          #29
                                                          This can bury you in a month. You are better to play games to overtime with divisional match ups only. Doing every team everytime they play will render u bankrupt in a hurry. I know ive tried this. It hurt bad. Just saying. Heavy defense first oriented teams are the exception to my division only tie plays......but trust me when i say this.....tweak the system chase a little.

                                                          I bet ties too.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fjordo
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 1298

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Dharmonize
                                                            I remember a couple of years ago, when San Jose didn't go to overtime in something like 20-25 straight games
                                                            Looking the other way, what is the longest streak for teams going to overtime?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dharmonize
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-10
                                                              • 1991

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by pickemtowinem
                                                              This can bury you in a month. Doing every team everytime they play will render u bankrupt in a hurry.


                                                              Originally posted by fjordo
                                                              Looking the other way, what is the longest streak for teams going to overtime?
                                                              I have no idea, mister. We might get an answer here in a few months. All I'm saying is that I personally haven't met anyone getting rich using this or similar systems (it's nothing but a martingale after all), but I've seen quite a few bettors getting buried by it. This CAN work, but how many people here have a bankroll large enough to actually do this? And even if they did, they can still make bigger (or at least safer) profit just flat betting.

                                                              Anyway, I'm not trying to invade this guy's thread, just wanted to drop my 2 cents here...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • spankmythighs
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-26-10
                                                                • 2884

                                                                #32
                                                                With a smaller unit amount you could lessen your hit to your bankroll. There is no way in hell that a team has less than 8 or 9 ties for the season. Plus if you are tailing a team for an extended amount of games, just fade your other teams till u hit that particular team. This isn't rocket science, just common sense. You won't have 10 teams all going for 10 or more games without a tie. The chances of that are ridiculous.

                                                                On another note we hit 2 of our 3 games last night. Tonights picks to follow.
                                                                sbr
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pickemtowinem
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 03-03-11
                                                                  • 1446

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Hey I hope you didn't think I was knocking you, I was just saying that I tried this one season, from get go and by nov 15th i was regretting it.

                                                                  Once I switched to divisional/rival and heavy defense first teams, they started hitting at a better clip. In the end, we are all here to make some extra cash, and I am all for systems that yield positive results long term....its just that I have not found one that actually works as advertised.

                                                                  You have been doing well so far, and I wish you continued success, I just know that there are certain teams that either blast the opponent, or get blasted, and don't go to extra time very often.

                                                                  Buffalo went to OT 25 times last season. (tied for most OT appearances)
                                                                  Boston went to OT 14 times last season. (least OT appearances)

                                                                  it can work, its just risky. Juicy risk. I dont have that kind of bankroll unless im betting $1 a game. lol!

                                                                  Good luck man!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • spankmythighs
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-26-10
                                                                    • 2884

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by pickemtowinem
                                                                    Hey I hope you didn't think I was knocking you, I was just saying that I tried this one season, from get go and by nov 15th i was regretting it.

                                                                    Once I switched to divisional/rival and heavy defense first teams, they started hitting at a better clip. In the end, we are all here to make some extra cash, and I am all for systems that yield positive results long term....its just that I have not found one that actually works as advertised.

                                                                    You have been doing well so far, and I wish you continued success, I just know that there are certain teams that either blast the opponent, or get blasted, and don't go to extra time very often.

                                                                    Buffalo went to OT 25 times last season. (tied for most OT appearances)
                                                                    Boston went to OT 14 times last season. (least OT appearances)

                                                                    it can work, its just risky. Juicy risk. I dont have that kind of bankroll unless im betting $1 a game. lol!

                                                                    Good luck man!
                                                                    It's all gd. I am only doing $20 a unit and have alot of cash so it should be fine. All teams tonight are 1 unit bets.
                                                                    sbr
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • spankmythighs
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-26-10
                                                                      • 2884

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Decent night last night with 2 games going into OT. We have gone from -6 Units to +2 units now. Here are the plays for tonight:

                                                                      Colorado - 1 Unit
                                                                      Phoenix - 1 Unit
                                                                      Buffalo - 1 Unit
                                                                      Phili - 1 Unit
                                                                      NJ - 1 Unit
                                                                      Toronto - 1 Unit

                                                                      Let's get some more!
                                                                      sbr
                                                                      Comment
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