Tail or Fade

[Deol]

MTL is 18-3-0-1 at home against Boston in the regular season post lockout. I don't like the game but its a stat a think I can't ignore. I think MTL goes on a run sooner then later. GL either way.

[Deol]

PHI -0.5 1.82 (1u) LOSE
PHI -1.5 2.50 (1u) LOSE
PIT -1.5 2.45 (2u) WIN
PIT -2.0 3.10 (1u) WIN
CAL -0.5 2.40 (1u) LOSE
MTL ML 2.18 (1u) LOSE
MTL -0.5 2.80 (1u) LOSE
NJ ML 1.95 (1u) LOSE
NJ -0.5 2.65 (1u) LOSE
DAL -0.5 2.30 (1u) WIN

Risk: 11 units
Return: 10.3 units
When you go 3-7 and are only down -0.7 units, you consider youself very lucky and move on.

Today: -0.7 units
YTD: +8.5 units

[Deol]

I like all the favorites today, but not overly confident and don't like the juice so instead just going for a big win.
2.0 units total (each bet is worth 0.25 units). I'm taking TB/STL/NASH all winning margins 1 and 2, there is a total of 8 combinations. So for me to win all three teams have to win and by no more than 2 goals. (WM 1 is 3.50 and WM 2 is 6.50)
1/1/1 1/1/2 1/2/1 1/2/2
2/1/1 2/1/2 2/2/1 2/2/2

[Deol]

No matter what I did I woulda lost today, maybe on days like this I'm just tail Sawyer and his underdogs.

Today: -2.0 U
YTD: +6.5 U

[Deol]

BUF ML 2.07 (1u)
CLB -0.5 3.50 (1u)
WPG -0.5 3.75 (1)
PHI -0.5 2.05 (3u)
PHI -1.5 2.90 (2u)
PIT -0.5 1.80 (3u)
PIT -1.5 2.50 (2u)
MTL ML 1.95 (2u)
MTL -0.5 2.52 (2u)
MTL -1.5 3.60 (1u)
DET -0.5 1.89 (1u)
DET -1.5 2.65 (1u)
NYR ML 1.952 (1u)
NYR -0.5 2.56 (1u)
MIN ML 1.87 (1u)
DAL ML 1.95 (1u)
DAL -0.5 2.65 (1u)
ANA ML 2.30 (1u)
ANA -0.5 3.10 (1u)
VAN ML 1.74 (2u)
VAN -0.5 2.20 (2u)
VAN -1.5 3.20 (1u)
SJ -0.5 2.10 (1u)
MIN WM 1/2 DAL WM 1/2 (1u)
(4 bets: 0.25u each) 1-3.50 2-6.50

[Deol]

BUF ML 2.07 (1u) LOSE
CLB -0.5 3.50 (1u) LOSE
WPG -0.5 3.75 (1) LOSE
PHI -0.5 2.05 (3u) LOSE
PHI -1.5 2.90 (2u) LOSE
PIT -0.5 1.80 (3u) LOSE
PIT -1.5 2.50 (2u) LOSE
MTL ML 1.95 (2u) WIN
MTL -0.5 2.52 (2u) LOSE
MTL -1.5 3.60 (1u) LOSE
DET -0.5 1.89 (1u) WIN
DET -1.5 2.65 (1u) WIN
NYR ML 1.952 (1u) LOSE
NYR -0.5 2.56 (1u) LOSE
MIN ML 1.87 (1u) WIN
DAL ML 1.95 (1u) WIN
DAL -0.5 2.65 (1u) LOSE
ANA ML 2.30 (1u) LOSE
ANA -0.5 3.10 (1u) LOSE
VAN ML 1.74 (2u) WIN
VAN -0.5 2.20 (2u) WIN
VAN -1.5 3.20 (1u) WIN
SJ -0.5 2.10 (1u) WIN
MIN WM 1/2 DAL WM 1/2 (1u) WIN
(4 bets: 0.25u each) 1-3.50 2-6.50

Overtime wins hurt a lot today but finally hit one of my winning margin parlays to curb the shitty day: MIN WM1 DAL WM 1 (3.5 x 3.5 x 0.25u= to win 3.05 units)

Today: -5.2 U
YTD: +1.3 U

[Deol]

Think Calgary pulls the upset, great value here.

DET ML 2.15 (1u)
NJ ML 1.90 (1u)
NJ -0.5 2.35 (1u)
MTL ML 2.30 (1u)
MTL -0.5 3.10 (1u)
WASH -0.5 2.00 (1u)
MIN -0.5 2.30 (1u)
PIT-OTT o5.5 1.95 (1u)
BUF-CLB u5.5 1.87 (1u)
WPG ML 2.15 (1u)
WPG -0.5 2.90 (1u)
FLA ML 1.83 (1u)
CAL ML 2.50 (2u)
CAL -0.5 3.50 (2u)
CAL -1.5 4.85 (1u)
DAL ML 1.80 (2u)
DAL -0.5 2.25 (1u)
VAN ML 1.90 (1u)
VAN -0.5 2.50 (1u)

[Deol]

Correction, the CAL -0.5 and CAL ML actually have 3 units on it each, not 2. GO FLAMES!!

[Deol]

Think Calgary pulls the upset, great value here.

DET ML 2.15 (1u) WIN
NJ ML 1.90 (1u) WIN
NJ -0.5 2.35 (1u) WIN
MTL ML 2.30 (1u) LOSE
MTL -0.5 3.10 (1u) LOSE
WASH -0.5 2.00 (1u) LOSE
MIN -0.5 2.30 (1u) LOSE
PIT-OTT o5.5 1.95 (1u) WIN
BUF-CLB u5.5 1.87 (1u) LOSE
WPG ML 2.15 (1u) WIN
WPG -0.5 2.90 (1u) WIN
FLA ML 1.83 (1u) LOSE
CAL ML 2.50 (3u) LOSE
CAL -0.5 3.50 (3u) LOSE
CAL -1.5 4.85 (1u) LOSE
DAL ML 1.80 (2u) LOSE
DAL -0.5 2.25 (1u) LOSE
VAN ML 1.90 (1u) WIN
VAN -0.5 2.50 (1u) WIN

Shouldnt of gone big on the Flames, they were clearly the difference tonight.

Today: -6.2U
YTD: -5.0U

[Deol]

EDM ML 2.10 (2u)
EDM o2.5 1.80 (2u)
EDM -1.5 3.95 (2u)
BOS -0.5 1.71 (1u)
WASH ML 1.95 (2u)
WASH -0.5 2.52 (2u)
PIT ML 1.75 (2u)
PIT -0.5 2.15 (2u)
PIT -1.5 3.00 (1u)
DET ML 1.74 (1u)
DET -0.5 2.16 (1u)
DAL ML 2.22 (1u)
DAL -0.5 3.10 (1u)
VAN ML 2.30 (1u)
VAN -0.5 3.10 (1u)
CHI o2.5 1.87 (1u)

[Deol]

Shaping up to be a brutal night. FKN OIL CAPS PENS

[Deol]

EDM ML 2.10 (2u) LOSE
EDM o2.5 1.80 (2u) LOSE
EDM -1.5 3.95 (2u) LOSE
BOS -0.5 1.71 (1u) WIN
WASH ML 1.95 (2u) LOSE
WASH -0.5 2.52 (2u) LOSE
PIT ML 1.75 (2u) WIN
PIT -0.5 2.15 (2u) LOSE
PIT -1.5 3.00 (1u) LOSE
DET ML 1.74 (1u) WIN
DET -0.5 2.16 (1u) WIN
DAL ML 2.22 (1u) LOSE
DAL -0.5 3.10 (1u) LOSE
VAN ML 2.30 (1u) WIN
VAN -0.5 3.10 (1u) WIN
CHI o2.5 1.87 (1u) LOSE

Today: -7.5 U
YTD: -12.5 U

[Deol]

Time to right the ship I hope:

OTT -0.5 2.10 (1u)
MIN ML 1.84 (2u)
MIN -0.5 2.30 (1u)
ANA ML 1.82 (2u)
ANA -0.5 2.30 (1u)

[Deol]

Time to right the ship I hope:

OTT -0.5 2.10 (1u) WIN
MIN ML 1.84 (2u) LOSE
MIN -0.5 2.30 (1u) LOSE
ANA ML 1.82 (2u) LOSE
ANA -0.5 2.30 (1u) LOSE

Today: -4.9U
YTD: - 17.4U

[Deol]

MIN ML 1.92 (1u)
NAS-EDM o5.5 2.20 (1u)
SJ ML 1.87 (2u)
SJ -0.5 2.40 (2u)
SJ -1.5 3.40 (1u)
DAL-COL o5.5 1.98 (1u)

[leafs_ducks]

keep your head up bud! GL tonight! liking the sharks as well!

[Deol]

MIN ML 1.92 (1u) WIN
NAS-EDM o5.5 2.20 (1u) LOSE
SJ ML 1.87 (2u) LOSE
SJ -0.5 2.40 (2u) LOSE
SJ -1.5 3.40 (1u) LOSE
DAL-COL o5.5 1.98 (1u) LOSE

Premature but the ways its been going, pretty sure the Sharks are done tonight, fakk!!

Today. -6.1
YTD: -23.5

[Deol]

Lets go new coaches:

CAR ML 1.94 (4u)
CAR -0.5 2.40 (1u)
WASH ML 1.80 (4u)
WASH -0.5 2.30 (1u)
PIT ML 1.87 (4u)
PIT -0.5 2.35 (1u)
CAL ML 1.80 (2u)
CAL -0.5 2.30 (1u)
VAN -1.5 2.30 (1u)
NYIBUF o5.5 2.20 (2u)
WASH & PIT o2.5 2.98 (2u)
WAS PIT o2.5 & CHI VAN o3 10.2 (1u)

[Deol]

Worst night in a while last night, down almost 40% of my bankroll on the season:

Yesterday: -15.8 U
YTD: -39.3 U

DET ML 1.61 (5u)
DET -0.5 1.90 (2u)
BOS ML 1.75 (5u)
BOS -0.5 2.17 (2u)
NJ ML 1.92 (5u)
NJ -0.5 2.45 (2u)
MTL ML 1.95 (5u)
MTL -0.5 (2u)
Parlay: (all -0.5 except MTL):
BOS-/DET-/NJ-/MTL ml 19.0 (1u)