Hot Wings Hockey Picks 2011-12

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  • HOT WINGS
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8055

    #1
    Hot Wings Hockey Picks 2011-12
    Figured I might as well get my thread started for the new season. This will be my 2nd full season posting plays on SBR and I did ok last year although I think I should have done better and I probably played more games than I should of. My final record in 2011 was

    2011 NHL REGULAR SEASON
    YTD 316-339-12 +15.89x

    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    2011 NHL PLAYOFFS YTD
    46-43-2 +20.14x

    http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-han...2011-a-p4.html

    2011 NHL OVERALL SEASON
    362-382-14 +36.03x


    For those that don't know my style I play alot of totals and dogs. I don't lay any more than -150 on any play EVER and try not to play much over -130 range. If I like a big fav I will gamble on a regulation bet -.5 to cut the juice. Honestly though I find if you just stay away from those big fav games your alot better off in the end. I play on a 1-5 unit bet scale with 85% of bets being 3 units or less(rough guess). I never chase with big plays because it's a recipe for disaster. This year I think I am going to track my plays better and try to keep things more organized based on some suggestions from last year(good idea Key) I will have overall record, but thinking of breaking up into seperate categories for ML, PL, O/U, 1st Period O/U etc.

    I always welcome discussion, but with family/job I don't always have a ton of time to discuss back and forth. However, I am always up for any discussion about hockey or any plays I make, I just ask to keep it positive. I generally don't do write ups for my plays but if anyone wants to know my angle I am always open to discuss. I don't usually post games until just a few minutes before because I am almost always pressed for time I am going to try to improve on that this year, but not making any promises Also I don't mind people critizing as long its in a reasonable manner.

    Life long Wings fan myself so I can be a homer sometimes, but try to bet with my head and not my heart. Anyways good luck to everyone returning this year DG, Gigi, XXX and any other new comers. Hope to have a profitable year and enjoy some great hockey. Doubt I play any preseason games at all, but if I do I will post. Seems like overs would be a great bet in preseason, but might just monitor it this year.
  • DennisGreen
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-08
    • 18369

    #2
    Welcome back my brother from another mother! Let's have a good year and kill the books
    Comment
    • HOT WINGS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8055

      #3
      Originally posted by DennisGreen
      Welcome back my brother from another mother! Let's have a good year and kill the books
      Couldn't of said it better!!! Lets kill it this year bro Nice start on pre-season for ya
      Comment
      • HOT WINGS
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-29-10
        • 8055

        #4
        Fukk it I cant wait anymore. Fading my Wings for 1st play of season. Wings playing alot of there secondary players tonight. They also played there Red/White scrimmage last night and everyone on there preseason roster played. Also Kane, Hossa making there debut and the other big guns for the Hawks are all playing. Crawford getting the start in goal. Seems to easy but have to take a little stab at it. Ill probably regret it...

        Hawks -.5 -125(1x)
        Comment
        • HOT WINGS
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-29-10
          • 8055

          #5
          A win is a win, not quite as easy as I was hoping for, but I will take it. Especially after that 1st period when I started cursing at myself for betting preseason hockey For now I have decided to break up my bets into 7 different categories that I deal with most and this is how I will try to keep record all season even though it is alot more cumbersome. I also might add a couple of system plays I have been working on, but still doing some backtesting on them to prove them out. I might just leave them out altogether and just count them in my regular plays.


          Money Line 0-0
          Puck Line 0-0
          Regulation 1-0 +1.0x
          1st Period Sides 0-0
          1st Period Totals 0-0
          Game Totals 0-0-0
          Team Totals 0-0-0

          Overall Season YTD
          1-0 +1.0x
          Comment
          • DennisGreen
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-08
            • 18369

            #6
            Thatta boy! I was always under the impression that preseason wasn't worth betting but I'm starting to realize it's good if you pick your spots. Especially with some of the very blatant lineup mismatches. One more week buddy
            Comment
            • HOT WINGS
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-29-10
              • 8055

              #7
              Originally posted by DennisGreen
              Thatta boy! I was always under the impression that preseason wasn't worth betting but I'm starting to realize it's good if you pick your spots. Especially with some of the very blatant lineup mismatches. One more week buddy
              Thanks Pal Yeah I never really like to fukk around in preseason too much, but if your real selective you can find some good bets. Cant wait for 1st week of hockey either Plus Tigers in playoffs and Lions off to a good start has me feeling good right now
              Comment
              • DennisGreen
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-27-08
                • 18369

                #8
                Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                Thanks Pal Yeah I never really like to fukk around in preseason too much, but if your real selective you can find some good bets. Cant wait for 1st week of hockey either Plus Tigers in playoffs and Lions off to a good start has me
                feeling good right now
                Yeah man Detroit is really on fire right for sports. Lions look unreal. Ive bet their team total each week and they've rewarded me
                Comment
                • HOT WINGS
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8055

                  #9
                  One more small degenerate preseason play for me tonight

                  Lightning +125(1x)
                  Comment
                  • HOT WINGS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-29-10
                    • 8055

                    #10
                    Easy winner with Tampa

                    Money Line 1-0 +1.25x
                    Puck Line 0-0
                    Regulation 1-0 +1.0x
                    1st Period Sides 0-0
                    1st Period Totals 0-0
                    Game Totals 0-0-0
                    Team Totals 0-0-0

                    Overall Season YTD
                    2-0 +2.25x
                    Comment
                    • HOT WINGS
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-29-10
                      • 8055

                      #11
                      Pressing my luck with preseason 1 play a day strategy.

                      Hawks/Guins O 5.5 -115(1x)
                      Comment
                      • HOT WINGS
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-29-10
                        • 8055

                        #12
                        Cash the over with an empty netter Off to a good start maybe this preseason shit ain't so bad afterall.

                        Money Line 1-0 +1.25x
                        Puck Line 0-0

                        Regulation 1-0 +1.0x
                        1st Period Sides 0-0
                        1st Period Totals 0-0
                        Game Totals 1-0-0 +1.0x
                        Team Totals 0-0-0

                        Overall Season YTD
                        3-0 +3.25x
                        Comment
                        • birdmanweezy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-18-10
                          • 4635

                          #13
                          looking forward to the season
                          Comment
                          • HOT WINGS
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-29-10
                            • 8055

                            #14
                            Originally posted by birdmanweezy
                            looking forward to the season

                            Thanks looking forward to the season as well Only a couple days left now Good start to hopefully what will be a good season.
                            Comment
                            • HOT WINGS
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-29-10
                              • 8055

                              #15
                              Just 1 play today.

                              Bruins O 5.5 +112(1x)
                              Comment
                              • HOT WINGS
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-29-10
                                • 8055

                                #16
                                Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                Just 1 play today.

                                Bruins O 5.5 +112(1x)

                                Damn wish I would of played 1st period over as well. 3 goals in 1st period and none rest of game. Figures.....

                                Moving on to today

                                Rags +110(1x)

                                Leans on Ducks and under but probably wont play.
                                Comment
                                • BetGrinder
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-06-11
                                  • 168

                                  #17
                                  always a pleasure to follow your picks!

                                  gl
                                  Comment
                                  • Winnipeg Jets
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-16-09
                                    • 1723

                                    #18
                                    another bummer i can't stand is when a team's tt is 2.5. they get 2 in the 1st and none the last 40 minutes.
                                    Comment
                                    • HOT WINGS
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-29-10
                                      • 8055

                                      #19
                                      Adding

                                      Ducks +115(1x)
                                      Ducks 1st Under 1.5 -105(1x)
                                      Comment
                                      • HOT WINGS
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-29-10
                                        • 8055

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BetGrinder
                                        always a pleasure to follow your picks!

                                        gl
                                        Thanks GL
                                        Comment
                                        • HOT WINGS
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-29-10
                                          • 8055

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Winnipeg Jets
                                          another bummer i can't stand is when a team's tt is 2.5. they get 2 in the 1st and none the last 40 minutes.
                                          Yeah totals can be stressfull in hockey sometimes. They can go from looking great to not hitting with just a couple lucky or unlucky bounces plus the empty net effect.
                                          Comment
                                          • HOT WINGS
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-29-10
                                            • 8055

                                            #22
                                            Well that sucks 0-3 for afternoon. Good thing I am just starting with all 1x plays. Playing all my leans tonight instead of picking and choosing

                                            Canes -105(1x)
                                            Wings O 1.5 1st -105(1x)
                                            Nash +105(1x)
                                            Stars O 5.5 -105(1x)
                                            Comment
                                            • HOT WINGS
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-29-10
                                              • 8055

                                              #23
                                              Tough start for me after a 3-0 preseason. Ill get it back though. Couple plays I overthinked and cost me some wins. Have to remember with hockey to just keep it simple. Think I am going to try to lay off the 1st period plays for a little while and let some trends/stats establish themselves there. If I would of just played the game totals in both those 1st period plays I would of won both.

                                              Money Line 2-3 -.75x
                                              Puck Line 0-0
                                              Regulation 1-0 +1.0x

                                              1st Period Sides 0-0
                                              1st Period Totals 0-2 -2.1x
                                              Game Totals 1-2-0 -1.05x
                                              Team Totals 0-0-0

                                              Overall Season YTD
                                              4-7 -2.9x
                                              Comment
                                              • HOT WINGS
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-29-10
                                                • 8055

                                                #24
                                                Rangers -110(1x) Expecting them to bounce back
                                                Blues -115 (1x)
                                                Comment
                                                • DennisGreen
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-27-08
                                                  • 18369

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                  Tough start for me after a 3-0 preseason. Ill get it back though. Couple plays I overthinked and cost me some wins. Have to remember with hockey to just keep it simple. Think I am going to try to lay off the 1st period plays for a little while and let some trends/stats establish themselves there. If I would of just played the game
                                                  totals in both those 1st period plays I would of won both.

                                                  Money Line 2-3 -.75x
                                                  Puck Line 0-0
                                                  Regulation 1-0 +1.0x

                                                  1st Period Sides 0-0
                                                  1st Period Totals 0-2 -2.1x
                                                  Game Totals 1-2-0 -1.05x
                                                  Team Totals 0-0-0

                                                  Overall Season YTD
                                                  4-7 -2.9x
                                                  I am thinking the same thing with 1st period overs. I might wait until teams are 10-20 games in before I bet them again. GL today buddy.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KC Needs Hockey
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-27-10
                                                    • 387

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                    Rangers -110(1x) Expecting them to bounce back
                                                    Blues -115 (1x)

                                                    I like the blues as well what about the under in that Rangers game not sure if they are going to win but Ducks skated last night and first game jitters for the rangers makes me think 2-4 goals for the game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HOT WINGS
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-29-10
                                                      • 8055

                                                      #27
                                                      Running late

                                                      Leafs -.5 +107(1x)
                                                      Bruins O 5.5 +108 (1x)
                                                      Devils O 5 -115 (1x)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • HOT WINGS
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-29-10
                                                        • 8055

                                                        #28
                                                        Wild -.5 +125 (1x)
                                                        NYI -.5 +125(1x)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HOT WINGS
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-29-10
                                                          • 8055

                                                          #29
                                                          Wings -125(1x)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SpreadKiller
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 10-09-11
                                                            • 18

                                                            #30
                                                            GL for the rest of the season
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HOT WINGS
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-29-10
                                                              • 8055

                                                              #31
                                                              Played Habs earlier but forgot to post since I was to live betting NFL This one will probably lose now

                                                              Oilers +120 (1x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HOT WINGS
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-29-10
                                                                • 8055

                                                                #32
                                                                4-5 -.88x Saturday and Sunday. Totals killing me early on That Oilers game was hard to watch, I honestly don't see how they are going to be much better than last year unless Dubnyk is going to stand on his head in games like he did tonight. He is the only reason they won that game. Even with Pitt playing 3 games in 4 days, b2b road games and Malkin out, they still looked better most the game.


                                                                Money Line 4-5 -.80x
                                                                Puck Line 0-0
                                                                Regulation 3-1 +2.32x
                                                                1st Period Sides 0-0
                                                                1st Period Totals 0-2 -2.1x
                                                                Game Totals 1-4-0 -3.20x
                                                                Team Totals 0-0-0

                                                                Overall Season YTD
                                                                8-12 -3.78x
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HOT WINGS
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                                  • 8055

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wild +110 (1x)
                                                                  Flames +125(1x)

                                                                  Still debating about playing NJ, just waiting to see what line does. Also like unders in Bruins and Wild games but laying off I think.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HOT WINGS
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                                    • 8055

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Bruins Under 5 +150(1x)
                                                                    Canes TT O 2.5 +100(1x)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HOT WINGS
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-29-10
                                                                      • 8055

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Hopefully I don't regret changing my mind on NJ game. The steam on that game total drew me in last minute even though Hedberg has decent history against Canes over last 4 starts as a Devil. The Devils D is sketchy at best though
                                                                      Comment
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