NHL Lock of the Year - Carolina over Tampa Bay

DennisGreen · 04-09-11, 01:19 PM

LOL don't jinx us! But yeah obviously it's a perfect spot for the Canes again tonight. I'll be on them big again.

ncsubowen · 04-09-11, 03:23 PM

All of these people saying easy lock. Makes me want to throw a bit on the TB moneyline. I hate when a play has this much public support.

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 03:33 PM

TB ML will have some good value.. Not saying they are going to win tho..

GazGaz · 04-09-11, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by ncsubowen

All of these people saying easy lock. Makes me want to throw a bit on the TB moneyline. I hate when a play has this much public support.

why do you not want everyone to beat the bookies? i do. C'mon carolina

DennisGreen · 04-09-11, 03:37 PM

Tampa is a lock boys

In fact the lock of the century, decade and Millennium as well

D3 Mighty Ducks · 04-09-11, 04:19 PM

I'm on the Lightning ML, really good value the books giving here.

forsberg21 · 04-09-11, 04:27 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Tampa is a lock boys

In fact the lock of the century, decade and Millennium as well

Tampa Dennis?

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by forsberg21

Tampa Dennis?

ncsubowen · 04-09-11, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by GazGaz

why do you not want everyone to beat the bookies? i do. C'mon carolina

Cause it just doesn't happen. The books rarely lose money and in a B2B playing as high on emotion as Carolina has been I can easily see tonight as a letdown game. Ive already hedged for tonight just in case.

D3 Mighty Ducks · 04-09-11, 04:41 PM

Your write up doesn't make much sense. Your right when you say the only regular out is Hedman but they have other defense man to cover that hole. Although Tampa cannot move up or down in the standings, what makes you think they still won't play hard against their divisional opponents? You don't think Tampa understands that if they beat Carolina tonight they knock them out? This game will be like a playoff game. Tampa will not just lay on their backs and let Carolina walk right over them. This is the final game for both teams and Tampa will want to continue playing with good habits and won't be taking this game off. Yes, its a must win game for Carolina but that doesn't mean that they'll win. Laying -190 up too -200 I see no value in at all. It won't be a walk in the park for Carolina and they'll need to earn the 2 points because Tampa, a division rival, will not be handing them their playoff ticket. Roloson will have the night off but Smith in his limited action this year has been decent. His numbers don't reflect that but his record does (12-6-1). Also, Smith played the exact same Carolina team in Carolina exactly 2 weeks ago and they won 4-2. Tampa were underdogs at +113 and now their +173. I'll take the value and run and watch Carolina fukk up their chances at the post-season.

Tampa Bay ML +174 for me. Although if I wait another hour or so I could get a little bit of a better price but I'm fine with +174.

DennisGreen · 04-09-11, 05:04 PM

Originally posted by forsberg21

Tampa Dennis?

No trying the reverse jinx like I did last night

ColdBeerHere · 04-09-11, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks

I'm on the Lightning ML, really good value the books giving here.

It might be good value on a normal game during the regular season but not in this case....I wouldn't take TB at +200

Mike Huntertz · 04-09-11, 05:12 PM

Great spot for Canes but the puck isn't spherical and a bad bounce or two can change a game.
Still think the Canes win.

GL

Pew Pew · 04-09-11, 05:27 PM

Stupid fuucks. Why do people have to use LOCKS these days? Doesn't make them any cooler by saying LOCK OF THE CENTURY!!1!111 vs big play on _____ tonight. Only thing it does is make them look like fuucktards when they lose. I'm going to bump this mother fuucking thread everyday for the next month if this kid loses.

FYI I'm on the maddafukkin Canes

and whenever I see threads like this when I'm betting on the same side, doesn't usually end well for me hence why I am fuucking pissed.

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 05:28 PM

Guys I am sitting this one out...canes are horrible on b2b games...I know its important but tired is tired. Hope you all cash. BOL!

mike-dub · 04-09-11, 05:31 PM

tampa pl is definately the play tonight....smith trying to prove himself, stamkos going for the richard trophy and st louis trying to go for scoring leader. plus, tampa needs the win to lock a playoff spot! gl tonight guys

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by mike-dub

tampa pl is definately the play tonight....smith trying to prove himself, stamkos going for the richard trophy and st louis trying to go for scoring leader. plus, tampa needs the win to lock a playoff spot! gl tonight guys

Tampa is already locked in the playoffs...this game is meaningless to Tampa.

DennisGreen · 04-09-11, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by mike-dub

tampa pl is definately the play tonight....smith trying to prove himself, stamkos going for the richard trophy and st louis trying to go for scoring leader. plus, tampa needs the win to lock a playoff spot! gl tonight guys

Tampa has clinched 5th already sir

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 05:34 PM

Who gives a flying **** about previous stats... This is a playoff game for the canes at home, should be a wild environment. Tampa Bay arent playing for shit. Should be a good game.

mike-dub · 04-09-11, 05:35 PM

did i overdo my sarcasm? sorry bout that! just trying to reverse the lock

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Tampa has clinched 5th already sir

DennisGreen · 04-09-11, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by mike-dub

did i overdo my sarcasm? sorry bout that! just trying to reverse the lock

Oh nice man. Thought you were dead serious there. Well played sir. Well played

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 05:36 PM

Ward has been easy pickins against Tampa this year, and Mike Smith blanked canes just recently...I am going to throw a nice bet on Tampa just because +175 is to good to pass up.

D3 Mighty Ducks · 04-09-11, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by Petenana15

Who gives a flying **** about previous stats... This is a playoff game for the canes at home, should be a wild environment. Tampa Bay arent playing for shit. Should be a good game.

Tampa is playing to win, not for shit. Should be a good game and wouldn't be surprised if this ends up in OT or a shootout.

Go stick to betting baseball where those guys give up after 2-3 runs down.

k13 · 04-09-11, 05:44 PM

Just because a team needs to win to make the playoffs does not make it a lock.

Its a hockey game with lucky bounces.

Somehow teams that have nothing to play still win at a decent rate.

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 05:47 PM

I think Tampa comes out fired up due to them wanting to knock the Canes out. The reason for this stems from Tampa owning the Rangers and they would prefer the Rangers get in instead of the Canes. Tampa won all 4 games vs the Rangers this year and if Tampa loses tonight to the Canes they will have split the season series 3-3.

I think Tampa comes out and plays for the win because they see Rangers as an easier path to the cup.

mike-dub · 04-09-11, 05:50 PM

words of the wise...just look at colorado or ottawa. they havent had anything to play for in months, but they still pull of wins against teams they shouldnt be beating. only play money you can afford to lose and make plays you agree with

Originally posted by k13

Just because a team needs to win to make the playoffs does not make it a lock.

Its a hockey game with lucky bounces.

Somehow teams that have nothing to play still win at a decent rate.

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 05:51 PM

Locked and loaded, lets get this shit!

mike-dub · 04-09-11, 05:52 PM

only problem with this is that capitals will play rangers first if canes dont win

Originally posted by boondoggle

I think Tampa comes out fired up due to them wanting to knock the Canes out. The reason for this stems from Tampa owning the Rangers and they would prefer the Rangers get in instead of the Canes. Tampa won all 4 games vs the Rangers this year and if Tampa loses tonight to the Canes they will have split the season series 3-3.

I think Tampa comes out and plays for the win because they see Rangers as an easier path to the cup.

D3 Mighty Ducks · 04-09-11, 05:53 PM

Tampa ML and Flyers PL parlayed together pays +466.

That'll be my hockey play for tonight.

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 05:55 PM

Fools, game starts in a few.. lets let the action on the ice determine who is right or wrong here.

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by mike-dub

only problem with this is that capitals will play rangers first if canes dont win

Tampa would prefer to have Rangers be one of the 8 playoff teams instead of Canes--in case they had to play them. BOL!

boondoggle · 04-09-11, 06:01 PM

My big play is Tampa TT o2.5 -110. BOL!

Petenana15 · 04-09-11, 06:03 PM

4-3 carolina

Vinnybagadonuts · 04-09-11, 06:07 PM

Sorry guys, but Carolina playing at home for a playoff spot in the last game - it doesn't get any easier to motivate a team.

Tampa cannot do better than 5th win, lose or draw. They will not care about the outcome, but will want to make sure that they stay healthy for the playoffs.

Carolina will risk everything here. Not saying they definitely win, but I'll take them for sure in this type of matchup.