fla/nyi over I might go on that one
-
Comment -
today's picks
13/10/19
-pit (ml) @ 2.04
-pit/wpg (o6.5) @ 1.80
-cgy (ml) @ 2.18
-cgy (tto2.5) @ 1.63
-cgy/sjs (o6.5) @ 1.94
-lak (ml) @ 2.35
-vgk/lak (o6) @ 1.83
SUMMARY:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 60-35 = 63.1%
avg = 2.00
p/l = +23.7u
roi = 24.9%Comment -
today's picks
14/10/19
-ana (ml) @ 2.70
-fla (ml) @ 1.94
-njd (u6.5) @ 1.90
-min (ml) @ 1.72
-min (-1.5) @ 2.80
-stl (ml) @ 1.83
-stl (o2.5) @ 1.69
-nyi (o5.5) @ 2.14
-buf (ml) @ 1.98
-buf (o2.5) @ 1.81
-buf (o5.5) @ 2.13
-col (o2.5) @ 1.68
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 63-39 = 61.7%
avg = 2.00
p/l = +22.37u
roi = 21.93%Comment -
GL. Like Minn and FLA myselfComment -
i dont like to make excuses for teams losing, it's not like i think they should have winning records right now but in comparison to their opposition today i think they've both been playing better hockey as a whole. minny in particular allowed two goals in two min against the jets and three goals in three minutes against the pens. thats not good, but in the scope of the entire game they have been competing.
gl to you too misterslack!Comment -
today's picks
15/10/19
-tbl/mtl (o6.5) @ 1.80
-mtl (ml) @ 2.29
-tor (-1.5) @ 2.35
-ari (ml) @ 2.18
-ari (tto2.5) @ 1.75
-cgy (ml) @ 1.74
-cgy (-1.5) @ 2.88
-van (-1.5) @ 2.80
-vgk (ml) @ 1.80
-vgk (-1.5) @ @ 2.85
-vgk (ml) @ 1.80
-car/lak (o6.5) @ 2.02
-lak (tto2.5) @ 1.74
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 70-46 = 60.3%
avg = 2.01
p/l = +22.50u
roi = 19.4%Comment -
just realised vgk ml is posted twice. second one is:
-vgk (o6.5) @ 2.04
Comment -
16/10/19
-pit (o6.5) @ 1.93
-phi (ml) @ 2.16
-was (ml) @ 1.86
-was (o6.5) @ 1.95
-dal (ml) @ 1.94
-sjs (ml) @ 1.80
-sjs (o6.5) @ 1.91
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 79-52 = 60.3%
avg = 2.02
p/l = +26.85u
roi = 20.5%Comment -
today's bets
17/10/19
-van (ml) @ 2.60
-njd (ml) @ 1.94
-mtl (-0.5) @ 2.06
-mtl (-1.5) @ 2.66
-nyi (ml) @ 2.18
-nyi (tto2.5) @ 1.75
-cgy (o6.5) @ 2.02 ***
-ari (tto2.5) @ 1.76
-buf (ml) @ 2.09
-buf (tto2.5) @ 1.80
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 83-57 = 59.9%
avg = 2.02
p/l = +25.37u
roi = 18.1%Comment -
today's picks
18/10/19
-col (ml) @ 2.18
-col (-1.5) @ 4.10 *
-pit (-1.5) @ 2.88
-was (o6.5) @ 1.95
-cbj (ml) @ 2.25
-cbj (tto2.5) @ 1.71
-edm (-1.5) @ 2.33
-edm (tto3.5) @ 1.77
-ana (ml) @ 2.13
*this is the first alt line i've posted this year. avs are ~30% to win by 2 or more. if you don't want to play a low % wager then best to pass on em thru the entire season!
one more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 93-59 = 61.1%
avg = 2.02
p/l = +34.36u
roi = 22.6%Comment -
today's picks
19/10/19
-van (ml)@ 2.1
-van (tto2.5)@ 1.80
-njd (o5.5) @ 1.86
-bos (tto2.5)@ 1.65
-mtl (ml)@ 2.35
-mtl (tto2.5)@ 1.86
-nyi (ml)@ 2.08
-tbl (o6)@ 1.81
-tbl (-0.5)@ 1.98
-dal (ml)@ 2.40
-dal (tto2.5)@ 1.91
-dal/phi (o5.5)@ 1.98
-ari (-1.5)@ 2.23
-ott (ttu2.5)@ 1.81
-nsh (o6)@ 1.91
-fla (tto2.5)@ 1.76
-lak (ml)@ 2.20
-lak (tto2.5)@ 1.83
-buf (ml)@ 2.47
-buf (tto2.5)@ 1.81
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 98-64 = 60.4%
avg = 2.04
p/l = +35.25u
roi = 21.7%Comment -
today's picks
20/10/19
-min (o5.5) @ 1.83
-edm (ml) @ 2.17
-wpg (u6.5) @ 2.04
-van (ml) @ 2.18
-van (tto2.5) @ 1.68
-chi (u6.5) @ 1.98
-ana (ml) @ 1.83
one more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 112-72 = 60.8%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +41.42u
roi = 22.51%Comment -
today's picks
21/10/19
-cbj (ml) @ 2.75
-cbj (tto2.5) @ 1.91
-phi (ml) @ 2.08
-col (ml) @ 2.24
-stl (o6) @ 1.93
-dal (o5.5) @ 1.74
-ott (tto2.5) @ 2.04
write-up:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 117-75 = 60.9%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +42.95u
roi = 22.37%Comment -
Points Awarded:
thucydides2 gave Locke 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
thank you!Comment -
today's picks
22/10/19
-ari (ml) @ 1.88
-nyr (u6) @ 1.91
-pit (ml) @ 2.25
-pit (tto2.5) @ 1.75
-buf (ml) @ 1.92
-det (tto2.5) @ 1.69
-ana (ml) @ 2.50
-ana (tto2.5) @ 2.03
-nas (o5.5) @ 1.92
-edm (ml) @ 2.12
-vgk (ml) @ 1.83
-wpg (ml) @ 1.74
-wpg (-1.5) @ 2.75
-bos (ml) @ 1.67
-bos (-1.5) @ 2.67
two more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 120-79 = 60.3%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +42.69u
roi = 21.45%
Comment -
today's picks
23/10/19
-pit (tto 2.5) @ 1.88
-pit (ml) @ 2.91
two more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 127-89 = 58.8%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +41.64u
roi = 19.28%Comment -
someone pointed out the incorrect record earlier. should read as 8-9 yesterday instead of 7-10:
w/l = 128-88 = 59.2%Comment -
im on tampa pitt O7 tonight. tampa playing poorly to start season and they are leaky on defense.Comment -
today's picks
25/10/19
-col (ml) @ 2.48
-ari (ml) @ 2.15
-ari (o2.5) @ 1.78
-sjs (o2.5) @ 1.79
-buf (ml) @ 1.95
-nyi (ml) @ 1.80
-tor (o6.5) @ 1.84
-njd (o5.5) @ 1.89
-ott (u6) @ 1.89
one more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 137-99 = 58.05%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +38.46u
roi = 16.3%Comment -
today's picks
26/10/19
-car (-1) @ 1.84
-car (u6.5) @ 1.97
-cbj (o2.5) @ 1.86
-tbl (o6) @ 1.88
-nsh (ml) @ 2.45
-nsh (o2.5) @ 1.81
-bos (o5.5) @ 2.00
-stl (ml) @ 2.55
-stl (o2.5) @ 2.03
-mtl (o6.5) @ 1.87
-col (ml) @ 1.67
-col (-1.5) @ 2.70
-pit (ml) @ 2.20
-pit (-1.5) @ 4.65
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 144-101-1 = 58.54%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +43.5u
roi = 17.68%Comment -
today's picks
27/10/19
-fla (ml) @ 1.97
-det (o2.5) @ 1.82
-det (o5.5) @ 1.89
-ott (o2.5) @ 1.71
one more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 154-107-1 = 58.78%
avg = 2.04
p/l = +49.96u
roi = 19.07%Comment -
30/10/19
-cbj (ml) @ 1.70
-fla (ml) @ 2.25
-tbl (ml) @ 1.71
-tbl (-1.5) @ 2.80
-ari (u6.5) @ 1.83
-ari (ml) @ 1.80
two more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 164-108-1 = 60.07%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +57.49u
roi = 21.06%Comment -
Amazing run man!
That's a sick ROI to have at almost 300 plays, hope u can keep it up.
What is you're general approach to capping NHL, I use a bunch of different systems and have done pretty well so far but I am always looking for new angles to find profitable spots.. Would be very interested to hear what you look for when making plays
Regardless BOL, hope u can keep this heater goingComment -
31/10/19
-nsh (ml) @ 1.67
-nsh (-1.5) @ 2.65
-vgk (o6) @ 1.91
one more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 168-112-1 = 59.7%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +57.25u
roi = 20.3%Comment -
hey thanks for droppin in mate!
i approach all my sports the same way. betting model gives a win probability and score projection, then i get to work on why things make sense or dont from there. this can be thru scheduling, analytics, injuries etc or just what i know about the teams themselves.
im not trying to re-invent the wheel with my approach, but also try to use consistent information (for better or worse) to assess the value in the line.
i post some esports stuff publicly too. if you wanna reach me further do so thru twitter [lockeqwerty]. and i like that you are trying to actively seek out new angles. its one of the best parts about being in a forum - to see what others are doing that can help you. do you have a thread started somewhere on SBR?Comment -
Not right now, I had and MLB thread in 2017 that made like +75u, which was great, but tried again the next year and bombed lol. Still have been working and making plays just not posting. But appreciate you posting, have been comparing my NHL plays with yours and cancelling out any bets that i would have made that you're on the other side of lol.Comment -
ok cool. yeah theres a lot of ppl out there who have a phenomenal season and then dont know why they cant replicate it the next year. you're not alone there!
i dont want my stuff to make you cancel yours ALL the time bud. im sure in many situations you are looking at it in a good way. if theres a particular game you're wondering why i'd be on the other side feel free to ask in here. usually the answer is the same tho lol = PRICE!
its the most important criteria for me so if a play seems too crazy, thats probably why. have a great day!Comment -
today's picks
1/11/19
-njd (ml) @ 1.93
-nyi (ml) @ 2.04
-car (u6) @ 1.91
-dal (ml) @ 2.35
-dal (o2.5) @ 1.96
-ana (ml) @ 1.93
-sjs (ml) @ 1.71
two more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 170-114-1 = 59.7%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +57.13u
roi = 20.05%Comment -
2/11/19
-pit (ml) @ 1.57
-pit (-1.5) @ 2.42
-nyr (ml) @ 3.16
-cbj (ml) @ 2.18
-mtl (ml) @ 2.04
-car (ml) @ 1.54
-car (-1.5) @ 2.35
-phi (ml) @ 2.21
-min (ml) @ 1.83
-ari (ml) @ 1.70
-van (ml) @ 2.20
-vgk (-1.5) @ 2.04
-chi (ml) @ 2.11
-pit (u6.5) @ 1.85
-nyr (o2.5) @ 2.03
-cbj (u6.5) @ 1.85
-fla (u6.5) @ 1.95
-mtl (o2.5) @ 1.76
-phi (o6.5) @ 1.81
-min (o5.5) @ 2.04
-ari (o5.5) @ 1.87
-van (o2.5) @ 1.69
two more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...ricanes/93438/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 173-120-1 = 58.8%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +54.45u
roi = 18.5%Comment -
today's picks
3/11/19
-was (-1.5) @ 2.40
-ana (-1.5) @ 2.66
more:
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 183-134-1 = 57.55%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +50.44u
roi = 15.8%Comment -
today's picks
4/11/19
-bos (ml) @ 1.63
-bos (-1.5) @ 2.50
-det (o6) @ 1.91
-edm (ml) @ 1.85
more:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...uckline/92764/
SEASON RECORD
w/l = 185-136-1 = 57.45%
avg = 2.03
p/l = +50.42u
roi = 15.6%Comment
