ANOTHER Great 3-0 night!!! That's how SOLID this system is!!!
....wait, what...? it's 0-3...? oh... my bad.
Comment
atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#597
you're not funny.
Comment
honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#598
My back testing shows that playing a small chase (I know your not suppose to but let's move on) with wash is still profitable. In fact they have yet to go 3 straight unders. Note they will play a team that is OVERS at home! But I think that trend is wrong, at least in recent days. Not sure what I'll do- since wash was a JM NHL v1 I played them to win on the unders (should have stuck to ML) and played them big on the unders because of mtl. Not sure if I should play or not. I can make these up in other JM system bets-Need to decide soon.
By the way jazzbrownie is kind of funny.
Comment
skm39
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
171
#599
Originally posted by Wilba
one bad day, or 2 or 3 bad days, does not mean that a trend does not matter anymore. however see below
now that wash have 2 overs in a row Im going to tread very lightly on playing the under with them again. possibly not at all.
once a 'trend' has 2-3 losses in a row, I don't play it again, ever. unless a new trend starts!
basically what I am saying is that the last 5 games are a more important indicator than the 50 before that all put together
I agree, recent trends are definitely more important than season long trends. I may not play the Tor home under tomorrow because of this.
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Reener77
SBR High Roller
05-26-10
120
#600
Originally posted by skm39
I agree, recent trends are definitely more important than season long trends. I may not play the Tor home under tomorrow because of this.
Toronto doesn't play at home tomorrow.
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J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#601
3/16
Washington away under [B] @ DET
*went 0-5 last night
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atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#602
how about detroit home over against washington? JMD....cmon man, think about it before you post. the two trends cancel each other out, but i believe Det is due for a home over.
Comment
jazzbrownie
SBR Rookie
03-02-11
28
#603
Originally posted by atari5200
you're not funny.
Sorry about that. I'm being a child. I was just in a foul mood after taking my gf to the emergency room and stacking a 0-7 night on top of it.
I do still think that it's mildly humorous that JW isn't here to weigh in now that these plays seem to be going sour. Possibly to avoid d-bags like myself who'd flame on the guy. C'mon, let's turn this thing around and get back to making some money!
JW, I assume you're keeping up with this thread. I apologize if my doubt and pessimism have offended you. We're all here trying to do the same thing and your tips have helped a lot of people make good money. Many thanks for your contributions.
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imotiv8
SBR Wise Guy
12-28-09
892
#604
Originally posted by jazzbrownie
ANOTHER Great 3-0 night!!! That's how SOLID this system is!!! ....wait, what...? it's 0-3...? oh... my bad.
I dont think I will ever understand how someone has the nerve to get on someone elses thread, get free picks from them, never say any bad things when things are going well, and joke and make fun when losses occur.
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#605
so i take there's no plays this evening? affirmative?
Comment
ncapriotti
SBR Rookie
02-18-11
3
#606
Originally posted by imotiv8
I dont think I will ever understand how someone has the nerve to get on someone elses thread, get free picks from them, never say any bad things when things are going well, and joke and make fun when losses occur.
Originally posted by imotiv8
I dont think I will ever understand how someone has the nerve to get on someone elses thread, get free picks from them, never say any bad things when things are going well, and joke and make fun when losses occur.
Comment
Wilba
SBR Wise Guy
10-29-10
702
#607
good on you jazz brownie for negating your previous post - don't give him a hard time guys silly post earlier but he came back and negated it so good on him for being decent enough to realise the (original) comment was inappropriate.
I'm gonna push my luck for one last play with washington under. If this goes over I will consider the trend finished and will not play it again. If it goes under I will keep playing it until another over! definitely not going to get sucked into losing my previous winnings on chasing an under now though, that's for sure.
I never followed the Det over at home in the first place, but if you look at their recent record they are certainly not a strong over team, so I would not let that factor into any decision I made about tonights game. Detroit has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 home games! why would you play the over as if following a trend!? if anything the detroit home trend is most certainly an under trend. (they are 19-14 on the over this season, but way more relevant is that they are 2-8 on the over last 10 home games)
guys all please be aware that what was a really good trend to follow 2-3 weeks ago, may now be an awful trend to follow. By definition, a 'trend' is a short term repeating occurrence. All trends end.
Personally I would not play any 'trend' unless the record over the season AS WELL AS the record over the last 10 games agree with each other as being strong for the over or under. If this is the case I would play it. In the case of Detroit home over trend right now, I would say what trend? there was one a month ago, but now there is not one
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jas19illini
SBR Wise Guy
10-27-10
682
#608
Originally posted by jazzbrownie
Why, New Jersey? Do you just hate us? I was really excited to get a push on that game, since there's only been one win in three days.
Anyone else notice that JW is nowhere to be found on a bad night?
now that is how we cash in on the washington under
DO WORK + KROW OD do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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Wilba
SBR Wise Guy
10-29-10
702
#610
WOOHOO! my beloved washington cashed the under! the streak is not over yet!
unless I see another two overs in the next 3-4 games, you know what I'll be hitting every time they play!
ps. scared $ don't make $, but dumb $ lose $
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#611
I got a piece of that as well- it just seemed after looking at both team records that Wash was due for a under more than det was due for an over.
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atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#612
that's it for detroit overs. I took the over but i got the half point to 5, so that's a push and a cross out for detroit and the overs.
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J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#613
[B]MTL under home nsh home under [C]
for 3/17 correct? thats only two I see for today.
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#614
That's what I see, except some people have stated that they no longer do Mont at home? I'm reviewing covres to look at the trend now. I play A, B, C on these (I know you're not suppose to) so I'm looking for any threat to a 2 under slide. I never played an A on Mont so I feel pretty good about it.
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J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#615
MTL IS 15-12 THIS YEAR FOR UNDERS AT HOME. i might of missed one or two, but if you only play mtl at home, then you would have lost a couple series, however if you just play mtl overall like you are suppose to then the system is....
39-1 if you play A b c, out of those 39 series i believe 4 times it went to C.
THAT is why you should play mtl overall and not just at home or not just away. you get way more series even if it makes for a lil bit more variance.
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J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#616
nashville when doing a a b c chase @ home is 17-0 this season so far. this would make the 2nd C bet for them.
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jcygts6
SBR MVP
04-05-09
3316
#617
looks like another loss for nashville and nj
DO WORK + KROW OD do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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xkgb
SBR MVP
11-29-10
1328
#618
i am going to go to the beginning of this thread and try to understand this ABC structure....looks like a lot of solid trends you guys are on...BOL
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jcygts6
SBR MVP
04-05-09
3316
#619
great... just great.... gonna be another C bet loss with Nashville. Just cuz these pissers cant play any D, GHEY
DO WORK + KROW OD do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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DANO74
SBR High Roller
09-08-10
221
#620
Wow Nashville laid an egg tonight!
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skm39
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
171
#621
NJ home under tomorrow, about the only trend you can rely on now.
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#622
I disagree Montreal is playing as well and they have continued to pay.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#623
3/18 mtl under [a] washington under [a]
washington is 28-7 on under this season on the road. Thats striaght up no chase....
MTL is 40-22 this season for the under.
BOL to all.
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oklahoma
SBR Wise Guy
11-22-10
602
#624
i stopped playing these after that 0-5 day the other week. and looking at tonights games montreal is already over in the first period. teams are to desperate now for the playoffs and are playing their asses off. bol on the washington play but these trends look to be over.
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atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#625
NJ/Washington under was easy money
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#626
Toronto and Nashville (if you want to follow NSH) are for tomorrow.
Comment
skm39
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
171
#627
Throw in Atl away over from jas' spreadsheet
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#628
3/19
Tor home under [C] vs bos nsh home under [A] vs det *lost last series