Total Plays Test

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • dvw5bf
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-05-10
    • 252

    #1
    Total Plays Test
    I have been messing around with some plays based on the below criteria for a little while and I believe it has been doing pretty well. However, since I can be somewhat disorganized, I do not have the numbers since they are scattered on random pieces of paper between my home and work. So I figured keeping track of them in here would be much more helpful and if anyone has any comments/suggestions I am not one to turn down good information.

    Criteria:
    1. Previous 5 Head 2 Head matchups (the more recent the games the better)
    2. The home team's last 5 at home
    3. The away team's last 5 away
    4. Goalie matchups

    All of the plays for the sake of consistency in this thread will be to win one unit (although that is not how i personally play them). This is all merely testing out some of my own thoughts so it is strongly suggested to not follow these plays. In some time, it may become some good fade material to watch for that!
  • dvw5bf
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-05-10
    • 252

    #2
    Todays Plays:
    Oil/Avs ... Over 5.5 ... -140
    Kings/Flyers ... Under 5.5 ... -115
    Comment
    • dvw5bf
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-05-10
      • 252

      #3
      Yesterday: 1-1 -0.15U
      Overall: 1-1 -0.15U

      Todays Plays:
      Wings/Isles ... Over 5.5 ... -115
      Jackets/Sens ... Under 5.5 ... -135

      The Panthers/Habs game would have been a play but if the stats point to the under of a game with the total set at 5 it is a no play.
      Comment
      • dvw5bf
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-05-10
        • 252

        #4
        Yesterday: 1-1 -0.35U
        Overall: 2-2 -0.5U

        Todays Plays:
        Sens/Leafs ... Under 5.5 ... -125
        Comment
        • dvw5bf
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-05-10
          • 252

          #5
          Yesterday: 0-1 -1.25U
          Overall: 2-3 -1.75U

          Todays Plays:
          Cats/Rags ... Under 5.5 ... -130
          Wings/Flyers ... Over 5.5 ... -135
          Ducks/Hawks ... Under 5.5 ... -115
          Comment
          • dvw5bf
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-05-10
            • 252

            #6
            Yesterday: 2-1 +0.65U
            Overall: 4-4 -1.1U

            Todays Plays:
            Kings/Hawks ... Under 5.5 ... -125
            Comment
            • tomcast
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-19-06
              • 754

              #7
              It is an interesting test. Good luck.
              Comment
              • dvw5bf
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-05-10
                • 252

                #8
                Yesterday: 0-1 -1.25U
                Overall: 4-5 -2.35U

                Todays Plays:
                Yotes/Jackets ... Under 5.5 ... -140
                Comment
                • dvw5bf
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-05-10
                  • 252

                  #9
                  Yesterday: 0-1 -1.4U
                  Overall: 4-6 -3.75U

                  Todays Plays:
                  None
                  Comment
                  • dvw5bf
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-05-10
                    • 252

                    #10
                    Overall: 4-6 -3.75U

                    Todays Plays:
                    Sharks/Sabres ... Over 5.5 ... -105
                    Comment
                    • dvw5bf
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-05-10
                      • 252

                      #11
                      Yesterday: 0-1 -1.05U
                      Overall: 4-7 -4.8U

                      Todays Plays:
                      Flames/Wings ... Over 5.5 ... -105
                      Nucks/Oilers ... Under 5.5 ... +110
                      Comment
                      • tuxStyle
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-16-10
                        • 122

                        #12
                        I don't know how much will help you but... wouldn't be better to take in consideration one more factor:
                        - league average ? (for the last 5 games in your case)
                        Comment
                        • dvw5bf
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-05-10
                          • 252

                          #13
                          Thanks for the input tux, league average of what specifically? goals per game?
                          Comment
                          • dvw5bf
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-05-10
                            • 252

                            #14
                            Yesterday: 1-1 EVEN
                            Overall: 5-8 -4.8U

                            Todays Plays:
                            Sharks/Preds ... Over 5 ... -140
                            Wings/Nucks ... Over 5.5 ... -140
                            Comment
                            • dvw5bf
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-05-10
                              • 252

                              #15
                              Sat: 0-2 -2.8U
                              Overall: 5-10 -7.6U

                              Was far too hungover to get up and post yesterday's. Clearly, this system is struggling quite a bit... if it continues on as such, I am going to begin fading the plays.

                              Todays Plays:
                              Avs/Wings ... Over 5.5 ... -145
                              Comment
                              • dvw5bf
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-05-10
                                • 252

                                #16
                                Yesterday: 1-0 +1U
                                Overall: 6-10 -6.6U

                                Todays Plays:
                                Canes/Flames ... Under 5.5 ... -135
                                Sabres/Flyers ... Over 5.5 ... -110
                                Cats/Caps ... Under 5.5 ... -110
                                Sharks/Leafs ... Under 5.5 ... -115
                                Comment
                                • dvw5bf
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-05-10
                                  • 252

                                  #17
                                  Yesterday: 1-3 -3.6U
                                  Overall: 7-13 -10.2U

                                  Todays Plays:
                                  Lightning/Caps ... Under 6 ... -120
                                  Ducks/Blues ... Over 5 ... -140
                                  Comment
                                  • dvw5bf
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-05-10
                                    • 252

                                    #18
                                    Yesterday: 2-0 +2U
                                    Overall: 9-13 -8.2U

                                    Todays Plays:
                                    Sabres/Canes ... Over 5.5 ... -105
                                    Yotes/Leafs ... Over 5.5 ... +100
                                    Kings/Blues ... Over 5.5 ... +110
                                    Comment
                                    • dvw5bf
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-05-10
                                      • 252

                                      #19
                                      Yesterday: 1-2 -1.05U
                                      Overall: 10-15 -9.25U

                                      Todays Plays:
                                      Caps/Nucks ... Under 6 ... -115
                                      Sens/Flames ... Under 5.5 ... -130
                                      Comment
                                      • dvw5bf
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-05-10
                                        • 252

                                        #20
                                        Yesterday: 1-0-1 +1U
                                        Overall: 11-15 -8.25U

                                        Todays Plays:
                                        None
                                        Comment
                                        • tuxStyle
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-16-10
                                          • 122

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by dvw5bf
                                          Thanks for the input tux, league average of what specifically? goals per game?
                                          Yes.
                                          Goals per game.
                                          And if both teams are from same conference it will probably be better to calculate the average for that conference.
                                          Comment
                                          • dvw5bf
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-05-10
                                            • 252

                                            #22
                                            Yesterday: 0-0 0U
                                            Overall: 11-15 -8.25U

                                            Todays Plays:
                                            Wild/Canucks ... Over 5.5 ... -110
                                            Blackhawks/Preds ... Under 5.5 ... -135
                                            Comment
                                            • dvw5bf
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-05-10
                                              • 252

                                              #23
                                              Yesterday: 0-2 -2.45U
                                              Overall: 11-17 -10.7U

                                              Todays Plays:
                                              Isles/Devils ... Over 5 ... -135
                                              Comment
                                              • dvw5bf
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-05-10
                                                • 252

                                                #24
                                                Yesterday: 1-0 +1U
                                                Overall: 12-17 -9.7U

                                                Todays Plays:
                                                Canes/Bruins ... Over 5.5 ... +100
                                                Comment
                                                • dvw5bf
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                  • 252

                                                  #25
                                                  Yesterday: 0-1 -1.0U
                                                  Overall: 12-18 -10.7U

                                                  Todays Plays:
                                                  None
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dvw5bf
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-05-10
                                                    • 252

                                                    #26
                                                    Overall: 12-18 -10.7U

                                                    Todays Plays:
                                                    Blues/Wings ... Over 5.5 ... +110
                                                    Kings/Yotes ... Over 5 ... -145
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dvw5bf
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-05-10
                                                      • 252

                                                      #27
                                                      Yesterday: 1-1 -0.35U
                                                      Overall: 13-19 -11.05U

                                                      Todays Plays:
                                                      None
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shantystar
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-13-05
                                                        • 7299

                                                        #28
                                                        gl pall
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dvw5bf
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-05-10
                                                          • 252

                                                          #29
                                                          Overall: 13-19 -11.05U

                                                          Todays Plays:
                                                          Thrashers/Rags ... Under 5.5 ... -120
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dvw5bf
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-05-10
                                                            • 252

                                                            #30
                                                            Yesterday: 1-0 +1.0U
                                                            Overall: 14-19 -10.05U

                                                            Todays Plays:
                                                            Hawks/Flyers ... Over 5.5 ... -125
                                                            Oilers/Preds ... Over 5.5 ... +115
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dvw5bf
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-05-10
                                                              • 252

                                                              #31
                                                              Yesterday: 0-2 -2.25U
                                                              Overall: 14-21 -12.3U

                                                              Todays Plays:
                                                              Canes/Leafs ... Over 5.5 ... -120
                                                              Avs/Blues ... Over 5.5 ... -110
                                                              Nucks/Stars ... Over 5.5 ... -110
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dvw5bf
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 01-05-10
                                                                • 252

                                                                #32
                                                                Yesterday: 3-0 +3.0U
                                                                Overall: 17-21 -9.3U

                                                                Todays Plays:
                                                                Rags/Cats ... Under ? ... ? (Only if total is at 5.5, not 5)
                                                                Jackets/Ducks ... Over 5.5 ... +105
                                                                Flyers/Habs ... Under 5.5 ... -130
                                                                Hawks/Wild ... Under 5.5 ... -130
                                                                Yotes/Oilers ... Over 5.5 ... -105
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dvw5bf
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                                  • 252

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yesterday: 1-3 -2.6U
                                                                  Overall: 18-24 -11.9U

                                                                  Todays Plays:
                                                                  Kings/Sharks ... Under 5.5 ... -135
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dvw5bf
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-05-10
                                                                    • 252

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yesterday: 1-0 +1.0U
                                                                    Overall: 19-24 -10.9U
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    SBR Contests
                                                                    Collapse
                                                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                    Collapse
                                                                    Working...