CaptNumbers 2010 NHL Thread

CaptNumbers · 10-20-10, 04:42 PM

10-20-10 Picks - Wednesday

At this point, I am only going to report on the modified chase system if we need to use it. If things continue as they have been, hopefully we will not need to use it and I think it may be confusing to people.

Here’s the card for tonight. If you wait on some of the later games, you may be able to get a little better juice. I have to post now as I am leaving and will not be back in time. Here’s to a great night!
-CN

10-20-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
054 Atlanta +100
055 Vancouver +146

Tier B Plays
057 Carolina +194

CaptNumbers · 10-21-10, 07:26 AM

10-20-10 Picks - Wednesday - RESULTS

The first plays using the modified chase will be in play tonight most likely.
-CN

10-20-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) -3.00 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) -3.00 Units

Tier A Plays -2.00 Units
054 Atlanta +100 - L
055 Vancouver +146 - L

Tier B Plays -1.00 Units
057 Carolina +194 - L

Overall YTD Results
16-20 – 44.4%
Straight Up +0.99 Units
Modified Chase +0.99 Units
**********
Tier A +0.85 Units
10-10 – 50.0%
**********
Tier B +0.14 Units
6-10 – 37.5%

CaptNumbers · 10-21-10, 05:22 PM

10-21-10 Picks - Thursday

Today is the first day we will be deviating between the two systems. Remember, that the plays are the same for each system. The only difference is that the modified chase system will use gradual unit increases as necessary based on projected expectations. I believe the modified chase system has better potential for overall performance but there is additional risk by raising your current bet size. I am still very conservative with the system though and even though the unit size does not change drastically, I still show a much better return when I back test the results using this system. Good luck to all no matter what you choose!
-CN

10-21-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.25 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
001 NY Rangers +145 (1.25 to win 1.81)
004 Boston -110 (1.38 to win 1.25)
016 Nashville +100 (1.25 to win 1.25)
018 Colorado +103 (1.25 to win 1.29)
019 Minnesota +107 (1.25 to win 1.34)
021 LA Kings +120(1.25 to win 1.50)

Tier B Plays
007 Calgary +171 (1.25 to win 2.14)
013 NY Islanders +152 (1.25 to win 1.90)

CaptNumbers · 10-21-10, 05:28 PM

Good Luck Everyone

W8N4Luck · 10-21-10, 05:32 PM

I get it...double down baby

CaptNumbers · 10-22-10, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by W8N4Luck

I get it...double down baby

That is kind of the concept of the Modified Chase system. It is definitely not that simple of an approach, however.

-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-22-10, 09:19 AM

10-21-10 Picks - Thursday - RESULTS

10-21-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +1.04 Units
Modified Chase (1.25 Units Each) +1.30 Units

Tier A Plays +0.52 Units / +0.65 Units
001 NY Rangers +145 (1.25 to win 1.81) - W
004 Boston -110 (1.38 to win 1.25) - W
016 Nashville +100 (1.25 to win 1.25) - L
018 Colorado +103 (1.25 to win 1.29) - L
019 Minnesota +107 (1.25 to win 1.34) - W
021 LA Kings +120(1.25 to win 1.50) - L

Tier B Plays +0.52 Units / +0.65 Units
007 Calgary +171 (1.25 to win 2.14) - L
013 NY Islanders +152 (1.25 to win 1.90) - W

Overall YTD Results
20-24 – 45.5%
Straight Up +2.03 Units
Modified Chase +2.29 Units
**********
Tier A +1.37 Units / +1.50 Units
13-13 – 50.0%
**********
Tier B +0.66 Units / +0.79 Units
7-11 – 38.9%

CaptNumbers · 10-22-10, 05:35 PM

10-22-10 Picks - Friday

10-22-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
054 Atlanta -117
055 Ottawa +141
058 St. Louis -114

Tier B Plays
059 Minnesota +188

Back to 1 unit for both systems tonight. Good luck to all!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-23-10, 03:21 AM

10-22-10 Picks - Friday - RESULTS

10-22-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +0.38 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +0.38 Units

Tier A Plays +1.24 Units
054 Atlanta -117 - L
055 Ottawa +141 - W
058 St. Louis -114 - W

Tier B Plays -1.00 Units
059 Minnesota +188 - L

Overall YTD Results
22-26 – 45.8%
Straight Up +2.27 Units
Modified Chase +2.53 Units
**********
Tier A +2.61 Units / +2.74 Units
15-14 – 51.7%
**********
Tier B -0.34 Units / -0.21 Units
7-12 – 36.8%

CaptNumbers · 10-23-10, 03:24 AM

I am going to be gone all day, but will have my laptop with me. I am hoping I will be able to get internet access with no problem as I need to wait until at least around 5:00PM to make plays for tonight. If I can't get access, I may not be able to post on the forum and only through Twitter. Best of luck all day!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-23-10, 05:18 PM

10-23-10 Picks - Saturday

10-23-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
006 Ottawa -108
009 Buffalo +140

Tier B Plays
003 NY Rangers +165
013 Anaheim +202
019 Columbus +195
026 Edmonton +135

Good luck to all!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-24-10, 08:29 AM

10-23-10 Picks - Saturday - RESULTS

10-23-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +1.92 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +1.92 Units

Tier A Plays +0.32 Units
006 Ottawa -108 - L
009 Buffalo +140 - W

Tier B Plays +1.60 Units
003 NY Rangers +165 - W
013 Anaheim +202 - L
019 Columbus +195 - W
026 Edmonton +135 - L

Overall YTD Results
25-29 – 46.3%
Straight Up +4.19 Units
Modified Chase +4.45 Units
**********
Tier A +2.93 Units / +3.06 Units
16-15 – 51.6%
**********
Tier B +1.26 Units / +1.39 Units
9-14 – 39.1%

CaptNumbers · 10-24-10, 05:53 PM

10-24-10 Picks - Sunday

10-24-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
054 NY Rangers -106
056 Calgary -104

Light card today. Good luck to all!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-25-10, 08:18 AM

10-24-10 Picks - Sunday - RESULTS

10-24-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +2.00 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +2.00 Units

Tier A Plays +2.00 Units
054 NY Rangers -106 - W
056 Calgary -104 - W

Overall YTD Results
27-29 – 48.2%
Straight Up +6.19 Units
Modified Chase +6.45 Units
**********
Tier A +4.93 Units / +5.06 Units
18-15 – 54.5%
**********
Tier B +1.26 Units / +1.39 Units
9-14 – 39.1%

CaptNumbers · 10-25-10, 05:29 PM

10-25-10 Picks - Monday

10-25-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
002 Columbus +110
003 Phoenix +115
006 Minnesota -104

Here's to a great evening! Everyone enjoy yourself and best of luck!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-25-10, 11:41 PM

10-25-10 Picks - Monday - RESULTS

10-25-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) -0.94 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) -0.94 Units

Tier A Plays
002 Columbus +110 - W
003 Phoenix +115 - L
006 Minnesota -104 - L

Overall YTD Results
28-31 – 47.5%
Straight Up +5.25 Units
Modified Chase +5.51 Units
**********
Tier A +3.99 Units / +4.12 Units
19-17 – 52.7%
**********
Tier B +1.26 Units / +1.39 Units
9-14 – 39.1%

CaptNumbers · 10-26-10, 05:22 PM

10-26-10 Picks - Tuesday

10-26-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier B Plays
051 Florida +147
059 Anaheim +150

Good luck to all!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-26-10, 10:38 PM

10-26-10 Picks - Tuesday - RESULTS

10-26-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +0.50 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +0.50 Units

Tier B Plays +0.50 Units
051 Florida +147 - L
059 Anaheim +150 - W

Overall YTD Results
29-32 – 47.5%
Straight Up +5.75 Units
Modified Chase +6.01 Units
**********
Tier A +3.99 Units / +4.12 Units
19-17 – 52.7%
**********
Tier B +1.76 Units / +1.89 Units
10-15 – 40.0 %

CaptNumbers · 10-27-10, 05:25 PM

10-27-10 Picks - Wednesday

10-27-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
004 Carolina +125
008 Tampa Bay +104

Tier B Plays
001 Atlanta +126
009 LA Kings +132
011 New Jersey +150

A full card today. Good luck to all!
-CN

keel44 · 10-27-10, 11:37 PM

For 2 weeks now and you are up around 6 units. Very nice. Underdogs are the way to go. Even though this thread does not get a lot of views, I hope you keep posting.

I have been with ya.

CaptNumbers · 10-28-10, 01:02 AM

Originally posted by keel44

For 2 weeks now and you are up around 6 units. Very nice. Underdogs are the way to go. Even though this thread does not get a lot of views, I hope you keep posting.

I have been with ya.

Thanks for the encouraging words, Keel. I have a grind it out mentality using +EV across the board. I will continue posting. Best of luck to all of us!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-28-10, 01:02 AM

10-27-10 Picks - Wednesday - RESULTS

10-27-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) -0.70 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) -0.70 Units

Tier A Plays +0.04 Units
004 Carolina +125 - L
008 Tampa Bay +104 - W

Tier B Plays -0.74 Units
001 Atlanta +126 - W
009 LA Kings +132 - L
011 New Jersey +150 - L

Overall YTD Results
31-35 – 47.0%
Straight Up +5.05 Units
Modified Chase +5.31 Units
**********
Tier A +4.03 Units / +4.16 Units
20-18 – 52.6%
**********
Tier B +1.02 Units / +1.15 Units
11-17 – 39.3 %

CaptNumbers · 10-28-10, 04:48 PM

10-28-10 Picks - Thursday

10-28-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
062 Minnesota +100

Tier B Plays
053 Phoenix +160
055 Edmonton +140

I just want to remind everyone that my handicapping system looks for plays that have +EV. It is not a home run system. It is a grind it out all year long, get the best lines you can every day, and show a profit at the end of the year system. There will be some days that will be very good, some days very bad, but for the most part every day will be more of a grind. You have to remain constant in order for the system to work itself out. Best of luck to all and remember to stay positive!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-28-10, 10:04 PM

10-28-10 Picks - Thursday - RESULTS

10-28-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +1.60 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +1.60 Units

Tier A Plays +1.00 Units
062 Minnesota +100 - W

Tier B Plays +0.60 Units
053 Phoenix +160 - W
055 Edmonton +140 - L

Overall YTD Results
33-36 – 47.8%
Straight Up +6.65 Units
Modified Chase +6.91 Units
**********
Tier A +5.03 Units / +5.16 Units
21-18 – 53.8%
**********
Tier B +1.62 Units / +1.75 Units
12-18 – 40.0%

CaptNumbers · 10-29-10, 05:09 PM

10-29-10 Picks - Friday

10-29-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
005 Carolina +120
007 Buffalo -102

Tier B Plays
003 Philadelphia +120

Here's to a great night! Enjoy your Friday!
-CN

keel44 · 10-29-10, 10:35 PM

More people need to check it out. Another profitable night!

CaptNumbers · 10-30-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by keel44

More people need to check it out. Another profitable night!

Keel,
I am glad to be able to help you out. Let's hope that we continue to have a successful season. Thanks for the good words!
-CN

CaptNumbers · 10-30-10, 12:04 AM

10-29-10 Picks - Friday - RESULTS

10-29-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each) +1.38 Units
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each) +1.38 Units

Tier A Plays +0.18 Units
005 Carolina +120 - W
007 Buffalo -102 - L

Tier B Plays +1.20 Units
003 Philadelphia +120 - W

Overall YTD Results
35-37 – 48.6%
Straight Up +8.03 Units
Modified Chase +8.29 Units
**********
Tier A +5.21 Units / +5.34 Units
22-19 – 53.7%
**********
Tier B +2.82 Units / +2.95 Units
13-18 – 41.9%

CaptNumbers · 10-30-10, 05:15 PM

10-30-10 Picks - Saturday

10-30-10 Straight Up (1.00 Units Each)
Modified Chase (1.00 Units Each)

Tier A Plays
056 Ottawa +113
060 Carolina +105
066 Minnesota +105
068 Dallas -108

Tier B Plays
069 Columbus +130
075 New Jersey +125

Let's hope we have another winning night tonight. Good luck to all!
-CN