Statnerds NHL Playoff Thread

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  • statnerds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-23-09
    • 4047

    #1
    Statnerds NHL Playoff Thread
    Terrible run to end the season and my record clearly shows that. most important thing to remember is that the Playoffs are completely different from the regular season. here is another tip i figured out all by myself:

    If you like a dog to win the series, only bet that dog in the first game. I will be taking the Habs over the Caps (i will do this every round if the Caps advance, they have zero defense, toughness or goaltending). the series price is Mon +465. they are naturally a huge dog to lose game one. i will take a small play on them in game 1 and if they win i am done with that series. if they lose, which they are expected to do the series price will go up even though the game went exactly as everyone thought it would. it makes no sense.

    all prices were from 5Dimes unless noted with the BM.

    To Win Cup:
    1 Unit on each

    Buff +1950
    Det +950 (BM)
    .22 Units to win 10 Units
    Phi +4500

    To Win Con
    1 Unit each
    Buf +950
    SJ +250
    Det +475 (BM)

    Series
    1 Unit
    Phi +200
    Phx +165
    Mon +not yet. Read above tip.

    i like teams that come in hot and/or have a legit goalie. The flyers don't match any of those, but every other year they come in with hype, they lose. let's see what they can do when no one is giving them a chance. any team hotter than Wings? buffalo playing well and a hot goalie can steal 1 or 2 games every series. took the Phx just in case. fully confident that if they get past yotes, the Wings will go all the way, even with average goalies. too much of a puss to take Nashville to beat the Hawks.

    GL all
  • statnerds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-23-09
    • 4047

    #2
    Pit Ov 5.5 -101 5Dimes

    this game needs to start before i bet on Ottawa.
    Comment
    • statnerds
      SBR MVP
      • 09-23-09
      • 4047

      #3
      .5 Unit
      Mon +240
      .25 Unit
      Mon -1 +490

      1 Unit
      Wash Ov 6 +103 5D

      so if they win, i'm done. but when they lose as a near 3 to 1 underdog, the series price will go over +500.

      GL
      Comment
      • statnerds
        SBR MVP
        • 09-23-09
        • 4047

        #4
        2-2 +.95 Units in Playoffs

        Comment
        • statnerds
          SBR MVP
          • 09-23-09
          • 4047

          #5
          Phi +.5 -105
          Comment
          • BigdaddyQH
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-13-09
            • 19530

            #6
            Why in the name of sanity would you take San Jose to win anything?
            Comment
            • statnerds
              SBR MVP
              • 09-23-09
              • 4047

              #7
              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
              Why in the name of sanity would you take San Jose to win anything?
              how come you didn't mention the Habs over the Caps play as well?
              Comment
              • statnerds
                SBR MVP
                • 09-23-09
                • 4047

                #8
                2-3 -.10 Units

                5Dimes

                Van Ov 5.5 +125

                Van Ov TT 3 -105

                damn-it, they cannot put these homos away. but i stand by the following:

                "I will be taking the Habs over the Caps (i will do this every round if the Caps advance, they have zero defense, toughness or goaltending). the series price is Mon +465."

                but i don't know shit
                Comment
                • statnerds
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-23-09
                  • 4047

                  #9
                  2-5 -2.25 Units

                  Pit PL +240
                  Pit Ov 5.5 +104

                  i rarely, rarely bet the home team. however, if there were a game to do it, it would be this one. Pens out-shut, out-hit and pretty much dominated the Sens in game 2, even though the score failed to reflect it. think eliot played one of the best games of his career and the Sens have gotten the better of the bounces in the first 2 games. hopefully the intensity carries over for the Pens as they were clearly the superior team last time out.

                  if eliot plays anything less than perfect Pens will get 4 or 5 on the board. and i expect a much tighter called game giving the Pens more than 1 PP chance.
                  Comment
                  • statnerds
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-23-09
                    • 4047

                    #10
                    4-5 +1.19 Units

                    Wash TT Ov 3.5 +115
                    Comment
                    • statnerds
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-23-09
                      • 4047

                      #11
                      5-5 +2.34 Units

                      Ott Ov 5.5 -105

                      Comment
                      • statnerds
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-23-09
                        • 4047

                        #12
                        6-5 +3.34 Units

                        in game

                        Boston +1.5 +145
                        Comment
                        • statnerds
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-23-09
                          • 4047

                          #13
                          7-5 +4.79 Units

                          Ott Un 5.5 +110

                          5Dimes
                          Comment
                          • statnerds
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-23-09
                            • 4047

                            #14
                            in game play

                            NJ +2.5 -105
                            Comment
                            • statnerds
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-23-09
                              • 4047

                              #15
                              8-7 +4.74 Units

                              all .5 Unit Plays

                              OTT +160
                              OTT +225 1st 60 min
                              OTT Under 5 +215
                              OTT Win Series +600

                              now i could be way off and lose 2 Units here, but i am a sucker for a good story. this banged-up Sens team is hanging with Cup Champs with a first round draft pick goalie that was given up by no less than 3 teams. history could be made here in the next couple of days i am hoping to see it frankly. would be awesome.
                              Comment
                              • statnerds
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-23-09
                                • 4047

                                #16
                                8-14 -.26 Units

                                Pit SOG Ov 33.5

                                Pit Ov 3.5 -105

                                i really see no way for the Habs to have anything in the tank right now after being exhausted in game 6 and 7 vs Wash, playing Friday night and coming back for the Sunday afternoon tilt. i worry about the SOG only because Montreal will block about 30.

                                GL
                                Comment
                                • statnerds
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-23-09
                                  • 4047

                                  #17
                                  9-15 -.31 Units

                                  Det 1st 60 +172
                                  Comment
                                  • statnerds
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-23-09
                                    • 4047

                                    #18
                                    9-16 -1.31 Units

                                    Pit 1.5 +190

                                    did i mention it was awesome losing that Det play on a 5 on 3 PP and 10 total PPs for the Sharks?

                                    Det +310 Series
                                    Comment
                                    • statnerds
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-23-09
                                      • 4047

                                      #19
                                      10-16 +.59 Units

                                      Live Betting 5Dimes

                                      Van +1.5 +100
                                      Comment
                                      • statnerds
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-23-09
                                        • 4047

                                        #20
                                        10-17 -.41 Units

                                        Montreal 1st period +120

                                        Mon Ov 5.5 +115

                                        do or die time. one of these goalies will crack tonight, perhaps both.
                                        Comment
                                        • Munjoz
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-02-10
                                          • 574

                                          #21
                                          GL man
                                          Comment
                                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-17-09
                                            • 11939

                                            #22
                                            GL tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • statnerds
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-23-09
                                              • 4047

                                              #23
                                              Live Bet

                                              Phi +2.5 +240


                                              thanks for the well wishes earlier gents
                                              Comment
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