Don't you think 6½ line is a little bit low for Stars @ Caps game?

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  • Sawyer
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-01-09
    • 7761

    #1
    Don't you think 6½ line is a little bit low for Stars @ Caps game?
    STARS VS CAPS



    Just kidding, LoL! You were expecting 8.5? Never saw a 8.5 line in NHL, That's why I love hockey! Let me explain..

    Since hockey totals take action in a much narrower-range than NBA, oddsmakers are more limited when opening lines. For example, let's say Trashers will host Caps and you're expecting a high scoring game, probably 8 or 9 goals. Result of first two meetings between two sides were 4-5 and 3-4. Well, Linemaker cannot put up a 7½ goal line! That's the beauty of slim-range lines in hockey game. (Not to mention, the other two games between Caps and Trashers resulted 1-8 and 2-5)

    Washington Caps will host Dallas Stars tonight while LVSC is offering 6½ for the total.

    * Over is 8-1 in Stars last 9 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
    * Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 vs. Southeast.
    * Over is 13-3 in Stars last 16 following a loss of 3 or more goals.
    * Over is 22-8-1 in Stars last 31 vs. Eastern Conference.
    * Over is 13-6 in Stars last 19 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
    * Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
    * Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 games following a win.
    * Over is 8-2 in Capitals last 10 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
    * Over is 4-1-1 in Capitals last 6 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
    * Over is 7-2 in Capitals last 9 overall.
    * Over is 10-3-2 in Capitals last 15 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
    * Over is 18-6-2 in Capitals last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
    * Over is 6-2-2 in Capitals last 10 vs. Pacific.
    * Over is 3-1-2 in Capitals last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
    * Over is 11-5-1 in Capitals last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.

    In addition, Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings!
    I'm expecting another high scoring game in this one, GL!

    STARS @ CAPS
    OVER 6½ GOALS -111


    Don't you think blah blah NBA Totals Record: 4-2
    Don't you think blah blah NHL Record: 1-1 (Total 1-0, Side 0-1)
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    I took Wash on puck line

    GL guy, should be like 4-2 or 5-2/3
    Comment
    • Sawyer
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-01-09
      • 7761

      #3
      Let's hope for a 5-2

      Wash -1½ PL at home is a Moneymaker so far this season. GL JJ!
      Comment
      • SlickFazzer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-22-08
        • 20209

        #4
        I'll be watching closely.
        Comment
        • whatsgood5
          Restricted User
          • 10-13-09
          • 15359

          #5
          I'll tail ya for a small bit here, you're pretty solid at these. Good luck man
          Comment
          • Housemoney
            SBR MVP
            • 09-17-09
            • 3912

            #6
            I am parlaying the Cap PL with the over, in addition to playing them individually. Caps are a money maker.

            GL Sawyer.
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Stars ml and pl
              Comment
              • Sawyer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-01-09
                • 7761

                #8
                GL Guys!
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82830

                  #9
                  Dallas Stars all the way. Lots of value vs a Caps team not firing on all cylinders.
                  Comment
                  • smitch124
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-08
                    • 12566

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Housemoney
                    I am parlaying the Cap PL with the over, in addition to playing them individually. Caps are a money maker.

                    GL Sawyer.
                    Where can you do that? I'm in!!
                    Comment
                    • in2thethickofit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-26-09
                      • 2622

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Housemoney
                      I am parlaying the Cap PL with the over, in addition to playing them individually. Caps are a money maker.

                      GL Sawyer.
                      Yea, where can u do that? GL
                      Comment
                      • Sawyer
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-01-09
                        • 7761

                        #12
                        Trends & Stats

                        Dallas Stars are 11-1 OVER off a loss by three or more goals.
                        Washington Capitals are10-3 OVER against teams allowing 2.85 or more goals a game in the second part of the season.
                        Comment
                        • Sawyer
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-01-09
                          • 7761

                          #13
                          Originally posted by in2thethickofit
                          Yea, where can u do that? GL
                          You can parlay -1½ PL and Over? You can play ML & Over/Under Parlay only as far as I know?
                          Comment
                          • obamaismyuncle
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-31-08
                            • 17801

                            #14
                            Dallas +1.5 at -110, count me in. I'd lean to the under as well.
                            Comment
                            • scottcarter
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-01-10
                              • 38

                              #15
                              Over!
                              Comment
                              • Housemoney
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-17-09
                                • 3912

                                #16
                                I had to do the ML and the over with 5 Dimes. Going to check with my new local to see if he will allow it.

                                Not so sure now that LB and Pavy weighed in.
                                Comment
                                • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-20-09
                                  • 2560

                                  #17
                                  only problem with this is that Wash may have to do all of the work, as Dallas can't score.

                                  out scored 17-5 in their 3 games after the Olympic break.
                                  Comment
                                  • Toronto Fc
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 01-02-10
                                    • 85

                                    #18
                                    Thanks for the analysis. Good read.
                                    Comment
                                    • Eleven
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-07-09
                                      • 730

                                      #19
                                      Going with Dallas.
                                      Comment
                                      • gerrard08
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 88

                                        #20
                                        its risky, but id have to agree, GL!
                                        Comment
                                        • RbN
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-02-10
                                          • 1514

                                          #21
                                          Burned myself on Wash - NYR over, also yesterday on Atl - Car over....

                                          Wont ever bet over/under again.

                                          I can see a pl win for Wash 3-1
                                          Comment
                                          • jayc88
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-30-07
                                            • 6785

                                            #22
                                            only play for me so far today

                                            lets make some cash

                                            Comment
                                            • Extra Innings
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-26-10
                                              • 15058

                                              #23
                                              Always pound the high numbers over and the low numbers under. Though his mind is not for rent Don't put him down as arrogant His reserve, a quiet defense Riding out the day's events The river
                                              Comment
                                              • pokerpro44
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-20-07
                                                • 3138

                                                #24
                                                im on the over as well.
                                                Comment
                                                • DennisGreen
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-27-08
                                                  • 18369

                                                  #25
                                                  Interesting stat, the Caps are 8-0 for the over in games this year in which the line was set at 6.5 With the line moving from -110 to -125 now this is another good sign this one will go over
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RbN
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-02-10
                                                    • 1514

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                    Interesting stat, the Caps are 8-0 for the over in games this year in which the line was set at 6.5 With the line moving from -110 to -125 now this is another good sign this one will go over
                                                    So did the Wash - NYR line
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sawyer
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                      • 7761

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                      only problem with this is that Wash may have to do all of the work, as Dallas can't score.

                                                      out scored 17-5 in their 3 games after the Olympic break.
                                                      You know what they say.. It takes two to tango! We need Dallas to score a few goals as well.

                                                      My score prediction is 4-3 or 5-2.

                                                      2-2 in first period would be nice
                                                      Comment
                                                      • obamaismyuncle
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-31-08
                                                        • 17801

                                                        #28
                                                        It seems weird shit happens with these huge fav's when only a couple games on the schedule. I think Dallas +1.5 is a good play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Trojan
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-18-08
                                                          • 399

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                          Dallas Stars all the way. Lots of value vs a Caps team not firing on all cylinders.
                                                          Caps have won 3 straight. 7-1-2 in their last 10. First place overall, undefeated since the Olympic break, coming off a shutout. Cant wait to seem them firing on all cylinders.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Housemoney
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-17-09
                                                            • 3912

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                            Interesting stat, the Caps are 8-0 for the over in games this year in which the line was set at 6.5 With the line moving from -110 to -125 now this is another good sign this one will go over
                                                            That makes me feel better. DennisGreen knows hockey like LB knows NBA and Pavy knows soccer.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OTL
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-08-10
                                                              • 2433

                                                              #31
                                                              I felt more comfortable taking the Caps on the PL instead. Washington's top two lines haven't been producing lately and Dallas just can't seem to score. We don't even know who is in net for Washington yet. Could either be Theodore who is red hot or Varlamov who has a GAA of 5.00 since the olympic break.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • alex81
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-18-09
                                                                • 658

                                                                #32
                                                                This game is not as simple as people think. We all know Washington can score and Dallas is a terrible road team but does that mean that there will be at least 7 goals scored in this contest? Caps have cooled down offensively since the break. I think there is value in the UNDER here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • neuraxis
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-09-10
                                                                  • 127

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Score FEST!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • obamaismyuncle
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                                    • 17801

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Dallas may win this bitch like 3-2 or 2-1, not kidding.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sports Tsunami
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-27-10
                                                                      • 45

                                                                      #35
                                                                      7 goals or more scored in 10 of 13 games Dallas has played an East team. They are 0-7 against the East on the road too. I wonder if that just means they are due for a road win??
                                                                      Comment
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