NHL Picks - SEASON THREAD - by Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Wednesday December 4

Ouch. Tough day last night, as almost half of our yearly profit disappeared.

That's ok. Gotta learn to cope with losing streaks when doing sports investments.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 42
• Bets lost = 45
• Profit = +$6.35 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are:

• 2 STARS = Senators (at +190 or 2.90) at Oilers
  
• 2 STARS = Kings (at +121 or 2.21) vs Capitals

The Los Angeles pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."

This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.

Now, the Caps have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them.

Professor MJ

[WhiteBison]

Do you have a record break down for each system you play? Or can you at least give a system # to each play so we can track it ourselves? Thank You for posting.

[Prof.MJ]

Do you have a record break down for each system you play? Or can you at least give a system # to each play so we can track it ourselves? Thank You for posting.

Scoring Drought = -6.47 over 70 bets
Porous Defense = +0.41 over 15 bets
Hot Scorers = -0.58 over 12 bets
Stingy Goalies = +9.03 over 67 bets
Big Upset = +8.55 over 18 bets
Blowout = +1.91 over 41 bets
Cold Teams = +3.51 over 6 bets
Hot Teams = -0.84 over 15 bets
Cold vs Hot = -3.47 over 16 bets
Snapped Winning Streak = +2.17 over 32 bets

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Thursday December 5

1-1 last night for a +0.90 unit profit since the Sens were able to pull off a big upset in Edmonton.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 43
• Bets lost = 46
• Profit = +$7.25 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are:

• 5 STARS = Blackhawks (at +199 or 2.99) at Bruins
  
• 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +134 or 2.34) at Flyers
  
• 3 STARS = Sabres (at +144 or 2.44) at Flames
  
• 2 STARS = Sharks (at +145 or 2.45) at Hurricanes
  
• 1 STAR = Jets (at +140 or 2.40) at Stars

The Arizona pick is based on two betting systems, including "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle:

"Bet a road team coming off 1-2 straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins."

This system yielded a profit of 66.87 units via 483 bets over a nine-year period.

According to this betting strategy, since the Coyotes have won one game in a row and the Flyers are riding a five-game winning streak, we're going to back Arizona.

Thanks for reading!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Friday December 6

The 5-star and 4-star plays hit last night!

Despite a 2-3 record, we made a profit thanks in large part to the Blackhawks pulling off the big upset in Boston!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 45
• Bets lost = 49
• Profit = +$7.58 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Only one team meets the criteria of one of my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 3 STARS = Kings (at +146 or 2.46) at Oilers
  

This pick relies on "The Big Upset" and "The Scoring Drought" strategies.

Here are the details of "The Big Upset" angle:

"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format. If Team B's next game is against Team C, bet Team C if its money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."

This system yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets over a nine-year period. Not my personal favorite, but I'm still using it.

In Edmonton's last game, they were upset at home against the Sens. Ottawa's money line was much bigger than 2.70. According to the system, we need to bet AGAINST the Oilers, which means we're taking the Kings (unless they had been big favorites, which is not the case here).

I'll talk to you again Monday, have a great weekend!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Monday December 9

RECORD:

• Bets won = 45
• Bets lost = 50
• Profit = +$6.58 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +198 or 2.98) at Capitals
  
• 2 STARS = Flames (at +140 or 2.40) at Avalanche

Cheers!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Tuesday December 10

VERY NICE!! Both picks hit last night (both underdogs), including the 5-star play as the Blue Jackets upset the Caps in Washington!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 47
• Bets lost = 50
• Profit = +$9.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 4 STARS = Canadiens (at +145 or 2.45) at Penguins
  
• 4 STARS = Ducks (at +145 or 2.45) at Wild
  
• 4 STARS = RedWings (at +210 or 3.10) at Jets
  
• 2 STARS = Sharks (at +150 or 2.50) at Predators
  
• 2 STARS = Devils (at +179 or 2.79) at Stars
  
• 1 STAR = Blackhawks (at +176 or 2.76) at Golden Knights
  
• 1 STAR = Rangers (at +106 or 2.06) at Kings

The Rangers pick barely qualifies under "The Blowout" betting system:

Bet a team that blew out its previous opponent by a margin of 3+ goals. The team we bet must be on the road and its money line must be greater than 2.05 (which essentially means they must be underdogs).

This betting angle generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets through a 9-year span.

The Rangers' last game was a convincing 5-0 win over Vegas. Since they are indeed on the road tonight with odds barely above 2.05, we are backing them.

Good luck guys!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL Picks for Wednesday December 11

We lost close to 2 units last night, but at least the top two picks hit.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 49
• Bets lost = 55
• Profit = +$7.86 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Bruins (at +112 or 2.12) at Capitals
  
• 3 STARS = Senators (at +176 or 2.76) at Canadiens
  
• 2 STARS = Flyers (at +141 or 2.41) at Avalanche

The Boston pick meets the criteria of three betting angles at a time: "The Big Upset", "The Scoring Drought" and "The Snapped Winning Streak".

Let's see how we do with those system plays!

Professor MJ

[vigster]

NHL Picks for Wednesday December 11

We lost close to 2 units last night, but at least the top two picks hit.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 49
• Bets lost = 55
• Profit = +$7.86 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Bruins (at +112 or 2.12) at Capitals
  
• 3 STARS = Senators (at +176 or 2.76) at Canadiens
  
• 2 STARS = Flyers (at +141 or 2.41) at Avalanche

The Boston pick meets the criteria of three betting angles at a time: "The Big Upset", "The Scoring Drought" and "The Snapped Winning Streak".

Let's see how we do with those system plays!

Professor MJ

GL tonight. With you on the Bruins. Let’s go!!!

[Prof.MJ]

GL tonight. With you on the Bruins. Let’s go!!!

Man, what a disappointing outcome...

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Thursday December 12

The December slide continued last night... Still in profit territory this season, but got cut down recently.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 49
• Bets lost = 58
• Profit = +$4.86 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 3 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +150 or 2.50) at Penguins
  
• 2 STARS = Bruins (at +131 or 2.31) at Lightning
  
• 2 STARS = Oilers (at +111 or 2.11) at Wild
  
• 2 STARS = Maple Leafs (at -109 or 1.92) at Flames
  
• 2 STARS = Blackhawks (at +131 or 2.31) at Coyotes
  
• 1 STAR = Islanders (at +106 or 2.06) at Panthers
  
• 1 STAR = RedWings (at +166 or 2.66) vs Jets
  
• 1 STAR = Canucks (at +115 or 2.15) vs Hurricanes

A total of 8 system plays, but none rated 4-5 stars? That's odd...

Let's hope for a nice rebound tonight!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Friday December 13

Will Friday the 13th bring us good luck? I hope so since it is my youngest son's birthday today! Happy b-day Jay!!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 52
• Bets lost = 63
• Profit = +$3.73 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 2 STARS = Golden Knights (at +140 or 2.40) at Stars
  

This pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" betting system.

Have a GREAT weekend!!!

Professor MJ

[MisterSack]

Happy bday Jay

[Prof.MJ]

Happy bday Jay

He says thanks ;-)

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Tuesday December 17

RECORD:

• Bets won = 53
• Bets lost = 63
• Profit = +$5.13 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Predators (at +130 or 2.30) at Islanders
  
• 3 STARS = Canucks (at -110 or 1.91) vs Canadiens
  
• 2 STARS = Penguins (at +107 or 2.07) at Flames
  
• 1 STAR = Sharks (at -105 or 1.95) vs Coyotes

Good luck!

Professor MJ

[Hman]

GL tonight

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Wednesday December 18

The 5-star play hit last night as the Preds upset the Islanders 8-3!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 55
• Bets lost = 65
• Profit = +5.50 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 4 STARS = Oilers (at +150 or 2.50) at Blues
  

The pick is based on "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angles.

Have a nice day fellows!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Thursday December 19

The underdog Oilers put up a good fight in St. Louis last night, but ended up losing 2-1. Good try!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 55
• Bets lost = 66
• Profit = +4.50 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 2 STARS = Sabres (at +133 or 2.33) at Flyers
  
• 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at -141 or 1.71) vs Kings
  
• 2 STARS = Wild (at +136 or 2.36) at Coyotes
  
• 1 STAR = Senators (at +132 or 2.32) vs Predators

The Ottawa pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

"Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."

The Sens have lost their previous two contests by 4-3 and 6-1 scores, so they did lose both games by allowing at least four goals.

Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets (ROI = +10.4%).

Cheers!

Professor MJ

[mantorras77]

what does the stars mean?

[MisterSack]

how many donuts he's eating during that game

[Prof.MJ]

what does the stars mean?

Like a hotel rating. Shows how much faith I've got in each pick.

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Friday December 20

3-1 last night, including two underdogs for a 2.39-unit profit. Let's keep it up, fellows!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 58
• Bets lost = 67
• Profit = +6.89 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's lone system play based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 1 STAR = Rangers (at +150 or 2.50) vs Maple Leafs
  

This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle that I told you about yesterday.

Have a great weekend, hockey fans!

Professor MJ

[mantorras77]

Your 5 STAR rated selections so far are 7 wins 5 losses +5.95units....clearly your strongest

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Tuesday December 31

RECORD:

• Bets won = 58
• Bets lost = 68
• Profit = +5.89 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Wild (at +115 or 2.15 odds) vs Maple Leafs
  
• 2 STARS = Hurricanes (at -167 or 1.60 odds) vs Canadiens
  
• 2 STARS = Coyotes (at -105 or 1.95 odds) vs Blues
  
• 1 STAR = Blackhawks (at +165 or 2.65 odds) at Flames

Happy New Year!!!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Friday January 3rd

RECORD:

• Bets won = 61
• Bets lost = 69
• Profit = +8.09 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's lone pick based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 4 STARS = RedWings (at Stars @ +270 or 3.70 odds)
  

Best of luck, folks!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Monday January 6th

Sorry I couldn't post on a regular basis during the Holidays. I had many plans with my family and we had a lot of fun.

I'll be back posting regularly for the second half of the regular season, let's finish strong!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 61
• Bets lost = 70
• Profit = +7.09 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Oilers (at Maple Leafs @ +190 or 2.90 odds)
  
• 2 STARS = Islanders (vs Avalanche @ +109 or 2.09 odds)

The Edmonton pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria for betting of three systems at a time: "The Stingy Goalies", "The Blowout" and "The Hot Teams Matchup".

Let's see how it plays out!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Tuesday January 7th

Oh yeah! Both picks won yesterday, including the 5-star play where the Oilers pulled off a great upset in Toronto!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 63
• Bets lost = 70
• Profit = +10.08 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 4 STARS = Senators (@ +267 or 3.67 odds, at Capitals)
  
• 2 STARS = Canucks (@ +187 or 2.87 odds, at Lightning)
  
• 2 STARS = Islanders (@ -119 or 1.84 odds, at Devils)
  
• 2 STARS = Rangers (@ +140 or 2.40 odds, vs Avalanche)
  
• 1 STAR = Coyotes (@ +110 or 2.10 odds, at Panthers)
  
• 1 STAR = RedWings (@ +140 or 2.40 odds, vs Canadiens)

As of 7 am Eastern Time, only Bet365 has odds on Coyotes-Panthers and Canadiens-RedWings so the odds above came from this sportsbook.

The Rangers pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting angle. There are two different sets of criteria for betting under this strategy, one of them being as follows:

"Bet a home team coming off 3+ straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1-2 straight loss(es), only if the home team's money line is greater than 2.05 (which means we focus exclusively on underdogs)."

This system led to a 44.95-unit profit through 141 bets over the course of nine seasons (ROI = 31.9%). Such plays are seldom seen, so let's take advantage of it tonight!

Goooooood luck my sports investing friends!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Wednesday January 8th

Pretty lucrative day last night by winning 4 bets and losing 2, despite picking five underdogs out of six picks.

Yesterday's profit was 2.74 units.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 67
• Bets lost = 72
• Profit = +12.82 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 3 STARS = Jets (@ +167 or 2.67 odds, at Maple Leafs)
  
• 3 STARS = Flyers (@ +115 or 2.15 odds, vs Capitals)
  
• 3 STARS = Kings (@ +124 or 2.24 odds, vs Stars)

Both the Flyers and Kings are based on the exact same betting angles: "The Hot Scorers" and "The Porous Defense".

Let me remind you quickly what the latter is all about:

"Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."

This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.

Now, the Caps have scored 6, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them against Philly.

As for the Dallas Stars, they scored exactly 4 goals in each of their three games. For the same reasons, we are fading them at Los Angeles.

Best of luck with your plays!

Professor MJ

[cecil127]

thanks for posting but moreso: TRACKING!!
interesting angle on the caps/flyers...following. bol!

[highoops5]

Just wanted to also say thanks for the picks as well as tracking them. Been following along for a couple weeks and really enjoy the angles/analysis!

[Prof.MJ]

Just wanted to also say thanks for the picks as well as tracking them. Been following along for a couple weeks and really enjoy the angles/analysis!

You are very welcome folks, I appreciate your support!

Based on the number of views I knew some people were reading, but not many commenting! But that's okay, I'll keep going anyway since I know it helps some of you.

Let's keep it going for the rest of the season!

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Thursday January 9th

Another good day with a 2-1 record despite picking 3 underdogs. Last night's profit: +1.82 units.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 69
• Bets lost = 73
• Profit = +14.64 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 4 STARS = Kings (@ +245 or 3.45 odds, at Golden Knights)
  
• 2 STARS = Panthers (@ -143 or 1.70 odds, vs Canucks)
  
• 2 STARS = Devils (@ +150 or 2.50 odds, at Rangers)
  
• 1 STAR = Ducks (@ +122 or 2.22 odds, vs Stars)

"The Scoring Drought" betting system is backing two teams today: the Kings and the Devils. Here are the details of this strategy:

"Suppose a team has lost its past two games by scoring a maximum of 3 goals in each contest. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line greater than 1.80 (i.e. -125 in American format)."

This betting angle, over a nine-year period, generated a profit of 90.53 units through 1656 bets (ROI = +5.5%).

For example, the L.A. Kings lost their past two games by 2-1 and 4-2 scores. Since they are road underdogs, we are betting them tonight.

If you are interested to see the complete statistical study I ran in order to come up with those betting criteria, I made a video unveiling all details (search "Professor MJ" in YTube).

Cheers!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Friday January 10th

5th straight day with a positive gain, thanks for a 2-2 record including the HUGE upset by the Kings in Vegas.

RECORD:

• Bets won = 71
• Bets lost = 75
• Profit = +15.79 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's lone pick based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 2 STARS = Senators (@ -110 or 1.91 odds, at RedWings)
  

The pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which I explained in details yesterday.

Have a great weekend, hockey fans!!!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Monday January 13th

RECORD:

• Bets won = 71
• Bets lost = 76
• Profit = +14.79 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Ducks (@ +205 or 3.05 odds at 8:15 am with MyBookie, at Blues)
  
• 1 STAR = Hurricanes (@ +121 or 2.21 odds at 8:15 am with Pinnacle, at Capitals)

The Anaheim pick meets the criteria of three betting angles at a time: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup."

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[Prof.MJ]

NHL System Picks for Tuesday January 14th

The super hot streak ended with two lost plays last night.

Let's roll up our sleeves and get back on the winning track!

RECORD:

• Bets won = 71
• Bets lost = 78
• Profit = +12.79 units (from RISKING 1 unit on every play)

Today's picks based on my 10 NHL betting systems:

• 5 STARS = Wild (@ +160 or 2.60 odds, at Penguins)
  
• 2 STARS = Kings (@ +240 or 3.40 odds, at Lightning)
  
• 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (@ +130 or 2.30 odds, vs Bruins)
  
• 2 STARS = Avalanche (@ -141 or 1.71 odds, vs Stars)
  
• 2 STARS = Predators (@ -116 or 1.86 odds, at Oilers)
  
• 1 STAR = Sabres (@ +140 or 2.40 odds, vs Golden Knights)
  
• 1 STAR = Canucks (@ +117 or 2.17 odds, at Jets)

The Minnesota pick is based on the following three betting angles: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup".

Here are the details behind the latter strategy:

"Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight LOSSES when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight WINS. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 in decimal format."

Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 42.69 units via 428 bets.

In this case, Minnesota is undergoing a three-game losing skid, while Pittsburgh is riding a three-game winning streak. Since the odds on the Wild are indeed larger than 2.25, we are betting them tonight!

Best of luck!

Professor MJ