Why bet if your plays not worth max?

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  • playinragz
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-23-08
    • 290

    #1
    Why bet if your plays not worth max?
    i see alot of guys in the hockey pool (xxx's nhl playoff) making bets for 5u 3u 7u . if your bet isnt worth the max in your mind why bet it?
  • BetterBetter
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-18-09
    • 542

    #2
    A lot of times I make 2 bets to cover eachother. For example I took Chicago +1.5 for 10u and Chicago ml for 5u. Since the +1.5 is -245 I will make about 4u if it cashes. That will pretty much cover my ml bet if it loses. I don't know if this is a good idea or not but I like it and have done well so far in the playoffs witha lot of similar bets.
    Comment
    • BetterBetter
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-18-09
      • 542

      #3
      And this would be an example of that plan backfiring.
      Comment
      • playinragz
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-23-08
        • 290

        #4
        I understand that even though it was a bad example for yah... lol but worked good for rangers .... i would think although i surely wont tell you your doing something wrong (+ 1 million dollars this postseason ) If we only played the games we felt best about hence max play , record would be alot better . Hell you would have bet everything max yourself you might be up 2 million. lol what ever your doing can never be questioned though cuz your on fire !!!
        Comment
        • VegasDave
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-03-07
          • 8056

          #5
          Playin, lets say someone came up to you and offered you a bet on a fair coin flip. He will give you +110 on the side of your choice.

          You are being offered a 50/50 proposition at a better than 50/50 price. Would you turn this down?

          You WILL lose this bet 50% of the time, but it was still a +EV bet.

          Same goes for hockey or any other sport. You should bet when you see an edge; not only when you are extremely sure about it.
          Comment
          • yisman
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-01-08
            • 75682

            #6
            Originally posted by playinragz
            i see alot of guys in the hockey pool (xxx's nhl playoff) making bets for 5u 3u 7u . if your bet isnt worth the max in your mind why bet it?
            This is not a question worth answering.

            Do you go all in on every bet?

            Betting 10 units is maxing out your bet. I rarely max out bets in real life, so why would I do it here?

            Sometimes I bet MLs when I feel the game is about 50/50 and I can get +140 or so ML. Would I max it out? Ridiculous. But value is value.
            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
            [/quote]

            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
            Comment
            • Flyers09
              Restricted User
              • 04-13-09
              • 3666

              #7
              Originally posted by yisman
              This is not a question worth answering.

              Do you go all in on every bet?

              Betting 10 units is maxing out your bet. I rarely max out bets in real life, so why would I do it here?

              Sometimes I bet MLs when I feel the game is about 50/50 and I can get +140 or so ML. Would I max it out? Ridiculous. But value is value.
              yisman loves arguing

              u see that caps game? i thought i was wathcing a repeat og the flyers/pens game from tuesday....all these powerplay chances, all these shots, hits the post, and only one goal
              Comment
              • yisman
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-01-08
                • 75682

                #8
                nope. Didn't watch any of the games last night. Was too busy.

                Penguins have outplayed the Flyers, though. I've watched a lot of that series.
                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                [/quote]

                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                Comment
                • Flyers09
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-13-09
                  • 3666

                  #9
                  not the last 3 games they didnt, they out shot and out played the pens, fleury dominated the flyers
                  Comment
                  • POTVINSUX
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-14-08
                    • 2423

                    #10
                    u see that caps game? i thought i was wathcing a repeat og the flyers/pens game from tuesday....all these powerplay chances, all these shots, hits the post, and only one goal[/quote]

                    HENRYYY!!!
                    Comment
                    • yisman
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-01-08
                      • 75682

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Flyers09
                      not the last 3 games they didnt, they out shot and out played the pens, fleury dominated the flyers
                      Penguins deserve to win the series. As a whole, they've outplayed Philadelphia.

                      Saying they haven't is being a sore loser.

                      Even if Fleury was the only guy who played well (he wasn't), the Penguins have still outplayed the Flyers because the goalie is a huge component.
                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                      [/quote]

                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                      Comment
                      • playinragz
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-23-08
                        • 290

                        #12
                        well yisman i have a max bet in life during hockey and yah i bet it every game unless situation is to collect or something other then im teleconectic and i think my play is only worth 1/2 of what the other one is... yah then its called i dont bet it... man o man yisman i know the name is wacky but yah dont have to match it with yah thinking too.
                        Comment
                        • yisman
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-01-08
                          • 75682

                          #13
                          a key part of betting is knowing how to allocate.

                          Anyway, Crosby has won about 64% of his faceoffs. Pittsburgh overall is winning about 55%.
                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                          [/quote]

                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                          Comment
                          • yisman
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-01-08
                            • 75682

                            #14
                            vastly outplaying the Flyers here.
                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                            [/quote]

                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                            Comment
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