With some luck, NHL picks

[Jason87]

Well, starting my thread today.

Ive been betting NHL for last 4 years with some +units in every single season, but those are just words I cant even prove (well, I could send you to some polish forum to check, but it doesnt really matter anyway).

Im playing my "own choice" picks, as well as some system on draws and overs (rules are so simple: 7 games without draw - go bet a draw. 8 games under - go bet over. 5 games over - go bet under).

So, lets get it started then:

Grand Salami under 49, 1.90, 1U
Kings/Stars under 5, 2.15, 1U
Canes/Jets under 5, 2.10, 1U
Wild/Sabres under 5, 1.80, 1U

I just see tonight as a night of unders. Picking 3 games for myself, and Grand Salami. I dont see any game, maybe except of Tampa - Sharks, that can go over 6 goals or more.

Flames ML, 1.74, 1U
Flames -1, 2.25, 1U

Flames are just better team, playing home after 5 road games against weak Coyotes that lost 2 games in a row at home. Last 5 games in Calgary between those two were Flames wins, and Coyotes are 2-5 on road in this season so far.

Sens -1, 2.65, 1U
Avs +1,5, 1.57, 1U
Jets ML, 2.00, 1U
Sharks ML, 2.30, 1U

Going with all those away teams tonight, looking for some surprises. Sens are ready to win a game finally, after 3 loses in a row (but 2 of them in OT/SO). Avs lost 0:6 to Islanders and Rangers won 5:0 with Penguins, so.. that makes sense to pick Avs right? Jets are better team for me, and Sharks are too good to be 2.30 dog. Tampa is great at home, had really nice winning streak but.. that cant be forever.

And one draw for tonight is:

Oilers - Senators, 3.80, 1U

[Jason87]

Grand Salami under 49, 1.90, 1U, lost
Kings/Stars under 5, 2.15, 1U won
Canes/Jets under 5, 2.10, 1U won
Wild/Sabres under 5, 1.80, 1U lost
Flames ML, 1.74, 1U won
Flames -1, 2.25, 1U won
Sens -1, 2.65, 1Uback
Avs +1,5, 1.57, 1U won
Jets ML, 2.00, 1U won
Sharks ML, 2.30, 1U won
Oilers - Senators, draw, 3.80, 1U won

Great night for me, going for +5,11 U with my picks and +2,8 U with draw/o/u system.

my picks:

7 - 2 - 1
+5,11 U

system:

1 - 0 - 0
+2,8 U

will post my plays for tonight later.

[Jason87]

Today I go like that:

Ph. Flyers -1 - Columbus BJ, 1.83, 2U
Capitals - Devils ML, 2.40, 1U
Canucks -1 - Coyotes, 1.80, 1U
Canucks - Coyotes, over 5,5, 2.35, 1U
Detroit RW - Chicago Blackhawks ML, 1.76, 1U
Toronto - Penguins, over 5,5, 1.71, 1 U


Well. Flyers are much better than Columbus, do I have to say that? Columbus 9 game losing streak, got many injuries + Johnson still suspended. They lost 39 goals last 9 games, scoring only 18. 7 of 9 lost by more than 1 goal. Flyers won 3 last games at home 4:1 4:1 4:3, so dont see any reason to lose that one.

Devils are equal or even better team than Capitals for me. Ok, got 4 games lost in a row lately, but finally got a win, and Capitals arent that great, even though they got 3 wins in a row. Be honest, winning with Columbus doesnt matter, winning with Carolina isnt that hard. So only 1 win in Chicago was something impressive.

Toronto - Pens over is obvious by stats, which means ... nothing. But I cant see Toronto not scoring few goals just like that, so I go with over.

Chicago 10-4 in Detroit last 14 games, and home team isnt in good form.

Canucks are just better, and I dont get why over is 2.35.. wtf seriously? Canucks 9 overs in 17 games, Coyotes 8 in 16..


Goodluck everyone.

[Playoff_Beard]

Today I go like that:

Ph. Flyers -1 - Columbus BJ, 1.83, 2U
Capitals - Devils ML, 2.40, 1U
Canucks -1 - Coyotes, 1.80, 1U
Canucks - Coyotes, over 5,5, 2.35, 1U
Detroit RW - Chicago Blackhawks ML, 1.76, 1U
Toronto - Penguins, over 5,5, 1.71, 1 U


Well. Flyers are much better than Columbus, do I have to say that? Columbus 9 game losing streak, got many injuries + Johnson still suspended. They lost 39 goals last 9 games, scoring only 18. 7 of 9 lost by more than 1 goal. Flyers won 3 last games at home 4:1 4:1 4:3, so dont see any reason to lose that one.

Devils are equal or even better team than Capitals for me. Ok, got 4 games lost in a row lately, but finally got a win, and Capitals arent that great, even though they got 3 wins in a row. Be honest, winning with Columbus doesnt matter, winning with Carolina isnt that hard. So only 1 win in Chicago was something impressive.

Toronto - Pens over is obvious by stats, which means ... nothing. But I cant see Toronto not scoring few goals just like that, so I go with over.

Chicago 10-4 in Detroit last 14 games, and home team isnt in good form.

Canucks are just better, and I dont get why over is 2.35.. wtf seriously? Canucks 9 overs in 17 games, Coyotes 8 in 16..


Goodluck everyone.

Jack Johnson is back for the Jackets tonight. Nonetheless, I like the pick

[Jason87]

Ah right, I forgot he got that in 1st game vs Canes, not in 2nd. Was checking covers injuries etc report and he is on the list.. Got fooled by that somehow.

Thx for your input

[Riza]

Great picks last night man! Keep it up.

[Jason87]

Ph. Flyers -1 - Columbus BJ, 1.83, 2U, lost
Capitals - Devils ML, 2.40, 1U, won
Canucks -1 - Coyotes, 1.80, 1U, lost
Canucks - Coyotes, over 5,5, 2.35, 1U, lost
Detroit RW - Chicago Blackhawks ML, 1.76, 1U, lost
Toronto - Penguins, over 5,5, 1.71, 1 U, lost

first night here was like paradise, seconds one is like nightmare. Ok, getting owned by big dogs is fair, NHL has to keep you aware of that, but I hate losing that over in Vancouver for 2.35.. That was great pick, Im sure of that. Coyotes scoring 5.. but Canucks scoring nothing on home ice? Seriously..

anyways:

1 - 5, -4,6

8 - 7 - 1
+0,51 U

[Riza]

Yea, 4 of 6 were dogs. oh well, on to tomorrows card.

[Jason87]

Didnt realize todays games are so early.

Just one pick now, more later

Boston - Canes, under 5, 2.25, 1U

[Jason87]

more picks:

Stars ML, 1.80, 2U
Stars/Wild under 5,5 1.71, 1U

Stars getting their wins finally, and Wild are not that strong, had 4 loses streak, winning vs Sabres doesnt mean anything. Plus they are like 1-19 since 2003 in games in Dallas so..


Toronto -1, 1.83, 2U
Devils -1, 2.70, 1U
Tampa -1, 2.00, 1U
Blues -1, 1.83, 1U
Senators ML, 2.00, 1U

Betting some favs here, Devils Tampa and Blues home ice. Avs got a win vs Rangers, but I wouldnt take that as some sign for better time for them, it was just a win, and Devils are much better team that has to win on home ice for 2nd time in a row. Tampa - Islanders is a game between 2 hot teams lately (ye i know Tampa lost 2 in a row). But ye - Islanders winning streak cant be forever, and Tampa is so good at home. Blues? Just cause I dont like Capitals.

Kings/Ducks, under 5, 1.95, 1U
Preds/Jets, under 5, 1.95 1U
Flames/Sens over 5, 1.52, 1U

[Jason87]

so far so.. nothing. Stars losing my 2 U bet makes me -0,04 U for 3 early bets, cause both unders "scored".

anyways, adding my system pick:

Predators - Jets, draw, 3.70, 0,3 U

[Jason87]

Boston - Canes, under 5, 2.25, 1U, won
Stars ML, 1.80, 2U, lost
Stars/Wild under 5,5 1.71, 1U, won
Toronto -1, 1.83, 2U, lost
Devils -1, 2.70, 1U, lost
Tampa -1, 2.00, 1U, won
Blues -1, 1.83, 1U, won
Senators ML, 2.00, 1U, lost
Kings/Ducks, under 5, 1.95, 1U, back
Preds/Jets, under 5, 1.95 1U, won
Flames/Sens over 5, 1.52, 1U, won

Predators - Jets, draw, 3.70, 0,3 U, lost

not interesting night at all, both my 2U picks lost, failed at choosing them..


my choice

6 - 4 - 1, -0,74

14 - 11 - 2
-0,23 U

system:

1 - 1 - 0
+2,5 U

[Jason87]

Posting just some plays for games just starting, then will add more:

Wild - Jets, draw, 3.50, 0,2U
Carolina - Sharks, draw, 3.75, 0,2U

Wild - Jets, under 5, 1.95, 1U
Jets ML, 2.50, 1U

[Jason87]

Adding:

Ducks -1, 1.83, 1U
Ducks ML, 1.54, 2U
Oilers ML, 1.80, 1U
Oilers -1, 2.55, 1U

draw: Hawks - Stars, 4.00, 0,2U

[mrginandtonic]

Question about the draws, are all these system plays?? （yesterday was tough, you were 2 min always from cashing that draw). Good stuff here and GL tonight.

[Jason87]

yes, I dont play draws as my own picks, I dont feel its a good choice. Just going with them to make some profit out of it, after some teams are drawless for some games.

Anyways, yesterday was such a nightmare, 0 - 6 with my own posted picks, but got 1 draw out of 3 which is not that bad. I will update my record tomorrow, just 2 plays for tonight.

Tampa ML, 1.90, 1U
under 6, 1.61, 1U

[Jason87]

yday was much better than day before, 1 - 0 - 1 +0,9U.

My record is:


15 - 17 - 3
-6,33 U

system:

2 - 3 - 0
+2,6 U


todays picks:

So much love for -1 today. Maybe its my bad I go for favs, but thats why I go for -1. I somehow believe in Ducks and Capitals. Thats why I pick those. I dont like Devils - so here comes Jets, and cant believe Florida getting 4 points out of away games vs Ducks & Kings. Stars have to win vs struggling Canes. Bruins? Cause noone believes they can win today. Totals are totals, cant explain them.

Ducks -1, 2.60, 2U
Capitals -1, 2.65, 2U
Kings -1, 1.83, 2U
Jets -1, 2.50, 2U
Stars -1, 2.00, 1U
Bruins ML, 2.00, 1U
Jets/Devils under 5, 1.95, 1U
Sabres/Sharks, under 5, 1.95, 1U

parlay: CBJ/Detroit under 6,5 + Leafs/Preds under 6,5, 2.05 1U

system picks:

Boston - Blues, draw, 3.50, 0.2U
Leafs - Preds, draw, 3.80, 0,28U
Jets - Devils, draw, 3.70, 0,2U
Stars - Canes, draw, 4.00, 0,25U
Sabres - Sharks, draw, 4.00, 0,25U

[Jason87]

yesterday wasnt a bad day, but dont have time to post my record.

Todays picks are as follows:

Rags/Flyers over 5,5, 1.86, 1U
Oilers ML, 2.20, 1U

system:

Rags/Flyers, draw, 3.80, 0,2U

[Jason87]

yday going 0 - 2 -2U, bad day. + no draw again.

20 - 22 - 4
-5,72 U

system:

2 - 9 - 0
+1,22 U

well, getting high + with my 1st system pick made it look amazing, being + with such bad record.

Todays picks:

Kings -1, 1.80, 2U

Kings 9-2-1 at home, Canes 2-6-2 away. Ok, they just won in Dallas 6:4 but I dont believe they can beat Kings here. Pretty sure home team is getting his 3rd win in a row.

Ducks ML, 1.83, 1U
Hawks ML, 1.66, 1U
Blues ML, 1.80, 1U
Jets ML, 1.86, 1U
Sharks/Panthers under 5, 2.10, 1U

Leafs/Bolts over 6, 1.86, 1U
Leafs/Bolts over 5,5, 1.68, 1U

Leafs 6 overs in last 7 games, 57 goals, so average is 7,57 for game.
Bolts 11 overs in last 13 games, 92 goals, so average is 7,08 for game.

system:

Flyers - Wild, draw, 3.90, 0,25 U
Sens - Preds, draw, 3.70, 0,4 U
Habs - Blues, draw, 3.50, 0,25 U
Stars - Coyotes, draw, 4.00, 0,35 U
Sharks - Florida, draw, 4.20, 0,35 U

[Jason87]

Kings -1, 1.80, 2U, back
Ducks ML, 1.83, 1U, won
Hawks ML, 1.66, 1U, won
Blues ML, 1.80, 1U, lost
Jets ML, 1.86, 1U, lost
Sharks/Panthers under 5, 2.10, 1U, back
Leafs/Bolts over 6, 1.86, 1U, won
Leafs/Bolts over 5,5, 1.68, 1U, won

system:
Flyers - Wild, draw, 3.90, 0,25 U, lost
Sens - Preds, draw, 3.70, 0,4 U, lost
Habs - Blues, draw, 3.50, 0,25 U, lost
Stars - Coyotes, draw, 4.00, 0,35 U, lost
Sharks - Florida, draw, 4.20, 0,35 U, won

24 - 24 - 6
-4,69 U

system:

3 - 13 - 0
+1,09 U


leans:

Oilers / Devils under
Bruins ML
Pens / Isles under

[Jason87]

Oilers -1, 2.55, 1U
Oilers ML, 1.86, 1U
Oilers/Devils over 5, 1.71, 1U
Pens/Isles under 6, 1.68, 1U

Oilers need that win finally, after losing 5 games at home in a row. Last 4 losses they were close, every single time losing by 1 goal only. They are 2-7-1 in last 10, but I think they are faster, younger and playing at home, so can beat Devils. Devils are not that good either, 2 - 6 last 8 games, road record is 5 - 6, but 3 wins were 3 opening games in the season, so after that, they are 2 - 6 in last 8 away games.

system:

Oilers - Devils, draw, 3.50, 0,25U


BOL everyone.

[Jason87]

record will be updated tomorrow, yday 0-4..

draw for early game, Sens - Blues, draw, 3.60, 1,75U

[Jason87]

system:

Flyers - Jackets, draw, 4.00, 0,25U
Kings - Stars, draw, 3.5, 0,5U,
Preds - Florida, draw, 3.75, 0,5U
Flames - Devils +1, 1.72, 0,6U


Caps / Sabres under 5,5 , 1.76, 1U

Leafs ML, 1.90 1 U

Colorado ML, 1.90, 1U

Sharks -1, 1.90, 1U

Flames ML, 1.64, 1U

Oilers +1,5, 1.60, 1U

Preds -1, 1.83, 1U

Boston/Habs over 4,5, 1.66, 1U

Pens ML, 1.75, 1U

[Jason87]

have some free time, so updating my record here, last few days were not really good:
own picks:

day before yday: 0 - 4 , -4U
yesterday: 4 - 4 - 1, -0,8

overall:

28 - 32 - 7
-9,49 U

system:

day before yday: 0 - 1 -0,25U
yday: 1 - 3 - 1, +0,28

4 - 17 - 1
+1,12 U

[Jason87]

Winnipeg Jets - St Louis Blues, under 5, 2.00, 2U

system:

NY Rangers - Montreal, draw, 3.50, 0,2U
Jets - Blues, draw, 3.50, 0,55U

[Jason87]

Ducks -1 - Coyotes, 1.80, 2U

Hawks/Canucks over 5, 1.52 + Rangers/Montreal under 6,5 1.37, 2.09, 1U

Montreal +1,5 , 1.40, 1U

[Jason87]

Will update record on wednesday, no time at all today and tomorrow.

Islanders - Flyers ML, 2.45, 2U
Islanders - Flyers, over 6, 1.86, 1U

Florida ML - Minnesota, 2.15, 1U

Boston - Penguins ML, 1.80, 2U

Detroit - Ottawa ML, 2.35, 1U

Florida/Wild under 6 + Boston/Pens over 4,5, 1.91, 1U


system:

Isles/Flyers draw, 4.00, 0,45U

[Jason87]

Blues/Sens draw, 4.10, 0,66U
Stars/OIlers, draw, 4.00, 0,66U
Flames/Ducks under 5, 2.30, 0,4U

Kings ML, 2.15,
Preds/Kings under 5, 2.15,
Devils ML, 2.40
Stars -1, 1.83,
Jets ML, 1.90
Avs ML, 2.10,
Sens +1,5, 1.71
Grand Salami under 38,5, 1.90 2U

[mrginandtonic]

Any system draw tonight?? I really like CAR/FLA. I think this will be a low scoring game with Luongo winning in a SO. Thoughts??

[Jason87]

Any system draw tonight?? I really like CAR/FLA. I think this will be a low scoring game with Luongo winning in a SO. Thoughts??

Like that draw too, got that in my system. Under sounds good too, but remember that Canes got 22 goals in last 3 games, which makes average over 7 goals/game..days since last record:

8 - 9 - 3 -3,61

overall:

36 - 41 - 10
-13,1 U

system:

days since last record:

2 - 3 - 1 , +1,99 U

6 - 20 - 2
+3,11 U


system picks for tonight:

Sabres/Jets draw, 3.70, 0,2U
Isles/Capitals over 6, 2.20, 0,2U
Canes/Panthers draw, 3.70, 0,2U
Leafs/Pens, draw, 4.00, 0,2U


own picks coming soon

[Jason87]

Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets ML, 1.66, 2U
Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets -1, 2.00, 1U
Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets, under 5, 1.95, 1U

Buffalo with 3 wins in a row? Ok fine, but wont get more. Jets won 7 of last 8 meetings between those too, are 9th defense in the league, and Sabres are (obviously) worst offense. For under, Sabres got 14 unders in 21 games, 8 of 11 at home. Jets 15 unders in 23 games, 9 of 13 away.

Florida ML, 1.83, 1U
Florida -1, 2.55, 1U

Canes are worst away team in the league..


Flyers ML, 2.55, 1U
Kings ML, 2.30, 1U
Avs/Hawks over 5,5, 1.83, 1U
Grand Salami over 50,5, 2.05, 1U

parlay:
Wild/Kings under 6,5 + Rangers +1,5, 1.91, 1U
Capitals +1,5 + Hawks ML, 2.24, 1U

[Jason87]

Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets ML, 1.66, 2U, win +1,32
Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets -1, 2.00, 1U, back
Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets, under 5, 1.95, 1U, win +0,95
Florida ML, 1.83, 1U, win +0,83
Florida -1, 2.55, 1U, back
Flyers ML, 2.55, 1U, lost
Kings ML, 2.30, 1U, win +1,30
Avs/Hawks over 5,5, 1.83, 1U, lost
Grand Salami over 50,5, 2.05, 1U, lost

parlay:
Wild/Kings under 6,5 + Rangers +1,5, 1.91, 1U, win +0,91
Capitals +1,5 + Hawks ML, 2.24, 1U, win +1,24

Sabres/Jets draw, 3.70, 0,2U, , lost
Isles/Capitals over 6, 2.20, 0,2U, lost
Canes/Panthers draw, 3.70, 0,2U, lost
Leafs/Pens, draw, 4.00, 0,2U, win +0,6

own picks:
8 - 3 - 2, +3,55
system:
1 - 3, +-0

overall:
44 - 44 - 12
-9,55 U

system:
7 - 23 - 2
+3,11 U



only one game tonight, can Oilers finally win something?

[Jason87]

Preds/Oilers, under 5, 2.30, 1U

Preds 16 unders (5,5 line) in 21 games, 8 of 10 at home
Oilers 13 unders in 22 games, 5 of 9 away

this season: 4:1, 3:2.

not sure about that game at all, too low price to play Preds, Oilers are too bad to bet on them so..

[Jason87]

Preds/Oilers, under 5, 2.30, 1U, won

1:0 OT, amazing

todays system picks now (btw, never mentioned that, but those Units sometimes are in weird amount, cause I bet in my currency, which is Polish Zloty, I bet "to win" so it makes it looks like that):

Caps/Isles, over 5,5, 2.05, 0,5U
Sabres/Habs, over 5, 1.90, 0,2U
Devils/Wings, draw, 3.50, 0,2U
Pens/Canes, draw, 4.20, 0,2U
Wild/Stars, draw, 3.80, 1U
Panthers over 2,5 goals, 1.91, 0,67U
Stars under 2,5 goals, 2.11, 0,67U
Oilers first to score 3 goals, 4.10, 0,2U


my own picks will come later.

[Jason87]

Rangers ML, 2.01, 1U for early game today.