new season; under picks and -1 spread picks

[amarius87]

hey guys, so i tried this out last year, it worked out ok for the last third of the season. This season thought i'd start from day 1.
so i play regulation totals; only unders - i get these odds on bet365 about 15 minutes before the game starts
and -1 for favorites ( if they win by one its a push )

just keeping track on here, DO not tag along for first week or so, teams will take time to gel and i doubt there will be as many unders till everything is on track for defenses and goalies etc. also the first week or two can be up for grabs in terms of upsets.

but im starting now. been waiting for this day since last season ended.
im not the high stakes better , but I bet 20 dollars per bet.

my picks will go up right before game time ( bit late today) and the later games will be the same right before they start unless ive made my plays.
thanks

lets see how this goes.

08/10/2014
mtl vs leafs - under 5,5.5 regulation ( 1.925)
boston - 1 (1.83)

[amarius87]

adding
kings /sj - under 5 regulation (1.9)
nux/flames - under 5 regulation (1.875)

[amarius87]

08/10/2014
mtl vs leafs - under 5,5.5 regulation ( 1.925) (L)
boston - 1 (1.83) (P)
kings /sj - under 5 regulation (1.9) (W)
nux/flames - under 5 regulation (1.875) (L)

-$2


09/10/2013
bruins -1 (2.65)
bluejackets -1 (2.60)
blues -1 (1.90)

[amarius87]

09/10/2013
bruins -1 (2.65) (l)
bluejackets -1 (2.60) (w)
blues -1 (1.90) (l)

ytd : 2-4-1 -$10

10/10/2014
islanders -1 (2.6)

[amarius87]

10/10/2014
islanders -1 (2.35) (w)( put it in , by the time locked in later on in day, went to 2.35)
ytd 3-4-1 +$17

11/10/14
pits -1 (2.20)
ducks -1 (2.37)

mini parlay blues, kings, sharks -1 (7.23) $15

[amarius87]

11/10/14
pits -1 (2.20) (w)
ducks -1 (2.37) (p)
ytd : 4-4-2 +41

mini parlay blues, kings, sharks -1 (7.23) $15 (l)
parlays 0-1-1 -$15

parlay 0-1-0 -$15

[amarius87]

12/10/14
in play under 5.5 leafs/rangers (1.97) 1-1 $40
regulation bet

[amarius87]

12/10/14
in play under 5.5 leafs/rangers (1.97) 1-1 $40
regulation bet (l) -$40
ytd : 4-5-1 +$1

13/10/14
locking in early
bruins -1 (2.00) 30$
ducks -1 (2.00) 50$

[BeanTownClown88]

How nice of an under team do the Bruins look like? They have great goal tending and are defense first, while having no prolific goal scorer.

[amarius87]

How nice of an under team do the Bruins look like? They have great goal tending and are defense first, while having no prolific goal scorer.

yes,agreed. but i think im gonna wait another week to start playing unders. been getting rocked.
sticking to -1
i think the bruins miss krecji. i dont know if he is back today. read he might be. that will help.

[BeanTownClown88]

He's back, still 0-0 nearing end of first but both teams playing back up goalies so this isn't the norm.
I been lucky picking spots for the overs, don't like laying the juice in nhl kind of like baseball

[RollinDo]

He's back, still 0-0 nearing end of first but both teams playing back up goalies so this isn't the norm.
I been lucky picking spots for the overs, don't like laying the juice in nhl kind of like baseball

Yeah boyyy!
Let's keep it tight Beanie and cash this Under!

[BeanTownClown88]

1/3 of the way there!!

[RollinDo]

1/3 of the way there!!

Who you got in AL game tonight man?
I'm on KC...got sizzled by O's in Gm 1.

[BeanTownClown88]

I been getting crushed by the O's..Thinking I may have more luck with the Over 7.5 with the way these teams have hit against the front end pitchers. I believe in KC now, on an even better run than the orioles

[amarius87]

tampa -1 (2.25) $20

[amarius87]

stars/jackets under 5.5.5 regulation 1.925 $20
sharks/caps under 5 regulation 1.925 $20

[amarius87]

13/10/14 results
bruins -1 (l)
tampa -1 (w)
ducks -1 (w)
ytd 6-6-1 +$46

added in a miniparlay which i forgot to add... flyers ml, avs ml, jersey ml, jackets/stars under 5.5, sharks/caps under 5.5 $5

[amarius87]

preds -1 (1.83) $20

[amarius87]

from the other day...
stars/jackets under 5.5.5 regulation 1.925 $20 (l)
sharks/caps under 5 regulation 1.925 $20 (l)
preds -1 (1.83) $20 (L)
yesterday
bruins -1 (p)

ytd - 6-9-2 -$26
parlay 0-2-0 -$20

today 16/10/14
avs -1 (2.37)

[amarius87]

adding rangers -1.5 (2.25)

[amarius87]

yesterday
avs -1 (2.37) (l)
rangers -1.5 (2.25) (l)
ytd 6-11-2 -$66

today
jackets -1 $20 (2.00)

[amarius87]

jackets -1 $20 (p)
didnt get a chance to post ...played a late night wild/ducks under 5 regulation at (1.95) $20 (w)
ytd 7-11-3 -$47

today
bruins -1.5(2.35) $20
blues -1 (2.55) $20

parlay bruins -1/blues -1 (4.40) $25

[amarius87]

good day yesterday for once!
bruins -1.5(2.35) $20 (w)
blues -1 (2.55) $20 (w)
ytd 9-11-3 +$11

parlay bruins -1/blues -1 (4.40) $25 (w) +
parlay 1-2-0 +$85

total: +$99

now getting back into the grind... few weeks into the season.. will be making plays selectively.

[amarius87]

today
wild/kings regulation under 3,3.5v(1.90) $20

[amarius87]

added
sharks/rangers under 4,4.5 regulation (1.90) $20

[amarius87]

wild/kings regulation under 3,3.5v(1.90) $20 1/2win 1/2push
sharks/rangers under 4,4.5 regulation (1.90) $20 1/2win 1/2push

10-11-4

ytd +$117

[amarius87]

today:
sharks/bruins under 5 (2.00) $20
stars -1 (2.55) $20
jets -1 (2.05) $20
avs -1 (2.00)$20

[amarius87]

yesterday
sharks/bruins under 5 (2.00) $20 (l)
stars -1 (2.55) $20 (w)
jets -1 (2.05) $20 (w)
avs -1 (2.00)$20 (l)

12-13-4 +$129
today:
philli ml (3.00) $20
ducks -2 (2.00) $20

[amarius87]

yesterday
philli ml (3.00) $20 (w)
- did get a chance to play ducks -2 even though it covered --> sucks when you live in england and the game starts at 3.30 am!
ytd : 13-13-4 +$169

today:
leans are pitts -1 wild -1 and blues -1 be back later on with final picks
staying away from unders.. been horrendous on them...

[amarius87]

today
stayed with the leans...
pitts -1 (2.37) $20
wild -1 (1.83) $20
blues -1 (2.00) $20

reverse if bet parlay wild -1.5 blues -1.5 kings -1.5 $20 to win $106

[RollinDo]

today
stayed with the leans...
pitts -1 (2.37) $20
wild -1 (1.83) $20
blues -1 (2.00) $20

reverse if bet parlay wild -1.5 blues -1.5 kings -1.5 $20 to win $106

Without getting too complicated, what is a reverse if win parlay bet?

[amarius87]

yesterday
pitts -1 (2.37) $20 (l) --> effing brutalll way to lose
wild -1 (1.83) $20 (w)
blues -1 (2.00) $20 (l)

added kings -1 (0-1) didnt get a chance to post (p)

reverse if bet parlay wild -1.5 blues -1.5 kings -1.5 $20 to win $106 (return +$4.50)
ytd
14-15-5
$+150.17

[amarius87]

Without getting too complicated, what is a reverse if win parlay bet?

its a IF bet but goes in both directions so A - C and C-A
so since my wager was $20 , $10 dollars goes from A-C and then other 10 goes from C-A
doesnt have to be 3 games can add more but i try to put most cofident picks as first and last that way more chance to recover the investment.
so in the case yesterday... wild(2.37) and kings (1.8) won so won those bets (+24.50) and lost the $20 on the blues there for net +4.50
pays out less than a parlay but even if one messes up still go a chance to recover some money.
hope that helps

[amarius87]

today:
dallas ml (2.00) $20
avs -1 (2.20) $20
tampa -1 (2.60) $20