+EV or not

**That Foreign Guy** · 10-26-11, 07:55 AM

But you're spending the money to buy both sides of the other 10 games.

**laxbrah420** · 10-27-11, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by Pancho sanza

This is an actual pool that is run weekly by the Ontario government.

You can't say its negative ev because as you said, you don't know what strategies folks are employing.

I'm sure there are people who don't know squat and just pick at random, im guessing they are a small minority.

And yes there are groups who box a lot of games, im aware of a few of them.

The pool has been very much + ev since its inception if you pick your spots, ie, play the weeks where there's a lot of big dogs.

The ontario government runs a pool where only you are allowed to box 10/13 games?

**Pancho sanza** · 10-27-11, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by laxbrah420

The ontario government runs a pool where only you are allowed to box 10/13 games?

You can box as many as you want.

**laxbrah420** · 10-27-11, 06:42 PM

ok this question is absolutely ridiculous

**Pancho sanza** · 10-27-11, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by laxbrah420

ok this question is absolutely ridiculous

why?

**Patrick McIrish** · 10-29-11, 01:16 AM

+EV or not?

Extremely improbable.

**Pancho sanza** · 10-29-11, 05:03 AM

Originally posted by Patrick McIrish

+EV or not?

Extremely improbable.

Extremely clueless.

**Patrick McIrish** · 10-29-11, 07:57 AM

Indeed. Not your finest moment. Fun to play with but no way in hell can you make this +EV without making some huge assumptions. I like the Canadian side, 40% take-out is just ridiculous. Picking your spots, LOL.

**Pancho sanza** · 10-29-11, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by Patrick McIrish

Indeed. Not your finest moment. Fun to play with but no way in hell can you make this +EV without making some huge assumptions. I like the Canadian side, 40% take-out is just ridiculous. Picking your spots, LOL.

Boxing all 14 games has been + ev historically, the ev goes up huge when you only play during weeks with bigger than normal dogs.

Not sure who has the stomach for it though, costs over 81k to do it.

Lesson over McIrish

**Patrick McIrish** · 10-29-11, 09:13 AM

And what measures do you have in place to ensure there isn't 50 other tickets just like yours? Knock it off, you know the only +EV is for the folks running this racket.

Historically +EV? LOL.

**Patrick McIrish** · 10-29-11, 09:20 AM

Group down in Broward used to box everything when the Pick 6 got to a million dollars. I don't bet the horses so not sure of the exact numbers but they were risking like 400k or so I think it was. This was back in the 80's. Took them a few times of sharing it with other winners and thus losing their ass to realize there was no guaranteed money to be made by boxing them all up.

**Pancho sanza** · 10-29-11, 09:44 AM

Originally posted by Patrick McIrish

And what measures do you have in place to ensure there isn't 50 other tickets just like yours? Knock it off, you know the only +EV is for the folks running this racket.

Historically +EV? LOL.

What's the point of debating you if I present you with compelling evidence and your response is to laugh it off?

**Thriller** · 10-30-11, 09:35 AM

Like the other guy said Run the Pool and you will always win!

**Thriller** · 10-30-11, 09:40 AM

Good luck with this debate guys!