New Sports & Math Book Out

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  • bookie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 2112

    #1
    New Sports & Math Book Out
    It's called Scorecasting...written by a couple of academics in the Freakonomics genre...people like it, though it doesn't sound like the authors detail their methodology. Anybody read it?

  • specialronnie29
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-19-10
    • 140

    #2
    from what the amazon description says, this book is going to be totally useless for sports betting

    it looks like it just reports what any good sports bettor knows: coaches make dumb decisions all the time, and often know they are making dumb decisions. they do not gamble enough on 4th downs. they do not gamble in situations where there is no other choice because it could lead to them losing by even more (embarrassing). of course embarrassment should not be a factor in coaching decisions, you should only be maximizing probability of winning. the use of closers in baseball typically does not make any sense mathematically. and the whole idea of streakyness having any useful meaning is of course bullshit that no self respecting bettor ever considers. If teams DIDNT go on streaks it would be incredibly bizarre.

    anyways this is not a new genre and geared towards the huge square audience not towards think tankers
    Comment
    • specialronnie29
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-19-10
      • 140

      #3
      probably also talks about the dumb shit announcers say, like 'oh wow that was an unfortunate time to fumble' as if there is ever an opportune time to fumble, etc.
      Comment
      • KGambler
        SBR MVP
        • 07-09-09
        • 2404

        #4
        Originally posted by specialronnie29
        probably also talks about the dumb shit announcers say, like 'oh wow that was an unfortunate time to fumble' as if there is ever an opportune time to fumble, etc.
        My favorite is when they talk about "momentum". But their idea of momentum is that it can swing wildly back and forth based upon a single play, which is like the exact opposite of the idea you should mean when you talk about "momentum".
        Comment
        • specialronnie29
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-19-10
          • 140

          #5
          Originally posted by KGambler
          My favorite is when they talk about "momentum". But their idea of momentum is that it can swing wildly back and forth based upon a single play, which is like the exact opposite of the idea you should mean when you talk about "momentum".
          thats a good one too

          the list is endless
          Comment
          • specialronnie29
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-19-10
            • 140

            #6
            seahawks today are perfect example

            down 21 in 2h and kicking fg instead of gambling

            down 25 with 3 minutes left and not throwing jump balls in the end zone but instead making 10yd throws at a cost of 20-30 seconds each

            just ridiculous
            Comment
            • mminkovski
              SBR MVP
              • 06-22-07
              • 1077

              #7
              Seahawks just accepted the loss and decided to minimize the score difference in the 4th
              Comment
              • specialronnie29
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-19-10
                • 140

                #8
                Originally posted by mminkovski
                Seahawks just accepted the loss and decided to minimize the score difference in the 4th
                in other words they are idiots
                Comment
                • saratoga1927
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-06-10
                  • 380

                  #9
                  I take it you didn't have Duh Bears .........
                  Comment
                  • specialronnie29
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-19-10
                    • 140

                    #10
                    Originally posted by saratoga1927
                    I take it you didn't have Duh Bears .........
                    so tired of people saying this anytime someone criticizes a decision
                    Comment
                    • saratoga1927
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-06-10
                      • 380

                      #11
                      oh it was just an objective view? i do apologize, i thought you were just whining? excuse me.
                      Comment
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