Ok there is something I have never really done that I would like to learn a little bit about. Say I have a random darts tournament (for argument sakes) thats in bracket style, similar to what you guys would see in the playoffs, and I have a method of obtaining a %chance of each outcome between every player. How would I go about calculating this into "fair" outright odds if I trusted my numbers enough.
IE, Round 1
(Match 1)Player A v Player B
(Match 2)Player C v Player D
(Match 3)Player E v Player F
(Match 4)Player G v Player H
Then winner of Match 1 plays 2, and 3 plays 4 - then obviously the final. Now I have a method of predicting percentage chance between any set of players, for EG A beats B 65% of the time, A beats C 33% of the time, C beats D 44% of the time etc etc
You all know what i'm on about i've just made a bad example of explaining - now what I want are methods to calculate outright prices based on those probabilities, and anything else that might help me with this. The ONLY important thing is any advice comes in the form of telling me what to look for and what to learn about, I dont actually want it done for me.
Cheers fellas
IE, Round 1
(Match 1)Player A v Player B
(Match 2)Player C v Player D
(Match 3)Player E v Player F
(Match 4)Player G v Player H
Then winner of Match 1 plays 2, and 3 plays 4 - then obviously the final. Now I have a method of predicting percentage chance between any set of players, for EG A beats B 65% of the time, A beats C 33% of the time, C beats D 44% of the time etc etc
You all know what i'm on about i've just made a bad example of explaining - now what I want are methods to calculate outright prices based on those probabilities, and anything else that might help me with this. The ONLY important thing is any advice comes in the form of telling me what to look for and what to learn about, I dont actually want it done for me.
Cheers fellas
