1 out of 50 games are worth betting?

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  • the shadow
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-02-09
    • 120

    #1
    1 out of 50 games are worth betting?
    All sports combined, how many games do you play per day?
    I beleive that 2% of all games posted are legit wagers
    i need feedback on the shot gun method or the 44 magnum
    thanks!!
  • roasthawg
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-07
    • 2990

    #2
    I play a lot.
    Comment
    • Iceman
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-29-08
      • 486

      #3
      I average about 15 plays per day, down from the 25 a day I averaged in the past. The month of January is my busiest month of the year with close to 1,000 plays made for the month due to the high volume of cbb plays.
      Comment
      • Dunder
        Restricted User
        • 10-26-09
        • 3345

        #4
        10 plays per day on average for me. Only 15% or so are on US Sports, however.
        At elite level (NFL/NBA) I would estimate 5 or 6 percent of games provide betting opportunites if looking only at sides/totals.
        Comment
        • the shadow
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-02-09
          • 120

          #5
          I figure ice man you make 0.3% playing that many games?
          Comment
          • Facepunch
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-09
            • 2090

            #6
            I play 1 or 2 games a day, more on college FB Saturdays, and sometimes more on Sundays, but this is just a hobby for me.

            You guys betting 25 and 15 games per day: are you making good money?

            Seems like an awful lot of capping to me. 15 games a day, do you even research the games or are they strictly system plays??
            Comment
            • MrX
              SBR MVP
              • 01-10-06
              • 1540

              #7
              Almost every line has value at some point in it's lifespan.

              I bet almost 2/3rds of the MLB sides.
              Comment
              • Ruifgalmeida
                SBR MVP
                • 04-23-08
                • 2024

                #8
                the more plays a day the better more bets a year more profit, but i dont have too much time to analise, so so i only bet the games that i realy know the teams, so only 2 or 3 bets a day wich i think is very low the ideal shoud be 5 to 8 bets a day
                Comment
                • dem_redbirds
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 12-09-09
                  • 31

                  #9
                  i been playing anywhere from 3-10 a day over the last month.
                  Comment
                  • Sidetracked
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-21-09
                    • 751

                    #10
                    always depends on what day it is
                    Comment
                    • cantin
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-23-09
                      • 106

                      #11
                      tonight go with Florida.
                      Comment
                      • Jaug
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-11-09
                        • 3087

                        #12
                        Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
                        Comment
                        • goblue12
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-08-09
                          • 1316

                          #13
                          You should be playing whenever you have an edge on the book after comparing it to market price.
                          Comment
                          • Thremp
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-23-07
                            • 2067

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jaug
                            Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
                            Originally posted by goblue12
                            You should be playing whenever you have an edge on the book after comparing it to market price.
                            /thread
                            Comment
                            • eberetta1
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-27-09
                              • 1157

                              #15
                              I only get in 1-3 games a day. If one of the daughters start talking endlessly, it can make my betting that day down to zero.
                              Comment
                              • LLXC
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-10-06
                                • 8972

                                #16
                                I've changed my strategy to only betting 1-4 games a day. Seems to have worked well.
                                Comment
                                • skrtelfan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-09-08
                                  • 1913

                                  #17
                                  With a lot of outs, you should be able to bet quite a few games especially if you're good at predicting line movements. College football is the sport in which I have the least knowledge and I've cut back my number of books fairly significantly since the offshore law changes since it's tough to tell which books are solid (I got burned by Cascade), yet I still end up with bets on close to have of the CFB games on any given Saturday.
                                  Comment
                                  • DOMINATER
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 3698

                                    #18
                                    For what its worth ,the most successful bookmaker I new he told me thats the key to winning you should only bet 1 game a day ,i have never follwed his lead i love to bet 4 to 6 games on SUNDAY,but Ithink the old man had a good point
                                    Comment
                                    • Ruifgalmeida
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-23-08
                                      • 2024

                                      #19
                                      1 game day that is to low only 365bets a year
                                      Comment
                                      • Wrecktangle
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-01-09
                                        • 1524

                                        #20
                                        always depends on the sport, currently approx 1 of 4 NBA sides has value with my methods, for example
                                        Comment
                                        • the shadow
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 07-02-09
                                          • 120

                                          #21
                                          Thanks for the input guys.
                                          As ruif stated ,1 game a day is too little ,however a 5% profit over 365 games is the same as 1% over 1825 games.
                                          Which is easier to hit?
                                          Probably no real answer,but i prefer the 1 game a day avg. Losing streaks are less and i don't have to force plays just to get action.
                                          Thanks!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Thremp
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-23-07
                                            • 2067

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by the shadow
                                            Thanks for the input guys. As ruif stated ,1 game a day is too little ,however a 5% profit over 365 games is the same as 1% over 1825 games. Which is easier to hit? Probably no real answer,but i prefer the 1 game a day avg. Losing streaks are less and i don't have to force plays just to get action. Thanks!!
                                            The 2nd by far.
                                            Comment
                                            • pats3peat
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-23-05
                                              • 1163

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Jaug
                                              Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
                                              yea agreed limiting the number of games cant help if u see value on two games its like eating two birds with one stone
                                              Comment
                                              • Busterflywheel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-13-09
                                                • 3991

                                                #24
                                                Honestly I play maybe 20-30 games per day. That is if the card is full.. I Scowler all sports and put together a card of mixed pro and college sports and aim to hit 60%. Only take even bets as well..
                                                Comment
                                                • feltball
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-07-08
                                                  • 106

                                                  #25
                                                  just bet as many as you have an edge on
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jaybrez6
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 12-12-09
                                                    • 16

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by feltball
                                                    just bet as many as you have an edge on
                                                    Exactly. If you have time to research 20 games and you feel you have an edge in 19 of them, then bet 19. But if you feel you only have an edge in 2, bet 2.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DOMINATER
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 3698

                                                      #27
                                                      the old wise guys always taught us to bet only one game a week
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ruifgalmeida
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-23-08
                                                        • 2024

                                                        #28
                                                        with just one bet a week you dont know if you are getting value or are getting lucky, 2bets a day is a minimum, you cant be afraid of betting whem you are +EV, if you are afraid dont bet at all
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dkp
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-12-07
                                                          • 272

                                                          #29
                                                          I play too many. Probably 10 a day when I am in town and have time to look at the games.

                                                          I had good luck for a while this year trying to parse it out, i.e. 3 bets a day on ML dogs; 3 bets a day on spreads and 3 bets a day on totals. This did force me to be a little more disciplined....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • THEGREAT30
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-04-08
                                                            • 8970

                                                            #30
                                                            I have a system but the number of plays that fit into that system varies. I guess I could tweak my system to lessen that number but I don't think that's necessary. I don't think its about the number of plays but having a system that works.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • swaindexter
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-27-07
                                                              • 1228

                                                              #31
                                                              I wager on only my best bets of the day after handicaping. The amount of games depends on the card but, as an average I wager on 3-5 games a day.

                                                              I learned for an ole time gambeler back in the 70s that 1 -2 games a day can make you some heavy cash if you are a good handicapper. Hope that helps.
                                                              Comment
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