Value of a Half Point for Halves and Quarters?

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  • VBOMBER
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-02-08
    • 228

    #1
    Value of a Half Point for Halves and Quarters?
    Do these differ greatly from the value for the full game? I know it will depend what number it is crossing in some cases, but are there any "general rules of thumb?"

    Specifically interested in the NBA for both sides and totals, but would be interested to hear any opinions on football as well. Thanks for any input or help.
  • bookie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 2112

    #2
    It's a great question. I can tell you they vary hugely because lower scores mean smaller average margins. But would like to see the math that accurately prices NBA halves and quarters.
    Comment
    • Peeig
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-06-08
      • 567

      #3
      NFL halves you can find in Yao's book...........not sure about the NBA halves and quarters or NFL quarters.......I am guessing those that keep databases have this info and aren't likely to just toss it out here.
      Comment
      • Peep
        SBR MVP
        • 06-23-08
        • 2295

        #4
        Common sense.

        In baseball, an average game is Nine runs total. So a half a run is big in totals. In basketball, 200 points get scored, so a half a point is not big in totals.

        A point in a quarter is worth more than a point in a full game.
        Comment
        • durito
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-03-06
          • 13173

          #5
          pinnacle has drop down menus on nba first and second halves
          Comment
          • VBOMBER
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-02-08
            • 228

            #6
            Originally posted by durito
            pinnacle has drop down menus on nba first and second halves
            I don't have access to pinnacle, do you mind telling me what they charge to buy a half point on both the side and total for an NBA half?
            Comment
            • bookie
              SBR MVP
              • 08-10-05
              • 2112

              #7
              Originally posted by VBOMBER
              I don't have access to pinnacle, do you mind telling me what they charge to buy a half point on both the side and total for an NBA half?
              Seven to ten cents--both sides and totals.
              Comment
              • Justin7
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-31-06
                • 8577

                #8
                In general, the shorter the time period, the more valuable each half-point is.
                Comment
                • IrishTim
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-23-09
                  • 983

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Peep
                  Common sense.

                  In baseball, an average game is Nine runs total. So a half a run is big in totals. In basketball, 200 points get scored, so a half a point is not big in totals.

                  A point in a quarter is worth more than a point in a full game.
                  Peep's got it down. Curious if anyone has created push charts for 2nd half lines?
                  Comment
                  • Fishhead
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-11-05
                    • 40179

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Justin7
                    In general, the shorter the time period, the more valuable each half-point is.

                    For certain.......but by how much in 1ST HALF NBA TOTALS?
                    Comment
                    • Ominous
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 10-04-08
                      • 87

                      #11
                      I believe that first half scores in basketball is worth slightly less than double the worth of a point in a full game.

                      This is because scores will be half as high on halftime line, however, since the actual scoring events are also lower the avarage deviation from the mean in relation to the actual line will be higher.

                      According to pinnacle half a point on the spread for halftime is approximatly same value as half a point for fulltime, half a point on the total is almost twice as much worth. Wierd... I guess there are more effects to consider as to the spread than meets the eye.
                      Comment
                      • 20Four7
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-08-07
                        • 6703

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fishhead
                        For certain.......but by how much in 1ST HALF NBA TOTALS?
                        I could tell you between 8 and 14..... but would you understand why?
                        Comment
                        • Peregrine Stoop
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-23-09
                          • 869

                          #13
                          in pinny I trust
                          Comment
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