Teasing NFL Totals 13 Points?

**easyliving** · 10-24-13, 09:35 PM

teasing totals is never a good idea. if your gonna tease always tease sides

**husky** · 10-25-13, 07:38 AM

Thank you for the insight easy. I have just heard of people saying that if you can get 13 point teasers for -120 and tease low NFL totals down into the low 30's or high 20's, money can be made.

**Bluehorseshoe** · 10-26-13, 10:05 AM

For some reason some books stop taking them, but I haven't seen an angle.

**indio** · 10-26-13, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by easyliving

teasing totals is never a good idea. if your gonna tease always tease sides

Not true. While there is no denying a side point has more value than a total point, there are times (albeit rare) when teasing totals 13 pts is advantageous. Yes, you need that play to be at least 88% to be slightly profitable, and I can understand the skepticism that any total moved 13 points would ever have a 88%+ cover expectancy. But in my opinion, they do occur from time to time. I don't think the San Diego vs. Jacksonville game recently played goes over 58 1/2 points more than 12 times out of 100. Just my opinion. There have been some totals teased down below 30 points that have that criteria in my opinion. But we'll never really know since it's arbitrary.

I'm 142/160 (88.75%) when I tease a game 13 points. That doesn't mean a whole lot, but I'm curious what it will be after a few thousand. No denying the fact that unless you're super selective, and have some talent , it's one of the worst bets there is.

**a4u2fear** · 10-26-13, 07:53 PM

Tease #1 and #2 ranked defenses in yards, you will hit them at 90%

**husky** · 10-26-13, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Tease #1 and #2 ranked defenses in yards, you will hit them at 90%

When they play one another you mean?

**a4u2fear** · 10-27-13, 07:40 AM

Originally posted by husky

When they play one another you mean?

no, they both hit at 90% against whoever they play that week. so that's two slots of your 4 that you need.

**husky** · 10-27-13, 11:46 AM

Thanks for the insight. And I assume you mean teasing the total up and taking the under?

**a4u2fear** · 10-27-13, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by husky

Thanks for the insight. And I assume you mean teasing the total up and taking the under?

No, the side. I used to bet these but my bookie no longer offers them.

**las8** · 10-31-13, 12:26 PM

5dimes does teasers up to 20 points. 5 teams 13 point pays +105. I am a fan of 10 point teasers 3 teams pays -115; 4 +132. I don't usually do totals because its a lot easier to lose by by two scores than a on spread in my opinion.

**TPowell** · 10-31-13, 07:20 PM

Week 1- 7 totals were more than 13 points off from the total (out of 16 games)
Week 2- 4 totals (out of 16 games)
Week 3- 5 totals (out of 16 games)
Week 4- 5 totals (out of 15 games)
Week 5- 7 totals (out of 14 games)
Week 6- 2 totals (out of 15 games)
Week 7- 7 totals (out of 15 games)
Week 8- 4 totals (out of 13 games)

Week 1= 7/32 wrong (78%)
Week 2= 4/32 wrong (88%)
Week 3= 5/32 wrong (84%)
Week 4= 5/30 wrong (83%)
Week 5= 7/28 wrong (75%)
Week 6= 2/30 wrong (93%)
Week 7= 7/30 wrong (77%)
Week 8= 4/26 wrong (85%)
TOTAL= 41/240 wrong (83%)

If random chance gives you an 83% chance of hitting, it isn't out of the picture to get to 88%. I would say a good handicapper could easily hit 85% based off what I saw. At an 85% clip per total, your winning percentage is a little over 52% which isn't bad. Would love to study this more if I had the time