Lout's Picks 10/11

[Lout84]

Another great week in college football last week. Let's keep this rolling!

Here they are -

5 Units* Illinois -11 vs. Minnesota

5 Units* TCU -14 at Colorado St

5 Units* Tulsa -24 at SMU

4 Units* Hawaii -7 vs. LA Tech

3 Units* Oklahoma -6 vs. Texas

2 Units* Boise St -11 at Southern Miss

2 Units* Ball St -16 at Western Kentucky

2 Units* Kansas St -3 at Texas A&M

1 Unit = $100

[Godsmack]

gl lou...you and pags rock!!! along with a few others

[Lout84]

Thanks Godsmack. Hope to make some money for all of us this weekend!

[Dan]

You and pags are modern day Robin Hoods.

[Lout84]

You and pags are modern day Robin Hoods.

Pags is a great capper. If I didn't have the time to cap games, I would trust his judgement, blind.

[Lout84]

2nd Pick

5 Units* TCU -14 at Colorado St.

TCU has won 5/6 games by 17+ points. Their only loss coming to powerhouse OU. There is no shame in that! TCU's defense is far too good for Colorado St to score more than 21 points against them. TCU rolls. Prediction TCU 45-21

[Lout84]

3rd Pick

3 Units* Tulsa -26 at SMU

Tulsa is a BCS Buster. They will roll over a largely impotent defense. SMU should score some points but I don't think this one is close. I normally do not like large DD away favs but this one looks very good.

[Lout84]

I just went ahead and posted the rest of my picks in the first post for ease of use. I may or may not place any more bets this weekend. GL all!

[Always Somethin']

Lout thoughts on Kansas?

[abc]

Many thanks, Lout. I liked a few of these also, and you just confirmed them for me. gl!

[pags11]

lout,

GL this week...keep up the good work...

[nevadaside]

nice call on the BOISE & KSU plays, really like those.......will probably buy KSU down to 3 just in case of any unforseen bulls#$!.

BOISE will not be messing around at this point with a majorly doable undefeated season in sight.

Have another monster week.........

[Lout84]

Lout thoughts on Kansas?

Honestly, I liked Colorado +14 in that one, but pags likes Kansas, so I withdrew that from my card completely. The line has moved to +14.5.. but again, I am staying away because pags and I are conflicting on this one.

[Lout84]

abc, that's what I am here for!

pags, thanks! I tailed you on a couple games after I checked them out. Gl this week to you too!

nevadaside, i really like those 2 plays as well. Hopefully they don't lay eggs.

[Lout84]

I am rolling with Ball St -16 at W. Kentucky as my final pick.

I have been riding Ball St for 5 weeks now and they are 6-0 ATS this season. I am riding them until they fail me. Western Kentucky is no chump at home, but they rarely play teams as good as Ball St at home. 3 Unit Play.

Also, I raised Tulsa to a 5 Unit play because the line dropped from -26 to -24

[Godsmack]

gl on your plays lou,just wondering if i could get your input on the badgers home against p state?.i requested the same from pags as well. thanks man

[Lout84]

gl on your plays lou,just wondering if i could get your input on the badgers home against p state?.i requested the same from pags as well. thanks man

Penn St has a special team this year, however, they historically lose when playing at Wisconsin. I don't have the nuts to bet against Penn St the way they are playing.. but history tells us to take Wisconsin +5. I only take lines where history and current level of play match up.

Bet on this one at your own risk.

[Godsmack]

Penn St has a special team this year, however, they historically lose when playing at Wisconsin. I don't have the nuts to bet against Penn St the way they are playing.. but history tells us to take Wisconsin +5. I only take lines where history and current level of play match up.

Bet on this one at your own risk.

input appreciated

[Lout84]

Adding 1 more play:

Units*3 Oklahoma -6 vs. Texas

[Lout84]

Reverse Line Movements: The public is betting a favorite heavily but the line is moving favoring them. This is a red flag. IE., Boise St has 80% of the public betting on them, but the line moved from -12.5 to -11. This doesn't make sense.

I apologize to those of you that already picked these plays, but I am now downgrading the following plays due to reverse line movements.

2 Units* Boise St -11
2 Units* Kansas St -3
2 Units* Ball St -16

[xyzky]

2nd Pick

5 Units* TCU -14 at Colorado St.

TCU has won 5/6 games by 17+ points. Their only loss coming to powerhouse OU. There is no shame in that! TCU's defense is far too good for Colorado St to score more than 21 points against them. TCU rolls. Prediction TCU 45-21

UNLV screwed me last week because they couldnt stop the run against Col. St.
I get revenge this week on Col. St. with a great TCU team. Thanks to UNLV losing we get a great line at -14.

[Lout84]

Yes, it is one of my favorite's this week. I am very confident in my first 3 big plays.

[Biff Webster]

Yes, it is one of my favorite's this week. I am very confident in my first 3 big plays.

I have Illinois at -12.5, do you like this play still? It should be a good play still since it will still cover 13 and 14 points but what do you think?

[Lout84]

I have Illinois at -12.5, do you like this play still? It should be a good play still since it will still cover 13 and 14 points but what do you think?

I would take Illinois until -14.

[chinodeft26]

lout i'm also with you hating double digit road favs but tulsa is playing way too solid right now to pass on it. also with you on ball st on the road. big fan of oklahoma this week. gl

[Lout84]

Glad to hear you are on those picks!

[Dbldown11]

love all those picks except for ball st Lout84. I've got Western KY as one of my big plays this week. I've got the write up on that game in my thread if you care to read it, but aside from that one I like your board

[Lout84]

Thanks Dbldown. Good luck to you this week! I did downgrade Ball St due to a reverse line movement. However, I still feel Ball St should win by 21. We shall see on that one!

[Lout84]

Went 4-4 for the week.. which isn't too bad considering the crazy week this has been. 3/5 of the top ranked teams went down! We will get em next week!