Louisville vs Uconn

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  • tab
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-07
    • 1106

    #1
    Louisville vs Uconn
    Uconn team total under 12 half (-115)

    My other leans
    Louisville ML (h) -130
    Louisville -3.5


    Louisville is much improved on defense this year especially against the run. The cardinals are allowing 39 yards rushing per game. In 3 games the cardinals have allowed 116 yards rushing on 71 carries. Defense is allowing only 1.7 yards per carry.

    vs Kentucky-defense allowed 63 yards on 33 carries
    vs Tenn Tech- defense alllowed 33 yards on 22 carries
    vs Kansas St-defense allowed 30 yards on 12 carries

    So far this season, Louisville's defense has shut down their opponents in the first half. Here are the halftime scores of the 3 games.

    Halftime scores Final scores
    trailing Kentucky 10-0 lost 27-2
    leading Tenn Tech 34-3 won 51-10
    leading Kansas St 14-7 won 38-29


    Prediction:
    Louisville 31
    Uconn 13

    Uconn did score 2 touchdowns in the first half versus Baylor last week but did not look good. Lets not forget that uconn was held scoreless against mighty Temple in the first half. Uconn is a type of team that has to run the ball to set up the passing game. Uconn has a very medicore passing attack and they will be exposed. I will be extremely shocked if Uconn can score 2 touchdowns at the half. Does anyone have any thoughts on Uconn team total staying under 12 points (half), Louisville -3.5 and under 51 for the game.
    Last edited by tab; 09-26-08, 06:33 AM.
  • crackerjack
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-06
    • 3366

    #2
    I really, really like this play. Louisville looked very good against WV, although WVs idiot coach helped them out quite a bit. But they started to look like the Louisville of old, but with a better defense. I am not sold on UConn.
    Comment
    • crackerjack
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-06
      • 3366

      #3
      I also like the under, but I think playing under in college football is very risky and I really pick my spots...
      Comment
      • thejrichshow85
        Restricted User
        • 06-15-08
        • 3342

        #4
        Not sure who will show up but it's going over 51 no doubt.
        Comment
        • teaserpleaser
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-14-08
          • 26016

          #5
          both these offenses can score and reach the over.
          Comment
          • mtneer1212
            SBR MVP
            • 06-22-08
            • 4993

            #6
            Originally posted by crackerjack
            I really, really like this play. Louisville looked very good against WV, although WVs idiot coach helped them out quite a bit. But they started to look like the Louisville of old, but with a better defense. I am not sold on UConn.
            huh? They havent played yet.
            Comment
            • mtneer1212
              SBR MVP
              • 06-22-08
              • 4993

              #7
              I like UConn a little...... but this is a tough game with plenty of unknowns.
              Comment
              • teaserpleaser
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-14-08
                • 26016

                #8
                I dont know who will win but I see a 28- 24 score.
                Comment
                • TPowell
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 18842

                  #9
                  Under is the play on the total but Louisville should handle UConn. First half under would be the best bet for the total, because Louisville's got a great run defense but not enough depth
                  Comment
                  • Always_Over
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-22-07
                    • 167

                    #10
                    I agree with the Under, Uconn is a running team which will kill a lot of clock. Louisville is not high flying either. Louisville was ranked last year and pretty good, uconn is still rebuilding. I am looking at Louisville -3.5 and under (plus wind and rain).
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388189

                      #11
                      Right now leaning towards the over but will release pick later

                      GL
                      Comment
                      • Sinister Cat
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-03-08
                        • 1090

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Always_Over
                        I agree with the Under, Uconn is a running team which will kill a lot of clock. Louisville is not high flying either. Louisville was ranked last year and pretty good, uconn is still rebuilding. I am looking at Louisville -3.5 and under (plus wind and rain).
                        No respect for UConn. UConn was ranked last year, Louisville wasn't. UConn was co Big-East champion with WV. Louisville was crap despite having a star QB (no defense).

                        Don't know about this year. UConn seems about the same as last year. Haven't seen Louisville play.
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #13
                          respect? You act like UConn is actually a good football team lol. On the road, 3.5 seems SHARP to me
                          Comment
                          • SW46750
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 09-26-08
                            • 1

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Always_Over
                            I agree with the Under, Uconn is a running team which will kill a lot of clock. Louisville is not high flying either. Louisville was ranked last year and pretty good, uconn is still rebuilding. I am looking at Louisville -3.5 and under (plus wind and rain).
                            If i'm not mistaken it's supposed to be 65 degrees tonight for this game. NO RAIN! I wouldn't listen to this guy.

                            Everything is looking toward the under tonight for this game. I will take Louisville -3.5 and the over
                            Comment
                            • Sinister Cat
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-03-08
                              • 1090

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TPowell
                              respect? You act like UConn is actually a good football team lol. On the road, 3.5 seems SHARP to me
                              Not talking about the line, talking about the post I was quoting. I have no reason to believe the line isn't sharp. Not playing this one.
                              Comment
                              • Brock Landers
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 06-30-08
                                • 45360

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Always_Over
                                I agree with the Under, Uconn is a running team which will kill a lot of clock. Louisville is not high flying either. Louisville was ranked last year and pretty good, uconn is still rebuilding. I am looking at Louisville -3.5 and under (plus wind and rain).
                                where are you coming up with wind and rain?

                                here is the forecast

                                Tonight
                                Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
                                Comment
                                • Always_Over
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-22-07
                                  • 167

                                  #17
                                  oh my bad, I was looking at the uconn weather report!!
                                  Comment
                                  • teaserpleaser
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-14-08
                                    • 26016

                                    #18
                                    nice
                                    Comment
                                    • TPowell
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-21-08
                                      • 18842

                                      #19
                                      wind and rain doesnt matter, UConn will struggle to get in the 20's against Louisville's defense
                                      Comment
                                      • AMBlai01
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-16-08
                                        • 5882

                                        #20
                                        I am leaning toward Louisville on this one myself...the line will probably get up to -4 or -5 by game time but I would take them even at that.

                                        Watching UConn play....that offense is very vanilla. They are not going to put up a lot of points. UConn has played some really weak competition and struggled a couple times already.

                                        Their luck has to run out eventually...

                                        That Kid at Louisville, Cantwell, seems to finally found his stride. Scoring 38 and 51 respectively in their last two games.
                                        Comment
                                        • ICE-BLOOD
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-21-08
                                          • 1004

                                          #21
                                          conn
                                          dbrown-avg 179 ypg rushing, dont think he'll get more than 125 tonite
                                          lorenzen- 129 ypg passing, 1 td, 6 int really bad so far, gotta improve on this tonite, he will also run for 50 yards himself
                                          no star receivers
                                          boring grind it out offense, not much big play capability
                                          good defense, lots of sacks and ints

                                          louisville
                                          cantwell-209 ypg passing, should get this plus some tonite, though might get picked a couple times and sacked some
                                          balanced rushing attack with v.anderson and bolen, compliments pass game well
                                          good receivers in beaumont and chichester
                                          defense is also good

                                          home field edge-louisville

                                          uconn will have a tough time if they fall behind on the road. they need their defense to set up ez scores

                                          looks like louisville 27-20
                                          Comment
                                          • St.Aquinas
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 07-01-08
                                            • 264

                                            #22
                                            I think Louisville gets it done tonight. Good luck all!
                                            I must complain the cards are ill shuffled till I have a good hand. ~Jonathan Swift
                                            Comment
                                            • WestsidePete
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-19-07
                                              • 8049

                                              #23
                                              Nice writeup tab,

                                              Agree 100%...Lou -3 for me
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82534

                                                #24
                                                Louisville should dominate at home.
                                                Comment
                                                • JBC77
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-23-07
                                                  • 3816

                                                  #25
                                                  I've been to every Uconn home game this year. Donald Brown can run the ball, watch out here....think he was Big East player of the week like a week ago.

                                                  Lorenzen might be the weakness for them. This kid doesn't go deep often, won't throw interceptions, plays careful.

                                                  If Uconn wins they will beat them at the run.......
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AMBlai01
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-16-08
                                                    • 5882

                                                    #26
                                                    The more I think about this game (and I am probably over thinking it) the more I don't like it. I think the play would be small on Louisville if anything.

                                                    That being said, I am going to stay away all together tonight and get ready for tomorrow.

                                                    GL everyone else that does end up playing though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • teaserpleaser
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-14-08
                                                      • 26016

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JBC77
                                                      I've been to every Uconn home game this year. Donald Brown can run the ball, watch out here....think he was Big East player of the week like a week ago.

                                                      Lorenzen might be the weakness for them. This kid doesn't go deep often, won't throw interceptions, plays careful.

                                                      If Uconn wins they will beat them at the run.......
                                                      Tyler lorenzen has thrown 1 touch down and 6 interceptions in 4 games.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • awhitejackson
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-15-07
                                                        • 2265

                                                        #28
                                                        Really like Louisville at home....Stout D and a touted QB finally making some big time plays.....Might parley a small bit with the under too here guys....GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Junkyard Dog
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-12-07
                                                          • 4552

                                                          #29
                                                          uconn +3.5 & ml
                                                          Comment
                                                          • madmaxx
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-14-07
                                                            • 3289

                                                            #30
                                                            uconn +3.5
                                                            total over 51.5
                                                            uconn team total over 23.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388189

                                                              #31
                                                              I took over 51

                                                              Passed on side
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gm2022
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-28-08
                                                                • 4128

                                                                #32
                                                                Lou -165 ML gl
                                                                Comment
                                                                • awhitejackson
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-15-07
                                                                  • 2265

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Took Louisvill -3.5 for 1.5 units......and UL and under 52 for 0.50 units....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cthatche
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 10-23-07
                                                                    • 7

                                                                    #34
                                                                    UConn allowed Baylor to pass all over the place, one would think Louisville would take advantage of this. Also UConn's strength is the run which Louisville has been very successful against.

                                                                    If Louisville doesn't make mental mistakes and drop passes like in the Kentucky game, then they should win by 10 or more. Louisville having played against a decent physical SEC defense should have them ready to play against UConn. Although I'm not positive it won't take them a half to get set on D. I don't like UConn under 12 in the first half. It might be ok but I would stay away from it!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MonkeyF0cker
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 06-12-07
                                                                      • 12144

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Louisville -3.5 and Under 51.5 for me...
                                                                      Comment
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