Auburn backers: Do you ignore this?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Auburn backers: Do you ignore this?
    moneylines
    12/05 22:07 +130 / -144
    12/06 12:01 +134 / -148
    12/08 18:15 +136 / -150
    12/10 09:05 +137 / -152
    12/10 17:10 +130 / -144
    12/21 10:43 +127 / -140
    12/21 23:11 +122 / -135
    12/21 23:26 +120 / -132
    12/21 23:53 +118 / -130
    12/22 09:55 +119 / -131
    12/22 12:16 +120 / -132
    12/29 10:46 +118 / -130
    12/31 13:26 +114 / -126
    01/01 16:45 +116 / -128
    01/01 16:46 +118 / -130
    01/03 12:05 +120 / -133
    01/03 23:57 +112 / -124
    01/06 11:27 +111 / -123
    01/09 15:24 +112 / -124
    01/09 16:54 +111 / -123
    01/09 19:59 +108 / -119
    01/10 00:43 +106 / -117
    01/10 09:30 +105 / -116
    01/10 11:10 +104 / -115
    01/10 11:12 +102 / -113
    01/10 15:26 +101 / -111
    01/10 15:37 -103 / -107
    01/10 16:11 -105 / -105
    01/10 16:52 -106 / -104
    01/10 17:12 -107 / -103
    01/10 17:14 -106 / -104
    01/10 17:15 -107 / -103
    01/10 17:18 -108 / -102
    01/10 17:23 -107 / -103
    01/10 17:51 -108 / -102
  • VTranX
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-10
    • 1975

    #2
    so what...we get better value.
    Comment
    • JamesBrown
      SBR MVP
      • 04-07-08
      • 3860

      #3
      Comment
      • wrongturn
        SBR MVP
        • 06-06-06
        • 2228

        #4
        Why? It is still 50/50 shot.
        Comment
        • texhooper
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-05-09
          • 10001

          #5
          i personally don't really give a f\*\*k. i knew i'd come over here and see that you'd posted some line move mess about this game.
          Comment
          • El_Pateaux
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-13-10
            • 131

            #6
            Pretty sure they're ignoring it - hard to not notice it, but I'm betting (ha!) they're still as confident as ever. Got Oregon last night at +115; +105 this morning.

            Go Ducks!
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              You think oddsmakers would allow sharps to scalp like this?
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by texhooper
                i personally don't really give a f\*\*k. i knew i'd come over here and see that you'd posted some line move mess about this game.
                I'll put you in the "ignore" column then.

                I'm not playing the game personally -- I'd take Oregon if I had to. That's some major line movement, though.
                Comment
                • artie81
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-18-08
                  • 242

                  #9
                  Roll tide
                  NFL YTD (1-0) +2 units
                  NBA YTD (2-1) +1.8 units
                  CFB YTD ()
                  Grand Total YTD (2-1) +3.8 units
                  Comment
                  • KGambler
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-09-09
                    • 2404

                    #10
                    Let's be honest... SECuares would take Auburn -6.5 in a heart beat.
                    Comment
                    • SWBET
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 11-28-10
                      • 78

                      #11
                      I like the under more than either team here
                      Comment
                      • FindTheLock
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-27-10
                        • 7194

                        #12
                        Originally posted by KGambler
                        Let's be honest... SECuares would take Auburn -6.5 in a heart beat.
                        and they probably win too
                        Comment
                        • texhooper
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 10001

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          I'll put you in the "ignore" column then.

                          I'm not playing the game personally -- I'd take Oregon if I had to. That's some major line movement, though.

                          hahaha yeah man, i am ignoring it.

                          thing is, i would usually use something like this to factor in a play (used it last night for bc, actually) but this is the national championship and i have my feelings and thoughts and i'm not allowing anything to dissuade me. i mean, i'd feel like shit if i had a real opinion, let the line dissuade me, then auburn romps to the finish. i'd have to wait like 7 and a half months to rectify it.
                          Comment
                          • ROYAJA8
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-23-09
                            • 2069

                            #14
                            Oregon ducks all the way. Quack quackquack
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by texhooper
                              hahaha yeah man, i am ignoring it.

                              thing is, i would usually use something like this to factor in a play (used it last night for bc, actually) but this is the national championship and i have my feelings and thoughts and i'm not allowing anything to dissuade me. i mean, i'd feel like shit if i had a real opinion, let the line dissuade me, then auburn romps to the finish. i'd have to wait like 7 and a half months to rectify it.
                              Good luck.

                              I wouldn't be surprised at all by any outcome tonight, frankly. Auburn, Oregon, over, under....nothing would shock me unless it finishes like 14-7.
                              Comment
                              • cspurs
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 12-30-08
                                • 86

                                #16
                                how can Bodog be at 3 and Bookmaker be at pk.???
                                Comment
                                • aman86
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-29-09
                                  • 3115

                                  #17
                                  lets go auburn get this money
                                  Comment
                                  • KGambler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-09-09
                                    • 2404

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cspurs
                                    how can Bodog be at 3 and Bookmaker be at pk.???

                                    Bodog caters to square action. Bookmaker does not. If Bodog puts the game as pick, they will get an incredible imbalance of Auburn bets.
                                    Comment
                                    • shaggy3000
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-29-09
                                      • 5801

                                      #19
                                      i really dont care about line movement to be honest. and not sure what an SECuares is but if its the guy thats betting on the conf thats own the BCS the last 5+ years then id love to be one of those. but what do you say about the Oregon +.5 ( +110 ) Auburn -.5 ( -130 ) lines? i mean if youre following vig
                                      Comment
                                      • KGambler
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-09-09
                                        • 2404

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by shaggy3000
                                        but what do you say about the Oregon +.5 ( +110 ) Auburn -.5 ( -130 ) lines?

                                        Wat?
                                        Comment
                                        • Rapscallion
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 03-29-09
                                          • 184

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by cspurs
                                          how can Bodog be at 3 and Bookmaker be at pk.???
                                          +3 makes it much easier to take Oregon....... Cam Newton is a unique player to the college ranks. Other Heisman winners like Reggie bush etc., don't compare to this physical specimen. Truly a man amongst boys. I like the resolve of Auburn on the SEC trail this year. Let's test the ducks with a quality opponent outside of raucious Eugene. Good Luck to you guys.
                                          Comment
                                          • montoronto
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-05-10
                                            • 352

                                            #22
                                            go oregon!
                                            Comment
                                            • samdapatriotsfan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-10-08
                                              • 1585

                                              #23
                                              I am not sure who to take, although I am leaning toward ORE or the Under.

                                              GL to all bettors.
                                              Comment
                                              • bruce0
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-07-10
                                                • 905

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by KGambler
                                                Bodog caters to square action. Bookmaker does not. If Bodog puts the game as pick, they will get an incredible imbalance of Auburn bets.
                                                Could it be that Bodog is taking a side?
                                                Comment
                                                • Pin Fish
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-28-08
                                                  • 1295

                                                  #25
                                                  uhhhhhhhh...anyone remember the MTSU/OHIO LINE MOVEMENT.....................
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oChRoNiCo
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-18-09
                                                    • 2984

                                                    #26
                                                    Even the sharps are wrong once in awhile!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Auburn is +100 now on the ML.

                                                      This is insane. There's no way Vegas would allow scalping like this. No way.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KGambler
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-09-09
                                                        • 2404

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by bruce0
                                                        Could it be that Bodog is taking a side?
                                                        No.

                                                        They are always shaded toward the public side. It is true of every big game.

                                                        Listen, just because Auburn is the public/square pick, it does not mean it is the wrong play. Sometimes the squares are right.

                                                        The key is that the SECuares would take Auburn -6.5 in a heartbeat. That really shows how biased they are. I lean Oregon here, but it will not be a big bet for me. I have Oregon +3 -105, Oregon +3 -130 (thanks bodog, it's Auburn -3 +142 on Matchbook) and OR ML +120. I will now hedge most of it off.
                                                        Last edited by KGambler; 01-10-11, 07:10 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • broadway6
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-14-09
                                                          • 13337

                                                          #29
                                                          i need a bodog account. Oregon is +3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tylerguy02
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-29-09
                                                            • 1987

                                                            #30
                                                            I effin hate Bodog. The only time they allow you to buy points if the spread has 1/2 on it and they don't put MLs until the day of games and only on ones they don't have a big dog so they don't lose money if it hits.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • yisman
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-01-08
                                                              • 75682

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by KGambler
                                                              No.

                                                              They are always shaded toward the public side. It is true of every big game.

                                                              Listen, just because Auburn is the public/square pick, it does not mean it is the right play. Sometimes the squares are right.
                                                              You mean does not mean it is the wrong play?

                                                              I agree.

                                                              I also think these threads are silly.

                                                              Just because there's late line movement one way doesn't mean you can only take one side.

                                                              It's something to take into account, that's all.
                                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                              [/quote]

                                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KGambler
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-09-09
                                                                • 2404

                                                                #32
                                                                Sorry, was in a rush when I made that post...

                                                                To add a little more info... Bodog has very low limits and caters to square action. They also deal dual lines. If you are on the "square lines" you can get Oregon +3 -125. If you are on the "sharp lines" than it will be OR +3 -130. Of course, "sharp lines" is relatively speaking.

                                                                Bodog's limits for this game are $2K for the full game and $500 for half and quarter bets. Those are tiny limits for a game of this magnitude. Bodog is a very conservative book and would not want to take a side here. Hell, they won't even open up their limits for the BCS title game!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KGambler
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-09-09
                                                                  • 2404

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by yisman
                                                                  You mean does not mean it is the wrong play?

                                                                  I agree.

                                                                  I also think these threads are silly.

                                                                  Just because there's late line movement one way doesn't mean you can only take one side.

                                                                  It's something to take into account, that's all.

                                                                  Yes, sorry. I edited it now. I was in a real hurry when making that post. Also said things like I had OR -3 (minus) lol. Fixed now...

                                                                  Yeah, I don't base my picks on which side is the public side. I do not auto-fade the public. I don't think that alone is a winning strategy. If I really like a play, and I have not bet yet, I am more than happy to place the bet at a better line.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shaggy3000
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 12-29-09
                                                                    • 5801

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by oChRoNiCo
                                                                    Even the sharps are wrong once in awhile!
                                                                    theyre wrong like 40% of the time.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shaggy3000
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-29-09
                                                                      • 5801

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by KGambler
                                                                      Wat?
                                                                      its the line and vig ATS at my book and im assuming several other books
                                                                      Comment
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