Thoughts on Mich/Wisc game Sat !!!!

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  • WolverineFan
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-10
    • 1299

    #1
    Thoughts on Mich/Wisc game Sat !!!!
    Just wanted a few people to tell me what u think about this game. I am a die hard Michigan fan and have watched every game this year and with that defense I just don't see no way that they can stay within 4 points of Wisconsin. I really do think this would b my game of the year but the line does scare me somewhat. If u guys would give me some insight on this I would greatly appreciate it and I have noticed that the line has went from 5.5 down to 4 if that means n e thing could someone explain that also. If you guys could help me out on this I will definitely throw ya some points cause I want to go huge on this.
  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #2
    I think Wisconsin rolls. They are playing really well right now and you are right.... Michigan has no D
    Comment
    • D3 Mighty Ducks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-17-09
      • 11939

      #3
      Badgers roll there coming off that ass whoppin' they laid down last week. They'll carry over the momentum from last week. Wolverines just don't have a strong enough defense to take them + the points.
      Comment
      • bacon22
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-09-10
        • 292

        #4
        I agree with the Badgers pick and the reasoning. I also don't know about Rich Rod switching QB's. I am not sure if that will affect the confidence of either or if one is Denard is slightly hurt? We shall see. I hope it is a good game but I think Wisc is the safe play here.
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        • WolverineFan
          SBR MVP
          • 03-12-10
          • 1299

          #5
          Thanks guys
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          • D3 Mighty Ducks
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-17-09
            • 11939

            #6
            Would love to see the Wolverines pull out the upset though. Blue and Yellow!!
            Comment
            • utmoody10
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-19-08
              • 304

              #7
              Michigan has really struggled recently going 2-3 in their last 5 and the two wins came in a overtime win against Illinois and an unimpressive 11 point victory against a bad Purdue team. Michigan's defense is beyond terrible ranking 100th in total D and 93rd in scoring D. They will be facing the 12th best scoring offense even though that is slightly inflated by the Badgers 83 point showing last week but they are capable of throwing up points no doubt. Wisconsin's D is pretty good too ranking 21st in total D and 23rd in scoring D but they are a little weaker against the pass with a ranking of 51st in pass efficiency D.

              Another big difference is the ability to take care of the football. Wisconsin ranks 20th in turnover margin whereas the Wolverines are 103rd. The line looks a little low but the big house is getting some respect in that sense. Iowa and Michigan State were able to handle Michigan at home, I dont see why the Badgers wouldnt be able to do the same.
              Comment
              • Dukebluejms
                SBR MVP
                • 10-21-09
                • 1633

                #8
                I don't think this is as easy as everyone is saying. There is a reason the line is at 4. The public is hammering the Badgers, which is always a good sign for Mich backers. There is plenty of reasons why people should be scared of Mich. Their defense is awful, they are terrible ATS, and Wisc is playing some of the best football in the country. So why is the line this low? It can't be the home field factor: Michigan is 1-4 ATS at home and lost 2 of their 3 conference home games. Clay is doubtful for Wisconsin, and The Badgers have yet to see an offense even close to this caliber or as fast. This could very easily be a trap line. For me, the only play with value is Mich ML for a small play.
                Comment
                • MartinBlank
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-20-08
                  • 8382

                  #9
                  Rule #1. Never bet on or against your team.

                  Seriously.....emotion just f's your head up when you try and evaluate your own team.....either for them or against.

                  Now. About this game.

                  Rodriguez needs it badly. He is 7-3. He loses this one, and it is 7-5 this year. Not sure if that saves his job or not.

                  Wisconsin is so good upfront, but you can move the ball on them. I could very easily see this as a late 10-pt Wisconsin lead----34-24, and Michigan gets a late score to get the cover. I would avoid it.

                  Good luck however you play it.
                  Comment
                  • awesomeness
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-19-10
                    • 170

                    #10
                    Yeahh agree on previous..Never bet on yout teams game
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #11
                      over
                      Comment
                      • aman86
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-29-09
                        • 3115

                        #12
                        THis absolutely yells trap. It doesn't mean risky won't cover but mich might just be the right play here. It is best to lay off these games however why not play the total instead. I think this will be high scoring on both ends and that will be my play on this game.
                        Comment
                        • BiffTFinancial
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 22670

                          #13
                          Originally posted by aman86
                          THis absolutely yells trap. It doesn't mean risky won't cover but mich might just be the right play here. It is best to lay off these games however why not play the total instead. I think this will be high scoring on both ends and that will be my play on this game.
                          and how.
                          Comment
                          • BrownTown
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-06-09
                            • 624

                            #14
                            I was going to make a great point, but ate some bad fish and now have to go take a Michigan. Be right back ... hopefully it is a clean wipe!
                            Comment
                            • BrownTown
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-06-09
                              • 624

                              #15
                              What a great Michigan, I feel so much better. Okay so Michigan D would get scored on by more than a few high school offenses. Wisc is not explosive, but they will wear that cupcake defense down in the second half.
                              Originally posted by BrownTown
                              I was going to make a great point, but ate some bad fish and now have to go take a Michigan. Be right back ... hopefully it is a clean wipe!
                              Comment
                              • c4yrslf12
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-01-10
                                • 139

                                #16
                                Wisconsin should roll pretty easily here. I would LOVE to see them fall, but Michigan has no secondary whatsoever. Should be a pretty lopsided matchup. WISC by at least 17.
                                Comment
                                • WolverineFan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-12-10
                                  • 1299

                                  #17
                                  I know I shouldn't bet on my own team when I now them inside and out and there is no way n my mind I think Michigan can stay with them but the line just scares me. If the line was up around 8 or 9 I would really pound it. I still am going to make it a pretty big bet for me. I bought the line down to 3 and put $200 on it. GL to everyone hope we cash it!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Jakesteen
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-22-10
                                    • 653

                                    #18
                                    I've got to agree with you here based on my experience. I do think the Badgers are better all around than Michigan.
                                    Originally posted by MartinBlank
                                    Rule #1. Never bet on or against your team. Seriously.....emotion just f's your head up when you try and evaluate your own team.....either for them or against. Now. About this game. Rodriguez needs it badly. He is 7-3. He loses this one, and it is 7-5 this year. Not sure if that saves his job or not. Wisconsin is so good upfront, but you can move the ball on them. I could very easily see this as a late 10-pt Wisconsin lead----34-24, and Michigan gets a late score to get the cover. I would avoid it. Good luck however you play it.
                                    Comment
                                    • BrownTown
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-06-09
                                      • 624

                                      #19
                                      That's all fine and good, but Wisc strength is not passing the ball
                                      Originally posted by c4yrslf12
                                      Wisconsin should roll pretty easily here. I would LOVE to see them fall, but Michigan has no secondary whatsoever. Should be a pretty lopsided matchup. WISC by at least 17.
                                      Comment
                                      • wookieehumper
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-09-09
                                        • 355

                                        #20
                                        I bet Michigan wins straight up... line looks like a total trap to me.
                                        Comment
                                        • Ralphie Halves
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-13-09
                                          • 4507

                                          #21
                                          Trap or not, the line is a good 2-3 points off. Taking Wisky.
                                          Comment
                                          • kernssca
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 07-31-10
                                            • 330

                                            #22
                                            Dont see the need to buy the line down, wisco is too much for Michigan, they will run and throw all over the place. Michigan will get some points too but Wisco will definately be over 45 pts
                                            Comment
                                            • WolverineFan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-12-10
                                              • 1299

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by kernssca
                                              Dont see the need to buy the line down, wisco is too much for Michigan, they will run and throw all over the place. Michigan will get some points too but Wisco will definately be over 45 pts

                                              Yea I know there should b no reason to buy the points cause Michigan just has not shown they can stay with n e quality team but I went ahead cause I put it to win $200and just pay juice if they happen to lose. I just got the insurance cause it may very well b a trap game but I think at the worst it might b like the other guy said it will b 37-27 and the come down and score a late td or Wisconsin kicks a late fg to win it cause they need this big win to go to rose bowl or maybe even national champion game.
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                                              • intangible fate
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-27-08
                                                • 193

                                                #24
                                                If Wisconsin is up early, they'll keep the foot on the pedal. I see Michigan fading as the season goes on. Go Badgers!
                                                Comment
                                                • WolverineFan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-10
                                                  • 1299

                                                  #25
                                                  Here we go Wisconsin makin it look easy drivin down the field like there just not a defense on the field....hope my bet is easy money 2day....I hope i cash it early cause I'm think about takin Ohio St big as I think they roll iowa 2day...GL 2 everyone
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mighty maron
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-20-09
                                                    • 4215

                                                    #26
                                                    They stopped Wisconsin on the first drive...unblocked ugh
                                                    Comment
                                                    • WolverineFan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-12-10
                                                      • 1299

                                                      #27
                                                      Sorry A** FG kicker !!!!!!!!!!!!! YESSSS
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fults400
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-03-10
                                                        • 140

                                                        #28
                                                        feeling pretty good about my wisconsin pick so far.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PayDay
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-19-10
                                                          • 104

                                                          #29
                                                          Wisc looks good right now
                                                          Comment
                                                          • WolverineFan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-12-10
                                                            • 1299

                                                            #30
                                                            I know ur not supposed to bet on ur team but I think I know my team better than n e other and if u stop and think about it logically is Michigan hasnt played n e 1 this year but State and it wasnt even close and they only reason they won the last 2 weeks was pure luck and that helped bring this line down but I would have takin Wisconsin at -13 or -14 cause I know Michigan
                                                            Comment
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