I like Wisconsin -4.5 - Write up

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  • Live4Saturday
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-29-10
    • 77

    #1
    I like Wisconsin -4.5 - Write up
    I am truly surprised the line is so low on this game.

    Yes Denard Robinson is a freak and can make people miss and break ankles on defense, but the fact of the matter is recently he has looked falible. Everyone was loving him for his first 5 games, but really who the hell did he play in those first five games? Uconn, ND, Bowling Green, Umass, and Indiana. Are you kidding me, all shit teams. Teams have figured out how to stack the box and make him resort to throwing which as recent games have shown, leads to him throwing INTS. ALSO in my oppinion there is a huge durability question with him. It seems liek every time he takes a hard hit, hes out and in comes Tate Forcier (who in my humble opinion is a better overall QB).

    Now Wisconsin did set all sorts of records last weekend when they threw up 83 points on Indiana, which would have many people fading them here, and seeing them primed for a 10 point day, BUT i just don't see it. This team is ranked #7, and if they win out their #7 ranking will give them the TIE BREAKER in the Big Ten and then they are BCS bound.

    Game is at Michigan, where Wisconsin really has never fared well in the past, yet i'm not really a believer in past events dictating how a team plays in the future. I know some people here will argue agaisnt me on that with all sorts of statistics on how Wisconsin hasn't won at the Big House since well forever, and back it up with all sorts of past statistics. The way I look at it is a top 10 Wisconsin team fighting for a BCS berth is enough to break past history, enough said.

    Further Wisconsins D has been stingy this year only letting opponents score 30 points 2 times this year. WHich means the high flying Michigan offense is going to be held in check. The only way Michigan wins is if their offense can some how over come the huge hole their defense always digs for them, and against this Wisconsin D who in the past two weeks held Purdue to 13 and Indiana to 20, gets it done.

    The Wisconsin offense has been great this year, breaking 70 points twice, and 40 points twice, and 30 points three times. I see them lighting up a totally inferior Michigan secondary.

    My play is Wisconsin, but I may let the public jump on the home dogs, which hopefully will drive my line down to -4, or even -3.5.

    GL all.
  • jwbama23
    SBR MVP
    • 01-17-10
    • 2373

    #2
    this is a very suspicious line. I would think Wisky would kill Michigan. I think Wisky will have to be the play but these 4.5-5.5 games seem to always go to the dog.
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    • ex50warrior
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-09
      • 3822

      #3
      Ok, I'm sold on taking the Badgers for their first win in the Big House since '94...good luck!
      Comment
      • surftex
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-23-10
        • 125

        #4
        I like Wisconsin. There to complete of a team to lose to Michigan.
        Comment
        • Saluki09
          SBR MVP
          • 12-30-08
          • 1003

          #5
          Good write up, I like Wisconsin too
          Comment
          • kiknit
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-20-09
            • 116

            #6
            Originally posted by jwbama23
            this is a very suspicious line. I would think Wisky would kill Michigan. I think Wisky will have to be the play but these 4.5-5.5 games seem to always go to the dog.
            Just like a recently upset Utah last week at Notre Dame. Line opened at Utah(-6), closed down at (-5.5) and they got their tails handed to em for the second week in a row.
            Comment
            • mik5058
              SBR Hustler
              • 06-03-10
              • 74

              #7
              Originally posted by Live4Saturday

              My play is Wisconsin, but I may let the public jump on the home dogs, which hopefully will drive my line down to -4, or even -3.5.
              Public is all over Wisconsin. That's not public money moving the line down.
              Comment
              • Speedkills13
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-17-10
                • 31

                #8
                Originally posted by mik5058
                Public is all over Wisconsin. That's not public money moving the line down.
                i agree. the thing is this has the potential to be a shoot out somewhat reminiscent of the illinois/mich game not that long ago. the wisco D is stingy but vulnerable to guys like robinson. mich has no D. wisco wins, but it stays close at the big house. ill jump ml on wisco.
                Comment
                • Brock Landers
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 06-30-08
                  • 45359

                  #9
                  Over is likely here...
                  Comment
                  • dfberger23
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 5069

                    #10
                    Wisconsin is easy money. I hate to say it but Michigan sucks. Wisconsin couldn't win in the Big House during the Lloyd Carr days because we had a real competitive football team. Rich Rod is murdering this program and the team he fields on Saturdays is proof of this.

                    Wisconsin should win by double digits easily.
                    Comment
                    • Brock Landers
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 06-30-08
                      • 45359

                      #11
                      Originally posted by dfberger23
                      Wisconsin is easy money. I hate to say it but Michigan sucks. Wisconsin couldn't win in the Big House during the Lloyd Carr days because we had a real competitive football team. Rich Rod is murdering this program and the team he fields on Saturdays is proof of this. Wisconsin should win by double digits easily.
                      for a team that "sucks", they can score with ANYONE and have 7 wins..
                      Comment
                      • dfberger23
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 5069

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Brock Landers
                        for a team that "sucks", they can score with ANYONE and have 7 wins..
                        Michigan's seven wins are not impressive at all. They haven't beaten a team that is even remotely as good as Wisconsin.

                        They got dominated in the Big House by Iowa and Michigan State and also got manhandled at Penn State.

                        Their defense is one of the worst of all the BCS teams. Wisconsin can shut down Denard, Denard only plays well agaisnt crappy teams (UConn, ND, Indiana, etc).

                        Wisconsin will win this game EASILY.
                        Comment
                        • gimme2dollars
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-02-09
                          • 356

                          #13
                          Boys, I've been at every game at the big house this year, and i'm taking Wisconsin. Most weeks Michigan can score td for td with opposing teams, but the bad D is a killer. Wisky is gonna be too much for UM. Teams have figured out Denard and I think Forcier is the better option, but Dick Rod is too stubborn with his offense. Wisconsin will win by at least a TD.
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