Lock of the year: Oregon -20 @ Cal

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  • shroomysoup
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-28-10
    • 137

    #1
    Lock of the year: Oregon -20 @ Cal
    Is Vegas serious? Oregon always covers. Cal barely beat a miserable Washington State team 20-13. They lost to USC 48-14 and Nevada put up 52 points on them. This is too easy. You want free money? Here it is.

  • rofacapper
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-22-10
    • 119

    #2
    Cal plays much better at home, but it won't matter. Love Oregon here.
    Comment
    • utmoody10
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-19-08
      • 304

      #3
      With you on this. Oregons offense just wears people out in the second half, I know Cal is a different team at home but the Ducks should be able to cover.
      Comment
      • DblDeuce
        Restricted User
        • 09-10-10
        • 368

        #4
        On the Ducks with you!
        Comment
        • DblDeuce
          Restricted User
          • 09-10-10
          • 368

          #5
          Getting it early before the line rises.
          Comment
          • Lion4Life
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-30-10
            • 797

            #6
            On Oregon here, just to much fire power.
            Comment
            • texhooper
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-05-09
              • 10001

              #7
              it's amazing a 20 point road fave looks low. but it does, i can't lie. i pushed on washington +37 on saturday after it looked pretty damn good at half. and that was after getting over the "we just dominated usc" next-game jitters in the first half. they're pretty amazing this year.
              Comment
              • smitch124
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-19-08
                • 12566

                #8
                love taking Ducks in the 2nd half this season. may do the same here if its withing 10 points after 1st half.
                Comment
                • Hat McCulloch
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-04-10
                  • 161

                  #9
                  I've been waiting for Oregon to falter but it hasn't happened. I'm with you
                  Comment
                  • surftex
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-23-10
                    • 125

                    #10
                    -19.5 now. Take the Ducks. They will continue to roll all the way to their first national championship.
                    Comment
                    • Cris_from_Europe
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-25-09
                      • 343

                      #11
                      Cal plays better at home .... but still anything under 3 TD has a lot of value .... Oregon FTW
                      Comment
                      • Hotlanta Steam
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-08-10
                        • 896

                        #12
                        Cal is two completely different teams home and away...

                        Avg Margin of victory @ home 38.75 pts

                        Avg Maring of victory away -14.2 pts

                        Keep in mind that Oregon has been less potent away from home and Cal has already seen a run oriented spread team in Nevada so they will be a little more prepared than most teams... (though Oregon's tempo is something all together different and Nevada ran up and down the field...)

                        Just saying buyer beware..
                        Comment
                        • zmas13
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 11-04-09
                          • 63

                          #13
                          <<<Oregon Offense
                          Comment
                          • Hotlanta Steam
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-08-10
                            • 896

                            #14
                            Originally posted by shroomysoup
                            Is Vegas serious? Oregon always covers. Cal barely beat a miserable Washington State team 20-13. They lost to USC 48-14 and Nevada put up 52 points on them. This is too easy. You want free money? Here it is.

                            Also... as insight to the Cal Wazzu game... Cal was playing with a back-up QB... lost the turnover battle 2-0 and missed a FG as well as an XP... They outgained Wazzu by 383 to 194....

                            Having the back-up in for Cal may actually turn out to be a good thing as Kevin Riley is often a turnover machine... Cal can focus more on the running game and if they can keep Oregon off the field they have a chance to keep it close...

                            I still like Oregon under 3 TDs but it is not as obvious as many of you are making it out to be...
                            Comment
                            • fballfan
                              Restricted User
                              • 10-26-10
                              • 90

                              #15
                              I completely agree with you on the Oregon pick. I also think Stanford -6.5 or -7 is also a lock. They are going to roll ASU by 3 touchdowns.
                              Comment
                              • dume walker
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-08-10
                                • 971

                                #16
                                So why has the Oregon spread come down a half point off its opening? And why has the Stanford spread come down 2 full points off its opening?
                                Comment
                                • Poster X
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 07-09-10
                                  • 236

                                  #17
                                  public will be all over ducks. this week will not be the week they quack.
                                  Comment
                                  • hanco21
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-19-06
                                    • 3414

                                    #18
                                    Oregon's lines are so inflated I would never touch them right now. I think Cal will give them a run for there money.
                                    Comment
                                    • agharah1
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-07-10
                                      • 2304

                                      #19
                                      People are starting to realize that Oregon is no gimmick. Nobody can stop them. Not the SEC, not the Pac-10, not the Boise States and TCUs of the college football world. The only way to beat them is to outscore them. That is why I think Auburn is the only team that can beat them.
                                      Comment
                                      • dume walker
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 04-08-10
                                        • 971

                                        #20
                                        Couple other things to keep in mind... Last year at home Oregon held a Cal team that had been averaging 49 ppg to just a field goal. Revenge motive for Cal.

                                        At the same time... Oregon has lost its last 3 games at Cal SU. A reason for Oregon to not get complacent and maybe keep its foot on the gas.

                                        Also, Oregon backup QB Costa might be injured. Does this mean Thomas stays in the whole game (good for Oregon spread) or that Ducks 3rd string QB would come in if the lead gets comfy, giving Cal a chance at a backdoor cover.
                                        Comment
                                        • texhooper
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-05-09
                                          • 10001

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by agharah1
                                          People are starting to realize that Oregon is no gimmick. Nobody can stop them. Not the SEC, not the Pac-10, not the Boise States and TCUs of the college football world. The only way to beat them is to outscore them. That is why I think Auburn is the only team that can beat them.
                                          i'm no apologist, but tennessee this year is not very indicative of a traditional sec program.
                                          Comment
                                          • RaiderNation MMA
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-05-10
                                            • 598

                                            #22
                                            i dunoo guys.....

                                            someone is goin to at least slow down oregon.......

                                            they cant be this hot forever.....

                                            cal isnt half bad..hmmm iono
                                            Comment
                                            • raiders32
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-17-10
                                              • 566

                                              #23
                                              I think Oregon Ducks take this by 30+.
                                              Comment
                                              • aman86
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-29-09
                                                • 3115

                                                #24
                                                Too ezay
                                                Comment
                                                • Hilljacademics
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-12-09
                                                  • 701

                                                  #25
                                                  I agree that Oregon is good, #1 in the nation, always cover, blah X 3. However, I'll take CAL +19.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • falconticket
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-05-10
                                                    • 3414

                                                    #26
                                                    Just betting Ducks and Boise Broncos by default here on out.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dextermasuka
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-03-10
                                                      • 517

                                                      #27
                                                      i like ducks, also i consider 1h for ducks too...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • utmoody10
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-19-08
                                                        • 304

                                                        #28
                                                        What about the total of 57? Over 57 seems likely in most Pac 10 games in general, especially one involving Oregon. These numbers seem way too easy and Im wondering what the books know that I dont.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fballfan
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 10-26-10
                                                          • 90

                                                          #29
                                                          I think the books have been wrong about the Pac 10 in general all year. I live in Seattle and have made lots of money betting against UW this year. Earlier in the year they had Nebraska -3 @ UW. Nebraska won by 5 touchdowns. They had Stanford -7 @ UW and Stanford won 41-0. The Oregon lines and Stanford lines have been wrong all year. I think Stnford -6 @ Arizona State this Saturday is free money. There is no way ASU can hang with Stanford. Also Cal on the road has been horrible!!! They had Cal +3 @ Oregon State and OSU crushed them. I have done very well on PAC 10 lines this year. The conference I can't figure out is the BIG 12????
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thebertshow
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-30-07
                                                            • 645

                                                            #30
                                                            I totally agree. Oregon in a riomp.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kalamity85
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 10-28-09
                                                              • 233

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by RaiderNation MMA
                                                              i dunoo guys.....

                                                              someone is goin to at least slow down oregon.......

                                                              they cant be this hot forever.....

                                                              cal isnt half bad..hmmm iono
                                                              you would think right?!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gcarp707
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 01-09-10
                                                                • 110

                                                                #32
                                                                I would think oregon will cover this one
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HoldEmHook!!
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-08-09
                                                                  • 2962

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The ducks roll
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • eastvan09
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                                    • 1400

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Hmm total at 57, over seems tempting
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hotlanta Steam
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-08-10
                                                                      • 896

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Hotlanta Steam
                                                                      Cal is two completely different teams home and away...

                                                                      Avg Margin of victory @ home 38.75 pts

                                                                      Avg Maring of victory away -14.2 pts

                                                                      Keep in mind that Oregon has been less potent away from home and Cal has already seen a run oriented spread team in Nevada so they will be a little more prepared than most teams... (though Oregon's tempo is something all together different and Nevada ran up and down the field...)

                                                                      Just saying buyer beware..
                                                                      This....
                                                                      Comment
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