New College Football Artificial Intelligence System:

[ShivaBowl]

Sportrends, has decided to put up their new College Football Artificial Intelligence System, on their website.

Neural Networks may become the next best way to predict NCAAF games, by finding ways to build mathematical models and identify critical statistics that provide the most reliability in predicting outcomes of future team performances. As most football fans might surmise, the combination of one team's passing offense compared to the other team's passing defense is a key factor in the outcome of a game. Likewise, rushing offense versus rushing defense is also a critical determinant. In addition, turnovers have been identified as significant variables, with interceptions appearing to matter more than fumbles. Obviously, point differential and team records are also a noteworthy consideration. We at Sportrends have settled on 12 statistical comparisons per team, plus home-field advantage for a total of 25 variables to identify teams which have a very good chance of covering the spread. What really matters is how the two teams match up. For example, lets assume one team has a great passing offense and its opponent has a weak secondary, while the second team has a good offensive line, and the first team has a week defensive line. What happens? How will that affect the outcome? Our model is designed to learn to predict that. As the season progresses, the predictions should become even more accurate because the neural network will become more refined.

Team picks have incorporated a 5 point overlay and will pass any game where the favorite is greater then 15 points. Scores are based on last year stats. We recommend you wait until each team has played 3 games.
Thanks Sportrends

[ShivaBowl]

Filters; AI System.
Picks need to be checked and updated on game day.
Teams must have played at least 3 games.
5 point overlay.
Pass on any game where the favorite is greater then 15 points.
I personally don't play small colleges, that doesn't mean you cant.

[ShivaBowl]

AI System CF 09/26
Plays based on early lines.

Idaho, To -9, Loss
Nevada, To -12.8, Win
San Diego State, To -16.5, Win
Central Michigan, + 3.2 >, Win
Ohio, + 3.8 >, Win
Central Florida, +5 >, Win
Alabama-Birmingham +5.2 >, Win
West Virginia, +6.8 >, Win
Oregon, To -13.3, Loss
North Carolina State, +6 >, Win
Temple, +10 >, Win
Kentucky, +8.2 >, Loss
Stanford, To -11.9, Win
Army, To -3, Win
Air Force, To -15, Loss

Each of these teams, have played 3 games going into Sat.
First week using the AI System,
11-4

AI System for the NFL, starts this week.

[ShivaBowl]

AI System CF: 09/30 to 10/02
Plays based on early lines.

Oklahoma State, to -21.7___close, -2.5 -135 WIN
Utah State, to -5.7___close, +4.5 +165 WIN
Idaho, to -9.8
Bowling Green, to -19.1
Eastern Michigan, to -3.9
Miami (Ohio), to - 17.5
Toledo, to -18.6
Michigan State, pk to + 1 and over
Southern California, to -20.5
North Carolina State, to - 11.6
Texas El Paso, to -45.1
Texas Tech, to - 24.9
Iowa, to -21.2
Army, to - 12.1
Indiana, + 5.5 and over
Clemson, to -2.3
Arkansas State, to - 2.4
Kansas, + 4.1 and over
East Carolina, to - 18.7
Maryland, to - 28.7

Examples;
Thursday September 30, 2010
Oklahoma State, you have a play on OKST, to -21.7___current line, OKST -3.5

Friday October 1, 2010
Utah State, you have a play on Utah State, to -5.7___current line, UT +4

[HoulihansTX]

[drfunkmaster]

I hope its all right except the michigan state game..

[ShivaBowl]

HoulihansTX; If your interested, please feel free, to post the FL&A System here, http://www.sportrends.com/team_matchups_cfb.htm

Line Value 7
No DD Spreads
Thanks, BOL

[kp126]

very interestng start

[ShivaBowl]

AI System CF: 09/30 to 10/02
Plays based on early lines.

Oklahoma State, to -21.7___close, -2.5 -135 WIN
Utah State, to -5.7___close, +4.5 +165 WIN
Idaho, to -9.8 WIN
Bowling Green, to -19.1 Loss
Eastern Michigan, to -3.9 Loss
Miami (Ohio), to - 17.5 WIN
Toledo, to -18.6 Loss
Michigan State, pk to + 1 and over WIN
Southern California, to -20.5 Loss
North Carolina State, to - 11.6 Loss
Texas El Paso, to -45.1 Win
Texas Tech, to - 24.9 Loss
Iowa, to -21.2 Win
Army, to - 12.1 Loss
Indiana, + 5.5 and over Win
Clemson, to -2.3 Loss
Arkansas State, to - 2.4 Loss
Kansas, + 4.1 and over Loss
East Carolina, to - 18.7 N/P
Maryland, to - 28.7 Loss

8-11

[ShivaBowl]

Complimentary Selection from Sportrends, for 10/5/2010

Take Troy over Middle Tenn St No Play if < +3.5

No Play on Troy, if under +3.5
BOL

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
Wednesday October 6, 2010
UAB +2.7 and over
Current Line; UAB + 12.5

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
Thursday October 7, 2010
Nebraska to -67.8
Current Line; Neb -12

Look at the, to -67.8 as Line Value,
if that helps.
You have a Play on Neb up to -67.8 that's the AI System Differential.
Will update plays later.
bol

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays
Based on early lines.

Florida Atlantic, to - 5.4
Bowling Green, +3.5 and over
Georgia Tech, to - 12
Utah, to - 26.4
San Diego State, to - 26.4
Texas El Paso, to - 16.3
Northern Illinois, to - 5.2
Houston, to - 8.8
Michigan, to - 6.7
Syracuse, + 2.7 and over
Illinois, + 4.3 and over
Florida State, + 1 and over
East Carolina, + 5.4 and over
Wake Forest, to - 1.2
North Carolina State, to - 17.2
Army, to - 10.2
Texas A&M, to - 9.5
Alabama, to - 9.8
Nebraska, to - 21.2 WIN, good start
Alabama-Birmingham, + 2.7 and over, Loss, Pass

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays 10/09
UPDATED
Based on early lines.

Florida Atlantic, to - 5.4
Utah State, to -3
Bowling Green, +3.5 and over
Utah, to - 26.4
San Diego State, to - 26.4
Texas El Paso, to - 16.3
Houston, to - 8.8
Michigan, to - 6.7
Syracuse, + 2.7 and over
Illinois, + 4.3 and over
Florida State, + 1 and over
East Carolina, + 4.6 and over
Wake Forest, to - 1.2
North Carolina State, to - 17.2
Army, to - 10.2
Texas A&M, to - 9.5
Alabama, to - 11.8
Nebraska, to - 21.2 WIN,
Alabama-Birmingham, + 2.7 and over, Loss, Pass.

[ShivaBowl]

Complimentary Selection From Sportrends for 10/9/2010

Take Tennessee over Georgia No Play if < +11.5

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays 10/09
Based on early lines.

Florida Atlantic, to - 5.4 Loss, I passed
Utah State, to -3 Loss, I Passed
Bowling Green, +3.5 and over, Loss, I passed
Utah, to - 26.4 Win
San Diego State, to - 26.4 Loss
Texas El Paso, to - 16.3, Win, I passed
Houston, to - 8.8 Loss, I passed
Michigan, to - 6.7, Loss
Syracuse, + 2.7 and over , Win
Illinois, + 4.3 and over, Win
Florida State, + 1 and over, Win
East Carolina, + 4.6 and over Win
Wake Forest, to - 1.2 Win
North Carolina State, to - 17.2, Win
Army, to - 10.2, Win,
Texas A&M, to - 9.5, No Play
Alabama, to - 11.8, Loss
Nebraska, to - 21.2 WIN,
Alabama-Birmingham, + 2.7 and over, Loss, I passed

10-8
Games I Played 9-3

Syracuse, Illinois, Florida State, Army, I have to give credit to sportrends, nice work on these plays.
4 road dogs, all outright winners.
Thanks

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
10/13/10

Central Florida to -14.4

[falconticket]

I can pick losers as good as the BS computers.

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
10/13/10
Central Florida to -14.4


AI System Play
10/15/10
Louisville, to - 4.9

[jackmyhoggoff]

thanks gla !!

[Kubilak]

Some of these results seem counter-intuitive. I don't think anyone would have been taking bama at -10 or -11, and not many thought Michigan were capable of covering a -6 or -7 spread over MSU.

The system is still over 50% so lets see if it picks up steam or loses it I guess.

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
10/13/10
Central Florida to -14.4 WIN
UCF -6.5 TL 45 W/Over
UCF 35-14


AI System Play
10/15/10
Louisville, to - 4.9

[Ca$hfloW]

Any play tonight?

[ShivaBowl]

Any play tonight?

No AI plays,
One Comp Play;
Kansas +3 and over
GL

Complimentary Selection From Sportrends 10/14/2010

Take Kansas over Kansas St No Play if < +3

[Romanov]

So take KU moneyline

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Play
10/13/10
Central Florida to -14.4 WIN
UCF -6.5 TL 45 W/Over
UCF 35-14

AI Play
10/15/10
Louisville, to - 4.9Loss
Louisville +2.5 TL 55.5 W/Over
Cinn 35-27

AI Plays
Plays based on early lines.
10/16/10

Maryland, to - 4
Michigan State, to - 13
Arkansas State, + 2 and over
Eastern Michigan, + 5 and over
Army,
UNLV, + 1.5 and over
Nebraska, to - 17.4
Oklahoma State, to - 8.5
Texas El Paso, to - 11.8
Kentucky, + 3.9 and over
Baylor, to - 6.2
Ohio State, to - 8
North Texas, to - .5
Nevada, to - 11.2

[HoulihansTX]

HoulihansTX; If your interested, please feel free, to post thehere, http://www.sportrends.com/team_matchups_cfb.htm Line Value 7 No DD Spreads Thanks, BOL

Plays based on early lines.
10/16/10

FL&A System
I want to do this, but there is no explanation for how the system is supposed to be understood.

I will list the teams, with the numbers that are listed next to them. I am guessing that the numbers represent the strength of the play?

Rice 16.44
Lousville 12.53
Army 11.70
Virginia 8.01
Minnesota 7.99
Navy 7.83

[Kubilak]

Suggesting Kansas at +3 scares me off whatever system you use. I saw no credible information leaning Kansas except for "take the home dog on Thursday night".

Any of the nuts and bolts behind your picks?

[ShivaBowl]

Suggesting Kansas at +3 scares me off whatever system you use. I saw no credible information leaning Kansas except for "take the home dog on Thursday night". Any of the nuts and bolts behind your picks?

Please read the post, Kansas, was not, a system play.

[ShivaBowl]

Plays based on early lines. 10/16/10 FL&A System I want to do this, but there is no explanation for how the system is supposed to be understood. I will list the teams, with the numbers that are listed next to them. I am guessing that the numbers represent the strength of the play? Rice 16.44 Lousville 12.53 Army 11.70 Virginia 8.01 Minnesota 7.99 Navy 7.83

Looks good Houlihans, the numbers do represent the strength of the play, or the line value, of that play.
If you wish, you could use filters, on what’s working. Thanks
BOL

[GGPLAYER]

AI Plays
Plays based on early lines.
10/16/10

Arkansas State, + 2 and over
Eastern Michigan, + 5 and over
UNLV, + 1.5 and over
Kentucky, + 3.9 and over

Based on previous weeks results consider taking the Over on these 4 games. Overs for underdogs have gone 8-1.

[ShivaBowl]

AI Plays Plays based on early lines. 10/16/10 Arkansas State, + 2 and over Eastern Michigan, + 5 and over UNLV, + 1.5 and over Kentucky, + 3.9 and over Based on previous weeks results consider taking the Over on these 4 games. Overs for underdogs have gone 8-1.

Good Work GGPLAYER, please feel free to post your total plays, with the AI System. Thanks!

[quote]GGPLAYER;6885745]
GGP System, Total Plays
10/16/10
Arkansas State, Play/Over
Eastern Michigan, Play/Over
UNLV, Play/Over
Kentucky, Play/Over

[GGPLAYER]

Good Work GGPLAYER, please feel free to post your total plays, with the AI System. Thanks!

[quote]GGPLAYER;6885745]
GGP System, Over TL Plays
10/16/10
Arkansas State, 37pt 4th quarter!
Eastern Michigan, I bet E. Mich and forgot to bet the over
UNLV, 44pts at half time....looking good
Kentucky,

Not to jinx things but it's goig well so far today.

[ShivaBowl]

[quote=GGPLAYER;6903959] Not to jinx things but it's goig well so far today.[/quote]

[quote]GGPLAYER;
GGP System, Total Plays
10/16/10
Arkansas State, Play/Over WIN
Eastern Michigan, Play/Over WIN
UNLV, Play/Over WIN
Kentucky, Play/Over WIN

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays
10/16
8-6