Two late games for today

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  • HEATOHIO
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-25-10
    • 33

    #1
    Two late games for today
    ARKY +7.5 (bought the hook, which I never do)

    CINCY +14

    I'm new here, so a little about me. I don't cap games. I look for what the books are telling me. When you look for the public perception bets and go with the books instead of the public on those plays, you'll win a good % of your plays. That's what I've found for the past 6 or 7 years.
  • msj0001
    SBR MVP
    • 08-09-10
    • 1562

    #2
    not so sure about these...good luck though, you should consider UNC -2
    Comment
    • HEATOHIO
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-25-10
      • 33

      #3
      What aren't you sure about?
      Comment
      • msj0001
        SBR MVP
        • 08-09-10
        • 1562

        #4
        Arkansas mainly...but Cincy has looked pretty terrible the past couple weeks too
        Comment
        • Superman455
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-23-08
          • 366

          #5
          Good Luck with your wagers..
          Comment
          • mrkron
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-28-09
            • 565

            #6
            Can't say it always works betting agaianst the public. Goodluck though. The way i've been capping I am a fade and I'd be on the other side on both of these so you'll probably win
            Comment
            • HEATOHIO
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-25-10
              • 33

              #7
              Originally posted by mrkron
              Can't say it always works betting agaianst the public. Goodluck though. The way i've been capping I am a fade and I'd be on the other side on both of these so you'll probably win

              I don't bet against the public. I watch line movement and take statistical odds. There are a ton of one sided plays out there that I won't touch. I bet GB last week against Buffalo while 70%+ were on the Packers. I don't blindly bet any one single way. When the books aren't afraid of action, that means they have that game scouted very well and are usually playing off of public perception. Does this work 100% of the time? Hell no. Does it work 80%? Still a hell no. You'll do pretty well for yourself though, at least I have.
              Comment
              • Sawyer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-01-09
                • 7761

                #8
                Good luck mate! Leaning cinny!
                Comment
                • NYSportsGuy210
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-07-09
                  • 11347

                  #9
                  Arkansas at home is a good play but Cincinnatti is a pretty bad team. Go with Oregon to cover vs. Arizona St. and take the Arkansas +7.5
                  Comment
                  • HEATOHIO
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-25-10
                    • 33

                    #10
                    Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                    Arkansas at home is a good play but Cincinnatti is a pretty bad team. Go with Oregon to cover vs. Arizona St. and take the Arkansas +7.5

                    Thanks for the tip, but telling me one of my bets are good an hour after it starts doesn't really show me much. And Cincy being a "bad team" really means nothing in the way that I bet. The books know that they're a "bad team" and still have decided to bait people into take the Sooners. I trust them more than you, no offense. GL on your plays.
                    Comment
                    • HEATOHIO
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-25-10
                      • 33

                      #11
                      1-0 so far, looking for the 2-0 with Cincy looking solid so far.
                      Comment
                      • msj0001
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-09-10
                        • 1562

                        #12
                        Originally posted by HEATOHIO
                        1-0 so far, looking for the 2-0 with Cincy looking solid so far.
                        Good calls I stayed away from both of those games but UNC did cover
                        Comment
                        • HEATOHIO
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-25-10
                          • 33

                          #13
                          Originally posted by msj0001
                          Good calls I stayed away from both of those games but UNC did cover
                          Congrats on your win. And good CALL, I haven't won my Cincy bet just yet. Lets reserve the good "callS" til I win both.
                          Comment
                          • mrkron
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-28-09
                            • 565

                            #14
                            good day for ya. told ya I was a fade. Thanks for the explanation too
                            Comment
                            • HEATOHIO
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 09-25-10
                              • 33

                              #15
                              Originally posted by mrkron
                              good day for ya. told ya I was a fade. Thanks for the explanation too

                              You're not a fade, picks have nothing to do with whether or not you make them or not. You just have to get better at sports betting if you plan on continuing without going broke.
                              Comment
                              • hunterwrot
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-15-10
                                • 373

                                #16
                                Whip hop I lost alot today
                                Comment
                                • Hammew
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-27-09
                                  • 2882

                                  #17
                                  Two good picks. BOL
                                  Comment
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