D.P.'s NCAAF Week 4 (YTD 62%)

[daprospecta]

YTD 21-13
Had a pretty good week last week going 9-3. I found more games with more research and it worked really well last week. Here are some early leans. Will not play all of them but these passed preliminary tests.

Toledo + 13.5 vs. Purdue
Bowling Green + 23.5 vs Michigan
Air Force -11 vs Wyoming
Miami Oh Missouri Under 50
Army + 7 vs Duke
Army Duke Under 63
Stanford -4.5 vs Notre Dame
Temple + 17 vs Penn st.
Idaho -7 vs coloroado st
Nevada -3.5 vs BYU
N.Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Over 51
Miss St. Georgia Under 47
South Carolina + 3 vs Auburn
Baylor + 7.5 vs Rice
LSU vs WVU Over 42
Cal + 7 vs Arizona

[daprospecta]

Any thoughts?

[daprospecta]

Some line jumps made me pull some of my initials picks I.E. Air Force but here is what's left.

Final Card:
Bowling Green +25 (0.5U)
Miami Oh Missouri Under 53 (1U)
Army + 7 (0.5U)
Stanford -6 (0.5U)
Temple + 14 (1U)
Nevada -6 vs BYU (1U)
Miss St. Georgia Under 47 (1U)
LSU vs WVU Over 42 (0.5U)
Cal vs Arizona Under 56 (1U)

[madworld]

Dont be affraid of the Air Force game. They will beat Wyoming by more than 2 touchdowns, probably by 3.

[daprospecta]

Dont be affraid of the Air Force game. They will beat Wyoming by more than 2 touchdowns, probably by 3.

One thing I learned in week 2 was if you have any inclination about a game not covering then don't take it. I do think Air Force will win but my research has then winning by around 15-17 points. That's too close to the current line of 15 right now for me. But GL though.

[Straight Cash]

I'm with you on Stanford and Bowling Green.

[daprospecta]

I'm with you on Stanford and Bowling Green.

Thank s bol

[daprospecta]

I'm looking into the under on the Miama game. Not certain yet. Will post if I play it.

[BigdaddyQH]

I would notplay the under in the Cal-Arizona game. Not with those offenses. I like the Temple and Nevada plays. The rest are a bit shakey IMO. Good Luck.

[daprospecta]

I would notplay the under in the Cal-Arizona game. Not with those offenses. I like the Temple and Nevada plays. The rest are a bit shakey IMO. Good Luck.

It would see that way but understand these teams are giving up 20 and 12 points respectively and that includes playing Nevada and Iowa.
I don't see 8 touchdowns and a fg or a 9 touchdowns being scored against these defenses 6 at the most seven scores in this game.

[dume walker]

I like Idaho as well. Have them at both -7 1/2 and -7. Not sure why you pulled off of them.

[BiffTFinancial]

i'm on Toledo and Army. also agree that Miami/Pitt under looks good tonight. BOL to you.

[daprospecta]

Should have played my leans last night. Thought Miami and the under and Miami would cover and they did. Not counting that on my record though. Looking at the games for tonight right now.

[linewiz]

Like Stanford...much stronger on both sides of the ball. Harbaugh has built a monster program up there. Also played LSU vs WV over....potential track meet. Nevada vs Boise down the road now has potential to be another major hurdle for Boise if they get by OSU, given Nevada's performance thus far. Good luck with all of your picks.

[daprospecta]

Like Stanford...much stronger on both sides of the ball. Harbaugh has built a monster program up there. Also played LSU vs WV over....potential track meet. Nevada vs Boise down the road now has potential to be another major hurdle for Boise if they get by OSU, given Nevada's performance thus far. Good luck with all of your picks.

Thanks man lets take the books to the bank

[Harley73]

I think Duke covers easily, but the rest look fair

[daprospecta]

I think Duke covers easily, but the rest look fair

I've watched both and I don't see it. Army has fast athletes and the way these teams matchup including the stats tell me that army should win this game.

[daprospecta]

I think Duke covers easily, but the rest look fair

Thanks for checking in. GL on your games.

[hagball52]

somebody please talk me outta baylor -7 @ rice. i love this game way too much. what am i not seeing ?

[daprospecta]

somebody please talk me outta baylor -7 @ rice. i love this game way too much. what am i not seeing ?

After a quick look over. I have Baylor winning by around 9-10. I don't play around with those numbers personally. I need about a 6-7 point cushion to feel comfortable. But if I had to choose a side it would be baylor.

[daprospecta]

Man I am so pumped about the Alabama Arkansas game

[hagball52]

took bama on a teaser. hope it's right. also texas and boise on that ticket.

[daprospecta]

Some line jumps made me pull some of my initials picks I.E. Air Force but here is what's left.

Final Card:
Bowling Green +25 (0.5U)
Miami Oh Missouri Under 53 (1U)
Army + 7 (0.5U)
Stanford -6 (0.5U)
Temple + 14 (1U)
Nevada -6 vs BYU (1U)
Miss St. Georgia Under 47 (1U)
LSU vs WVU Over 42 (0.5U)
Cal vs Arizona Under 56 (1U)

3-2 so far today up 0.5U

[daprospecta]

Some line jumps made me pull some of my initials picks I.E. Air Force but here is what's left.

Final Card:
Bowling Green +25 (0.5U)
Miami Oh Missouri Under 53 (1U)
Army + 7 (0.5U)
Stanford -6 (0.5U)
Temple + 14 (1U)
Nevada -6 vs BYU (1U)
Miss St. Georgia Under 47 (1U)
LSU vs WVU Over 42 (0.5U)
Cal vs Arizona Under 56 (1U)

5-2 So far (+2.5 Units)

[daprospecta]

YTD 27-16 (+5U) on a 3 unit system

Had another great weekend going 6-3 going up 3 more units.
With probably post my leans tomorrow or latest tuesday.