first post..dont flame plz..

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  • loudpacmanjones
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-15-10
    • 433

    #1
    first post..dont flame plz..
    what do you guys think of this 6 team parlay i got set up..?

    09/18/10 Alabama -24
    15:35 ET
    09/18/10 BoiseSt -23.5
    20:05 ET
    09/18/10 TexasA&M -27.5
    19:00 ET
    09/18/10 PennSt -21
    12:05 ET
    09/18/10 OregonSt -19.5
    17:30 ET
    09/18/10 OhioSt -30.5
    12:00 ET


    im totally willing to remove one or two picks.. to make the chance of hitting it a little higher percentage.

    thanks for everyones help in advance.
  • ACCBlitz
    Restricted User
    • 07-30-10
    • 595

    #2
    Everyones gonna tell you to drop Boise. I personally have them covering, but there are sound reasons to go against them. One of the few times I'm running off my gut.

    Ohio State, I know it's Ohio BUT coming off such a big win, I'd worry about a backdoor cover. I could see them being up by 35 and allowing a late game TD.

    Alabama should win huge. Should. I'd be worried they're looking ahead to conference play against a good Arkansas team. They'll win, but by how much is questionable.

    I like the other plays though
    Comment
    • Pain44
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-09-10
      • 21

      #3
      I like your boise st,alabama, and ohio st. Not sure about the rest but good luck
      Comment
      • loudpacmanjones
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-15-10
        • 433

        #4
        my logic for boise is that they HAVE to cover spreads from here on out to solidify themselves. and im sure the coaching staff and players there know that too.

        but yeah i totally hear you on the ohio st game.


        EDIT: what do you think about the A&M play?
        Comment
        • Sean81
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-31-09
          • 281

          #5
          Its key to find coaches with high point spread awareness for these kinds of bets. SMU might be worth a look.
          Comment
          • loudpacmanjones
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-15-10
            • 433

            #6
            I'm putting smu in there thinking about removing Oregon or Penn state..


            A&m should cover against floirda international.
            Comment
            • hubie69
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-10
              • 7329

              #7
              I like the Penn State pick but not enough to bet it. Can't really put my finger on why, just don't like it. Possibly not sure how PSU will rebound after that thrashing from 'bama.
              Comment
              • Don Giovanni
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-02-10
                • 185

                #8
                Originally posted by hubie69
                I like the Penn State pick but not enough to bet it. Can't really put my finger on why, just don't like it. Possibly not sure how PSU will rebound after that thrashing from 'bama.
                I think Penn State thrashes Kent State
                Comment
                • loudpacmanjones
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-15-10
                  • 433

                  #9
                  Also whats with the notre dame Michigan st game...


                  ND is +3 I really think they win that one by a huge margin.
                  Comment
                  • hubie69
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-10
                    • 7329

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Don Giovanni
                    I think Penn State thrashes Kent State
                    I do dig the PSU pick...but just cant pull the trigger.
                    Comment
                    • Lion4Life
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-30-10
                      • 797

                      #11
                      Originally posted by hubie69
                      I like the Penn State pick but not enough to bet it. Can't really put my finger on why, just don't like it. Possibly not sure how PSU will rebound after that thrashing from 'bama.

                      They have a bad habbit of being a second half team for these kinds of games. Very rarley anymore do they come out and punch somebody in the mouth and control the game from the start. I really could see this being a close game untill the 3rd quarter.
                      Comment
                      • hubie69
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-10
                        • 7329

                        #12
                        Perhaps thats its. They didn't score for sh*t in the first half against younstown st.
                        Comment
                        • hankcream
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-30-10
                          • 2048

                          #13
                          Good Luck, that's alot of big points to cover in each game but good teams.
                          Comment
                          • newguy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 6100

                            #14
                            I am leary of the Bama pick - someone said it in another thread - Bama can name the score here, but Duke can score some points (won't get many here - but how many will they need?). My biggest fear would be - what will Bama show - they have back to back conference games against Ark and Florida - and not that they will look 2 weeks ahead - but I think they can beat Duke with a vanilla offense - so they won't put anything on film they don't have to. I like Oregon State - they were almost a play for me - you are just on such big name, high profile teams - might be tough to go 6-0 on those guys.

                            I know you said Boise has to blow out every team - but every team also knows that - and every bettor does too - so that line already assumes that - I am also wondering what the JMU win over Va Tech did to BSU psyche - basically it took the only big win BSU was going to have this year and made it nominal - so they sat home and watched that - just wonder what their head is going to be like........
                            Comment
                            • loudpacmanjones
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-15-10
                              • 433

                              #15
                              Originally posted by newguy
                              I am leary of the Bama pick - someone said it in another thread - Bama can name the score here, but Duke can score some points (won't get many here - but how many will they need?). My biggest fear would be - what will Bama show - they have back to back conference games against Ark and Florida - and not that they will look 2 weeks ahead - but I think they can beat Duke with a vanilla offense - so they won't put anything on film they don't have to. I like Oregon State - they were almost a play for me - you are just on such big name, high profile teams - might be tough to go 6-0 on those guys.

                              I know you said Boise has to blow out every team - but every team also knows that - and every bettor does too - so that line already assumes that - I am also wondering what the JMU win over Va Tech did to BSU psyche - basically it took the only big win BSU was going to have this year and made it nominal - so they sat home and watched that - just wonder what their head is going to be like........

                              Yeah Im laying off bama. Duke can score I thought about it and you confirmed it for me.
                              Comment
                              • dmtrader
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-09
                                • 1320

                                #16
                                Watch out for those high point spread covers. It doesn't take much for a coach to put in his scrubs in the 4th quarter when you still need another field goal to cover.
                                Comment
                                • HoldemHank21
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 09-16-10
                                  • 14

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Don Giovanni
                                  I think Penn State thrashes Kent State
                                  Agree. I think the PSU pick is one of the better bets of the day. I just don't think they will struggle covering three touchdowns at home against Kent State.
                                  Comment
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