Mac's early leans for the weekend 9/18/2010

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-10, 10:42 PM

NC State -2 at home over Cinci Kaching!!

Let's keep the party bumping...

Get $$$$$$$$$$$

**alamo** · 09-16-10, 11:05 PM

Good luck Mac. I might tail you on some of these picks. I missed your post tonight and ending up backing those useless mofos from Cinci as well as the over.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-10, 11:19 PM

Thanks Alamo,
I'm not loving Hawaii game line anymore. I'm going to take them 1st half and that's it. I'm starting to think they may fade in the 2nd half with their defense on the field a lot and the altitude/elements. Hawaii first half (no line yet but I'll take whatever comes out) and more than likely double up with Colorado in the 2nd half.

I now love Baylor +21. It's up to 21.5 most place and I expect it to go up even more tomorrow but this game will be close. Baylor has a great Dline and Linebackers and the secondary is serviceable. The offense has playmakers at RB and WR as well. Call me crazy but I think Baylor can win this game. I'm hammering Baylor 1st quarter, 1st half and game and will look for a ML but my books probably won't have one with that high a spread. TCU is on my upset alert...

**linewiz** · 09-16-10, 11:29 PM

Mac..enjoy your analysis and picks. And the fact you can do it with a sense of humor. Well done on NC State. I will make a play on Miami of Ohio in your honor.

**delve_deeper** · 09-16-10, 11:36 PM

Hawaii +11 at Colorado - Colorado blows chunks and cannot defend the pass or run. They have one passing threat but makes too many mistakes. Hawaii's defense sucks but Colorado won't move the ball too much. Take Hawaii 1st half as well and sprinkle the ML.

ML +400 good call.

Actually with you on a lot of these. BOL!

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by linewiz

Mac..enjoy your analysis and picks. And the fact you can do it with a sense of humor. Well done on NC State. I will make a play on Miami of Ohio in your honor.

They will cover the line by half...

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by delve_deeper

Hawaii +11 at Colorado - Colorado blows chunks and cannot defend the pass or run. They have one passing threat but makes too many mistakes. Hawaii's defense sucks but Colorado won't move the ball too much. Take Hawaii 1st half as well and sprinkle the ML.

ML +400 good call.

Actually with you on a lot of these. BOL!

Let's be careful on Hawaii. I'm getting reports that Colorado may be focused for this game. They seem to find a way to stumble and bumble to bad losses but they might catch lightning in a bottle at home. Hawaii's defense is so bad they could spend a considerable amount of time on the field which could spell doom in the 2nd half. Remember the fatigue factor playing in that altitude. Hawaii's also patching holes in their defense like a leaking dike. The 1st quarter and 1st half may still be a good play but this is starting to look like a pass. Don't put rent money on this one.

**gamble** · 09-17-10, 01:05 AM

analysis looks real good man, will probably be on some of these with you

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 09:13 AM

Another game I'm reconsidering is the MTSU vs Memphis game. MTSU has a good offense even with Dasher suspended the backup qb Jeff Murphy isn't much of a drop off. I'm concerned about their defense, which seems to give up too many plays. Over 55.5 looks like a better bet especially with the weather being perfect.

**daprospecta** · 09-17-10, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by delve_deeper

Hawaii +11 at Colorado - Colorado blows chunks and cannot defend the pass or run. They have one passing threat but makes too many mistakes. Hawaii's defense sucks but Colorado won't move the ball too much. Take Hawaii 1st half as well and sprinkle the ML.

ML +400 good call.

Actually with you on a lot of these. BOL!

I got it at 12.5. I don't think anybody in there right mind believes Colorado beats a high-powered offense like Hawaii by two scores.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by daprospecta

I got it at 12.5. I don't think anybody in there right mind believes Colorado beats a high-powered offense like Hawaii by two scores.

My head tells me this is true but my eyes watching Hawaii's defense tells me it's possible. I think they can hold up much better for the first half than the entire game. The line movement alone makes this a no play for me. I had already bet Hawaii +11 but took Col -11.5 when the line crept up for the same amount, in effect canceling my bet but I'll pay the juice.

My strategy for this game is to take Hawaii 1st half then take Colorado 2nd half. I'm staying away from the game line. BOL

**hitman2010** · 09-17-10, 01:23 PM

man, all ur plays on Saturday is tough man. BOL with them.

**hubie69** · 09-17-10, 01:31 PM

I too am on the Hawaii boat. Might jump on them for 1st half too. Go Rainbows!

**daprospecta** · 09-17-10, 01:34 PM

I've won the last two weeks on Hawaii because everybody keeps thinking they are no good. Well keep thinking that way and driving the lines up

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 01:37 PM

Grab UH before the line goes up. Keenum cleared to play like I said yesterday.

**alamo** · 09-17-10, 05:50 PM

Really love the Houston play. Keenum is a quality QB. I watched UCLA last week and they were awful. I think Houston could win this by double digits.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-17-10, 06:41 PM

I'm on Nevada +1/2 for the 1st quarter, +1 1/2 for the 1st half and +3 for the game 1 unit each.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-18-10, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

I'm on Nevada +1/2 for the 1st quarter, +1 1/2 for the 1st half and +3 for the game 1 unit each.

Trifecta...

Let's keep the party going.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-18-10, 01:48 AM

Large underdogs who may have value on the ML just for shits n giggles...

Baylor ML +1100
ECU +900
Eastern Michigan +320
Hawaii +380

**nebraskasux** · 09-18-10, 05:29 AM

on Nevada. I had them too. Seems like everyone was saying Cal was the pick but I knew they weren't all that good after keeping a close eye on them the first two weeks.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-18-10, 09:47 AM

First half games that I love...

East Carolina
Spread +11 -105 for 1st Half

Hawaii
Spread +7 -110 for 1st Half

Baylor
Spread +11½ -110 for 1st Half

Wyoming
Spread +13 -110 for 1st Half

Houston U
Spread -2½ -110 for 1st Half

Middle Tennessee State
Spread -2½ -105 for 1st Half

**linewiz** · 09-18-10, 03:45 PM

Mac...any interest in Auburn -7 tonight?

Thanks.

**shawnjohn5** · 09-18-10, 05:30 PM

Auburn line up to 8, still thinking about taking it, what do you guys think?!?!

**jgray** · 09-18-10, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Let's be careful on Hawaii. I'm getting reports that Colorado may be focused for this game. They seem to find a way to stumble and bumble to bad losses but they might catch lightning in a bottle at home. Hawaii's defense is so bad they could spend a considerable amount of time on the field which could spell doom in the 2nd half. Remember the fatigue factor playing in that altitude. Hawaii's also patching holes in their defense like a leaking dike. The 1st quarter and 1st half may still be a good play but this is starting to look like a pass. Don't put rent money on this one.

Really good analysis here Mac. The game played out almost exactly the way you called it. Well done.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-18-10, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by linewiz

Mac...any interest in Auburn -7 tonight?

Thanks.

Auburn on a huge run. 24 unanswered points to take a 7 point lead. Close this out Auburn.

Unbelievable how so many dogs faded in the 2nd half. I had a feeling Hawaii would but wow ECU played a horrible 2nd half. Baylor and Wyoming looked totally lost.

Houston really needs to bring it tonight. I might put a small play on Iowa and Stanford as well.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-18-10, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by jgray

Really good analysis here Mac. The game played out almost exactly the way you called it. Well done.

Makes you really think how bad Hawaii really must be. Cal gets smoked by Nevada, who smokes Colorado and Hawaii can't beat them. That line looked so easy for Hawaii too...