Help me hedge this 7team parlay

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 02:16 PM

i hit a 7teamer last week....did another one and its down to game 6 and 7......Cincy is now a +2 dog at nc st......navy is a -4 fave at la tech......
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How should I hedge friday's game?...got cincy -1 but the line is now nc st -2

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 02:19 PM

Cincy game is on thursday...not friday.....im thinking nc st ml -150.....but thats alot of juice

**MartinBlank** · 09-14-10, 02:30 PM

You're looking at a 4500 win, if Cincy and Navy cash, correct?

How much do you want protect is the question?

NCST ML would be the play---juice and all. How much you put down depends on how much you want to win from this.

By the way, nice run so far. You are going to take away a nice profit either way.

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 03:10 PM

yea..4500 from a 100 bet.....i was thinking about just hedging to win 500 on cincy game (if that misses, i will profit 500..right now ml on cincy is -130 so i would need to hedge 780 to win 600 (-100 initial investment,leaves 500 profit )...that would leave 3700 for the parlay if cincy cover...i would then need to hedge at least 1400 on la tech to guarantee 500 profit, which would leave only about 2350 on the parlay.....half of the original payout....

I guess Im just looking for someone to tell me Nc st will not beat Cincy lol

**MartinBlank** · 09-14-10, 07:23 PM

I would take the guaranteed profit and move on.

Putting out a hedge is the smart thing.

It would suck to go 6-1 and lose 100 bucks, when you can go 6-1 and be up 500-750.

**falconticket** · 09-14-10, 07:39 PM

I would seriously consider the navy play. They are in bad shape. Coach wise all around. But what if la wins by 4. Wouldn't u push the play and lose the parlay.

**rumple** · 09-14-10, 07:45 PM

Why didnt you just do a five teamer with mondays games?

**falconticket** · 09-14-10, 07:50 PM

Nevermind too many beers. Can't do math. Sorry

**TodaysLocks** · 09-14-10, 09:32 PM

Navy is going to screw this parlay over. I would worry about them, not Cincy.

**man_of_steel** · 09-14-10, 09:38 PM

Cincy will do their thing

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 10:17 PM

ok....ncst ml is down to -125......i will lay 700 on ncst ml thursday and worry Navy later....that would reduce the payout to 3800......

and Rumple......I did the 7teamer after I hit 2100 on and another 7teamer on sunday...so I was basically throwing 100 around like found money....just to see if i hit another 7teamer lol.....but you are right.....i should just did a 5teamer on the monday games (i did straight bet ravens,chargers under and the tennis over....so technically if i lose this 7teamer without hedging i wouldnt really be losing 100 lol

thanks for the inputs fellas.......lets go bearcats

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by falconticket

I would seriously consider the navy play. They are in bad shape. Coach wise all around. But what if la wins by 4. Wouldn't u push the play and lose the parlay.

no...i would make sure i play La tech +3.5 (5dimes are great for line options)

**kcDdegenerate** · 09-14-10, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by falconticket

Nevermind too many beers. Can't do math. Sorry

u had me confused too lol..

**falconticket** · 09-15-10, 01:22 AM

no doubt. whats up with your period key on your computer, does it stick? Hard to read the post with all that. I have to read it like 10 times to figure it out..