Tracking S(quare)portsbook's top public plays

**ACCBlitz** · 09-14-10, 12:44 AM

Yeah I locked in on Neb as soon as I saw it. Gut play and until they prove me wrong I'm running with 'em. It's early so we'll see how the line acts. Went from -3 on BetUs to -4.5. If it starts dropping despite huge public play though, then I'll start to

Cal and Iowa are scary plays. No thank you for me

**No coincidences** · 09-14-10, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by ACCBlitz

Yeah I locked in on Neb as soon as I saw it. Gut play and until they prove me wrong I'm running with 'em. It's early so we'll see how the line acts. Went from -3 on BetUs to -4.5. If it starts dropping despite huge public play though, then I'll start to

Cal and Iowa are scary plays. No thank you for me

You're going to take a team with a R.S. frosh making his first-ever road start in a very hostile environment against a team with a senior A-A QB?

**ACCBlitz** · 09-14-10, 12:58 AM

Like I said - until they prove me wrong I'll take NEB all day everyday over WASH. I don't think they're a bad team, but in my eyes Neb is at least 5 points better.

**No coincidences** · 09-14-10, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by ACCBlitz

Like I said - until they prove me wrong I'll take NEB all day everyday over WASH. I don't think they're a bad team, but in my eyes Neb is at least 5 points better.

On paper I agree.

Also Iowa >>> than Arizona and Cal >>>> than Nevada.

It's not a series, though -- these home teams only need to pull off the magic once. And IMHO, two of these three will.

**ACCBlitz** · 09-14-10, 01:02 AM

Nah, I agree. I'm staying far far away from Iowa and Cal. Normally I'd actually keep away from Neb as well, but I can't ignore the gut ya know. Call me crazy but it's win % is better than any other method I have

**No coincidences** · 09-14-10, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by ACCBlitz

Nah, I agree. I'm staying far far away from Iowa and Cal. Normally I'd actually keep away from Neb as well, but I can't ignore the gut ya know. Call me crazy but it's win % is better than any other method I have

It'll be interesting to see how Martinez handles the trip to Seattle. It gets loud there.

**agharah1** · 09-14-10, 12:55 PM

I cannot in good conscience pick Arizona to cover. They have shown a consistent tendency to get crushed by teams with good defenses. Nick Foles probably still has nightmares about that 33-0 loss to Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl.

As for Nevada. Did they, or did they not lose 30-0 to Notre Dame last season? Otherwise known as the "Charlie Weis cannot coach defense" season in South Bend?

**No coincidences** · 09-15-10, 02:55 AM

Same trends occurring in the NFL:

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/671623-6-home-dogs-week-2-a.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**shoebox** · 09-15-10, 05:27 AM

It's week 3 historically you will start to see the public get hammered in the upcoming weeks my friend.

coins

**MartinBlank** · 09-15-10, 05:34 AM

Iowa's DC has been hospitalized to boot.

**Vaioice** · 09-15-10, 06:13 AM

Waiting for the total on that cal game. I'm on Washington for sure. Most likely will stay away from the Iowa game... But there stingy defense n that new offense they got it's hard to look the other wAy.

**agharah1** · 09-15-10, 10:07 AM

I know its at home, but c'mon. We're talking about a Washington team that hasn't quite recovered from Ty Willingham yet vs. quite possibly the best team in the Big XII. Now maybe Nebraska's offense will struggle, but Washington's offense is going to run into a brick wall. I just don't understand how people can put so much faith in Pac-10 teams vs. contenders like Iowa and Nebraska but not vs. WAC teams who get exposed every time they play a BCS conference team.