Tracking S(quare)portsbook's top public plays

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Tracking S(quare)portsbook's top public plays
    Currently:

    Iowa -2
    Nebraska -3.5
    Cal -3


    If this trend holds, only one of these three will cash. Watch.
  • ACCBlitz
    Restricted User
    • 07-30-10
    • 595

    #2
    Yeah I locked in on Neb as soon as I saw it. Gut play and until they prove me wrong I'm running with 'em. It's early so we'll see how the line acts. Went from -3 on BetUs to -4.5. If it starts dropping despite huge public play though, then I'll start to

    Cal and Iowa are scary plays. No thank you for me
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by ACCBlitz
      Yeah I locked in on Neb as soon as I saw it. Gut play and until they prove me wrong I'm running with 'em. It's early so we'll see how the line acts. Went from -3 on BetUs to -4.5. If it starts dropping despite huge public play though, then I'll start to

      Cal and Iowa are scary plays. No thank you for me
      You're going to take a team with a R.S. frosh making his first-ever road start in a very hostile environment against a team with a senior A-A QB?
      Comment
      • ACCBlitz
        Restricted User
        • 07-30-10
        • 595

        #4
        Like I said - until they prove me wrong I'll take NEB all day everyday over WASH. I don't think they're a bad team, but in my eyes Neb is at least 5 points better.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by ACCBlitz
          Like I said - until they prove me wrong I'll take NEB all day everyday over WASH. I don't think they're a bad team, but in my eyes Neb is at least 5 points better.
          On paper I agree.

          Also Iowa >>> than Arizona and Cal >>>> than Nevada.

          It's not a series, though -- these home teams only need to pull off the magic once. And IMHO, two of these three will.
          Comment
          • ACCBlitz
            Restricted User
            • 07-30-10
            • 595

            #6
            Nah, I agree. I'm staying far far away from Iowa and Cal. Normally I'd actually keep away from Neb as well, but I can't ignore the gut ya know. Call me crazy but it's win % is better than any other method I have
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by ACCBlitz
              Nah, I agree. I'm staying far far away from Iowa and Cal. Normally I'd actually keep away from Neb as well, but I can't ignore the gut ya know. Call me crazy but it's win % is better than any other method I have
              It'll be interesting to see how Martinez handles the trip to Seattle. It gets loud there.
              Comment
              • agharah1
                SBR MVP
                • 09-07-10
                • 2304

                #8
                I cannot in good conscience pick Arizona to cover. They have shown a consistent tendency to get crushed by teams with good defenses. Nick Foles probably still has nightmares about that 33-0 loss to Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl.

                As for Nevada. Did they, or did they not lose 30-0 to Notre Dame last season? Otherwise known as the "Charlie Weis cannot coach defense" season in South Bend?
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Same trends occurring in the NFL:

                  Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                  Comment
                  • shoebox
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-26-08
                    • 5710

                    #10
                    It's week 3 historically you will start to see the public get hammered in the upcoming weeks my friend.

                    coins
                    Comment
                    • MartinBlank
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-20-08
                      • 8382

                      #11
                      Iowa's DC has been hospitalized to boot.
                      Comment
                      • Vaioice
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-04-10
                        • 780

                        #12
                        Waiting for the total on that cal game. I'm on Washington for sure. Most likely will stay away from the Iowa game... But there stingy defense n that new offense they got it's hard to look the other wAy.
                        Comment
                        • agharah1
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-10
                          • 2304

                          #13
                          I know its at home, but c'mon. We're talking about a Washington team that hasn't quite recovered from Ty Willingham yet vs. quite possibly the best team in the Big XII. Now maybe Nebraska's offense will struggle, but Washington's offense is going to run into a brick wall. I just don't understand how people can put so much faith in Pac-10 teams vs. contenders like Iowa and Nebraska but not vs. WAC teams who get exposed every time they play a BCS conference team.
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